屎币

屎币 Price Today & AI Analysis

屎币
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 19, 2026

$0.041881

-7.13%24h
LiveContract:0xe14b77ce30250cf94182b7019020fa00e7354444Chain:BNB ChainHolders:1.5KMarket cap:$18.81KLiquidity:$9.68K

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Ask Unhosted AI about 屎币

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 19, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC
Market Cap

$245.81K

24h Volume

$951.56K

Liquidity

$46.43K

FDV

—

Holders

1.1K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

屎币 (contract 0xe14b77ce…) is a meme token on BNB Chain launched approximately 1 hour ago via the Four.meme launchpad, with a current market cap of $245,815 and total liquidity of $46,429. The token experienced a 359.6% price spike at launch followed by a 24.6% correction in the most recent 5-minute window, a pattern consistent with launch-day speculation rather than fundamental value creation. Multiple top whale wallets received supply via transfer at genesis rather than through market purchases, raising insider-allocation concerns, and the smart contract remains unverified. With no project description, no social links, and no utility beyond meme speculation, this token carries very high risk and is suitable only for traders who fully accept the possibility of total loss.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 19, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
Launched on Four.meme launchpad on BNB Chain just 1 hour ago with immediate high-volume trading activity (~$951K in 24h)
Multiple top holders acquired supply via transfer at genesis, not through open-market buys, indicating pre-arranged insider allocations
Unverified smart contract with no published source code, no project description, and no social presence

屎币 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

This token is only 1 hour old and has already shed 24.6% in the last 5 minutes after an initial 359.6% launch spike, a classic pump-and-dump trajectory. With no OHLC history to anchor support levels, price discovery is entirely speculative and the sharp reversal suggests early holders are already distributing. The combination of an unverified contract, multiple whale wallets that received supply via transfer rather than market buys, and a 5-minute drop of nearly 25% all point to continued downside pressure.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The medium-term outlook is bearish given the token's meme-only classification, absence of any project description or social presence, and the structural pattern of insider wallets receiving supply at genesis before any trading began. Holder growth from 14 to 1,142 in a single day is impressive in raw numbers but is entirely consistent with a launch-day frenzy rather than organic community building. Without a verified contract, utility, or identifiable team, sustaining price above launch levels over 30–90 days is historically unlikely for tokens of this profile.

Bullish Factors
  • +Holder base grew from 14 to 1,142 in a single day, showing rapid community adoption at launch.
  • +Buy pressure is marginally positive at 50.7% of 24h volume ($482,389 buys vs $469,169 sells), indicating demand has not yet collapsed.
  • +Total 24h trading volume of ~$951,558 is substantial relative to a $245,815 market cap, reflecting high speculative interest.
Bearish Factors
  • -Price dropped 24.6% in just 5 minutes after the initial 359.6% launch spike, signaling active early-holder distribution.
  • -Three of the top individual whale wallets (2.71%, 2.01%, 1.97% of supply) acquired their positions via transfer rather than market buys, indicating insider pre-allocation rather than organic accumulation.
  • -The smart contract is unverified on-chain, meaning the code cannot be independently audited and rug-pull or hidden mint functions cannot be ruled out.
  • -Total liquidity of only $46,429 against a $245,815 market cap creates a liquidity-to-mcap ratio of ~19%, meaning even modest sell pressure will cause severe slippage.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

屎币 call history

Full track record →
Jul 19bearish
24h+287.6%
7d+70.1%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0xe14b...4444
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Unverified smart contract with unknown code — potential for hidden rug, mint, or blacklist functions that could render holdings worthless instantly
•Three of the top individual whale wallets (combined ~6.7% of supply) received tokens via transfer at genesis with zero cost basis, meaning they are in profit at any price and have maximum incentive to sell
•Shallow liquidity ($46,429) means a coordinated exit by even one large whale wallet could collapse the price and trap retail holders unable to exit at any meaningful price

