马上成功

郑成功骑马 Price Today & AI Analysis

马上成功BNB ChainAnalysis as of Jul 21, 2026

Price

$0.052436

+0.00% 24h

Contract

Live
0xd95b83a8c0f72b0da70dcea885e4c459975affff

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

54

Market cap

$2.44K

Liquidity

$2.43K

At a $1M market cap, $马上成功 would be $0.001000 (411x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is 马上成功 a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 16

Not checked

This contract has not been tested for honeypots or taxes yet.

Launch wallets hold

0.03%3 snipers, 1 insider still holding

The honeypot and tax test has not run on this contract yet, so no red flags here does not mean a clean contract. Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

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3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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郑成功骑马: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-21 04:01 UTC

Holder addresses

702

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is 郑成功骑马 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 702 addresses (2026-07-21 04:01 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 郑成功骑马?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 郑成功骑马 liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-21 04:01 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 21, 2026, 04:01 AM UTC

Market Cap

$156.22K

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

702

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

This is an anonymous BNB Chain token launched approximately 1 hour ago with a $156K market cap, an unverified contract, and no publicly available project description or social presence. The token genesis shows the entire 1 billion supply was minted to the deployer proxy and then redistributed internally before any public trading, with a single wallet (0xba48f3…) receiving 789.9M tokens (~79% of supply) via direct transfer — that wallet now holds 44.87% of circulating supply. The deployer is a 36-day-old wallet with no prior deployment history and an unknown funding source, matching a disposable-deployer pattern. Combined with an unverified contract and net sell pressure in early trading, this token presents a very high risk profile.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 21, 2026, 04:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Entire supply was pre-allocated via internal transfers before public trading began, with the largest recipient holding 44.87% and having no DEX swap history on this token.
  • Deployer wallet is 36 days old with zero prior contract deployments and unknown funding origin — a forensic pattern consistent with a purpose-built launch wallet.
  • Contract is unverified on BNB Chain, making independent code review impossible and leaving all tokenomic mechanics opaque.

郑成功骑马 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

This token is only 1 hour old with no OHLC price history to establish any trend. The dominant on-chain signal is a single wallet holding 44.87% of supply that received its position via transfer rather than market purchase, creating immediate and severe dump risk. Early trade flow shows net sell pressure with the three largest recent swaps all being sells totalling ~$2,581 versus buys of ~$821.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a deployer wallet that has never previously deployed a contract, the medium-term outlook is structurally bearish. The 44.87% whale received supply via internal transfer at genesis — not through market buying — meaning there is no cost basis anchoring that position to the current price. Sustained price appreciation would require organic demand that has no visible foundation here.

Bullish Factors

  • 702 holders acquired positions within the first hour entirely via swap (701 of 702), indicating some genuine market-driven demand at launch.
  • Market cap of ~$156K is extremely small, meaning even modest capital inflows could produce significant percentage gains.

Bearish Factors

  • The top wallet (0xba48f3…) holds 44.87% of total supply and acquired it via transfer at genesis — not a market buy — representing ~$70K of dumpable supply with zero cost basis.
  • Contract is unverified on BNB Chain, preventing any independent audit of mint functions, hidden fees, or backdoors.
  • Deployer wallet (0xfc9b9a6e…) is only 36 days old, has zero prior contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, and was funded by an unknown source — a classic disposable-deployer pattern associated with elevated rug risk.
  • Immediate trade flow is net negative: the three largest recent swaps are sells ($1,277 + $736 + $568 = $2,581) versus buys ($440 + $198 + $183 = $821), a 3:1 sell-to-buy ratio by dollar value.
  • No project description, no social links, and no category classification leave investors with zero fundamental basis for valuation.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xd95b...ffff
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Rug pull / liquidity removal: The unverified contract and disposable-deployer pattern (36-day-old wallet, zero prior deployments, unknown funding) are the forensic hallmarks of a token designed for a short-term exit. The deployer retains the ability to remove liquidity or exploit contract functions at any time.
  • Genesis whale dump: Wallet 0xba48f3… holds 44.87% of supply acquired at zero market cost via genesis transfer. A partial or full liquidation of this position would be catastrophic for price given the thin liquidity, and there is no on-chain mechanism preventing it.
  • Honeypot risk: Without verified source code, buyers cannot confirm that sell transactions will succeed. Unverified BNB Chain contracts frequently implement sell restrictions that only become apparent after purchase, trapping retail capital.

