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永生果蝇 Price Today & AI Analysis

果蝇
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 15, 2026

$0.0487

+194919.48%24h
LiveContract:0xf70f116f50b69c99df772c068c6e84113a667777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:12Market cap:$48.71MLiquidity:$695.12K

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Ask Unhosted AI about 果蝇

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 15, 2026, 02:15 PM UTC
Market Cap

$48.71M

24h Volume

$58.93M

Liquidity

$695.12K

FDV

—

Holders

12

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

永生果蝇 (果蝇) is a BNB Chain token launched roughly 5 hours ago on PancakeSwap, already carrying a $48.7M market cap and FDV built entirely on a fully circulating 1,000,000,000 token supply. Trading has been extremely volatile, with a +131.99% 4-hour rally followed by an -8.26% 1-hour and -37.29% 5-minute reversal, while $695,117 in liquidity and $58.9M in combined 24h buy/sell volume support very high turnover for a token this young. Only 12 wallets hold the entire supply (top 10 holding 78.6%), and no project description, social links, or security data are available, making this a purely speculative, high-risk instrument at this stage.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 15, 2026, 02:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Launched only 5 hours ago yet already shows $58.9M in combined 24h trading volume against a $48.7M market cap
Only 12 total holders control 100% of supply despite thousands of unique daily buyers and sellers, an unusual churn pattern
No project description, category, or social presence of any kind is provided

永生果蝇 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

After surging +131.99% over the prior 4 hours, price has reversed sharply, falling -8.26% in the last hour and -37.29% in the last 5 minutes. This blow-off-top-and-crash pattern, occurring on a token only 5 hours old, points to fading speculative momentum rather than sustainable strength.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With no 7d/30d/90d OHLC history to assess (the token launched 5 hours ago), the medium-term case rests on structural red flags: extreme holder concentration (12 holders, 78.6% in the top 10) and a huge gap between 24h unique traders (2,851 buyers / 2,855 sellers) and current holder count, implying most buyers have already exited. Absent a durable catalyst, this favors continued distribution over accumulation.

Bullish Factors
  • +24h buy volume ($29.8M) slightly exceeds sell volume ($29.1M), a 50.6%/49.4% split showing demand has not collapsed at the aggregate level
  • +Liquidity of $695,117 on PancakeSwap is non-trivial for a token launched only 5 hours ago
  • +The token posted a +131.99% gain over the trailing 4-hour window, showing recent capacity for sharp upside moves
Bearish Factors
  • -Price fell -37.29% in the last 5 minutes and -8.26% in the last hour, reversing the earlier 4h rally
  • -Top 10 holders control 78.6% of supply among just 12 total holders, a critical concentration for a $48.7M market-cap token
  • -24h unique buyers (2,851) and sellers (2,855) vastly exceed the 12 current holders, indicating almost all traders who bought have already sold out
  • -The token has no price history beyond intraday windows, description, or social presence, offering no fundamental support for the current valuation

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

果蝇 call history

Full track record →
Sep 15bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0xf70f...7777
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Only 12 total holders control the entire supply, with the top 10 holding 78.6%; no per-wallet data exists to rule out coordinated selling by these few wallets.
•The token is 5 hours old with only intraday price data available, making any trend assessment highly provisional.
•24h unique buyers (2,851) and sellers (2,855) vastly exceed the 12 current holders, implying most participants who bought have already exited — a sign of rapid churn rather than accumulation.
•No contract-security, audit, or verification data is available on this chain, so mint authority, ownership, or honeypot risks cannot be ruled out.

Trading Insight

neutral

24h buy and sell volumes are nearly identical ($29.8M vs $29.1M, a 50.6%/49.4% split) and transaction counts are similarly balanced (2,838 buys vs 2,821 sells), indicating no strong one-sided aggregate pressure over the full day. However, this balance masks a sharp intraday reversal, with the most recent hour and 5-minute windows showing steep declines.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The shortest windows (1h: -8.26%, 5m: -37.29%) show a clear downtrend as the token reverses sharply, while the 4h window (+131.99%) is still net positive, reflecting the earlier pump before the reversal took hold. No 7d/30d/90d OHLC data exists given the token's 5-hour age, so 'medium-term' here is only a proxy from the 4h window and should be treated with caution.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

The +131.99% 4-hour rally followed immediately by an -8.26% 1-hour and -37.29% 5-minute drop is a classic blow-off-top signature: momentum extended too far too fast and is now unwinding, which typically favors further downside or choppy consolidation rather than an immediate resumption of gains.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.6%Sell 49.4%

Volume Trend: Increasing

24h transaction counts (2,838 buys / 2,821 sells) and volume ($29.8M/$29.1M) are extremely large relative to the token's 5-hour existence and $48.7M market cap, indicating rapid, high-intensity trading activity since launch rather than a gradual volume ramp.

