Mai

Mai Price Today & AI Analysis

Mai
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 19, 2026

$0.056987

+25.79%24h
LiveContract:0xed254a57b6a262c7a8f1bb806dfa01ca7e32ffffChain:BNB ChainHolders:307Market cap:$6.99KLiquidity:$4.41K

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Ask Unhosted AI about Mai

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 19, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC
Market Cap

$67.56K

24h Volume

$509.58K

Liquidity

$24.49K

FDV

—

Holders

497

Security

—

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Mai (MAI) is a BNB Chain token that is exactly 1 hour old, launched at 00:27 UTC on 2026-07-19 with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a market cap of approximately $67,555. The token has generated notable first-hour trading activity — over 4,400 combined transactions and $509k in volume — but exhibits multiple high-severity risk flags: an unverified contract, no project description or social presence, a 34-day-old deployer wallet with no prior deployments and unknown funding, and 30.1% of supply in zero-cost-basis whale wallets acquired via transfer. The 34% price spike visible across all time windows reflects only the first hour of trading and has not been validated by any sustained price history. Investors should treat this as an extremely high-risk, speculative micro-cap with characteristics consistent with a launch-and-dump structure.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 19, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Exceptionally high first-hour trading velocity (2,362 buys, 659 unique buyers) relative to its $67k market cap, suggesting coordinated or viral initial interest
All top whale positions were acquired via transfer at zero market cost, creating asymmetric sell-side pressure with no downside for early recipients
Deployer wallet age of 34 days with zero prior deployments and unknown funding source is a forensic red flag distinguishing this from organic project launches

Mai AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

Mai is only 1 hour old, launched at $0.000068 with a 34% price spike already baked in across the 1h/4h/24h windows — all of which reflect the same single hour of trading. This kind of vertical launch move on a sub-$25k liquidity pool with no verified contract and no project description is a classic pump setup that historically resolves sharply to the downside once early recipients begin distributing. With 30.1% of supply held by dumpable individual whale wallets and all top whales having received their positions via transfer rather than market buys, sell pressure is structurally elevated.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Without a verified contract, project description, social presence, or any demonstrated utility, Mai has no fundamental anchor to sustain price over a 30–90 day horizon. The deployer wallet is only 34 days old with zero prior contract deployments and an unknown funding source — a disposable-deployer pattern that elevates rug-pull risk materially. Survival into the medium term depends entirely on whether organic community adoption emerges, which is speculative given the current evidence.

Bullish Factors
  • +Strong initial trading velocity: 2,362 buy transactions and 659 unique buyers within the first hour of launch, indicating genuine early-market interest rather than a single-wallet pump.
  • +Near-perfectly balanced buy/sell pressure at 50.2% buys vs. 49.8% sells across $509k combined 24h volume suggests the market is not in a one-sided distribution phase yet.
  • +Holder count reached 497 within 1 hour entirely through swap acquisition (496 of 497 holders), meaning participants are actively choosing to buy rather than receiving free airdrops.
Bearish Factors
  • -The entire 34% price gain occurred within the token's first hour of existence — there is no sustained uptrend, only a launch spike that has not been tested by any meaningful time or selling pressure.
  • -30.1% of supply sits in dumpable individual whale wallets, all of which received their positions via transfer (not market buys), meaning they have zero cost basis and can sell at any price for pure profit.
  • -The deployer wallet (0xfc9b9a6e) is only 34 days old, has zero prior contract deployments, and was funded from an unknown source — a textbook disposable-deployer pattern associated with elevated exit-scam risk.
  • -The contract is unverified, there is no project description, no social links, and no category classification — the token has no publicly auditable code and no stated purpose.
  • -Total liquidity is only $24,493, meaning even modest sell orders from whale wallets holding 2–3% of supply each would cause severe price impact and slippage.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Mai call history

Full track record →
Jul 19bearish
24h-66.5%
7d-90.2%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0xed25...ffff
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Exit scam / rug pull risk: The unverified contract, disposable deployer wallet (34 days old, zero prior deployments, unknown funding), and zero-cost-basis insider allocations collectively create a high-probability rug-pull profile. Liquidity could be withdrawn or the contract could be exploited at any time.
•Insider dump risk: Nine individual whale wallets collectively hold ~22% of supply (plus the 30.1% total dumpable figure), all received via transfer at zero cost. Even a partial sell from one wallet would cause severe price impact on $24.5k of liquidity.
•Wash-trading / artificial volume: The 20:1 volume-to-liquidity ratio and identical transaction counts across all time windows suggest bot-driven or wash-traded volume that may be artificially inflating apparent market activity and attracting retail buyers under false pretenses.

