SWOGE

Swole Doge Price Today & AI Analysis

SWOGEEthereumAnalysis as of Jul 22, 2026

Price

$0.043515

+0.00% 24h

Contract

Live
0x0000c9af57138af42f22729a4de46c650e602ef4

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

332

Market cap

$35.15K

Liquidity

$12.57K

At a $1M market cap, $SWOGE would be $0.001000 (28.4x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is SWOGE a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 20

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

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What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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Swole Doge: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-22 14:01 UTC

Holder addresses

521

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$78,154.37
How concentrated is Swole Doge ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 521 addresses (2026-07-22 14:01 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Swole Doge?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Swole Doge liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-22 14:01 UTC, reported liquidity was $78,154.37. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-22 14:01 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 22, 2026, 02:01 PM UTC

Market Cap

$428.50K

24h Volume

$1.09M

Liquidity

$78.15K

FDV

—

Holders

521

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bullish

Swole Doge (SWOGE) is a meme token on Ethereum, now 21.9 months old, that spent most of its existence in a slow price decline before experiencing a single explosive +3,043.9% pump in the most recent session. With a market cap of approximately $428,495 and $78,154 in liquidity on Uniswap v2, it is a micro-cap meme asset with extremely thin market depth relative to its trading volume. The token's unverified contract, 42/100 security score, and the presence of nine individual whale wallets holding a combined 35.7% of dumpable supply make it a very high-risk speculative instrument. While the pump has generated genuine community attention — 521 holders, 818 unique buyers in 24 hours — the structural fundamentals remain those of a low-liquidity meme token with no demonstrated utility.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 22, 2026, 02:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extreme pump event of +3,043.9% in 7 days from a multi-month low base of $0.0000117, creating an unusually wide 18-day price range
  • Token is 21.9 months old yet only accumulated 156 holders before the pump, suggesting near-zero organic traction prior to the viral event
  • Unverified smart contract combined with a 42/100 security score distinguishes it negatively from even typical meme tokens, which often at least achieve contract verification

Swole Doge AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

SWOGE has surged +3,043.9% over 7 days from a base near $0.0000117, but the current price of $0.000448 sits at only 27% of the 18-day range high of $0.001643, indicating the peak has already passed and price is in a corrective phase. The 13-day declining close sequence before the single explosive candle suggests this was a concentrated pump event, and with daily volatility at 787.8%, mean-reversion pressure is severe. Short-term price action is likely to test the immediate support at $0.00002152 as speculative momentum fades.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With only 18 days of price history available (30d and 90d trend data are unavailable), the medium-term picture is dominated by a single violent pump-and-partial-dump cycle. The token has no demonstrated ability to sustain elevated prices, and the 13-session downtrend that preceded the pump — from $0.0000204 to $0.0000117 — suggests the baseline demand is extremely thin. Without a fundamental catalyst or sustained community growth beyond the initial viral spike, the medium-term trajectory points toward consolidation near or below the pre-pump range.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price gain of +3,043.9% demonstrates explosive demand capacity and viral attention, with 818 unique buyers in 24 hours confirming broad retail participation
  • Holder trajectory accelerated from 0 to 147 net new holders over 31 days with growth concentrated in the most recent session, signaling a genuine community formation event
  • Buy pressure at 51.4% ($561,709 buy volume vs. $530,535 sell volume) shows buyers marginally outpacing sellers even after the pump, suggesting the market has not fully capitulated

Bearish Factors

  • Current price at $0.000448 sits at only 27% of the 18-day range high of $0.001643, confirming the token has already retraced significantly from its peak and is in a downtrend from that high
  • Daily return volatility of 787.8% makes price preservation nearly impossible for late entrants, and the 13-session consecutive decline before the pump reveals the token's default state is slow bleed
  • Security score of 42/100 with an unverified contract is a critical red flag; the contract has not been audited or publicly verified, exposing holders to undisclosed code risks
  • Dumpable supply of 35.7% is held across nine individual whale wallets, with one whale (0xce5cc7, 4.50%) acquiring their position via transfer rather than market purchase — a potential insider allocation that represents zero-cost sell pressure

