FRSC

赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年 Price Today & AI Analysis

FRSC
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 1, 2026

$0.057837

-1.33%24h
LiveContract:0xe013bfea41321d6a4bb68a6f7f61888f7a967777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:357Market cap:$7.84KLiquidity:$4.67K

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Ask Unhosted AI about FRSC

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Aug 1, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC
Market Cap

$80.14K

24h Volume

$304.66K

Liquidity

$25.15K

FDV

—

Holders

306

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

FRSC (赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年) is a BNB Chain token launched just 2 hours ago with a $80,137 market cap, an unverified contract, and no project description or social presence. The token has generated $304,659 in 24h trading volume and a 72% price gain in its first 4 hours, consistent with a coordinated launch pump rather than organic price discovery. Multiple top whale wallets received supply via pre-launch transfers rather than market purchases, and the deployer was funded by an unlabelled wallet, raising significant insider distribution and rug risk. The token's name appears designed to leverage CZ/Binance name recognition, a common tactic in speculative meme launches with no underlying utility.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 1, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Launched only 2 hours ago with zero OHLC history, making all price analysis purely speculative
Multiple top whales hold positions acquired via pre-launch transfer (zero cost basis), not open-market buys
Unverified smart contract with a deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet — classic disposable-deployer risk profile

赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

FRSC is only 2 hours old and has already surged 72% in its first 4 hours of trading, a classic pump pattern on a newly launched token with no verified contract and no project description. With 520 unique sellers already outnumbering 483 unique buyers in the 24h window, early participants are actively rotating out. The combination of a 2-hour-old token, unverified contract, and whale wallets that received supply via transfer rather than market buys creates strong short-term distribution pressure.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Without a verified contract, any project description, social presence, or identifiable use case, FRSC has no fundamental basis to sustain value over a 30–90 day horizon. The token's name ('赵长鹏的第一枚硬币 2014年' — loosely 'CZ's first coin 2014') appears designed to exploit name recognition rather than represent a genuine project, a common pattern in short-lived meme launches. Unless a credible team, utility, or community emerges, the medium-term trajectory is continued price erosion as early recipients distribute their transfer-acquired positions.

Bullish Factors
  • +Strong initial trading velocity: 3,044 total transactions (1,700 buys, 1,344 sells) and $304,659 combined volume in just 2 hours indicates genuine market interest and liquidity activity at launch.
  • +Buy pressure marginally leads at 50.5% of 24h volume ($153,990 buys vs $150,669 sells), suggesting demand has not yet fully collapsed despite the rapid price run-up.
  • +The largest protocol/contract holder at 15.71% of supply is classified as non-dumpable, meaning the effective dumpable supply is 29.3% — not the full top-10 concentration of 37%.
Bearish Factors
  • -Three of the top individual whale wallets (2.97%, 2.72%, 2.61% of supply) acquired their positions via transfer with no DEX swap history, confirming insider pre-distribution rather than open-market accumulation — these wallets can sell at any time with zero cost basis.
  • -The contract is unverified (security score 56/100), meaning the source code cannot be audited for hidden mint functions, blacklists, or rug mechanisms.
  • -The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet (0x4deaae93…) and made zero contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, consistent with a disposable deployer pattern used in short-lived token launches.
  • -Token genesis shows the deployer immediately distributed large tranches — 103M tokens to 0x21d833…, 20.6M to 0x1de460… (which then forwarded the full amount to 0xa5f38e…) — indicating coordinated insider allocation before any public trading began.
  • -No social links, no project description, and an uncategorized token type provide zero fundamental anchor for price; the token name appears to be a celebrity name-drop rather than a genuine project identity.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

FRSC call history

Full track record →
Aug 1bearish
24h-85.9%
7d-95.4%
30d-91.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0xe013...7777
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Rug pull / exit scam risk: the unverified contract, deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet, and pre-launch insider allocation to multiple wallets (including a chain of transfers from deployer → 0x1de460… → 0xa5f38e…) are consistent with a coordinated rug setup where insiders sell into retail demand and abandon the project
•Zero-cost-basis whale dump: three confirmed top whales (2.97%, 2.72%, 2.61%) received supply via transfer before trading began and can sell their entire positions at any price for pure profit, with no holding incentive
•Liquidity collapse: with only $25,148 in pool liquidity, a single coordinated sell of even 5–10% of the dumpable supply could reduce the token price by 50–80% in a single transaction, leaving retail holders unable to exit at meaningful prices

