ALF

ALF Price Today & AI Analysis

ALF
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 9, 2026

$0.086114

-5.59%24h
LiveContract:0x0885f91c72a8de62a5349d4c89ca31b4ef650929Chain:EthereumHolders:1.4KMarket cap:$416.28KLiquidity:$178.71K

More tokens on Ethereum

RIVER

RIVER

River

$1.261.7%
MC $73.04M
UXLINK

UXLINK

UXLINK Token

$0.00075011.7%
MC $750.3K
PNDC

PNDC

Pond Coin

$0.0610056.7%
MC $42.28M
XEN

XEN

XEN Crypto

$0.0845003.2%
MC $1.84M
PC

PC

PentagonChain

$52.555.2%
MC $52.55M
USDS

USDS

USDS

$0.99980.0%
MC $6.63B

Advanced charting powered by TradingView

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about ALF

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 9, 2026, 03:45 AM UTC
Market Cap

$416.28K

24h Volume

$4.91K

Liquidity

$178.71K

FDV

—

Holders

1.4K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

ALF is a 20.8-month-old Ethereum token with a fantasy-themed narrative, a market cap of approximately $416,000, and $178,714 in Uniswap liquidity. The token has delivered a +16.4% gain over the past 30 days but is experiencing a short-term 7-day decline of 4.9% accompanied by near-total sell-side dominance in recent trading sessions. With only 1,417 holders, top-10 wallets controlling 53.6% of supply, and per-wallet forensic data unavailable, the token carries meaningful concentration and liquidity risk. It remains a highly speculative micro-cap asset with limited verifiable fundamental data.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 9, 2026, 03:45 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
Unusual longevity for a micro-cap narrative token — 20.8 months on-chain without delisting or complete liquidity withdrawal
30-day price recovery of +16.4% from a multi-week low, suggesting periodic demand cycles rather than a purely one-directional decline
Extremely low absolute liquidity ($178,714) relative to a $416,000 market cap creates high slippage sensitivity, making price moves amplified in both directions

ALF AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

ALF is down 4.9% over the past 7 days and has pulled back from its recent peak near $6.439e-9 to $6.114e-9, sitting at 81% of its 52-day range. The last hour and 4-hour windows show zero buy transactions against 14 sell transactions, indicating active distribution with no buying interest to absorb it. This one-sided order flow strongly favors continued near-term downside.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

Despite the short-term weakness, the 30-day trend is +16.4%, reflecting a meaningful recovery from the period low of $4.301e-9. The price consolidated above $6.20e-9 for several consecutive daily closes before the current pullback, suggesting the broader 30-day uptrend remains structurally intact. A hold of the immediate support at $5.353e-9 would be the key condition for the medium-term bullish case to remain valid.

Bullish Factors
  • +30-day price performance of +16.4% demonstrates a sustained recovery from the $4.301e-9 period low, indicating genuine medium-term buying interest over the past month
  • +Price currently sits at 81% of its 52-day range ($4.301e-9–$6.550e-9), meaning it has retained most of its medium-term gains despite the recent 7-day pullback
  • +Token has been live for 20.8 months, providing a longer operational track record than most micro-cap Ethereum tokens at this market cap level
Bearish Factors
  • -7-day trend is -4.9% and the past hour and 4-hour windows recorded zero buy transactions against 14 sell transactions each, reflecting a complete absence of demand
  • -24-hour buy/sell volume ratio is severely skewed: $75 in buy volume versus $4,835 in sell volume, a 98.5% sell-pressure reading that signals active distribution
  • -Total liquidity of $178,714 against a market cap of $416,279 means the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 43%, but any meaningful sell order will cause significant slippage given only 2 unique buyers in 24 hours

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

ALF call history

Full track record →
Sep 9bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x0885...0929
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Demand vacuum risk: zero buy transactions in the past 4 hours with 14 active sell transactions signals a potential accelerating exit by holders, which in a $178,714 liquidity pool could produce rapid price deterioration toward the $5.353e-9 immediate support
•Concentration risk without classification: 53.6% of supply in the top 10 wallets with no ability to verify whether these are locked, protocol-controlled, or freely tradeable positions means a single large holder decision could overwhelm available liquidity
•Forensic opacity: launch allocation, deployer wallet history, and whale acquisition methods are all unavailable — the token's initial distribution cannot be verified as fair, and insider selling cannot be ruled out

