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买支付宝分红阿里巴巴股票1103894643 Price Today & AI Analysis

支付宝BNB ChainAnalysis as of Aug 12, 2026

Price

$0.056142

-22.89% 24h

Contract

Live
0xe4ad6d996d5b61b5734afa20c19444b596787777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

4.1K

Market cap

$6.14K

Liquidity

$3.50K

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买支付宝分红阿里巴巴股票1103894643: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-12 20:30 UTC

Holder addresses

1,362

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is 买支付宝分红阿里巴巴股票1103894643 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,362 addresses (2026-08-12 20:30 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 买支付宝分红阿里巴巴股票1103894643?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 买支付宝分红阿里巴巴股票1103894643 liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-12 20:30 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 12, 2026, 08:30 PM UTC

Market Cap

$245.64K

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

1,362

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

This is a 2-day-old, uncategorized BNB Chain token with a $245,636 market cap, no project description, no social presence, and an unverified smart contract scoring 36/100 on security. It launched on August 10, 2026, attracted 1,362 holders rapidly — entirely within its 2-day lifespan — but every tracked active trader has suffered near-total realized losses. The deployer profile and insider whale allocations raise significant rug-risk flags that materially overshadow the strong initial holder growth. Without a verified contract, disclosed use case, or any profitable market participant, this token carries very high risk and should be approached with extreme caution.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 12, 2026, 08:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Exceptionally rapid holder acquisition — 1,362 holders in 2 days — with 85% via swap, suggesting aggressive marketing or bot-driven distribution
  • Zero profitable smart-money traders recorded across all tracked wallets, an unusually uniform loss signal
  • Deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet with no prior deployment history, matching a disposable-deployer pattern

买支付宝分红阿里巴巴股票1103894643 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

With only 2 days of price history, the token has already declined from $127.46 to $124.79, sitting at just 16% of its 2-day range ($123.80–$129.90). Every tracked 'smart money' trader has realized losses of -99% to -100%, signaling that active traders are being destroyed on this token. The combination of a declining close, zero verified smart-money profit, and an unverified contract creates a structurally bearish short-term picture.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The token has no 7d, 30d, or 90d trend data to draw on, and its entire holder base was acquired within the last 2 days — 100% of holders joined in the token's lifetime. Without an established community, verified contract, project description, or any profitable smart-money participation, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Sustained price appreciation would require organic demand that is not yet evidenced in any on-chain metric.

Bullish Factors

  • Rapid holder growth of 983 new holders (+72%) in the last 24 hours indicates strong initial market interest and broad distribution momentum
  • Dumpable supply is relatively contained at 15.2%, with the two largest holders being protocol/contract addresses (9.22% and 2.90%) that are not dumpable whale risk
  • The majority of holders (1,161 of 1,362) acquired their positions via swap rather than airdrop or transfer, suggesting genuine market-driven demand rather than manufactured distribution

Bearish Factors

  • Every single tracked smart-money trader has realized -99% to -100% losses across 7–76 trades each, meaning no profitable participant exists in the recorded trading history
  • The contract is unverified and the security score is a critically low 36/100, indicating unaudited code with unknown risks that could include hidden mint or rug functions
  • Two of the top individual whale wallets (1.71% and 1.38% of supply) received their positions via transfer or airdrop — not market buys — and both wallets were first active in mid-2026, consistent with insider or sybil allocation patterns
  • The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet (0x4deaae93…) and made zero contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, fitting a disposable-deployer profile with elevated rug risk
  • Price has already declined from the opening close of $127.46 to $124.79, sitting near the bottom 16% of the 2-day range, reflecting early selling pressure

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xe4ad...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Unverified smart contract with a 36/100 security score — the source code cannot be audited by the public, leaving open the possibility of hidden rug, mint, or freeze functions that could result in total loss of funds
  • Deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet with no prior deployment history matches a disposable-deployer pattern; combined with pre-launch insider allocations to specific wallets, this raises the probability of a coordinated exit scam
  • All five tracked smart-money traders have realized -99% to -100% losses, suggesting the token's trading environment systematically destroys active participants — a pattern consistent with honeypot mechanics or extreme manipulation

Trading Insight

bearish

Recent on-chain swap activity shows a modest buy-side majority by count, but trade sizes are uniformly small (sub-$600), and the sole repeat seller (0x977a3e…) executed two sells totaling $566 against a backdrop of fragmented small buys. Smart-money data uniformly shows -100% realized returns, indicating that active traders are consistently losing capital on this token.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The only available price data — two daily closes — shows a decline from $127.46 to $124.79, a drop of approximately 2.1%, with the current price sitting at just 16% of the 2-day range. No 7d, 30d, or 90d trend data exists to establish a medium-term directional bias, so the medium-term is classified as sideways by default. The short-term trajectory is modestly downward based on the available closes.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

With only two data points and a reported daily return standard deviation of 0.0%, there is insufficient price history to compute meaningful momentum indicators such as RSI or MACD. The price sitting near the bottom of its 2-day range ($123.80–$129.90) at 16% of range suggests mild bearish pressure, but this cannot be confirmed with standard momentum tools given the data constraints.

