蝴蝶中秋

蝴蝶中秋 Price Today & AI Analysis

蝴蝶中秋BNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 23, 2026

Price

$0.000141

+44.31% 24h

Contract

Live
0xe5f69232e5312dff8b3f0f82cf2bdfe80a517777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

577

Market cap

$82.50K

Liquidity

$18.96K

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蝴蝶中秋: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-23 14:01 UTC

Holder addresses

577

Top 10 supply share

7.83%

Reported liquidity

$18,963.00
How concentrated is 蝴蝶中秋 ownership?
As of 2026-09-23 14:01 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 7.83% of supply. It reports 577 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling 蝴蝶中秋?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 14:01 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $88,824.00 in buys and $82,248.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 蝴蝶中秋 liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -10.61%, from $21,255.42 (2026-09-23 12:00 UTC) to $19,000.28 (2026-09-23 14:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-23 14:01 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-23 12:00 UTC$21,255.42
2026-09-23 13:00 UTC$18,996.39
2026-09-23 14:00 UTC$19,000.28

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 23, 2026, 02:01 PM UTC

Market Cap

$82.50K

24h Volume

$171.07K

Liquidity

$18.96K

FDV

—

Holders

577

24h

Loading trading activity…

Ask Unhosted AI about 蝴蝶中秋

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bullish

蝴蝶中秋 (Butterfly Mid-Autumn) is a Mid-Autumn Festival-themed meme token launched on Binance Smart Chain via the 'flap.sh' platform approximately 2 hours ago, trading on PancakeSwap with a market cap of $82,502 and just $18,963 in liquidity. Price has swung sharply since launch (+44.3% since inception, but -19.8% within the most recent hour), reflecting the extreme volatility typical of brand-new meme-token launches. The project's own description details a 3% transaction tax split between a treasury, holder dividends, and burns, but these mechanics are self-reported and cannot be verified from available on-chain data. With no security audit, no OHLC history, and only 577 holders, this token carries very high speculative risk.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 23, 2026, 02:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Mid-Autumn Festival cultural theming distinguishes it narratively from generic meme tokens
  • Launched via the flap.sh token-launch platform, which the project's marketing claims provides ecosystem support
  • Self-described 3% tax mechanic splitting proceeds between a treasury, holder dividends, and token burns — unverified from available data

蝴蝶中秋 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

Price is up +44.3% since the token's deployment roughly 2 hours ago (the 4h and 24h windows are identical because the token has no longer trading history), but the most recent 1-hour window shows a sharp -19.8% reversal, with only a small +5.45% bounce in the last 5 minutes. This whipsaw pattern — pump followed by a fast retrace — points to fading near-term momentum as early buyers take profit.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Freshly launched, thinly-liquid meme tokens like this one typically see volume and price decay once initial launch hype fades, and the token has already shown a sharp intra-hour reversal within its first two hours of existence. Absent a sustained external catalyst, the base case leans toward continued volatility and gradual liquidity/interest erosion.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy transactions (1,519) outnumber sell transactions (780) by roughly 2-to-1 over the token's entire trading history so far
  • Buy volume ($88,824) modestly exceeds sell volume ($82,248), a net inflow of about $6,576
  • Aggregate top-10 holder concentration is a comparatively low 7.8% of total supply

Bearish Factors

  • Price reversed -19.8% in the most recent hour immediately after a +44.3% launch pump, signaling fading momentum
  • Total liquidity of just $18,963 against an $82,502 market cap and ~$171,000 in 24h volume creates high slippage and drain risk
  • Token is only 2 hours old with no track record, no security audit data, and self-reported tax/treasury mechanics that cannot be independently verified

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

蝴蝶中秋 call history

Full track record →

Sep 23bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xe5f6...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Token is only 2 hours old with no established trading history or track record
  • Thin liquidity ($18,963) relative to market cap ($82,502) creates significant slippage and drain/rug risk
  • Tax mechanics route 77% of collected tax into a project-controlled treasury whose control and withdrawal rights cannot be verified from available data
  • No contract-security audit or verification data is available on this chain

Trading Insight

bullish

Buy-side activity currently edges out sell-side activity, with buy pressure at 51.9% of volume versus 48.1% sell pressure, and buy transactions nearly doubling sell transactions (1,519 vs 780). However, dollar volumes are nearly balanced, and the sharp 1-hour price reversal suggests this buy-transaction dominance has not translated into sustained upward price pressure.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The most recent hour shows a sharp -19.8% decline immediately following the token's initial +44.3% launch pump (which equals the 24h and 4h figures since the token is only 2 hours old). With no daily OHLC history to establish a longer trend, the medium-term picture is best described as unresolved/sideways within an extremely volatile launch window.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

The rapid +44.3% launch pump followed almost immediately by a -19.8% one-hour pullback is consistent with an overbought condition unwinding, a common pattern as early buyers and snipers take profit shortly after a meme-token debut.