Trading Insight

bearish

Current market sentiment for ALF is decisively bearish, with 98.5% of 24-hour volume coming from sell-side activity and zero buy transactions recorded in both the 1-hour and 4-hour windows. The 13 unique sellers versus 2 unique buyers in the past 24 hours indicates broad-based exit behavior rather than a single large seller, making the distribution pattern more concerning.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The short-term trend is bearish: the 7-day change is -4.9% and the most recent daily close of $6.114e-9 is below the prior cluster of closes in the $6.350e-9–$6.439e-9 range. The medium-term trend remains bullish, with the 30-day change at +16.4% and the price still well above the 52-day period low of $4.301e-9. The divergence between the 7-day and 30-day trends suggests a short-term pullback within a broader recovery rather than a trend reversal — though the absence of buyers makes that interpretation fragile.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

With 14 consecutive sell transactions in the most recent 1-hour window and zero buys, short-term momentum is deeply negative. The price has declined from a recent high of approximately $6.439e-9 to $6.114e-9 over the past several daily closes, a drop of roughly 5%. Daily volatility of 4.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) means moves of this magnitude are within one standard deviation, but the directional consistency of recent closes downward adds weight to the bearish momentum reading.

Volume Analysis

Buy 1.5%Sell 98.5%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

Buy volume has effectively collapsed to near zero ($75 in 24 hours), while sell volume of $4,835 represents the entirety of meaningful activity. This divergence — sellers transacting while buyers are absent — is a classic sign of a liquidity-thin token where price discovery is one-sided. The decreasing buy-side participation over the 24h-to-1h window progression confirms the trend is worsening intraday.

Recent Price Action

ALF formed a consolidation cluster between $6.350e-9 and $6.439e-9 across approximately six consecutive daily closes before breaking down to $6.114e-9 on the most recent close. Prior to that cluster, the token staged a sharp recovery from $4.994e-9 to $6.287e-9 in a single session, establishing the current medium-term uptrend.

The breakdown from the $6.350e-9–$6.439e-9 consolidation zone is a bearish signal in the short term, as it suggests the prior support level has failed. The next meaningful OHLC-derived support is at $5.353e-9, approximately 12.4% below the current price. A recovery back above $6.287e-9 would be required to neutralize the short-term bearish structure.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$5.353e-9
Major$4.301e-9
Resistance
Immediate$6.287e-9
Major$6.550e-9

The immediate support at $5.353e-9 represents the nearest OHLC swing low and is approximately 12.4% below the current price — a significant gap that underscores the lack of nearby demand floors. The major support at $4.301e-9 is the 52-day period low and would represent a 29.7% drawdown from current levels if tested. On the upside, the immediate resistance at $6.287e-9 is the level the price broke below on the most recent session; reclaiming it is the minimum requirement for short-term sentiment to improve. The major resistance at $6.550e-9 is the 52-day high and would represent a new range breakout if reached.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 4.3% (standard deviation) compounds to significant weekly and monthly swings for a token with this liquidity profile. The price moved from $4.994e-9 to $6.287e-9 in a single session — a 25.9% intraday move — illustrating how thin liquidity amplifies volatility. A 4.3% daily volatility implies roughly 30% annualized volatility at minimum, which is extreme even by crypto standards for a token this small.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $178,714 on a single Uniswap pool means that even modest sell orders cause material price impact. The 24-hour sell volume of $4,835 produced a 5.6% price decline, implying a price impact of roughly 1.2% per $1,000 sold. Any holder attempting to exit a position larger than a few thousand dollars would face severe slippage.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 53.6% of the 69 trillion token supply. Per-wallet classification data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined how much of this concentration represents protocol contracts or exchange wallets versus individual holders with dumpable positions. In the absence of that classification, the concentration must be treated as a meaningful risk factor.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract security data is available from this chain's data provider. This 'medium' rating is an uninformed default, not an assessment — it reflects the absence of data rather than any positive or negative finding about the contract's code, audit status, or verification.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized Ethereum token with no disclosed utility or registered entity, ALF faces the standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to speculative micro-cap tokens. No specific regulatory actions or compliance disclosures are referenced in the available data.

