AAVE

Aave Token Price Today & AI Analysis

AAVEBNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 25, 2026

Price

$154.59

+6.55% 24h

Contract

Live
0xfb6115445bff7b52feb98650c87f44907e58f802

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

14.1K

Market cap

$2.39B

Liquidity

$78.47K

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Aave Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-25 19:17 UTC

Holder addresses

14,121

Top 10 supply share

5.40%

Reported liquidity

$78,468.00
How concentrated is Aave Token ownership?
As of 2026-09-25 19:17 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 5.40% of supply. It reports 14,121 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Aave Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 19:17 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $191,943.00 in buys and $178,378.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Aave Token liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -10.96%, from $200,791.19 (2026-09-24 20:00 UTC) to $178,777.79 (2026-09-25 19:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-25 19:17 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-24 20:00 UTC$200,791.19
2026-09-24 21:00 UTC$201,577.61
2026-09-24 22:00 UTC$199,985.63
2026-09-24 23:00 UTC$195,129.56
2026-09-25 00:00 UTC$196,684.13
2026-09-25 01:00 UTC$198,507.93
2026-09-25 02:00 UTC$198,400.53
2026-09-25 03:00 UTC$196,693.84
2026-09-25 04:00 UTC$195,284.07
2026-09-25 05:00 UTC$197,502.47
2026-09-25 06:00 UTC$200,736.52
2026-09-25 07:00 UTC$200,906.00
2026-09-25 08:00 UTC$199,173.46
2026-09-25 09:00 UTC$197,679.13
2026-09-25 10:00 UTC$199,118.16
2026-09-25 11:00 UTC$194,252.68
2026-09-25 12:00 UTC$192,057.50
2026-09-25 13:00 UTC$190,173.64
2026-09-25 14:00 UTC$189,457.44
2026-09-25 15:00 UTC$188,419.71
2026-09-25 16:00 UTC$179,976.54
2026-09-25 17:00 UTC$180,141.53
2026-09-25 18:00 UTC$177,910.45
2026-09-25 19:00 UTC$178,777.79

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 25, 2026, 07:17 PM UTC

Market Cap

$2.39B

24h Volume

$370.32K

Liquidity

$78.47K

FDV

—

Holders

14,121

24h

Loading trading activity…

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Bullish

AAVE, the governance token of the long-running Aave lending protocol, is trading at $154.59 on a BNB Chain/PancakeSwap pool that is 60.8 months old, sitting at the top of its 91-day trading range after a +69.2% 90-day rally. Trading activity shows a near-balanced but slightly buy-skewed 24h flow ($191,943 buys vs $178,378 sells) across roughly 4,794 transactions, while aggregate holder data shows a low top-10 concentration of 5.4% across 14,121 total holders. The pool's liquidity of $78,468 is notably thin relative to trading volume, which is the standout risk flag for this specific venue despite the underlying protocol's maturity.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 25, 2026, 07:17 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Established DeFi lending/borrowing protocol with a 60.8-month contract history rather than a new or unproven token
  • Governance-token utility tied to a live multi-asset money market rather than a purely speculative asset
  • Currently priced at the top of its 91-day range, differentiating it from tokens in extended drawdowns

Aave Token AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

AAVE has closed higher on a consistent basis over the past 14 daily candles, rising from $125.41 to $154.60, and the 7-day change of +10.6% confirms active upward momentum. Price is now sitting at 99% of its 91-day range, directly against the immediate resistance zone, so continuation depends on a clean break rather than a fresh catalyst.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30-day (+22.0%) and 90-day (+69.2%) trends are both strongly positive and directionally aligned, indicating a sustained multi-month uptrend rather than a short-lived spike. A decisive close above the major resistance at $155.58 would confirm a range breakout and open the door to price discovery above the 91-day high.

Bullish Factors

  • 90d price trend up 69.2%, 30d up 22.0%, and 7d up 10.6% show a consistent uptrend across every measured window, not a single-day spike
  • Price sits at 99% of the 91-day range ($82.61-$155.58), reflecting sustained buying interest into the highs
  • 24h buy volume ($191,943) modestly exceeds sell volume ($178,378), a net inflow of roughly $13,565 (Buy Pressure 51.8%)
  • Aggregate top-10 holder concentration is only 5.4% of supply, suggesting no extreme single-wallet dominance at the holder level

Bearish Factors

  • Total pool liquidity of $78,468 is thin relative to 24h trading volume of ~$370k, creating elevated slippage risk for larger orders
  • Price is trading directly against immediate resistance ($154.91) and major resistance ($155.58), raising the risk of rejection and pullback
  • Unique sellers (413) outnumber unique buyers (323) in the last 24h despite similar transaction counts, hinting at broader distribution pressure among sellers
  • Daily return volatility of 4.5% and a wide 91-day range ($82.61-$155.58, an ~88% swing) show the token can reverse sharply

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

AAVE call history

Full track record →

Sep 25bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xfb61...f802
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Thin pool liquidity ($78,468) relative to trading volume creates elevated slippage risk for sizeable trades on this venue
  • Price is testing immediate/major resistance ($154.91/$155.58) after a rapid 90-day rally of +69.2%, raising the risk of a sharp pullback if buyers fail to sustain momentum
  • No contract-security audit data is available, leaving smart contract risk unverified rather than confirmed safe
  • Market cap and FDV figures reported in the data appear internally inconsistent given a fully circulating supply, warranting independent verification

Trading Insight

bullish

24h trading shows a modest buy-side tilt (51.8% buy pressure vs 48.2% sell pressure), consistent with the broader uptrend visible in the daily OHLC data. However, the gap between unique buyers (323) and unique sellers (413) suggests that while dollar volume favors buyers, transaction breadth is slightly more distributed among sellers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The 7-day (+10.6%) and 30-day (+22.0%) changes both confirm an active uptrend, and the 90-day change of +69.2% shows this is a sustained multi-month move rather than a recent anomaly. Daily closes have risen from $125.41 to $154.60 over the visible window with only shallow pullbacks along the way.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

Price sits at 99% of its 91-day range and is pressing directly against the immediate resistance level of $154.91, a classic sign of stretched short-term momentum after a rapid ascent from the $119.63-$122.32 lows seen mid-series.