Recent Price Action

A parabolic +131.99% run over 4 hours was followed by a -8.26% pullback over the last hour and a -37.29% flash decline in the last 5 minutes — a sharp reversal immediately after a strong upward move.

This pattern typically signals exhausted buying pressure and the onset of profit-taking or panic selling, and on newly launched, thinly held tokens it often precedes further volatility or a deeper drawdown rather than a quick recovery.

Overall Risk:
Very High
90/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Price swung +131.99% over 4 hours before reversing -8.26% in the last hour and -37.29% in the last 5 minutes, reflecting extreme, rapid price swings typical of a freshly launched speculative token.

Liquidity
Medium

Liquidity of $695,117 is modest relative to the $48.7M market cap/FDV and the $58.9M in combined 24h trading volume, meaning larger orders can move price significantly despite the high trading activity observed.

Concentration
High

Only 12 wallets hold the entire supply, with the top 10 controlling 78.6%. Per-wallet identity/classification data is unavailable, but this aggregate concentration alone represents a critical dumpable-supply risk for a token this young.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data (verification status, mint/ownership functions, honeypot checks) is available for this token on this chain from the current data provider; this rating is an uninformed default rather than a verified assessment.

Regulatory
Medium

As an unregistered, anonymously-described token traded on a decentralized exchange, it carries the generic regulatory uncertainty common to meme-style DEX-listed tokens, though no specific regulatory action is known at this time.

Key Risks

  • •Only 12 total holders control the entire supply, with the top 10 holding 78.6%; no per-wallet data exists to rule out coordinated selling by these few wallets.
  • •The token is 5 hours old with only intraday price data available, making any trend assessment highly provisional.
  • •24h unique buyers (2,851) and sellers (2,855) vastly exceed the 12 current holders, implying most participants who bought have already exited — a sign of rapid churn rather than accumulation.
  • •No contract-security, audit, or verification data is available on this chain, so mint authority, ownership, or honeypot risks cannot be ruled out.
  • •No project description, use case, category, or social presence is provided, offering no fundamental basis for the current $48.7M valuation.

Mitigating Factors

  • •Liquidity of $695,117 on PancakeSwap provides some tradeable depth for a token this new.
  • •24h buy and sell volumes are closely balanced (50.6%/49.4%), showing no extreme one-sided aggregate dumping over the observed period.

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, short-term speculative traders who can accept the possibility of total capital loss; unsuitable for investors seeking fundamentals-based, long-term, or lower-risk exposure.

果蝇 is a 5-hour-old speculative token on BNB Chain with no disclosed fundamentals, critical holder concentration, and a sharp intraday pump-and-reversal pattern. Any exposure here is a short-term bet on continued speculative trading momentum rather than an investment in an underlying project or product.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Renewed viral or meme-driven attention on PancakeSwap could attract fresh speculative buyers and reproduce the kind of rapid upside seen in the +131.99% 4-hour move already observed.

  • +A fresh wave of retail speculative inflows driven by social/meme virality
  • +Balanced 24h buy/sell volume (50.6%/49.4%) shows aggregate demand has not fully collapsed
Base Case

Price likely remains highly volatile with continued high churn as remaining holders and new speculators trade around post-pump levels; absent any fundamental catalyst (description, audit, community), sustained appreciation is unlikely.

  • •No new fundamental information (project details, audit, social presence) emerges to alter the purely speculative narrative
  • •Liquidity remains near the current $695,117 level, limiting the market's ability to absorb large sell orders without material price impact
Bear Case
High

The blow-off-top pattern (+131.99% over 4h, then -8.26% over 1h and -37.29% over 5 minutes) continues to unwind as concentrated holders and short-term traders exit, particularly given that only 12 wallets control the entire supply.

  • -Critical concentration risk from 78.6% of supply held by the top 10 of only 12 holders
  • -Extreme trader churn evidenced by thousands of unique 24h buyers/sellers against just 12 current holders

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 15, 2026, 02:15 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.0487348071698
Market Cap$48.71M
24h Volume$58.93M
Holders12
Liquidity$695.1K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • •The token is only 5 hours old, so no meaningful 7d/30d/90d OHLC trend data exists
  • •No OHLC-derived support/resistance levels could be computed for this token

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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