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24h buy/sell split is nearly perfectly balanced at 50.5% buy pressure vs 49.5% sell pressure, reflecting a tug-of-war between speculative buyers chasing the 72% pump and early recipients distributing transfer-acquired supply. The 1-hour window shows 273 unique sellers vs 214 unique buyers, suggesting selling pressure is beginning to outpace buying as the initial excitement fades.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The only available price data is a 72% gain over the 4-hour window since launch, which technically constitutes a short-term uptrend but is more accurately described as a launch pump with no prior baseline. There is no 7-day, 30-day, or 90-day OHLC history to establish a medium-term trend, so the medium-term classification defaults to sideways pending the development of a price history. The 5-minute reading of -5.15% may indicate the initial pump is beginning to stall.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 72% gain in 4 hours on a token with $25,148 in liquidity and no fundamental backing is a textbook overbought condition. The 5-minute decline of -5.15% following the 1-hour gain of 34.7% suggests momentum is decelerating, and with insider wallets holding zero-cost-basis positions, the risk of a sharp reversal is elevated.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.5%Sell 49.5%

Volume Trend: Stable

All volume data reflects a single 2-hour trading window, making trend classification impossible. The $304,659 total volume against $25,148 in liquidity represents a liquidity-to-volume ratio of approximately 1:12, meaning the pool has turned over its entire liquidity roughly 12 times — an extremely high churn rate that indicates either genuine speculative frenzy or coordinated volume inflation.

Recent Price Action

Vertical launch pump: price rose 72.35% in the first 4 hours of existence, with a 34.7% gain in the most recent 1-hour window, followed by a -5.15% pullback in the last 5 minutes.

This pattern — a sharp vertical move immediately post-launch followed by early deceleration — is characteristic of coordinated launch pumps where insiders distribute into retail buying. The 5-minute pullback may be the beginning of a mean-reversion move, though with only 2 hours of data, no reliable pattern confirmation is possible.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders306
24h Change+306
Growth Rate+100%

All 306 holders joined within the 2-hour existence of the token, so the 100% growth figure simply reflects the token's launch rather than organic community expansion. The holder count of 306 is modest for a token generating $304,659 in volume, suggesting a relatively small number of participants are responsible for the majority of trading activity.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders37%
Top 100 Holders93%
Retail Holders7.0%
Concentration Risk:
High

While the top-10 concentration of 37% includes a 15.71% protocol/contract position that is non-dumpable, the remaining 21.29% across nine individual whale wallets — combined with the 29.3% total dumpable supply figure — represents a meaningful overhang. The top-100 controlling 93% of supply with only 7% in retail hands means price discovery is almost entirely controlled by a small cohort of early recipients, most of whom received supply via pre-launch transfer at zero cost.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest real on-chain swaps recorded are modest in absolute terms: the biggest single trade was a $337 sell by 0xe27d4c…, followed by buys of $287 (0x8006f4…), $286 (0x56c262…), $285 (0xcd7ebc…), $171 (0xb77407…), and $149 (0x726580…). No single large whale dump has occurred yet in the recorded notable trades.

  • •Largest recorded trade: SELL $337 by 0xe27d4c… — the only notable sell in the top trades, suggesting the biggest single exit so far is small relative to total volume
  • •Four buys clustered between $285–$287 (0x8006f4…, 0x56c262…, 0xcd7ebc…) occurring at similar sizes may indicate coordinated buying to support price or create the appearance of demand

The notable trades are all sub-$350, which is extremely small relative to the $304,659 in total 24h volume — the bulk of trading is fragmented across many small transactions rather than driven by identifiable large whale moves. The three top individual whales (2.97%, 2.72%, 2.61%) have no DEX swap history on this token, meaning they have not yet sold their transfer-acquired positions; when they do, those sales will not appear as 'notable trades' unless they are large single transactions.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token; no profitable-trader cohort data has been indexed for FRSC.

Smart-money data is unavailable, so no conclusions can be drawn about early buyer positioning or profit-taking behavior from that dataset. However, the pre-launch transfer recipients (top whales with zero cost basis) represent the highest-risk profit-taking overhang — they are structurally in profit at any price and have no incentive to hold.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$25,148.23
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

With only $25,148 in total liquidity against a $80,137 market cap and $304,659 in 24h volume, the liquidity pool is extremely shallow. A volume-to-liquidity ratio of approximately 12:1 means even modest sell orders will cause significant price impact; any coordinated exit by the 29.3% dumpable supply would likely collapse the price by 80–90% or more given the pool depth.

Overall Risk:
Very High
91/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 72% price gain in 2 hours on a token with $25,148 in liquidity demonstrates extreme volatility. With no price history, no fundamental anchor, and insider wallets holding zero-cost-basis positions, drawdowns of 80–95% are plausible within the token's first week.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $25,148 against $304,659 in 24h volume creates a 12:1 volume-to-liquidity ratio. Any position of meaningful size cannot be exited without severe slippage, and a coordinated sell by the 29.3% dumpable supply would likely drain the pool entirely.