Trading Insight

bearish

Despite a marginally positive buy/sell ratio of 50.7%/49.3% by volume, the 5-minute price drop of 24.6% following the launch spike reveals that sellers are winning on price impact, not just transaction count. Sell transactions (5,485) actually outnumber buy transactions (5,220) over 24h, and unique sellers (1,422) are fewer than unique buyers (1,866), suggesting a smaller cohort of larger holders is driving the sell-side pressure. This asymmetry — many small buyers absorbing sells from fewer but larger wallets — is a classic distribution pattern.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

With only 1 hour of price history and no OHLC data available, trend analysis is severely limited. The observable price action — a 359.6% spike from launch followed by a 24.6% decline in the most recent 5-minute window — defines a short-term downtrend from the post-launch peak. There is no medium-term price history to assess, but the structural setup (insider allocations, unverified contract, shallow liquidity) biases the medium-term trend bearish absent a significant catalyst.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 359.6% price increase within the first hour of trading represents extreme overbought momentum on any standard oscillator framework. The subsequent 24.6% 5-minute correction is the first sign of mean reversion, and with no established support levels, momentum indicators would be expected to continue declining from overbought territory.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.7%Sell 49.3%

Volume Trend: Stable

All volume was generated in a single hour, making trend classification meaningless. The $951,558 total 24h volume against $46,429 in liquidity represents a volume-to-liquidity ratio of approximately 20.5x, which is extremely high and indicates the pool is being churned rapidly. This level of turnover in shallow liquidity amplifies price impact in both directions.

Recent Price Action

Vertical launch spike (+359.6% from initial price) followed by a sharp 5-minute reversal (-24.6%), with the current price at $0.000239511805891448 representing a significant pullback from the intraday high.

This spike-and-reversal pattern is the most common price action signature of coordinated launch-day pump activity, where pre-allocated insiders sell into retail buying momentum. The pattern typically precedes further downside as initial excitement fades.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders1,142
24h Change+1,142
Growth Rate+100%

All 1,142 holders joined within the token's first hour of existence, so the 100% 24h growth figure simply reflects the token being brand new. The 31-day timeseries shows growth from 14 to 1,113 (the 14 likely being genesis/insider wallets), confirming rapid but entirely launch-driven adoption. Whether this holder base persists or collapses will be the key on-chain signal to monitor in the coming 24–48 hours.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders25%
Top 100 Holders67%
Retail Holders33.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

The top 10 holders control 25% of supply, but 9.70% of that is held by a protocol/contract that is not dumpable. The genuine dumpable supply from individual whale wallets is 21.0%, which is a medium concentration risk in isolation. However, the risk is elevated by the fact that these whale positions were acquired via transfer at zero cost basis, meaning any price level represents profit for them and the incentive to sell is high.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The six largest recent on-chain swaps are predominantly sells: $437 (0x587782…), $263 (0xde6d42…), $185 (0x005115…), $159 (0x41a9f9…), $121 (0xc4807c…) on the sell side versus a single notable buy of $122 (0x03f6fd…). These are small-dollar amounts relative to total volume, suggesting the largest trades are not captured in the top-6 notable swaps.

  • •SELL $437 by 0x587782… — largest single notable swap, sell-side
  • •SELL $263 by 0xde6d42… — second largest notable swap, sell-side

The 5-to-1 sell-to-buy ratio in notable recent trades confirms distributing sentiment among active wallets. Combined with the three largest individual whale wallets holding zero-cost-basis positions acquired via transfer, the on-chain evidence points to a distribution phase beginning immediately after launch.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money cohort data is unavailable for this token. No profitable-trader data has been indexed.

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token. Given the token is only 1 hour old and multiple top holders received supply via transfer at genesis with a zero cost basis, the structural profit-taking risk is high regardless of smart-money signals.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$46,429
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

Total liquidity of $46,429 against a $245,815 market cap yields a liquidity-to-mcap ratio of approximately 18.9%, which is shallow. A trader attempting to sell even $5,000 worth of tokens would face significant slippage given the pool size, and a coordinated sell by any of the 21% dumpable-supply whale wallets would be catastrophic to price. This shallow liquidity amplifies both upside and downside volatility.