Volume Analysis

Buy

51.8%

Sell

48.2%

Volume Trend

Stable

24h buy and sell volumes are closely matched ($191,943 vs $178,378), giving a Buy Pressure of 51.8% versus Sell Pressure of 48.2% — a mild bullish tilt but far from an aggressive one-sided flow.

Recent Price Action

Daily closes climbed steadily from $125.41 to $154.60 across the visible 14-day window, with a brief dip to $119.63 mid-series before an unbroken run of higher closes into the current price at the top of the 91-day range.

This higher-close, higher-low pattern reflects persistent buying interest, but reaching the top of the range increases the odds of either a breakout continuation above $155.58 or a corrective pullback if buyers fail to clear resistance.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$143.39

Major support

$82.61

Immediate resistance

$154.91

Major resistance

$155.58

These levels are derived directly from real swing highs/lows in the 91-day OHLC series. A hold above $143.39 keeps the short-term uptrend structurally intact, while a break of the $154.91-$155.58 resistance band would confirm a new range high; failure there increases the chance of a retest of $143.39 and, in a deeper correction, the $82.61 major support.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

48/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    Daily return volatility of 4.5% and a 91-day range spanning $82.61 to $155.58 (an ~88% swing) indicate meaningful price swings are common for this asset.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total pool liquidity of $78,468 is thin compared to 24h trading volume of roughly $370k, meaning larger trades on this specific venue could experience significant slippage.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Top 10 holders control only 5.4% of supply on an aggregate basis, well below levels typically associated with concentration risk, though per-wallet classification data was not available to verify wallet types.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a governance token tied to a decentralized lending/borrowing protocol, AAVE operates in a segment (DeFi lending) that continues to draw regulatory attention globally, creating an ongoing but not immediate regulatory overhang.

Key Risks

  • Thin pool liquidity ($78,468) relative to trading volume creates elevated slippage risk for sizeable trades on this venue
  • Price is testing immediate/major resistance ($154.91/$155.58) after a rapid 90-day rally of +69.2%, raising the risk of a sharp pullback if buyers fail to sustain momentum
  • No contract-security audit data is available, leaving smart contract risk unverified rather than confirmed safe
  • Market cap and FDV figures reported in the data appear internally inconsistent given a fully circulating supply, warranting independent verification

Mitigating Factors

  • 60.8-month contract age with no signs of a fresh, unproven deployment
  • Low aggregate top-10 holder concentration (5.4%) reduces the risk of a single-wallet-driven sell-off

Investor Suitability

May suit investors already familiar with DeFi lending protocols who are comfortable with medium-term volatility and are prepared to manage execution risk on a relatively thin liquidity pool; less suitable for large position sizes on this specific venue or for risk-averse investors seeking verified contract security data.

AAVE's price action shows a consistent multi-timeframe uptrend (7d +10.6%, 30d +22.0%, 90d +69.2%) that has pushed it to the top of its 91-day range, but thin pool liquidity and proximity to resistance introduce near-term execution and reversal risk. The token's fundamentals benefit from Aave's long operating history and governance utility, though several data gaps (contract security, holder growth, smart money) limit full-picture conviction.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

A confirmed daily close above the $155.58 major resistance triggers a range breakout, extending the existing 90-day uptrend into fresh highs as buy-side volume ($191,943 vs $178,378 sells) continues to lead.

  • Continuation of the established 7d/30d/90d uptrend structure
  • Sustained net buy-volume inflow at the current pace

Base Case

Price consolidates near the top of its range, oscillating between the $143.39 support and $154.91-$155.58 resistance as the market digests recent gains before the next directional move.

  • No major external catalyst breaks the current balance between buy and sell pressure (51.8%/48.2%)
  • Pool liquidity remains near current levels ($78,468), keeping intraday moves choppy

Bear Case

Medium probability

Price is rejected at the $154.91-$155.58 resistance band and retraces toward the $143.39 immediate support or, in a deeper move, the $82.61 major support, amplified by the pool's thin $78,468 liquidity.

  • Failure to clear resistance after a rapid +69.2% 90-day run increases mean-reversion risk
  • Unique sellers (413) outnumbering unique buyers (323) in the last 24h could foreshadow broader distribution

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 25, 2026, 07:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-25 19:17 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$154.591510536

Market Cap

$2.39B

24h Volume

$370.3K

Holders

14,121

Liquidity

$78,468.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, and per-wallet whale-transaction data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Contract-security scan/audit data and smart-money/profitable-trader cohort data were unavailable for this chain
  • Reported Market Cap and Fully Diluted Valuation figures appear internally inconsistent and could not be reconciled with the provided supply data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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