Volume Analysis

Buy

76%

Sell

24%

Volume Trend

Stable

Granular volume data is not available in the provided dataset. The 6 notable recent trades total under $2,500, which is negligible relative to the $245K market cap. Buy-side transactions outnumber sells 4:2 in the recent trade sample, but the absolute dollar values are too small to draw meaningful volume trend conclusions.

Recent Price Action

The token opened its trading history near $127.46 and has drifted down to $124.79 over 2 days, with the current price near the lower portion of the observed range. Daily volatility is reported at 0.0% standard deviation, which likely reflects the extremely short data window rather than genuine price stability.

A price sitting at 16% of its 2-day range with a declining close sequence typically indicates early sell pressure from initial buyers, which in a newly launched token often precedes further downside as early recipients seek to exit.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Only 2 days of price history exist, making volatility assessment unreliable. The token sits at 16% of its 2-day range with a declining close, and the complete absence of 7d/30d/90d data means any price move could be extreme and unpredictable.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an uncategorized BNB Chain token with no disclosed jurisdiction, team, or use case, it faces standard DeFi regulatory uncertainty. The lack of any project documentation makes compliance assessment impossible.

Key Risks

  • Unverified smart contract with a 36/100 security score — the source code cannot be audited by the public, leaving open the possibility of hidden rug, mint, or freeze functions that could result in total loss of funds
  • Deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet with no prior deployment history matches a disposable-deployer pattern; combined with pre-launch insider allocations to specific wallets, this raises the probability of a coordinated exit scam
  • All five tracked smart-money traders have realized -99% to -100% losses, suggesting the token's trading environment systematically destroys active participants — a pattern consistent with honeypot mechanics or extreme manipulation

Mitigating Factors

  • The two largest holders are protocol/contract addresses (9.22% + 2.90%) that cannot sell, limiting the immediate dumpable supply to 15.2%
  • The deployer wallet has a 772-day on-chain history (active since July 2024), providing more traceable history than a wallet created days before launch

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced DeFi participants who fully understand smart contract risk, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and have independently verified the contract source code. It is not appropriate for retail investors, risk-averse participants, or anyone allocating more than a negligible speculative position.

This token presents a high-risk speculative profile with no verifiable fundamentals, a critically low security score, and a deployer pattern consistent with elevated rug risk. The only potential bull case rests on continued holder momentum and eventual project disclosure, while the bear case — supported by universal smart-money losses and an unverified contract — is the more probable near-term outcome.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The project team verifies the contract, publishes a credible whitepaper and social presence, and the rapid holder growth (1,362 in 2 days) translates into sustained community demand. The contained dumpable supply (15.2%) prevents a catastrophic dump, and the token establishes a stable price floor above its 2-day low of $123.80.

  • Contract verification and project documentation release that legitimizes the token and attracts new buyers
  • Retention of the existing 1,362-holder base without significant sell-off, demonstrating genuine community stickiness

Base Case

The token continues to trade in a narrow range near its current price of $124.79 with low volume, gradually losing holder interest as no project information materializes. Holder count stabilizes or slowly declines as early speculators exit, and the token fades into illiquidity without a formal rug event.

  • No contract exploit or deliberate rug pull occurs in the near term
  • No new project information or marketing catalyst emerges to reignite buying interest

Bear Case

High probability

The unverified contract contains a hidden function that is triggered by the deployer or an insider, resulting in a liquidity drain or freeze. Alternatively, insider-allocated whale wallets (1.71% and 1.38% with zero-cost positions) begin selling, triggering a cascade that the shallow liquidity cannot absorb. Smart-money losses of -100% across all tracked traders suggest this environment may already be hostile to buyers.

  • Unverified contract enabling a rug pull or honeypot exit by the deployer or insiders
  • Zero-cost insider positions (acquired via transfer/airdrop) being liquidated into the market with no price floor support

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 12, 2026, 08:30 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-12 20:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$245.6K

24h Volume

$0

Holders

1,362

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)Token genesis and deployer wallet forensicsWhale wallet behavioral analysisSmart money realized PnL trackingNotable recent DEX swap dataSecurity contract assessment (score: 36/100)

Limitations

  • Only 2 days of price history available — all trend windows (7d/30d/90d) are unavailable, severely limiting technical analysis reliability
  • No liquidity pool data provided — liquidity depth, pool composition, and slippage estimates cannot be precisely calculated
  • Unverified contract means smart contract risk cannot be fully assessed without source code review
  • No project documentation, team information, or social presence available to evaluate fundamental value

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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