关系蛙

关系蛙 Price Today & AI Analysis

关系蛙BNB ChainAnalysis as of Jul 1, 2026

Price

$0.053485

+5.87% 24h

Contract

Live
0xfab7190e31dc041ddd7213ae15f781a1592a4444

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

155

Market cap

$3.48K

Liquidity

$3.21K

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关系蛙: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-01 00:00 UTC

Holder addresses

407

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$23,727.32
How concentrated is 关系蛙 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 407 addresses (2026-07-01 00:00 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 关系蛙?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 关系蛙 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-01 00:00 UTC, reported liquidity was $23,727.32. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-01 00:00 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Market Cap

$70.97K

24h Volume

$176.64K

Liquidity

$23.73K

FDV

—

Holders

407

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

关系蛙 is a meme token launched on BNB Chain (BSC) approximately 1 hour ago via the Four.meme launchpad, with a market cap of ~$70,969 and $23,727 in liquidity. The token has no verified contract, no project description, and no social media presence, placing it firmly in the speculative micro-cap meme category with minimal verifiable fundamentals. Despite rapid initial holder growth to 407 addresses, the top individual whale positions were all acquired via transfer rather than open-market buys, and every tracked smart money wallet has realized losses, raising serious concerns about insider pre-distribution. The token exhibits classic newly-launched meme token characteristics: extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, and a risk profile appropriate only for highly risk-tolerant speculators.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Launched only 1 hour ago on Four.meme (BNB Chain), making it one of the most nascent tokens possible to analyze
  • All top individual whale positions were acquired via transfer/airdrop rather than market buys, indicating pre-launch insider allocation
  • Deployer wallet (0x757eba15…) is 456 days old with zero prior contract deployments and unknown funding source — an atypical but ambiguous deployer profile

关系蛙 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

At just 1 hour old, 关系蛙 has only 2 daily closes to establish any trend. The price currently sits at 39% of its 2-day range ($0.00004032–$0.0001180), meaning it has already retraced significantly from its intraday high of $0.0001180. The -17.76% drop in the last 5 minutes signals active selling pressure after the initial launch pump.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a deployer wallet funded from an unknown source, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The smart money data shows every tracked profitable trader realized losses of -20%, and all top individual whale positions were acquired via transfer rather than market buys, suggesting insider pre-distribution. Most newly launched meme tokens on BNB Chain with this profile fail to sustain price above launch levels within 30–90 days.

Bullish Factors

  • Holder base grew from 0 to 407 within the first hour, indicating rapid initial community uptake on launch.
  • Buy pressure is marginally dominant at 50.6% of 24h volume ($89,434 buys vs $87,202 sells), showing the market is not yet in net distribution.
  • The 2-day price range low of $0.00004032 is 43% below current price, suggesting the token has already survived an early dip and recovered to a higher close.

Bearish Factors

  • Every tracked smart money wallet realized a -20% loss ($-7 each) across 3 trades, meaning no profitable trader has yet emerged on this token.
  • The contract is unverified, there is no project description, and no social links exist — the token has zero verifiable fundamentals.
  • The top 3 individual whale wallets (2.52%, 2.30%, 2.14% of supply) all acquired their positions via transfer with no DEX swap history, indicating insider pre-distribution before public trading.
  • The deployer wallet (0x757eba15…) was first funded from an unknown source, a disposable-deployer risk pattern common in rug-pull setups.
  • A -17.76% price drop in the last 5 minutes after the initial pump suggests the launch spike is already unwinding.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

关系蛙 call history

Full track record →

Jul 1bearish
24h-86.9%
7d-93.2%
30d-95.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xfab7...4444
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: unverified contract, insider pre-distribution via transfers, unknown deployer funding, and multi-hop genesis transfers collectively represent a high-probability rug pull profile — liquidity could be withdrawn at any time without warning
  • Insider dump risk: the top 3 forensically analyzed whale wallets hold a combined ~7% of supply acquired at zero market cost via transfer; any coordinated sell into the shallow $23,727 liquidity pool would cause catastrophic price collapse
  • Zero fundamentals risk: with no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and no use case, the token has no floor value beyond speculative momentum, which can evaporate instantly in a 1-hour-old token

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading sentiment is nearly perfectly balanced, with buy pressure at 50.6% and sell pressure at 49.4% across 1,648 total transactions in the 24h window. However, the 4h and 1h transaction counts are identical to the 24h figures, confirming the token has only been trading for approximately 1 hour — all activity is concentrated in a single burst since launch. The -17.76% price drop in the last 5 minutes despite balanced aggregate volume suggests a shift toward selling momentum in the most recent activity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

With only 2 daily closes available ($0.00006343 → $0.00007070), the token shows a marginal short-term uptrend from its first to second close. However, the current price sits at only 39% of the 2-day range ($0.00004032–$0.0001180), indicating the token has already experienced significant intraday volatility and is well off its peak. The -17.76% move in the last 5 minutes suggests the short-term uptrend from the daily close perspective may be reversing intraday.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 46.6% price gain recorded across the 1h/4h/24h windows (all identical, reflecting the single launch hour) followed immediately by a -17.76% 5-minute drop is a classic post-launch pump exhaustion pattern. Momentum indicators, if calculable, would likely show overbought conditions given the rapid price appreciation from the period low of $0.00004032 to the high of $0.0001180 within 2 days.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.6%

Sell

49.4%

Volume Trend

Stable

All volume data reflects a single ~1-hour trading window since launch, making trend analysis across time periods impossible. The $176,637 total volume in this window against $23,727 liquidity is a 7.4x volume-to-liquidity ratio, characteristic of launch-day speculative activity. Volume will be the critical metric to watch in hours 2–24 to determine if genuine interest sustains.