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy and sell pressure are nearly identical at 50.2% and 49.8% respectively, producing a sentimentScore near zero — the market is in a tug-of-war between early buyers and zero-cost-basis whale sellers. The high transaction count (4,477 total in the first hour) relative to the tiny liquidity pool signals intense speculative activity, not organic utility-driven demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The short-term trend is technically an uptrend given the 34% price appreciation since launch, but this reflects only 1 hour of price history and is therefore not a reliable trend signal — it is a launch spike. No medium-term OHLC data exists to establish a directional trend beyond the initial hour, so medium-term is classified as sideways by default. The absence of any price history prior to today means all technical trend analysis is provisional at best.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 34% gain within the first hour of a token's existence on $24.5k of liquidity is a momentum extreme. Without RSI or MACD data (no OHLC history), overbought classification is based on the magnitude of the launch spike relative to the liquidity depth — a move of this size on this liquidity base implies the price is stretched well above any sustainable equilibrium level.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.2%Sell 49.8%

Volume Trend: Stable

All volume metrics are identical across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows because the token has only been trading for 1 hour. The $509k gross volume is extraordinary relative to the $24.5k liquidity pool and $67.5k market cap, suggesting bot-driven or wash-traded volume rather than genuine organic demand. Volume trend cannot be assessed without multi-period data.

Recent Price Action

Vertical launch spike of 34% within the first hour from an initial listing price, with the 5-minute window showing an additional 22.7% move, suggesting the price is still in active discovery mode.

Launch spikes of this magnitude on micro-liquidity pools are frequently followed by sharp reversals once initial buying momentum exhausts and zero-cost-basis holders begin selling. The 5-minute acceleration to 22.7% within the broader 34% hourly move suggests the pump may still be in progress.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders497
24h Change+497
Growth Rate+100%

All 497 holders joined within the token's first hour of existence, so the 100% growth figures reflect the launch event rather than organic adoption over time. The holder trajectory data confirms growth from 0 to 879 net over 31 days, but since the token is only 1 hour old, this projection is forward-looking and unvalidated. The current 497-holder base is a reasonable first-hour figure but provides no signal about retention or long-term community formation.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders40%
Top 100 Holders89%
Retail Holders11.0%
Concentration Risk:
High

While the top-10 concentration of 40% includes a 17.91% protocol/contract position that is not a sell risk, the remaining ~22% in individual whale hands — all with zero cost basis — constitutes genuine concentration risk. The top-100 controlling 89% of supply with only 11% in retail hands means the vast majority of circulating supply is held by a small number of wallets that can coordinate or independently trigger cascading sell pressure. Dumpable supply of 30.1% is the operative risk figure.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The six largest on-chain swaps recorded are all sub-$330 in size (largest: $328 buy by 0xc55b2c, $326 sell by 0x8cc98e, $260 sell by 0x433707), indicating that even the largest individual trades are tiny relative to the $509k gross volume — consistent with high-frequency bot activity rather than large whale block trades. No whale wallet has yet executed a large liquidation event.

  • •Largest buy: $328 by 0xc55b2c — a modest position relative to the token's market cap, suggesting no single large buyer is driving price.
  • •Largest sell: $326 by 0x8cc98e — near-symmetrical to the largest buy, reinforcing the wash-trade hypothesis given the volume-to-liquidity ratio.

The absence of large block trades from the known whale wallets (0x000461 at 3.71%, 0x1c353a at 3.25%, 0x1f7dcd at 2.52%) suggests these insiders have not yet begun distributing. This is the primary near-term risk: when — not if — these zero-cost-basis wallets begin selling, even partial liquidations will cause significant price impact on $24.5k of liquidity.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token. No profitable-trader cohort data has been indexed for Mai.

Smart-money data is unavailable. Profit-taking risk is rated high not from smart-money signals but from the structural fact that all top whale positions were received via transfer at zero cost — every dollar of current price represents pure unrealized profit for these wallets, creating maximum incentive to sell.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$24,493
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $24,493 total liquidity, this pool is extremely shallow. A whale selling even 1% of supply (~10 million tokens) would represent a position worth approximately $684 at current prices — small in dollar terms but capable of moving price significantly on this liquidity base. The 20:1 volume-to-liquidity ratio observed in the first hour confirms that the pool is being heavily stressed, and any sustained sell pressure from the 30.1% dumpable supply would rapidly deplete liquidity and collapse the price.

Overall Risk:
Very High
92/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 34% price move within the first hour on $24.5k of liquidity demonstrates extreme volatility. With no price history, no liquidity depth, and active insider wallets holding zero-cost-basis positions, downside volatility risk is severe.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $24,493 is critically shallow for a token with $509k in hourly volume. Large sell orders from any of the top whale wallets would cause immediate and severe price impact, and liquidity providers could withdraw at any time given the unverified contract.