Trading Insight

bearish

Early trading sentiment is net bearish by dollar volume, with sells outpacing buys roughly 3:1 in the largest recent swaps. The 702 holders acquired positions almost exclusively via swap, suggesting genuine retail participation, but the small transaction sizes (largest buy is only $440) indicate limited conviction from buyers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

No OHLC price history exists for this token as it launched approximately 1 hour ago. Without any candlestick data, swing highs, swing lows, or moving averages, no technical trend can be determined. The trend classification of 'sideways' reflects the absence of directional price data rather than genuine consolidation.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, Stochastic) cannot be computed without OHLC history. The only available momentum proxy is the buy/sell flow ratio from recent trades, which shows net sell pressure, but this is insufficient to classify momentum on a standard technical basis.

Volume Analysis

Buy

24%

Sell

76%

Volume Trend

Stable

Only 6 notable trades are observable in the first hour of trading, with total volume of approximately $3,402. This is extremely thin liquidity for a $156K market cap token. The sell-side dominates at ~76% of dollar volume versus ~24% for buys, but the absolute figures are too small to draw reliable conclusions about sustained volume trends.

Recent Price Action

No price pattern is identifiable; the token has only one hour of trading history with no OHLC data available.

The absence of price history means there are no established support or resistance levels, no chart patterns, and no technical basis for entry or exit decisions.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

92/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 1-hour-old token with a $156K market cap, shallow liquidity, and a 44.87% insider wallet that can sell at any time will experience extreme price volatility. Even small sell orders relative to the total supply can cause double-digit percentage price moves.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an anonymous, uncategorized BNB Chain token with no disclosed team or jurisdiction, this token faces the standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to all unregistered crypto assets. No specific regulatory risk beyond the baseline is identifiable from available data.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull / liquidity removal: The unverified contract and disposable-deployer pattern (36-day-old wallet, zero prior deployments, unknown funding) are the forensic hallmarks of a token designed for a short-term exit. The deployer retains the ability to remove liquidity or exploit contract functions at any time.
  • Genesis whale dump: Wallet 0xba48f3… holds 44.87% of supply acquired at zero market cost via genesis transfer. A partial or full liquidation of this position would be catastrophic for price given the thin liquidity, and there is no on-chain mechanism preventing it.
  • Honeypot risk: Without verified source code, buyers cannot confirm that sell transactions will succeed. Unverified BNB Chain contracts frequently implement sell restrictions that only become apparent after purchase, trapping retail capital.

Mitigating Factors

  • Full circulating supply from day one eliminates the risk of a scheduled token unlock event creating future programmatic sell pressure.
  • 702 holders acquired positions via swap in the first hour, confirming the DEX pool is currently functional and sells are executing — providing at least initial evidence against a complete honeypot.

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who fully understand the risks of unverified contracts, insider-allocated supply, and micro-cap BNB Chain tokens — and who are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is not suitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible speculative position.

There is no constructive investment thesis for this token based on available data. The combination of an unverified contract, a disposable deployer, a 44.87% insider wallet with zero cost basis, no project description, and net sell pressure in the opening hour creates a risk profile that is dominated by downside scenarios.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The token gains viral traction on social media within the first 24–48 hours, driving a wave of retail buyers that absorbs the insider supply and pushes market cap into the millions. The deployer reveals a legitimate project with a roadmap and locks liquidity, converting speculative interest into sustained demand.

  • Unexpected viral social media catalyst that drives retail FOMO buying
  • Deployer voluntarily locks liquidity and publishes verifiable project documentation

Base Case

The token trades with extreme volatility for 24–72 hours as early buyers and small sellers interact in a thin market, then gradually loses volume and holder interest as no project narrative emerges, resulting in a slow price decline toward negligible value.

  • No major viral catalyst emerges to sustain retail demand beyond the initial launch window
  • The genesis whale delays but eventually liquidates its position, creating sustained downward pressure

Bear Case

High probability

The genesis whale (0xba48f3…) begins selling its 44.87% position into the thin liquidity pool, collapsing the price by 80–95% within hours. Alternatively, the deployer removes liquidity entirely via an unverified contract function, rendering remaining holder positions worthless.

  • Genesis whale liquidates its zero-cost-basis 44.87% position into shallow liquidity
  • Deployer exploits unverified contract to remove liquidity or execute a honeypot trap

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 21, 2026, 04:01 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-21 04:01 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$156.2K

24h Volume

$0

Holders

702

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain / BSC)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Token genesis and deployer wallet forensicsWhale wallet behavioral lookupNotable recent DEX swap dataSmart contract metadata (verification status, deployment age)

Limitations

  • No OHLC price history exists — all technical analysis is based on trade flow proxies rather than candlestick data, making price-level analysis impossible.
  • No project documentation, whitepaper, or team information is available, preventing any fundamental valuation or use-case assessment.
  • Liquidity pool depth data was not provided, so slippage estimates are qualitative rather than quantitative.
  • Smart-money profitable-trader cohort data is unavailable, preventing assessment of informed capital positioning.
  • The unverified contract means tokenomic mechanics (fees, mint functions, transfer restrictions) are unknown and could materially affect all conclusions.

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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