黑鬼

Ansum Price Prediction 2026

黑鬼
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 6, 2026

$0.052477

+0.50%24h
LiveContract:0xfb5d80ff8d34a37941b82e15f808e81e58b94444Chain:BNB ChainHolders:95Market cap:$2.48KLiquidity:$2.39K

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Movement since reportreport from Jul 6, 2026, 03:01 AM UTC
Market Cap

$120.99K

24h Volume

$606.90K

Liquidity

$33.03K

FDV

Holders

244

Security

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

Top acquisition

AI Executive Summary

Ansum (symbol: a racial slur) is a 7-hour-old meme token on BNB Chain launched via the Four.meme launchpad, with a $121K market cap and only $33K in liquidity. The token has experienced an 86% price surge in its first 4 hours, a pattern consistent with coordinated launch pumps rather than organic price discovery. A single insider wallet controls 65% of the total supply via a genesis transfer — not market purchases — representing a critical structural risk. With an unverified contract, no project description, no social links, and a token symbol containing a racial slur, this token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a high-risk speculative launch with potential for rapid value destruction.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranJul 6, 2026, 03:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Extreme insider concentration: a single genesis-allocated wallet holds 65% of all supply with no DEX trading history, creating an unprecedented single-point dump risk.
Token symbol is a racial slur, which is both a reputational liability and a likely barrier to any legitimate exchange listing or community growth.
Launched on Four.meme launchpad just 7 hours ago with no verifiable project fundamentals, social presence, or contract verification.

Ansum Price Prediction

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

Ansum is only 7 hours old and has already surged 86% in 4 hours, placing the current price at just 33% of its 2-day range high of $0.0002665 — a classic pump-and-dump trajectory. The dominant holder controls 65% of supply with no indexed DEX swaps, meaning that position was acquired via transfer at genesis and represents an enormous overhang. With buy/sell pressure nearly balanced at 50.5%/49.5% and sell-side transactions already catching up, the short-term risk is heavily skewed to the downside.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a deployer wallet funded from an unknown source, there is no fundamental basis for sustained medium-term appreciation. The 65% whale holding acquired via genesis transfer — not market buys — creates a structural dump risk that will likely materialize as the token ages. Meme tokens launched on Four.meme with this profile historically collapse within days to weeks absent a viral catalyst.

Bullish Factors
  • +Holder count has grown from 20 to 244 in under 7 hours, showing rapid early adoption and speculative interest.
  • +24-hour buy volume of $306,514 against sell volume of $300,389 shows marginally positive net flow, with 2,797 buy transactions versus 2,317 sells indicating slightly more aggressive buying activity.
  • +Smart money wallets (0x6a900e, 0x674a05, 0xf2de1d, 0xf70da9, 0xd5a868, 0x5789bc) each realized +$117 (+22%) over 5 trades, confirming early traders have found profitable setups.
Bearish Factors
  • -The top holder (0x8d08b8) controls 65% of total supply and acquired it via genesis transfer with zero indexed DEX swaps — this is a pre-allocated insider position representing 650 million tokens that can be dumped at any time.
  • -The contract is unverified (security score 49/100), meaning the code cannot be independently audited and hidden mint, pause, or fee functions may exist.
  • -The token symbol contains a racial slur, which is a severe reputational and regulatory red flag that will deter legitimate exchange listings, partnerships, and mainstream adoption.
  • -Total liquidity is only $33,025 against a $120,993 market cap — a liquidity-to-mcap ratio of ~27%, meaning any moderate sell order will cause severe price impact and slippage.
  • -The deployer wallet (0x757eba15) was first funded from an unknown source, making it impossible to assess whether this is a serial scam deployer or a legitimate project.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

黑鬼 call history

Full track record →
Jul 6bearish
24h-52.3%
7d-82.0%
30d-98.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0xfb5d...4444
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Genesis whale exit risk: The wallet holding 65% of supply (worth ~$77,775 at current prices) acquired its position via transfer at launch with zero trading history. A single sell decision by this wallet would exceed total liquidity and likely reduce the token price by 80%+ in minutes.
Unverified contract with unknown privileged functions: The 49/100 security score and lack of source code verification mean the deployer may be able to mint additional tokens, freeze trading, or extract liquidity at any time without warning.
Coordinated smart money pattern: Six wallets showing identical PnL ($117, +22%, 5 trades each) suggests sybil activity by a coordinated group that has already taken profits and may be preparing to exit remaining positions, removing artificial buy-side support.