Concentration
High

30.1% of supply is held by dumpable individual whale wallets, all with zero cost basis acquired via transfer. The top-100 holders control 89% of supply, leaving only 11% with retail. This is a structurally dangerous distribution for any buyer at current prices.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified with no published source code. The deployer is a 34-day-old wallet with no prior deployments and unknown funding — a disposable-deployer pattern. Without code verification, hidden mint, pause, or fee functions cannot be ruled out.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized, undisclosed-purpose token on BNB Chain with no KYC'd team or legal entity, Mai faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to anonymous micro-cap tokens. No specific regulatory action is indicated, but the lack of transparency increases jurisdictional risk for holders.

Key Risks

  • •Exit scam / rug pull risk: The unverified contract, disposable deployer wallet (34 days old, zero prior deployments, unknown funding), and zero-cost-basis insider allocations collectively create a high-probability rug-pull profile. Liquidity could be withdrawn or the contract could be exploited at any time.
  • •Insider dump risk: Nine individual whale wallets collectively hold ~22% of supply (plus the 30.1% total dumpable figure), all received via transfer at zero cost. Even a partial sell from one wallet would cause severe price impact on $24.5k of liquidity.
  • •Wash-trading / artificial volume: The 20:1 volume-to-liquidity ratio and identical transaction counts across all time windows suggest bot-driven or wash-traded volume that may be artificially inflating apparent market activity and attracting retail buyers under false pretenses.

Mitigating Factors

  • •The largest single holder (17.91%) is a protocol/contract rather than an individual wallet, meaning the most concentrated position is not immediately dumpable.
  • •Near-balanced buy/sell pressure (50.2% vs. 49.8%) and 659 unique buyers suggest some genuine distributed retail interest rather than a purely one-sided pump.

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who fully understand the risks of unverified, sub-$100k market cap tokens launched within the past hour, can afford to lose 100% of any capital deployed, and are actively monitoring positions in real time. It is not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone unfamiliar with DEX trading mechanics and rug-pull patterns.

Mai presents a high-risk speculative opportunity with no fundamental basis for valuation — its investment case rests entirely on momentum continuation from the launch spike, which is undermined by structural insider sell pressure, an unverified contract, and a disposable-deployer profile. The bear case is significantly more probable than the bull case given the forensic evidence.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The token achieves viral community adoption, the deployer publishes a verified contract with a credible use case, and the 659 initial buyers grow into a sustained community that absorbs insider sell pressure — allowing price to consolidate above the launch level and potentially 2–5x from current prices.

  • +Sustained retail buying pressure from community growth beyond the initial 497 holders
  • +Contract verification and project disclosure that establishes legitimate utility and reduces rug-pull perception
Base Case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 40–60% from the launch spike as initial excitement fades and some insider wallets take profits, stabilizing at a lower price level with reduced volume and a smaller but retained holder base — surviving but not growing meaningfully without a catalyst.

  • •No immediate rug pull or full liquidity withdrawal by the deployer
  • •Insider wallets sell gradually rather than in a single coordinated dump, allowing partial price discovery
Bear Case
High

One or more zero-cost-basis whale wallets begin selling into the thin $24.5k liquidity pool, triggering a cascade of stop-losses and panic sells that collapses the price by 70–95% from current levels within 24–72 hours — a pattern consistent with the deployer profile and insider allocation structure observed.

  • -Zero-cost-basis insider wallets (30.1% dumpable supply) have maximum incentive to sell at any price above zero
  • -Unverified contract allows deployer to execute hidden functions (liquidity removal, minting, or fee manipulation) without warning

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 19, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data — all metrics reflect the token's first hour of existence (launched 2026-07-19T00:27:13Z)
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000068383210623532
Market Cap$67.6K
24h Volume$509.6K
Holders497
Liquidity$24.5K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Trading volume metrics (DEX aggregator)
Smart contract deployment forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis
Token genesis transfer trace

Limitations

  • •The token is only 1 hour old — there is no OHLC price history, no multi-period trend data, and no established support/resistance levels, making all technical analysis provisional.
  • •Smart-money and profitable-trader cohort data is unavailable, removing a key signal for assessing informed capital flows.
  • •The unverified contract means on-chain mechanics (fees, mint functions, blacklists) cannot be assessed, introducing unknown smart contract risk that cannot be quantified.
  • •Volume figures may be significantly inflated by bot or wash-trading activity, making volume-based sentiment signals unreliable.

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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