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关山月 Price Today & AI Analysis

关山月BNB ChainAnalysis as of Aug 7, 2026

Price

$0.008165

-4.32% 24h

Contract

Live
0xdea5a7a216c867df782779f4ab0e3b2ab868f2e3

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

24.2K

Market cap

$816.50K

Liquidity

$63.74K

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关山月: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-07 13:04 UTC

Holder addresses

2,603

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$129,451.52
How concentrated is 关山月 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 2,603 addresses (2026-08-07 13:04 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 关山月?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 关山月 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-07 13:04 UTC, reported liquidity was $129,451.52. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-07 13:04 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 7, 2026, 01:04 PM UTC

Market Cap

$911.58K

24h Volume

$407.48K

Liquidity

$129.45K

FDV

—

Holders

2,603

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

关山月 is a BNB Chain token launched 35 hours ago with a current market cap of approximately $912K and $129K in liquidity. It executed a 292% price pump in its first 4-hour window, which is now reversing, with the 1-hour price down 9.7%. The project has no verified contract, no description, no social presence, and a deployer profile consistent with a serial launcher — 14 deployments from an 11-day-old wallet funded by an unlabelled source. The combination of a zero-cost airdrop majority, insider pre-allocations at genesis, and an unverified contract places this token firmly in the high-risk speculative category.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 7, 2026, 01:04 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extreme launch-pump price action (+292% in 4 hours) followed by immediate reversal, consistent with coordinated pump-and-distribute mechanics
  • 71% of holders acquired tokens via airdrop at zero cost, an unusually high ratio that suppresses any meaningful cost-basis floor
  • Deployer pre-allocated 16.7 million tokens (16.7% of supply) to five separate wallets in the genesis block before any public trading began

关山月 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token launched 35 hours ago and posted a 292% gain in its first 4-hour trading window, a classic launch-pump pattern. The 1-hour price is already down 9.7%, signalling the initial momentum is fading rapidly. With 71.6% of holders acquiring via airdrop and a deployer who pre-allocated 16.7 million tokens to five wallets at genesis, near-term selling pressure is structurally elevated.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Without a verified contract, no disclosed use case, no social presence, and a deployer wallet only 11 days old that has already made 14 contract deployments — a serial-launcher pattern — the medium-term outlook is bearish. Sustained price appreciation requires organic demand that has not yet been demonstrated. The 14.4% dumpable supply concentrated in individual whale wallets, combined with 1,845 airdrop recipients who received tokens at zero cost, creates persistent overhead supply.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy pressure stands at 54.3% of 24h volume ($221,064 buys vs $186,420 sells), indicating more capital entering than exiting in the launch window.
  • 1,092 buy transactions from 671 unique buyers in 24 hours suggests broad initial retail interest rather than a single actor driving volume.
  • The largest protocol/contract wallet holds 45.46% of supply and is classified as non-dumpable, meaning the majority of concentrated supply cannot be sold into the market.

Bearish Factors

  • The 1-hour price decline of 9.7% after a 292% launch pump is a textbook post-pump fade, indicating the initial buying wave has exhausted itself.
  • 1,845 of 2,603 holders (71%) received tokens via airdrop at zero cost, creating a large cohort with no acquisition cost basis and maximum incentive to sell at any price.
  • The deployer (0xe057d618) is only 11 days old, was funded by an unlabelled wallet, and has 14 contract deployments in its first 100 transactions — a serial-launcher/disposable-deployer profile that materially raises rug-pull risk.
  • The contract is unverified (security score 53/100), meaning the token's code cannot be independently audited and hidden mint or fee functions cannot be ruled out.
  • The 11.13% whale (0xa7412b) acquired its entire position via transfer or airdrop with no DEX swaps recorded — it was handed supply at genesis, not earned through market participation, making it a pure distribution risk.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

关山月 call history

Full track record →

Aug 7bearish
24h+49.7%
7d+47.9%
30d-20.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xdea5...f2e3
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Rug-pull risk: The deployer's 11-day-old wallet with 14 prior deployments, funded by an unlabelled source, matches the profile of a serial disposable deployer. Combined with an unverified contract, the risk of a sudden liquidity removal or malicious contract action is material.
  • Airdrop dump cascade: 1,845 holders (71%) received tokens at zero cost. If even 10–20% of these wallets sell simultaneously, the thin $129K liquidity pool would be overwhelmed, potentially causing a 50–90% price collapse.
  • Insider pre-allocation: The deployer transferred 16.74 million tokens to five wallets at genesis with no disclosed vesting. These wallets can sell at any time with no on-chain restriction, representing a persistent and unquantifiable overhead supply risk.

Trading Insight

bearish

While raw buy/sell counts lean slightly bullish (54.3% buy pressure), the 9.7% hourly price decline despite ongoing buy transactions suggests sellers are absorbing demand efficiently. The trading pattern — high transaction counts concentrated in the first hours after launch — is characteristic of a launch-pump event rather than organic accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The only meaningful price data available is the 4-hour window showing a 292% pump followed by a 9.7% hourly decline — a classic pump-and-fade structure. With no prior OHLC history and the initial momentum clearly reversing, the short-term trend is bearish. Medium-term trend cannot be assessed from historical data but the structural conditions (airdrop overhang, insider supply, unverified contract) favour continued downward pressure.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 292% price move in 4 hours on thin liquidity ($129K) is a textbook overbought condition. The subsequent 9.7% hourly decline confirms momentum is unwinding. Without RSI or MACD data, the overbought assessment is based purely on the magnitude of the launch pump relative to liquidity depth.

