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Classic USDC Price Today & AI Analysis

USDCBNB ChainAnalysis as of Oct 4, 2026

Price

$7.76

+5217.94% 24h

Contract

Live
0xe442ca5f978d4fdaa4439572a4e02ca87171643d

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

2.9K

Market cap

$204.14B

Liquidity

$174.54M

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Classic USDC: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-04 23:15 UTC

Holder addresses

2,856

Top 10 supply share

80.11%

Reported liquidity

$174,542,469.00
How concentrated is Classic USDC ownership?
As of 2026-10-04 23:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 80.11% of supply. It reports 2,856 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Classic USDC?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-04 23:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $299,937,253.00 in buys and $368,897,093.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Classic USDC liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +982937819680.92%, from $1.43 (2026-10-04 04:00 UTC) to $14,084,145,007.50 (2026-10-04 22:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-04 23:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-04 04:00 UTC$1.43
2026-10-04 08:00 UTC$1.45
2026-10-04 14:00 UTC$6,510,345,957.47
2026-10-04 20:00 UTC$69,156,971.31
2026-10-04 21:00 UTC$27,587,550,335.00
2026-10-04 22:00 UTC$14,084,145,007.50

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 4, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$204.14B

24h Volume

$668.83M

Liquidity

$174.54M

FDV

—

Holders

2,856

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

Classic USDC (USDC) is a BNB Chain token trading on PancakeSwap, 9.6 months old, with no description, no social links, and no category. Despite the name, its $7.76 price and wild OHLC history show it is not behaving like a dollar stablecoin and should not be confused with Circle's USDC. Reported market cap ($204B) and liquidity ($174.5M) are wildly out of line with 5 transactions in 24h, suggesting distorted metrics. The data points to very high risk.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 4, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Name mimics a major stablecoin but price is $7.76, far from a $1 peg
  • Daily closes range from $5.634e-12 to $99.97 in 91 days
  • Reported market cap of $204,138,596,806 on just 5 daily transactions

Classic USDC AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token is named 'Classic USDC' yet trades at $7.76, far from any $1 stablecoin peg, and is not Circle's USDC. Recent daily closes swung from $99.97 to $6.991e-10 to $7.76 within days, which signals a broken or manipulated price feed rather than organic trading. The price sits at 8% of its 91-day range after a collapse from the $99.97 spike, and only 5 transactions occurred in 24h, so any quoted price is unreliable.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Over the 91-day window the price traded between $5.634e-12 and $99.97, and the most recent closes show a reversal from the $99.97 peak back to near-zero values before the latest $7.76 print. This pattern is consistent with thin-liquidity price distortion, not sustainable value discovery. The headline +42922658451% 30d/90d change is an artifact of starting from near-zero values and should not be read as a bullish signal.

Bullish Factors

  • Reported liquidity of $174.5M is large on paper, though it is inconsistent with only 5 transactions and the erratic price, so it should be verified independently
  • The price printed above the $0.8022 immediate support level on the latest close

Bearish Factors

  • The name imitates a major stablecoin while the price is $7.76, which is a common impersonation pattern
  • Daily closes include $99.97, then $6.991e-10, then $7.76 within a few days, indicating non-market pricing
  • The 1h change of -48.8% shows extreme instability
  • Only 5 transactions and 2 unique buyers in 24h against $668.8M in reported volume implies a handful of enormous trades, which is not organic activity
  • The top 10 holders control 80.1% of supply

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

USDC call history

Full track record →

Oct 4bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xe442...643d
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Possible impersonation of Circle's USDC; holders may buy believing it is a dollar-pegged asset
  • Price and volume data appear distorted, so displayed valuations may be meaningless
  • 80.1% top-10 concentration with no wallet classification
  • Extremely thin participation: 2 buyers and 2 sellers in 24h

Trading Insight

bearish

Sell volume of $368.9M exceeded buy volume of $299.9M, giving 55.2% sell pressure, and the price fell 48.8% in the last hour. With only 2 unique buyers and 2 unique sellers, these figures reflect a few participants rather than broad market sentiment.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The short term is a downtrend, with a collapse from the $99.97 spike and a 48.8% hourly drop. The medium-term picture is not a trend at all: the price moved between $5.634e-12 and $99.97, so conventional trend analysis does not apply.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Standard momentum indicators are meaningless with daily volatility near 21 billion percent. Price sits at 8% of its range, but that range is dominated by erratic prints, so no oversold or overbought reading is reliable.

Volume Analysis

Buy

44.8%

Sell

55.2%

Volume Trend

Stable

Volume history is unavailable beyond 24h. Today's $668.8M is split across 5 transactions, so it should not be interpreted as a trend.

Recent Price Action

Closes rose from about $0.7473 to $10.86 and then $99.97, then dropped to $6.991e-10 before recovering to $3.837e-9 and $7.76.

Spikes and collapses of this magnitude on thin activity typically indicate manipulated or illiquid pricing, not genuine price discovery.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.8022

Major support

$5.634e-12

Immediate resistance

$10.86

Major resistance

$99.97

These OHLC-derived levels are extremely far apart, spanning about 13 orders of magnitude, which shows how unstable the price history is. The $0.8022 and $10.86 levels are the nearest reference points, but they have little predictive value.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

96/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily closes range from $5.634e-12 to $99.97, with the 1h change at -48.8%. Price is effectively unstable.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Reported liquidity is $174.5M, but only 5 transactions occurred in 24h and the figures conflict with the price behaviour, so the liquidity cannot be trusted as executable depth.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    Top 10 holders hold 80.1% of supply. Wallet classification is unavailable, so whether this is protocol-held or dumpable supply is unknown.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    The name imitates a regulated stablecoin, which could attract trademark or platform enforcement. No project information exists to assess further.

Key Risks

  • Possible impersonation of Circle's USDC; holders may buy believing it is a dollar-pegged asset
  • Price and volume data appear distorted, so displayed valuations may be meaningless
  • 80.1% top-10 concentration with no wallet classification
  • Extremely thin participation: 2 buyers and 2 sellers in 24h

Mitigating Factors

  • Token has existed for 9.6 months
  • 2,856 holders and a trading pair on PancakeSwap, though neither verifies legitimacy

Investor Suitability

Not suitable for most investors. Only those who have independently verified the contract and fully understand the risks should consider any interaction, and only with funds they can afford to lose entirely.

The data does not support an investment thesis. The price behaviour, name mismatch, and sparse activity suggest a distorted or deceptive market rather than a functioning asset.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The price stabilises and genuine, diversified trading emerges around a verified purpose.

  • Verified project identity and transparent contract
  • Broad organic volume from many unique wallets

Base Case

Erratic, low-participation trading continues with unreliable prices and no verifiable fundamentals.

  • Activity remains limited to a few wallets
  • No credible project information emerges

Bear Case

High probability

The price continues to collapse toward the $0.8022 support or lower, as prior spikes have reverted to near-zero.

  • History of sharp reversals from $99.97 to near-zero closes
  • Concentrated holdings of 80.1% in the top 10 wallets

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 4, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-04 23:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$7.76486644396

Market Cap

$204.14B

24h Volume

$668.83M

Holders

2,856

Liquidity

$174,542,469.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Price and volume data appear anomalous and may not reflect genuine market activity
  • No project description, social links, or deployer/launch forensics were available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Questions about USDC?