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

SWOGE call history

Full track record →

Jul 22bearish
24h-79.9%
7d-82.4%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x0000...2ef4
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Unverified contract with 42/100 security score means hidden privileged functions (mint, pause, fee drain) cannot be ruled out — a single contract exploit could reduce holdings to zero
  • 35.7% dumpable supply across nine whale wallets, including one zero-cost transfer recipient (0xce5cc7, 4.50%), creates concentrated sell pressure that could overwhelm the $78,154 liquidity pool instantly
  • The near-identical buy/sell pair sizing in recent notable trades ($3,176/$3,170 and $1,536/$1,534) is consistent with wash trading, suggesting the pump may be artificially manufactured rather than organic demand

Trading Insight

bullish

Market sentiment is marginally net-bullish by transaction count and volume — 1,821 buys vs. 1,455 sells and $561,709 buy volume vs. $530,535 sell volume — but the slim 51.4% buy pressure margin suggests the initial pump enthusiasm is cooling rapidly. The near-identical 4-hour and 24-hour transaction counts indicate virtually all activity occurred in a single concentrated burst rather than sustained inflow.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 7-day trend is technically an uptrend at +3,043.9%, but this is entirely attributable to a single-session explosive candle from a 13-session declining base. The medium-term picture — the only available multi-session context — shows a persistent downtrend from $0.0000204 to $0.0000117 before the pump, and the current price at 27% of the range high suggests the pump has already peaked. The token has no 30d or 90d trend data available, limiting trend confidence severely.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A +3,013% single-session move from a multi-month low base is by definition an extreme overbought condition. With daily volatility at 787.8% and price having already retraced from $0.001643 to $0.000448, momentum indicators would universally signal exhaustion. The thin buy pressure margin of 51.4% further confirms that buying momentum is decelerating.

Volume Analysis

Buy

51.4%

Sell

48.6%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Volume spiked from near-zero across 13 prior sessions to $1.09M in a single 24-hour window, representing an extraordinary volume event. However, the concentration of this volume in a 4-hour window and the 14:1 volume-to-liquidity ratio are characteristic of a pump cycle rather than sustainable demand growth.

Recent Price Action

13-session declining channel followed by a single explosive breakout candle reaching $0.001643, with immediate retracement to $0.000448 — a classic pump-and-partial-dump formation. The most recent close at $0.0004479 represents a 72.7% retracement from the session high.

This pattern typically indicates a speculative pump event driven by coordinated buying or viral social momentum, followed by rapid profit-taking from early accumulators. The partial retracement holding above the pre-pump base is the only mildly constructive technical signal.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00002152

Major support

$0.00001165

Immediate resistance

$0.001643

Major resistance

$0.001643

Immediate support at $0.00002152 represents the nearest OHLC swing low and is approximately 95% below the current price — illustrating the extreme distance between the pumped price and any structural floor. Major support at $0.00001165 is the 18-day absolute low, which was the pre-pump baseline. The sole resistance level at $0.001643 is the 18-day swing high; reclaiming it would require a further +267% move from current levels. The convergence of immediate and major resistance at the same level confirms there is no intermediate resistance structure — price is in open air between $0.000448 and $0.001643.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 787.8% is among the highest measurable for any asset. The 18-day price range spans from $0.0000117 to $0.001643 — a 140x range — meaning a position can lose 90%+ of its value within days based on observed price history.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $78,154 against $1.09M in 24-hour volume creates a 14:1 volume-to-liquidity ratio. Any position exceeding a few thousand dollars faces severe slippage on exit, and thin liquidity makes the token vulnerable to price manipulation by large holders.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a meme token with no utility, SWOGE faces standard regulatory risks applicable to speculative crypto assets. The near-mirror trade sizing observed in recent transactions could attract regulatory scrutiny for potential market manipulation, though enforcement against micro-cap tokens is historically rare.

