SWOGE

Swole Doge Price Today & AI Analysis

SWOGE
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 22, 2026

$0.044066

-3.48%24h
LiveContract:0x0000c9af57138af42f22729a4de46c650e602ef4Chain:EthereumHolders:355Market cap:$40.66KLiquidity:$13.62K

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Ask Unhosted AI about SWOGE

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 22, 2026, 02:01 PM UTC
Market Cap

$428.50K

24h Volume

$1.09M

Liquidity

$78.15K

FDV

—

Holders

521

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Swole Doge (SWOGE) is a meme token on Ethereum, now 21.9 months old, that spent most of its existence in a slow price decline before experiencing a single explosive +3,043.9% pump in the most recent session. With a market cap of approximately $428,495 and $78,154 in liquidity on Uniswap v2, it is a micro-cap meme asset with extremely thin market depth relative to its trading volume. The token's unverified contract, 42/100 security score, and the presence of nine individual whale wallets holding a combined 35.7% of dumpable supply make it a very high-risk speculative instrument. While the pump has generated genuine community attention — 521 holders, 818 unique buyers in 24 hours — the structural fundamentals remain those of a low-liquidity meme token with no demonstrated utility.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 22, 2026, 02:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
Extreme pump event of +3,043.9% in 7 days from a multi-month low base of $0.0000117, creating an unusually wide 18-day price range
Token is 21.9 months old yet only accumulated 156 holders before the pump, suggesting near-zero organic traction prior to the viral event
Unverified smart contract combined with a 42/100 security score distinguishes it negatively from even typical meme tokens, which often at least achieve contract verification

Swole Doge AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

SWOGE has surged +3,043.9% over 7 days from a base near $0.0000117, but the current price of $0.000448 sits at only 27% of the 18-day range high of $0.001643, indicating the peak has already passed and price is in a corrective phase. The 13-day declining close sequence before the single explosive candle suggests this was a concentrated pump event, and with daily volatility at 787.8%, mean-reversion pressure is severe. Short-term price action is likely to test the immediate support at $0.00002152 as speculative momentum fades.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With only 18 days of price history available (30d and 90d trend data are unavailable), the medium-term picture is dominated by a single violent pump-and-partial-dump cycle. The token has no demonstrated ability to sustain elevated prices, and the 13-session downtrend that preceded the pump — from $0.0000204 to $0.0000117 — suggests the baseline demand is extremely thin. Without a fundamental catalyst or sustained community growth beyond the initial viral spike, the medium-term trajectory points toward consolidation near or below the pre-pump range.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price gain of +3,043.9% demonstrates explosive demand capacity and viral attention, with 818 unique buyers in 24 hours confirming broad retail participation
  • +Holder trajectory accelerated from 0 to 147 net new holders over 31 days with growth concentrated in the most recent session, signaling a genuine community formation event
  • +Buy pressure at 51.4% ($561,709 buy volume vs. $530,535 sell volume) shows buyers marginally outpacing sellers even after the pump, suggesting the market has not fully capitulated
Bearish Factors
  • -Current price at $0.000448 sits at only 27% of the 18-day range high of $0.001643, confirming the token has already retraced significantly from its peak and is in a downtrend from that high
  • -Daily return volatility of 787.8% makes price preservation nearly impossible for late entrants, and the 13-session consecutive decline before the pump reveals the token's default state is slow bleed
  • -Security score of 42/100 with an unverified contract is a critical red flag; the contract has not been audited or publicly verified, exposing holders to undisclosed code risks
  • -Dumpable supply of 35.7% is held across nine individual whale wallets, with one whale (0xce5cc7, 4.50%) acquiring their position via transfer rather than market purchase — a potential insider allocation that represents zero-cost sell pressure

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

SWOGE call history

Full track record →
Jul 22bearish
24h-79.9%
7d-82.4%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x0000...2ef4
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Unverified contract with 42/100 security score means hidden privileged functions (mint, pause, fee drain) cannot be ruled out — a single contract exploit could reduce holdings to zero
•35.7% dumpable supply across nine whale wallets, including one zero-cost transfer recipient (0xce5cc7, 4.50%), creates concentrated sell pressure that could overwhelm the $78,154 liquidity pool instantly
•The near-identical buy/sell pair sizing in recent notable trades ($3,176/$3,170 and $1,536/$1,534) is consistent with wash trading, suggesting the pump may be artificially manufactured rather than organic demand

Trading Insight

bullish

Market sentiment is marginally net-bullish by transaction count and volume — 1,821 buys vs. 1,455 sells and $561,709 buy volume vs. $530,535 sell volume — but the slim 51.4% buy pressure margin suggests the initial pump enthusiasm is cooling rapidly. The near-identical 4-hour and 24-hour transaction counts indicate virtually all activity occurred in a single concentrated burst rather than sustained inflow.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

The 7-day trend is technically an uptrend at +3,043.9%, but this is entirely attributable to a single-session explosive candle from a 13-session declining base. The medium-term picture — the only available multi-session context — shows a persistent downtrend from $0.0000204 to $0.0000117 before the pump, and the current price at 27% of the range high suggests the pump has already peaked. The token has no 30d or 90d trend data available, limiting trend confidence severely.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A +3,013% single-session move from a multi-month low base is by definition an extreme overbought condition. With daily volatility at 787.8% and price having already retraced from $0.001643 to $0.000448, momentum indicators would universally signal exhaustion. The thin buy pressure margin of 51.4% further confirms that buying momentum is decelerating.