Recent Price Action

Launch pump followed by rapid retracement: price spiked to a 2-day high of $0.0001180 before retracing to the current $0.00007070, sitting at 39% of the full range. The most recent 5-minute candle shows a -17.76% drop, indicating active selling into the launch pump.

This pump-and-retrace pattern is extremely common in newly launched meme tokens and typically precedes either a full collapse to near-zero or a consolidation phase before a secondary pump if community momentum sustains. The -17.76% 5-minute move is the most actionable near-term signal.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token has swung from $0.00004032 to $0.0001180 within its first 2 days of existence — a 193% range — and dropped -17.76% in a single 5-minute window. This extreme intraday volatility is characteristic of newly launched micro-cap meme tokens and makes position sizing and risk management extremely difficult.

  • LiquidityHigh

    With only $23,727 in liquidity, any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause meaningful price impact. The 7.4x volume-to-liquidity ratio further indicates the pool is being stressed by current trading activity. Liquidity withdrawal by the provider would be catastrophic for price.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a meme token on BNB Chain with no stated utility, 关系蛙 faces the standard regulatory risks applicable to speculative crypto assets in jurisdictions with evolving digital asset frameworks. No specific regulatory risk beyond the baseline meme token category is identified.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: unverified contract, insider pre-distribution via transfers, unknown deployer funding, and multi-hop genesis transfers collectively represent a high-probability rug pull profile — liquidity could be withdrawn at any time without warning
  • Insider dump risk: the top 3 forensically analyzed whale wallets hold a combined ~7% of supply acquired at zero market cost via transfer; any coordinated sell into the shallow $23,727 liquidity pool would cause catastrophic price collapse
  • Zero fundamentals risk: with no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and no use case, the token has no floor value beyond speculative momentum, which can evaporate instantly in a 1-hour-old token

Mitigating Factors

  • The deployer wallet is 456 days old with no prior contract deployments, which is inconsistent with the profile of a high-frequency serial rug-pull operator
  • The 16.80% top holder is classified as a protocol/contract rather than an individual whale, suggesting some supply may be structurally locked

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who specialize in micro-cap meme token speculation, can afford to lose 100% of any position, and have the technical capability to monitor on-chain activity in real time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with BNB Chain meme token dynamics and rug pull risk patterns.

关系蛙 is a 1-hour-old unverified meme token with insider pre-distribution signals, zero fundamentals, and shallow liquidity. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative, hinging on whether the Chinese-language frog meme concept can generate sufficient viral momentum to sustain and grow the holder base beyond the launch window.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The Chinese-language meme concept gains traction on social media platforms popular in Asian crypto communities, driving a rapid expansion of the holder base well beyond the initial 407 launch holders. Liquidity deepens as more participants enter, and the token achieves a secondary price discovery phase pushing toward the 2-day high of $0.0001180 or beyond.

  • Viral spread of the 关系蛙 meme concept in Chinese-language crypto communities on Telegram or WeChat
  • Sustained buy pressure maintaining the 50%+ buy ratio as new retail participants discover the token

Base Case

The token experiences typical meme token launch decay: initial excitement fades within 24–72 hours, volume drops sharply, and price drifts toward the lower end of the 2-day range ($0.00004032–$0.00007070) as early buyers exit and no new catalysts emerge. The token survives but becomes illiquid and largely inactive.

  • No major social media catalyst emerges to drive a secondary pump
  • Insider wallets sell gradually rather than in a single coordinated dump, allowing price to decline slowly rather than collapse instantly

Bear Case

High probability

Insider wallets that received supply via transfer begin selling into the thin $23,727 liquidity pool within the first 24–48 hours, collapsing the price toward the 2-day low of $0.00004032 or lower. Alternatively, the unverified contract contains a hidden function that allows the deployer to drain liquidity or mint additional supply, resulting in a near-total loss for open-market buyers.

  • Insider whale wallets with zero-cost-basis positions selling into shallow liquidity
  • Unverified contract enabling deployer-controlled liquidity withdrawal or malicious function execution

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-01 00:00 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000070696567076097

Market Cap

$71.0K

24h Volume

$176.6K

Holders

407

Liquidity

$23,727.32

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)Trading volume metrics (DEX aggregator)Token genesis and deployer wallet forensicsWhale wallet behavioral analysisSmart money realized PnL tracking

Limitations

  • Only 2 daily OHLC closes are available, making technical trend analysis statistically unreliable — all price history reflects a single launch-day event
  • The unverified contract means smart contract risk cannot be fully assessed without source code review
  • All 24h, 4h, and 1h transaction windows are identical, confirming the token has only been trading for ~1 hour — time-series comparisons across these windows are meaningless
  • Deployer wallet funding source is unknown, preventing full assessment of deployer intent and history

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Questions about 关系蛙?