FRSC

赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年 Price Today & AI Analysis

FRSCBNB ChainAnalysis as of Aug 1, 2026

Price

$0.054988

-1.39% 24h

Contract

Live
0xe013bfea41321d6a4bb68a6f7f61888f7a967777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

325

Market cap

$4.99K

Liquidity

$3.67K

At a $1M market cap, $FRSC would be $0.001000 (200x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is FRSC a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 29

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about FRSC

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-01 22:30 UTC

Holder addresses

306

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$25,148.23
How concentrated is 赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 306 addresses (2026-08-01 22:30 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-01 22:30 UTC, reported liquidity was $25,148.23. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-01 22:30 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 1, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

Market Cap

$80.14K

24h Volume

$304.66K

Liquidity

$25.15K

FDV

—

Holders

306

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

FRSC (赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年) is a BNB Chain token launched just 2 hours ago with a $80,137 market cap, an unverified contract, and no project description or social presence. The token has generated $304,659 in 24h trading volume and a 72% price gain in its first 4 hours, consistent with a coordinated launch pump rather than organic price discovery. Multiple top whale wallets received supply via pre-launch transfers rather than market purchases, and the deployer was funded by an unlabelled wallet, raising significant insider distribution and rug risk. The token's name appears designed to leverage CZ/Binance name recognition, a common tactic in speculative meme launches with no underlying utility.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 1, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Launched only 2 hours ago with zero OHLC history, making all price analysis purely speculative
  • Multiple top whales hold positions acquired via pre-launch transfer (zero cost basis), not open-market buys
  • Unverified smart contract with a deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet — classic disposable-deployer risk profile

赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

FRSC is only 2 hours old and has already surged 72% in its first 4 hours of trading, a classic pump pattern on a newly launched token with no verified contract and no project description. With 520 unique sellers already outnumbering 483 unique buyers in the 24h window, early participants are actively rotating out. The combination of a 2-hour-old token, unverified contract, and whale wallets that received supply via transfer rather than market buys creates strong short-term distribution pressure.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Without a verified contract, any project description, social presence, or identifiable use case, FRSC has no fundamental basis to sustain value over a 30–90 day horizon. The token's name ('赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年' — loosely 'CZ's first coin 2014') appears designed to exploit name recognition rather than represent a genuine project, a common pattern in short-lived meme launches. Unless a credible team, utility, or community emerges, the medium-term trajectory is continued price erosion as early recipients distribute their transfer-acquired positions.

Bullish Factors

  • Strong initial trading velocity: 3,044 total transactions (1,700 buys, 1,344 sells) and $304,659 combined volume in just 2 hours indicates genuine market interest and liquidity activity at launch.
  • Buy pressure marginally leads at 50.5% of 24h volume ($153,990 buys vs $150,669 sells), suggesting demand has not yet fully collapsed despite the rapid price run-up.
  • The largest protocol/contract holder at 15.71% of supply is classified as non-dumpable, meaning the effective dumpable supply is 29.3% — not the full top-10 concentration of 37%.

Bearish Factors

  • Three of the top individual whale wallets (2.97%, 2.72%, 2.61% of supply) acquired their positions via transfer with no DEX swap history, confirming insider pre-distribution rather than open-market accumulation — these wallets can sell at any time with zero cost basis.
  • The contract is unverified (security score 56/100), meaning the source code cannot be audited for hidden mint functions, blacklists, or rug mechanisms.
  • The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet (0x4deaae93…) and made zero contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, consistent with a disposable deployer pattern used in short-lived token launches.
  • Token genesis shows the deployer immediately distributed large tranches — 103M tokens to 0x21d833…, 20.6M to 0x1de460… (which then forwarded the full amount to 0xa5f38e…) — indicating coordinated insider allocation before any public trading began.
  • No social links, no project description, and an uncategorized token type provide zero fundamental anchor for price; the token name appears to be a celebrity name-drop rather than a genuine project identity.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

FRSC call history

Full track record →

Aug 1bearish
24h-85.9%
7d-95.4%
30d-91.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xe013...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Rug pull / exit scam risk: the unverified contract, deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet, and pre-launch insider allocation to multiple wallets (including a chain of transfers from deployer → 0x1de460… → 0xa5f38e…) are consistent with a coordinated rug setup where insiders sell into retail demand and abandon the project
  • Zero-cost-basis whale dump: three confirmed top whales (2.97%, 2.72%, 2.61%) received supply via transfer before trading began and can sell their entire positions at any price for pure profit, with no holding incentive
  • Liquidity collapse: with only $25,148 in pool liquidity, a single coordinated sell of even 5–10% of the dumpable supply could reduce the token price by 50–80% in a single transaction, leaving retail holders unable to exit at meaningful prices

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24h buy/sell split is nearly perfectly balanced at 50.5% buy pressure vs 49.5% sell pressure, reflecting a tug-of-war between speculative buyers chasing the 72% pump and early recipients distributing transfer-acquired supply. The 1-hour window shows 273 unique sellers vs 214 unique buyers, suggesting selling pressure is beginning to outpace buying as the initial excitement fades.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The only available price data is a 72% gain over the 4-hour window since launch, which technically constitutes a short-term uptrend but is more accurately described as a launch pump with no prior baseline. There is no 7-day, 30-day, or 90-day OHLC history to establish a medium-term trend, so the medium-term classification defaults to sideways pending the development of a price history. The 5-minute reading of -5.15% may indicate the initial pump is beginning to stall.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 72% gain in 4 hours on a token with $25,148 in liquidity and no fundamental backing is a textbook overbought condition. The 5-minute decline of -5.15% following the 1-hour gain of 34.7% suggests momentum is decelerating, and with insider wallets holding zero-cost-basis positions, the risk of a sharp reversal is elevated.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.5%

Sell

49.5%

Volume Trend

Stable

All volume data reflects a single 2-hour trading window, making trend classification impossible. The $304,659 total volume against $25,148 in liquidity represents a liquidity-to-volume ratio of approximately 1:12, meaning the pool has turned over its entire liquidity roughly 12 times — an extremely high churn rate that indicates either genuine speculative frenzy or coordinated volume inflation.