Volume Analysis

Buy 51.4%Sell 48.6%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Volume spiked from near-zero across 13 prior sessions to $1.09M in a single 24-hour window, representing an extraordinary volume event. However, the concentration of this volume in a 4-hour window and the 14:1 volume-to-liquidity ratio are characteristic of a pump cycle rather than sustainable demand growth.

Recent Price Action

13-session declining channel followed by a single explosive breakout candle reaching $0.001643, with immediate retracement to $0.000448 — a classic pump-and-partial-dump formation. The most recent close at $0.0004479 represents a 72.7% retracement from the session high.

This pattern typically indicates a speculative pump event driven by coordinated buying or viral social momentum, followed by rapid profit-taking from early accumulators. The partial retracement holding above the pre-pump base is the only mildly constructive technical signal.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00002152
Major$0.00001165
Resistance
Immediate$0.001643
Major$0.001643

Immediate support at $0.00002152 represents the nearest OHLC swing low and is approximately 95% below the current price — illustrating the extreme distance between the pumped price and any structural floor. Major support at $0.00001165 is the 18-day absolute low, which was the pre-pump baseline. The sole resistance level at $0.001643 is the 18-day swing high; reclaiming it would require a further +267% move from current levels. The convergence of immediate and major resistance at the same level confirms there is no intermediate resistance structure — price is in open air between $0.000448 and $0.001643.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders521
24h Change+365
Growth Rate+70%

A 70% single-day holder increase from 156 to 521 is dramatic but almost entirely pump-driven — the 31-day trajectory shows the token accumulated only 147 net holders organically before the viral event. This type of holder spike is common in meme pump cycles and frequently reverses as speculative buyers exit; the key question is how many of the 365 new holders remain after price stabilizes.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders36%
Top 100 Holders85%
Retail Holders15.0%
Concentration Risk:
High

While the top-10 holder concentration of 36% includes one protocol/contract wallet (8.93% — not dumpable), the remaining nine individual whale wallets hold a combined 35.7% of dumpable supply. The top-100 controlling 85% with retail at only 15% means the vast majority of circulating supply is in the hands of a small, potentially coordinated group. This is a high concentration risk profile, though it falls short of critical given the protocol contract's non-dumpable classification.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest recent on-chain swaps were two near-identical buys of $3,176 and $3,170 by wallets 0x18dd3c and 0x56c262, followed by a $1,536 buy and a $1,534 sell by different wallets — suggesting possible wash-trading or coordinated activity given the near-mirror sizing. Additional buys of $960 and $959 by 0xf0f6dd and 0xf8df32 also show suspiciously similar sizing.

  • •BUY $3,176 by 0x18dd3c and BUY $3,170 by 0x56c262 — near-identical sizing raises wash-trade concern
  • •BUY $1,536 by 0xb224b4 mirrored almost exactly by SELL $1,534 by 0xe6324f — possible coordinated round-trip

The near-mirror sizing across multiple buy/sell pairs in the notable recent trades is a significant red flag for wash trading or coordinated pump activity. Genuine organic trading rarely produces such precise size matching across different wallets. This pattern, combined with the 4-hour/24-hour transaction count identity, reinforces the pump-event interpretation.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Medium

Only two smart money data points are available. Wallet 0xfbfdc5 (also a 4.00% whale) has realized +$483 (+79%) over 3 trades with an average buy of $0.00002347 — a successful early accumulator now in profit. Wallet 0x6ac056 has realized -$165 (-27%) over 4 trades, indicating a losing position.

Smart money data is extremely limited — only two traders are tracked. The profitable trader (0xfbfdc5) bought at $0.00002347 and is sitting on substantial unrealized gains at the current price, representing meaningful profit-taking risk. The losing trader suggests not all informed participants anticipated the pump. The small sample size makes any broad smart-money conclusion unreliable.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$78,154.37
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $78,154 in total liquidity against $1.09M in 24-hour volume, the pool has turned over approximately 14 times in a single day — an extreme ratio indicating the liquidity is dangerously thin relative to trading interest. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will incur severe slippage, and a coordinated exit by even one whale wallet could drain the pool significantly. The shallow liquidity is the primary execution risk for any position holder.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 787.8% is among the highest measurable for any asset. The 18-day price range spans from $0.0000117 to $0.001643 — a 140x range — meaning a position can lose 90%+ of its value within days based on observed price history.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $78,154 against $1.09M in 24-hour volume creates a 14:1 volume-to-liquidity ratio. Any position exceeding a few thousand dollars faces severe slippage on exit, and thin liquidity makes the token vulnerable to price manipulation by large holders.