Concentration
High

Dumpable supply stands at 29.3% held by individual whale wallets, three of which acquired their positions via pre-launch transfer at zero cost basis. The top 100 holders control 93% of supply, leaving retail with only 7% — price is almost entirely at the discretion of a small insider cohort.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (security score 56/100), meaning no independent audit of the code is possible. The deployer retains unknown privileged access, and the funding of the deployer by an unlabelled wallet prevents tracing the origin of the launch infrastructure.

Regulatory
High

Tokens that use the names of prominent public figures (such as Changpeng Zhao) without authorization may face legal challenges. Additionally, the coordinated pre-launch distribution pattern and potential wash trading could attract regulatory scrutiny in jurisdictions with market manipulation laws.

Key Risks

  • •Rug pull / exit scam risk: the unverified contract, deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet, and pre-launch insider allocation to multiple wallets (including a chain of transfers from deployer → 0x1de460… → 0xa5f38e…) are consistent with a coordinated rug setup where insiders sell into retail demand and abandon the project
  • •Zero-cost-basis whale dump: three confirmed top whales (2.97%, 2.72%, 2.61%) received supply via transfer before trading began and can sell their entire positions at any price for pure profit, with no holding incentive
  • •Liquidity collapse: with only $25,148 in pool liquidity, a single coordinated sell of even 5–10% of the dumpable supply could reduce the token price by 50–80% in a single transaction, leaving retail holders unable to exit at meaningful prices

Mitigating Factors

  • •The 15.71% protocol/contract holder is classified as non-dumpable, reducing the effective immediate sell pressure below the raw top-10 concentration figure
  • •The deployer wallet has 761 days of on-chain history (active since July 2024), which is marginally more credible than a wallet created days before launch, though the absence of prior deployments limits this as a positive signal

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced traders who fully understand the risks of sub-$100K market cap tokens with unverified contracts, can afford to lose 100% of any position, and are capable of monitoring on-chain activity in real time. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with BNB Chain meme token dynamics.

FRSC presents an extremely high-risk speculative profile with no identifiable fundamentals, an unverified contract, and a distribution structure heavily weighted toward insider wallets with zero cost basis. The only plausible bull case is a short-lived viral pump driven by the CZ name association; the base and bear cases both involve significant capital loss for retail participants.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The CZ name association goes viral on social media, driving a wave of retail FOMO buyers that pushes volume and price significantly higher before insiders exit. A brief window of 2–5x gains from current levels is theoretically possible if the pump extends, as has occurred with similar celebrity-name meme tokens on BNB Chain.

  • +Viral social media amplification of the CZ/Binance name association driving speculative retail inflows
  • +Sustained buy pressure maintaining the 50.5% buy dominance seen in the first 2 hours, preventing immediate price collapse
Base Case

Trading activity peaks within the first 6–12 hours as initial excitement fades, volume drops sharply, and the price gradually erodes as early recipients take profits. The token survives as a low-liquidity, low-volume shell but trades 70–90% below its launch peak within 7 days, with no new catalysts to revive interest.

  • •No viral social media event occurs to extend the pump beyond the initial launch window
  • •The deployer does not execute an active rug pull but simply allows the token to decay as insider supply is gradually distributed
Bear Case
High

Insider wallets (29.3% dumpable supply at zero cost basis) begin distributing into the current elevated price, the $25,148 liquidity pool is overwhelmed, and the token loses 80–95% of its current value within 24–72 hours. The unverified contract may additionally contain a rug mechanism that allows the deployer to drain liquidity directly.

  • -Pre-launch transfer recipients (top three whales) selling their zero-cost-basis positions into the 72% pump
  • -Unverified contract enabling a deployer-triggered liquidity drain or mint function that collapses the price

Analysis Details

GeneratedAug 1, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp; token is 2 hours old
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000080137170296623
Market Cap$80.1K
24h Volume$304.7K
Holders306
Liquidity$25.1K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Trading volume metrics (24h/4h/1h windows)
Smart contract security assessment
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral intel
Notable recent on-chain swap data

Limitations

  • •Token is only 2 hours old with zero OHLC history, making all technical analysis and price targets impossible to compute from historical data
  • •Smart-money / profitable-trader cohort data is unavailable for this token, preventing assessment of informed investor positioning
  • •The unverified contract means the full token mechanics (fees, mint functions, blacklists) cannot be confirmed from source code
  • •Token name and description fields are supplied by the token creator and are treated as untrusted data; the CZ name association cannot be verified as authorized or legitimate

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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