Volume Analysis

Buy

54.3%

Sell

45.7%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

The 1-hour window captured 675 buys and 597 sells — 62% of total 24h transactions — but the price is already declining, indicating that even with continued buying activity, sell pressure is winning at the margin. Volume is front-loaded to the launch event and is decelerating, which typically precedes further price weakness in newly launched tokens.

Recent Price Action

Launch pump followed by rapid reversal: +292% in the first 4-hour window, then -9.7% in the most recent 1-hour period, with a minor -0.67% in the last 5 minutes suggesting the sell-off is slowing but not reversing.

This pattern — sharp vertical launch followed by immediate fade — is associated with coordinated launch pumps where early insiders or airdrop recipients distribute into retail buying. It rarely resolves into sustained uptrends without a fundamental catalyst.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 292% price move in 4 hours followed by a 9.7% hourly reversal on $129K liquidity demonstrates extreme volatility. The thin liquidity pool means even moderate sell orders produce outsized price impact in either direction.

  • LiquidityHigh

    At $129K total liquidity against a $912K market cap (14.2% ratio), exit liquidity is severely limited. Large holders attempting to sell would face substantial slippage, and a coordinated exit could collapse the price rapidly.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an anonymous, uncategorised BNB Chain token with no disclosed team or jurisdiction, the token faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to all unregistered crypto assets, with no specific additional regulatory risk identified beyond the baseline.

Key Risks

  • Rug-pull risk: The deployer's 11-day-old wallet with 14 prior deployments, funded by an unlabelled source, matches the profile of a serial disposable deployer. Combined with an unverified contract, the risk of a sudden liquidity removal or malicious contract action is material.
  • Airdrop dump cascade: 1,845 holders (71%) received tokens at zero cost. If even 10–20% of these wallets sell simultaneously, the thin $129K liquidity pool would be overwhelmed, potentially causing a 50–90% price collapse.
  • Insider pre-allocation: The deployer transferred 16.74 million tokens to five wallets at genesis with no disclosed vesting. These wallets can sell at any time with no on-chain restriction, representing a persistent and unquantifiable overhead supply risk.

Mitigating Factors

  • The 45.46% protocol/contract wallet is non-dumpable, meaning over half the supply is structurally locked from market selling pressure.
  • The 11.13% whale (0xa7412b) has shown no DEX swap activity since receiving its position, and its wallet history dates to September 2025 — it is not a fresh sybil account, suggesting it may be a longer-term holder rather than an immediate flipper.

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who fully understand the risks of newly launched, unverified tokens and can afford to lose their entire investment. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with BNB Chain memecoin/launch dynamics.

关山月 is a 35-hour-old, unverified BNB Chain token with no disclosed fundamentals, a serial-launcher deployer profile, and a 71% airdrop holder base — the structural conditions strongly favour a bearish outcome. The only credible bull case rests on speculative momentum continuation, which is already showing signs of exhaustion.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The initial pump attracts broader speculative attention, a community forms organically around the classical Chinese poetry theme, and the deployer reveals a legitimate project roadmap. Continued buy pressure from the 671 unique buyers expands, liquidity deepens, and the token establishes a higher price floor above the launch level.

  • Sustained retail buying momentum beyond the initial launch window
  • Deployer credibility established through contract verification and public team disclosure

Base Case

The token experiences a gradual post-launch bleed as airdrop recipients sell and initial speculative interest fades. Price drifts down 60–80% from peak over the next 7–30 days, stabilising at a low level with minimal trading activity and a small residual holder base.

  • No major exchange listing or viral social catalyst emerges to reignite demand
  • The deployer does not execute an immediate rug pull but also does not build out a legitimate project

Bear Case

High probability

The post-pump reversal accelerates as airdrop recipients and genesis pre-allocation wallets begin selling into the thin $129K liquidity pool. The unverified contract is exploited or the deployer removes liquidity, collapsing the price to near zero. This is the base expectation given the structural evidence.

  • 1,845 zero-cost airdrop holders begin selling as the price fades from its 292% peak
  • Deployer executes a rug pull via liquidity removal or malicious contract function, consistent with the serial-launcher profile

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 7, 2026, 01:04 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-07 13:04 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.009165533482179265

Market Cap

$911.6K

24h Volume

$407.5K

Holders

2,603

Liquidity

$129,451.52

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)Trading volume metrics (24h DEX swap data)Smart contract security assessmentToken genesis and deployer wallet forensicsWhale wallet behaviour lookup

Limitations

  • Token is only 35 hours old with no OHLC price history, making technical analysis and price target derivation impossible; all trend assessments are based on the single 4-hour launch window.
  • No smart-money cohort data is available, preventing assessment of profitable trader positioning.
  • The unverified contract means hidden tokenomics mechanics (fees, minting, blacklists) cannot be identified or ruled out.
  • Genesis pre-allocation wallet identities (0xbdadc6, 0x088bd1, 0x2ca676, 0xc92d32, 0xdccdeb) were not individually classified in the top-holder data, so their current holdings and sell intentions are unknown.

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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