Overall Risk:
Very High
91/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 359.6% spike followed by a 24.6% correction within the first hour of trading represents extreme volatility. With no price history, no established support levels, and shallow liquidity, price swings of 50%+ in either direction within a single day are plausible.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $46,429 is shallow relative to the $245,815 market cap. Large sell orders from any of the 21% dumpable-supply whale wallets would cause severe slippage and could drain the pool, making exit difficult for holders.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply is 21.0% held by individual whale wallets, all of which acquired their positions via transfer at genesis with a zero cost basis. While the raw top-10 concentration of 25% is moderate, the zero-cost-basis nature of these holdings elevates the effective dump risk above what the percentage alone suggests.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified on BNB Chain, meaning the source code has not been published or audited. Hidden functions such as unlimited minting, trading blacklists, or fee manipulation cannot be detected or excluded without source code review.

Regulatory
Medium

As a meme token on BNB Chain with no KYC, no team disclosure, and no utility, this token faces the same regulatory uncertainty as all unregistered crypto assets in jurisdictions that are tightening rules around speculative tokens and potential securities.

Key Risks

  • •Unverified smart contract with unknown code — potential for hidden rug, mint, or blacklist functions that could render holdings worthless instantly
  • •Three of the top individual whale wallets (combined ~6.7% of supply) received tokens via transfer at genesis with zero cost basis, meaning they are in profit at any price and have maximum incentive to sell
  • •Shallow liquidity ($46,429) means a coordinated exit by even one large whale wallet could collapse the price and trap retail holders unable to exit at any meaningful price

Mitigating Factors

  • •Deployer wallet is 475 days old, which is atypically old for a disposable rug-pull deployer, suggesting some degree of reputational stake
  • •Buy/sell volume is nearly balanced (50.7%/49.3%) and 1,866 unique buyers have participated, indicating genuine retail demand rather than a purely wash-traded token

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who fully understand meme token dynamics, accept the possibility of total loss, and are allocating only amounts they can afford to lose entirely. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone unfamiliar with the risks of unverified smart contracts and launch-day speculation.

屎币 is a high-risk, speculative meme token in its first hour of existence with no utility, no verified contract, and structural insider-allocation risks. The investment thesis is almost entirely dependent on viral meme momentum sustaining retail demand long enough to offset the sell pressure from zero-cost-basis insider wallets.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The token achieves viral meme status on Chinese-language social platforms, driving sustained retail inflows that absorb insider selling and push the market cap toward $1M–$5M within days, consistent with successful Four.meme launches.

  • +Viral social media traction on platforms popular in Chinese-speaking communities
  • +Sustained daily trading volume exceeding $500K maintaining price discovery above current levels
Base Case

The token stabilizes at a fraction of its launch-day peak as initial speculation fades, trading at low volume with a small residual holder base, similar to the majority of Four.meme meme launches that do not achieve viral status.

  • •No major social media catalyst emerges to drive a second wave of retail buying
  • •Insider wallets gradually distribute their zero-cost-basis holdings over days to weeks
Bear Case
High

Insider whale wallets with zero cost basis begin systematic selling into the retail bid, liquidity drains rapidly given the shallow $46,429 pool, and the token loses 80–95% of its launch-day value within 48–72 hours as retail interest fades without social media amplification.

  • -Zero-cost-basis insider wallets (21% dumpable supply) selling into any price recovery
  • -No social presence or utility to sustain community engagement beyond initial launch speculation

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 19, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp; token is approximately 1 hour old
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000239511805891448
Market Cap$245.8K
24h Volume$951.6K
Holders1,142
Liquidity$46.4K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Trading volume metrics (DEX aggregator)
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis
Notable recent on-chain swap data

Limitations

  • •No OHLC price history exists — the token is only 1 hour old, making all technical analysis and price target derivation impossible
  • •Smart-money cohort data is unavailable for this token, preventing assessment of profitable-trader positioning
  • •The unverified smart contract cannot be audited, meaning hidden contract risks are unknown and unquantifiable
  • •Deployer wallet funding source is unknown, preventing full assessment of deployer risk profile

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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