Recent Price Action

Vertical launch pump: price rose 72.35% in the first 4 hours of existence, with a 34.7% gain in the most recent 1-hour window, followed by a -5.15% pullback in the last 5 minutes.

This pattern — a sharp vertical move immediately post-launch followed by early deceleration — is characteristic of coordinated launch pumps where insiders distribute into retail buying. The 5-minute pullback may be the beginning of a mean-reversion move, though with only 2 hours of data, no reliable pattern confirmation is possible.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

91/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 72% price gain in 2 hours on a token with $25,148 in liquidity demonstrates extreme volatility. With no price history, no fundamental anchor, and insider wallets holding zero-cost-basis positions, drawdowns of 80–95% are plausible within the token's first week.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $25,148 against $304,659 in 24h volume creates a 12:1 volume-to-liquidity ratio. Any position of meaningful size cannot be exited without severe slippage, and a coordinated sell by the 29.3% dumpable supply would likely drain the pool entirely.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryHigh

    Tokens that use the names of prominent public figures (such as Changpeng Zhao) without authorization may face legal challenges. Additionally, the coordinated pre-launch distribution pattern and potential wash trading could attract regulatory scrutiny in jurisdictions with market manipulation laws.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull / exit scam risk: the unverified contract, deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet, and pre-launch insider allocation to multiple wallets (including a chain of transfers from deployer → 0x1de460… → 0xa5f38e…) are consistent with a coordinated rug setup where insiders sell into retail demand and abandon the project
  • Zero-cost-basis whale dump: three confirmed top whales (2.97%, 2.72%, 2.61%) received supply via transfer before trading began and can sell their entire positions at any price for pure profit, with no holding incentive
  • Liquidity collapse: with only $25,148 in pool liquidity, a single coordinated sell of even 5–10% of the dumpable supply could reduce the token price by 50–80% in a single transaction, leaving retail holders unable to exit at meaningful prices

Mitigating Factors

  • The 15.71% protocol/contract holder is classified as non-dumpable, reducing the effective immediate sell pressure below the raw top-10 concentration figure
  • The deployer wallet has 761 days of on-chain history (active since July 2024), which is marginally more credible than a wallet created days before launch, though the absence of prior deployments limits this as a positive signal

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced traders who fully understand the risks of sub-$100K market cap tokens with unverified contracts, can afford to lose 100% of any position, and are capable of monitoring on-chain activity in real time. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with BNB Chain meme token dynamics.

FRSC presents an extremely high-risk speculative profile with no identifiable fundamentals, an unverified contract, and a distribution structure heavily weighted toward insider wallets with zero cost basis. The only plausible bull case is a short-lived viral pump driven by the CZ name association; the base and bear cases both involve significant capital loss for retail participants.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The CZ name association goes viral on social media, driving a wave of retail FOMO buyers that pushes volume and price significantly higher before insiders exit. A brief window of 2–5x gains from current levels is theoretically possible if the pump extends, as has occurred with similar celebrity-name meme tokens on BNB Chain.

  • Viral social media amplification of the CZ/Binance name association driving speculative retail inflows
  • Sustained buy pressure maintaining the 50.5% buy dominance seen in the first 2 hours, preventing immediate price collapse

Base Case

Trading activity peaks within the first 6–12 hours as initial excitement fades, volume drops sharply, and the price gradually erodes as early recipients take profits. The token survives as a low-liquidity, low-volume shell but trades 70–90% below its launch peak within 7 days, with no new catalysts to revive interest.

  • No viral social media event occurs to extend the pump beyond the initial launch window
  • The deployer does not execute an active rug pull but simply allows the token to decay as insider supply is gradually distributed

Bear Case

High probability

Insider wallets (29.3% dumpable supply at zero cost basis) begin distributing into the current elevated price, the $25,148 liquidity pool is overwhelmed, and the token loses 80–95% of its current value within 24–72 hours. The unverified contract may additionally contain a rug mechanism that allows the deployer to drain liquidity directly.

  • Pre-launch transfer recipients (top three whales) selling their zero-cost-basis positions into the 72% pump
  • Unverified contract enabling a deployer-triggered liquidity drain or mint function that collapses the price

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 1, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-01 22:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000080137170296623

Market Cap

$80.1K

24h Volume

$304.7K

Holders

306

Liquidity

$25,148.23

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)Trading volume metrics (24h/4h/1h windows)Smart contract security assessmentToken genesis and deployer wallet forensicsWhale wallet behavioral intelNotable recent on-chain swap data

Limitations

  • Token is only 2 hours old with zero OHLC history, making all technical analysis and price targets impossible to compute from historical data
  • Smart-money / profitable-trader cohort data is unavailable for this token, preventing assessment of informed investor positioning
  • The unverified contract means the full token mechanics (fees, mint functions, blacklists) cannot be confirmed from source code
  • Token name and description fields are supplied by the token creator and are treated as untrusted data; the CZ name association cannot be verified as authorized or legitimate

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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