Key Risks

  • •Demand vacuum risk: zero buy transactions in the past 4 hours with 14 active sell transactions signals a potential accelerating exit by holders, which in a $178,714 liquidity pool could produce rapid price deterioration toward the $5.353e-9 immediate support
  • •Concentration risk without classification: 53.6% of supply in the top 10 wallets with no ability to verify whether these are locked, protocol-controlled, or freely tradeable positions means a single large holder decision could overwhelm available liquidity
  • •Forensic opacity: launch allocation, deployer wallet history, and whale acquisition methods are all unavailable — the token's initial distribution cannot be verified as fair, and insider selling cannot be ruled out

Mitigating Factors

  • •The token has survived 20.8 months without a complete liquidity removal, which distinguishes it from the majority of micro-cap tokens that are abandoned or rugged within weeks of launch
  • •Full circulation (supply equals FDV) eliminates the risk of future token unlocks or vesting-schedule sell pressure adding to market supply

Investor Suitability

ALF is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative investors who understand that micro-cap narrative tokens with thin liquidity, unverified contracts, and opaque holder structures carry a substantial probability of total capital loss. Position sizing should reflect the possibility of a complete loss of invested capital.

ALF presents a high-risk, speculative opportunity defined by the tension between its 30-day +16.4% recovery trend and its current near-total absence of buy-side demand. The token's 20.8-month survival is a relative positive in a space littered with abandoned projects, but the lack of verifiable utility, thin liquidity, and opaque holder structure make any investment thesis highly dependent on speculative sentiment rather than fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The 30-day uptrend reasserts itself as the current sell-off exhausts available sellers, price holds above the $5.353e-9 immediate support, and renewed speculative interest drives a retest of the $6.550e-9 major resistance — representing approximately 7% upside from current levels. A broader Ethereum micro-cap sentiment cycle could amplify this move.

  • +Exhaustion of current seller cohort (13 unique sellers in 24h is a small pool) allowing the 30-day uptrend to resume
  • +Broader Ethereum ecosystem risk-on sentiment attracting speculative capital to low-cap narrative tokens
Base Case

ALF consolidates in the $5.353e-9–$6.287e-9 range as the current sell-off stabilizes near immediate support, with sporadic low-volume trading continuing at current activity levels. The token maintains its liquidity pool but fails to attract meaningful new holders, resulting in a slow drift with periodic volatility spikes.

  • •The current seller cohort is finite and exhausts near the $5.353e-9 immediate support without triggering a cascade to major support
  • •No significant new catalyst — positive or negative — emerges to materially shift the token's speculative demand profile
Bear Case
High

The demand vacuum persists, price breaks below the $5.353e-9 immediate support, and selling pressure accelerates toward the $4.301e-9 major support — a potential 29.7% decline from current levels. Given the 53.6% top-10 concentration and unclassified holder profiles, a large holder exit in thin liquidity could compress price further.

  • -Continued absence of buy-side participation (zero buyers in the past 4 hours) with active sellers still transacting
  • -Unclassified top-10 concentration of 53.6% creating latent sell pressure that could materialize without warning in a low-liquidity pool

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 9, 2026, 03:45 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$6.11385911652e-9
Market Cap$416.3K
24h Volume$4.9K
Holders1,417
Liquidity$178.7K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder growth history, size-tier distribution, and acquisition-method data were unavailable for this chain — holder trend and distribution analysis is limited to two aggregate figures
  • •Whale transaction records and smart-money cohort data were unavailable — individual large-holder behavior and profitable-trader positioning cannot be assessed
  • •Contract security data (audit status, honeypot check, contract verification) was unavailable from this chain's data provider — smart contract risk is an uninformed default
  • •90-day OHLC data was unavailable, limiting the long-term trend context to the 52-day window provided
  • •Launch allocation and deployer wallet forensics were unavailable — insider distribution risk cannot be quantified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Track ALF