Volume Analysis

Buy

51.9%

Sell

48.1%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Combined 24h volume of roughly $171,000 against only $18,963 in liquidity represents a turnover ratio near 9x, indicating unusually high trading intensity relative to pool depth — typical of first-hours meme-token speculation rather than organic, sustained demand.

Recent Price Action

A sharp +44.3% pump since launch, followed by a -19.8% pullback in the most recent hour, and a small +5.45% bounce in the last 5 minutes — a classic pump-and-partial-retrace pattern typical of freshly launched meme tokens.

This pattern often reflects early speculative trading and profit-taking rather than sustained demand, and such reversals frequently precede further downside as short-term traders exit their positions.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

90/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token swung +44.3% since launch and then -19.8% within a single hour, demonstrating extreme volatility typical of brand-new meme tokens with thin liquidity.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $18,963 against an $82,502 market cap and ~$171,000 in 24h volume means large trades can cause significant slippage, and the pool could be drained or withdrawn relatively easily.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Aggregate data shows the top 10 holders control 7.8% of supply, a comparatively low concentration figure, though per-wallet labels and dumpable-supply classification are unavailable, limiting the depth of this assessment.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryLow

    As a meme token with no disclosed formal entity or jurisdiction, it carries the general regulatory uncertainty common to the asset class, though no specific regulatory action against it is known.

Key Risks

  • Token is only 2 hours old with no established trading history or track record
  • Thin liquidity ($18,963) relative to market cap ($82,502) creates significant slippage and drain/rug risk
  • Tax mechanics route 77% of collected tax into a project-controlled treasury whose control and withdrawal rights cannot be verified from available data
  • No contract-security audit or verification data is available on this chain
  • Extreme short-term volatility (+44.3% then -19.8% within hours) typical of high-risk speculative meme launches

Mitigating Factors

  • Top 10 holder concentration is a relatively low 7.8% of supply based on available aggregate data
  • Two-way trading (buys and sells) is functioning without evidence of a sell-blocking mechanism in the observed transaction data

Investor Suitability

Only suitable for highly speculative traders with a strong risk tolerance who can accept the possibility of total capital loss; not suitable for risk-averse or long-term investors given the token's 2-hour age, thin liquidity, and unverifiable tokenomics claims.

This is an extremely early-stage, high-risk meme token themed around the Mid-Autumn Festival, trading on PancakeSwap with only $18,963 in liquidity two hours after launch. Any thesis is purely speculative given the near-total absence of track record, audit, and forensic data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If community and social momentum (Twitter/Telegram) build around the Mid-Autumn Festival theme and the flap.sh platform drives cross-promotion, continued buy-transaction dominance (currently 51.9% of volume) could support further short-term price appreciation.

  • Sustained buy-transaction dominance (1,519 buys vs 780 sells so far)
  • Viral social/marketing push tied to the Mid-Autumn Festival cultural moment

Base Case

Most likely the token follows the typical trajectory of freshly launched, thinly-liquid meme tokens: sharp initial price swings followed by declining volume and liquidity as speculative interest fades, absent a strong sustained community catalyst.

  • No independent audit or security verification emerges
  • Liquidity remains near current thin levels (~$18,963) without meaningful growth

Bear Case

High probability

Given the sharp -19.8% one-hour reversal after the initial pump, thin liquidity, and unverified tax/treasury mechanics, the token could see rapid capital flight as early buyers take profit, especially if treasury-controlled funds are moved or liquidity is withdrawn.

  • Thin $18,963 liquidity pool vulnerable to large sell orders or liquidity removal
  • Unverified control over the 77% treasury allocation from tax revenue
  • Typical meme-token lifecycle of rapid pump followed by sustained decline

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 23, 2026, 02:01 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-23 14:01 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000141112581552

Market Cap

$82.5K

24h Volume

$171.1K

Holders

577

Liquidity

$18,963.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, and contract-security/audit data were unavailable for this analysis
  • No daily OHLC price history was available, so technical support/resistance levels could not be computed
  • Token is only 2 hours old, providing an extremely limited sample of trading history for trend analysis
  • Smart-money/profitable-trader cohort data was not available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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