Trading Insight

neutral

On-chain transaction data shows near-perfectly balanced buy/sell pressure at 50.5%/49.5%, with buy volume of $306,514 only marginally exceeding sell volume of $300,389 over 24 hours. This near-equilibrium masks the underlying danger: the token is 7 hours old and has already processed over 5,000 transactions, suggesting bot activity or coordinated wash trading rather than genuine organic demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

With only 2 daily OHLC candles available (closes of $0.00008888 and $0.0001197), the short-term trend is technically upward — a 34.7% gain from the first close to the second. However, the current price sits at only 33% of the 2-day range high of $0.0002665, meaning the token has already retraced significantly from its intraday peak. No 7d, 30d, or 90d trend data exists given the token's 7-hour age, making any medium-term trend assessment speculative.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

An 86% surge in 4 hours and a 67.9% gain over 24 hours on a token with only $33K in liquidity indicates severely overbought conditions. The price sitting at 33% of the 2-day range high confirms that momentum has already peaked intraday and is decelerating — the token has pulled back substantially from its high of $0.0002665 to the current $0.0001197.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.5%Sell 49.5%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Volume is extraordinarily high relative to liquidity and market cap for a 7-hour-old token. The 1-hour window shows 634 buys and 530 sells (1,164 transactions), the 4-hour window shows 1,038 buys and 889 sells (1,927 transactions), and the 24-hour window shows 5,114 total — indicating volume is concentrated in recent hours and accelerating. This pattern is typical of a launch pump where bots and early participants churn the same liquidity repeatedly.

Recent Price Action

The token launched at an implied price near $0.00004586 (2-day range low), surged to a high of $0.0002665 within hours, and has since retraced to $0.0001197 — a 55% pullback from the intraday high. The two daily closes ($0.00008888 → $0.0001197) show the token closing above its opening range, but the intraday retracement from $0.0002665 is the dominant price action signal.

This pump-and-partial-retrace pattern is characteristic of launch-day speculation on meme launchpads. The failure to hold near the high of $0.0002665 and the current position at 33% of the range suggests distribution is already occurring, though the dominant 65% whale has not yet moved on-chain.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders244
24h Change+224
Growth Rate+92%

Holder count grew from 20 to 244 — a 92% increase — in the token's first 7 hours, reflecting intense speculative interest at launch. However, this growth is almost entirely composed of swap-acquired positions (239 of 244 holders), indicating traders rather than long-term holders. The trajectory is accelerating but is likely to plateau or reverse sharply once the initial pump phase ends.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders86%
Top 100 Holders99%
Retail Holders1.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

The top 10 holders control 86% of supply, but critically, one single wallet holds 65% via a genesis transfer — not a market purchase. The second-largest holder (13.81%) is a protocol/contract and is not dumpable whale risk. However, the remaining individual whales collectively hold ~9.3% on top of the 65% dominant holder, bringing total dumpable supply to 74.3%. Retail holders own a mere 1% of supply, meaning this token's price is entirely at the mercy of a handful of insider-allocated wallets.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The largest recent on-chain swaps are all sub-$500: wallet 0x46c0f8 executed two consecutive sells of $501 and $474; wallet 0xc6792e sold $348; wallet 0xeb9c1a sold $323. On the buy side, 0xa63ad3 bought $352 and 0x88a687 bought $293. The dominant 65% whale (0x8d08b8) has made no DEX swaps whatsoever.

  • SELL $501 by 0x46c0f8 — the largest single transaction in recent history, followed immediately by another $474 sell from the same wallet, suggesting a single actor systematically reducing exposure.
  • The 65% dominant whale (0x8d08b8) has zero DEX swap history on this token — its 650 million token position remains entirely untraded, representing a latent but existential sell risk.

The observable whale activity in recent trades is dominated by sellers, with the top 4 notable transactions being sells totaling $1,646 versus buys totaling $645. The critical unknown is the 65% genesis whale, whose silence on DEX activity is not reassuring — it simply means the largest potential dump has not yet occurred.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Six tracked smart money wallets (0x6a900e, 0x674a05, 0xf2de1d, 0xf70da9, 0xd5a868, 0x5789bc) each realized exactly +$117 (+22%) over 5 trades — the identical figures across all six wallets is statistically anomalous and may indicate coordinated bot activity or a single operator using multiple wallets.

The uniformity of smart money returns ($117, +22%, 5 trades each across six wallets) is a significant red flag. Genuine independent traders rarely produce identical PnL figures. This pattern suggests these may be sybil wallets operated by the same entity, potentially the deployer or a coordinated pump group. Their collective profit-taking risk is high given the 22% gains already locked in.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$33,025.56
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

With only $33,025 in liquidity against a $120,993 market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 27% — dangerously thin. A sell order of even $3,000–$5,000 (roughly 10–15% of liquidity) would cause severe price impact. Given that the dominant whale holds 650 million tokens worth approximately $77,775 at current prices, any attempt to exit even a fraction of that position would collapse the price. This liquidity profile makes the token effectively illiquid for any holder with a meaningful position.

Overall Risk:
Very High
92/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

The token surged 86% in 4 hours and sits at 33% of its 2-day range high, indicating extreme intraday volatility. With only $33K in liquidity, price swings of 50%+ in either direction can occur on relatively small order sizes.