Key Risks

  • Unverified contract with 42/100 security score means hidden privileged functions (mint, pause, fee drain) cannot be ruled out — a single contract exploit could reduce holdings to zero
  • 35.7% dumpable supply across nine whale wallets, including one zero-cost transfer recipient (0xce5cc7, 4.50%), creates concentrated sell pressure that could overwhelm the $78,154 liquidity pool instantly
  • The near-identical buy/sell pair sizing in recent notable trades ($3,176/$3,170 and $1,536/$1,534) is consistent with wash trading, suggesting the pump may be artificially manufactured rather than organic demand

Mitigating Factors

  • Project claims renounced ownership and burned liquidity — if verified, these would eliminate deployer rug-pull risk and ensure permanent liquidity floor
  • 100% circulating supply with FDV equal to market cap eliminates future dilution from token unlocks or vesting schedules

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who understand they may lose their entire investment, can afford to do so, and are treating any position as a lottery ticket rather than an investment. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking capital preservation, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

SWOGE is a high-risk meme token that has experienced a single explosive pump event after 21.9 months of near-dormancy. The investment thesis is entirely speculative — either the viral momentum sustains and drives a second leg higher, or the pump exhausts and price reverts toward the pre-pump baseline near $0.0000117. There is no fundamental value floor.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral social momentum on Twitter and Telegram sustains beyond the initial pump, attracting a second wave of retail buyers that pushes price back toward or beyond the $0.001643 swing high. Broader meme-coin market enthusiasm amplifies the move, and the claimed renounced ownership/burned liquidity narrative gains traction as a safety differentiator.

  • Sustained viral social media campaign generating new retail inflows beyond the initial 818-buyer cohort
  • Broader meme-coin market cycle providing sector tailwinds for low-cap meme tokens

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.0001–$0.0004 range for several weeks as initial pump buyers gradually exit and a small residual community of ~200-300 holders remains. Without a second viral catalyst, the token slowly bleeds back toward the pre-pump range over 30-90 days, consistent with the pattern observed in its first 21 months of existence.

  • No second coordinated pump event or major social media catalyst emerges in the near term
  • Whale wallets distribute gradually rather than in a single coordinated exit that would drain liquidity instantly

Bear Case

High probability

The pump exhausts as whale wallets — particularly the zero-cost transfer recipient (0xce5cc7) and the profitable early accumulator (0xfbfdc5, +$483, +79%) — begin distributing into thin $78,154 liquidity. Price retraces toward the immediate support at $0.00002152 or the major support at $0.00001165, representing a 95-97% drawdown from current levels. The unverified contract adds tail risk of a complete loss.

  • Whale profit-taking into thin liquidity, particularly from zero-cost transfer recipient 0xce5cc7 and profitable accumulator 0xfbfdc5
  • Absence of any fundamental utility or sustained organic community growth to support elevated price levels post-pump

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 22, 2026, 02:01 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-22 14:01 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000447869392598113

Market Cap

$428.5K

24h Volume

$1.09M

Holders

521

Liquidity

$78,154.37

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v2 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)18-day daily OHLC price historyWhale wallet behavioral forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates)Smart money realized PnL dataSmart contract security scoringToken deployer and genesis profile data

Limitations

  • Only 18 days of OHLC price history available; 30d and 90d trend data are absent, severely limiting medium-term technical analysis reliability
  • Smart money data covers only two wallets — an insufficient sample to draw broad conclusions about informed trader behavior
  • The unverified contract means on-chain mechanics (actual burn status, ownership renouncement) cannot be confirmed from available data
  • Near-mirror trade sizing in recent notable transactions raises wash-trading concerns that may distort volume and buy/sell pressure metrics

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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