Concentration
High

Nine individual whale wallets hold 35.7% of dumpable supply, with one wallet (0xce5cc7, 4.50%) having acquired its position via transfer at zero market cost — representing pure sell pressure with no acquisition price floor. The top 100 holders control 85% of supply.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified with a 42/100 security score. Without source code verification, the presence of hidden mint functions, ownership backdoors, or fee manipulation mechanisms cannot be ruled out. This is an unacceptable risk level for any significant position.

Regulatory
Medium

As a meme token with no utility, SWOGE faces standard regulatory risks applicable to speculative crypto assets. The near-mirror trade sizing observed in recent transactions could attract regulatory scrutiny for potential market manipulation, though enforcement against micro-cap tokens is historically rare.

Key Risks

  • •Unverified contract with 42/100 security score means hidden privileged functions (mint, pause, fee drain) cannot be ruled out — a single contract exploit could reduce holdings to zero
  • •35.7% dumpable supply across nine whale wallets, including one zero-cost transfer recipient (0xce5cc7, 4.50%), creates concentrated sell pressure that could overwhelm the $78,154 liquidity pool instantly
  • •The near-identical buy/sell pair sizing in recent notable trades ($3,176/$3,170 and $1,536/$1,534) is consistent with wash trading, suggesting the pump may be artificially manufactured rather than organic demand

Mitigating Factors

  • •Project claims renounced ownership and burned liquidity — if verified, these would eliminate deployer rug-pull risk and ensure permanent liquidity floor
  • •100% circulating supply with FDV equal to market cap eliminates future dilution from token unlocks or vesting schedules

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who understand they may lose their entire investment, can afford to do so, and are treating any position as a lottery ticket rather than an investment. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking capital preservation, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

SWOGE is a high-risk meme token that has experienced a single explosive pump event after 21.9 months of near-dormancy. The investment thesis is entirely speculative — either the viral momentum sustains and drives a second leg higher, or the pump exhausts and price reverts toward the pre-pump baseline near $0.0000117. There is no fundamental value floor.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Viral social momentum on Twitter and Telegram sustains beyond the initial pump, attracting a second wave of retail buyers that pushes price back toward or beyond the $0.001643 swing high. Broader meme-coin market enthusiasm amplifies the move, and the claimed renounced ownership/burned liquidity narrative gains traction as a safety differentiator.

  • +Sustained viral social media campaign generating new retail inflows beyond the initial 818-buyer cohort
  • +Broader meme-coin market cycle providing sector tailwinds for low-cap meme tokens
Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.0001–$0.0004 range for several weeks as initial pump buyers gradually exit and a small residual community of ~200-300 holders remains. Without a second viral catalyst, the token slowly bleeds back toward the pre-pump range over 30-90 days, consistent with the pattern observed in its first 21 months of existence.

  • •No second coordinated pump event or major social media catalyst emerges in the near term
  • •Whale wallets distribute gradually rather than in a single coordinated exit that would drain liquidity instantly
Bear Case
High

The pump exhausts as whale wallets — particularly the zero-cost transfer recipient (0xce5cc7) and the profitable early accumulator (0xfbfdc5, +$483, +79%) — begin distributing into thin $78,154 liquidity. Price retraces toward the immediate support at $0.00002152 or the major support at $0.00001165, representing a 95-97% drawdown from current levels. The unverified contract adds tail risk of a complete loss.

  • -Whale profit-taking into thin liquidity, particularly from zero-cost transfer recipient 0xce5cc7 and profitable accumulator 0xfbfdc5
  • -Absence of any fundamental utility or sustained organic community growth to support elevated price levels post-pump

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 22, 2026, 02:01 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000447869392598113
Market Cap$428.5K
24h Volume$1.09M
Holders521
Liquidity$78.2K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v2 swap history)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
18-day daily OHLC price history
Whale wallet behavioral forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates)
Smart money realized PnL data
Smart contract security scoring
Token deployer and genesis profile data

Limitations

  • •Only 18 days of OHLC price history available; 30d and 90d trend data are absent, severely limiting medium-term technical analysis reliability
  • •Smart money data covers only two wallets — an insufficient sample to draw broad conclusions about informed trader behavior
  • •The unverified contract means on-chain mechanics (actual burn status, ownership renouncement) cannot be confirmed from available data
  • •Near-mirror trade sizing in recent notable transactions raises wash-trading concerns that may distort volume and buy/sell pressure metrics

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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