Liquidity
High

$33,025 in total liquidity against a $120,993 market cap creates a 27% liquidity ratio. The dominant whale's 650M tokens are worth ~$77,775 at current prices — more than double the available liquidity — making an orderly exit for large holders mathematically impossible without catastrophic price impact.

Concentration
High

Dumpable supply is 74.3%, dominated by a single genesis-allocated wallet holding 65% of all tokens. This wallet received its position via transfer at launch — not through market purchases — and has made zero DEX swaps, meaning its exit strategy is entirely unknown. This is the single largest risk factor for the token.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified with a security score of 49/100. Without source code verification, the existence of owner-privileged functions (mint, blacklist, fee manipulation, trading pause) cannot be excluded. The deployer's funding source is unknown, preventing any track record assessment.

Regulatory
High

The token symbol is a racial slur, which creates significant regulatory and platform compliance risk. Exchanges and launchpads may delist or refuse to list the token on content policy grounds. In some jurisdictions, promoting tokens with hate speech symbols may attract regulatory scrutiny.

Key Risks

  • Genesis whale exit risk: The wallet holding 65% of supply (worth ~$77,775 at current prices) acquired its position via transfer at launch with zero trading history. A single sell decision by this wallet would exceed total liquidity and likely reduce the token price by 80%+ in minutes.
  • Unverified contract with unknown privileged functions: The 49/100 security score and lack of source code verification mean the deployer may be able to mint additional tokens, freeze trading, or extract liquidity at any time without warning.
  • Coordinated smart money pattern: Six wallets showing identical PnL ($117, +22%, 5 trades each) suggests sybil activity by a coordinated group that has already taken profits and may be preparing to exit remaining positions, removing artificial buy-side support.

Mitigating Factors

  • The deployer wallet is 461 days old (not a freshly created disposable wallet), which marginally reduces — but does not eliminate — the probability of an immediate rug pull.
  • The second-largest holder (13.81%) is classified as a protocol/contract and is not dumpable whale risk, meaning the effective dumpable concentration, while still critical at 74.3%, is lower than the raw top-10 figure of 86% suggests.

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced speculative traders who fully understand meme token mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, are trading with position sizes small enough to exit before the dominant whale, and have independent means to monitor on-chain activity in real time. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with BNB Chain meme token risks.

Ansum is a high-risk speculative meme token with no fundamentals, an unverified contract, and a single insider wallet controlling 65% of supply via a genesis transfer. The investment thesis is almost entirely dependent on continued speculative momentum in the hours following launch, which is structurally undermined by the dominant whale overhang and the token's offensive symbol limiting organic community growth.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The token gains viral traction on social media despite its offensive symbol, driving a new wave of speculative buyers that pushes price back toward the 2-day high of $0.0002665. The dominant whale chooses to hold or burn its position, and the Four.meme launchpad community sustains trading volume above $100K/day for multiple days.

  • +Viral social media momentum driving new speculative inflows to the Four.meme ecosystem
  • +Dominant whale wallet choosing not to sell, effectively removing 65% of supply from circulation
Base Case

Trading volume gradually declines over the next 24–48 hours as initial launch excitement fades, the price drifts lower toward the 2-day range low of $0.00004586, and holder count stabilizes or declines as short-term traders exit. The token does not achieve viral spread and fades into low-volume obscurity, with the dominant whale position remaining unresolved.

  • The dominant 65% whale does not immediately dump but also does not provide active price support
  • No new viral catalyst emerges to attract a second wave of speculative buyers
Bear Case
High

The dominant 65% genesis whale begins selling into the thin $33K liquidity pool, triggering a cascade of stop-losses and panic selling among the 244 holders. The token price collapses 80–95% from current levels within 24–72 hours, consistent with the typical lifecycle of unverified meme tokens on Four.meme with this concentration profile.

  • -Genesis whale executing even a partial exit into insufficient liquidity, causing irreversible price collapse
  • -Coordinated smart money wallets (six identical-PnL accounts) withdrawing buy-side support after completing their profit-taking cycle

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 6, 2026, 03:01 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp; token is 7 hours old with minimal historical data available
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000119653943904626
Market Cap$121.0K
24h Volume$606.9K
Holders244
Liquidity$33.0K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Trading volume metrics (24h, 4h, 1h windows)
Smart contract security assessment
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis
Smart money realized PnL tracking
Daily OHLC price history (2-day window)

Limitations

  • Only 2 daily OHLC candles are available — no 7d, 30d, or 90d trend data exists, severely limiting technical analysis reliability.
  • The dominant 65% whale's identity, intentions, and relationship to the deployer cannot be confirmed from on-chain data alone.
  • The identical smart money PnL figures across six wallets ($117, +22%, 5 trades each) may indicate data anomalies or sybil activity that cannot be fully resolved without additional investigation.
  • The unverified contract means hidden functions, fee structures, or ownership mechanics may exist that are not reflected in this analysis.

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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