巴斯德

巴斯德 Price Today & AI Analysis

巴斯德
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 20, 2026

$0.052410

+0.00%24h
LiveContract:0xd87c1bb472657edfae60a6f1e6e49aced9c3ffffChain:BNB ChainHolders:41Market cap:$2.41KLiquidity:$2.40K

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Movement since reportreport from Jul 20, 2026, 01:00 PM UTC
Market Cap

$156.41K

24h Volume

$111.43K

Liquidity

$37.91K

FDV

Holders

635

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

巴斯德 is a BNB Chain token launched approximately 1 hour ago with a $156,411 market cap, no verified contract, no project description, and no social presence. The token surged 130% in its first hour driven by 745 unique buyers, but the structural setup is dominated by a single insider wallet holding 50.65% of supply acquired via pre-market transfer before any trading began. The deployer is a 35-day-old wallet with no prior deployments funded from an unknown source, matching a disposable-deployer pattern. With 59.9% of supply in dumpable individual whale wallets and no verifiable utility, this token carries extreme risk.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranJul 20, 2026, 01:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Extreme insider concentration: a single pre-market transfer recipient controls 50.65% of the entire 1 billion token supply
Zero-deployment disposable deployer: the mint wallet is 35 days old with no prior contract history and unknown funding source
Unverified contract on BNB Chain with no disclosed utility, description, or community infrastructure

巴斯德 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

This token is only 1 hour old and has already surged 130% in its first hour of trading, a classic pump pattern driven by early insider accumulation rather than organic demand. With a single wallet holding 50.65% of supply acquired via transfer before any market activity, the structural setup strongly favors a sharp reversal. The 2.7:1 buy-to-sell transaction ratio may reflect coordinated buying to inflate price ahead of a dump.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Without a verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a deployer wallet with zero prior contract deployments funded from an unknown source, there is no fundamental basis for sustained medium-term price appreciation. The 50.65% whale holding acquired via pre-market transfer represents a dominant overhang that could be liquidated at any time. Survival beyond 30 days is uncertain given the absence of any identifiable utility or community infrastructure.

Bullish Factors
  • +854 buy transactions from 745 unique buyers in the first hour suggests broad initial retail interest, not just a handful of coordinated wallets
  • +Net buy pressure of 53.3% ($59,352 buys vs $52,080 sells) shows more capital entering than exiting in the token's first hour
  • +Holder count grew from 12 to 635 within the first hour, indicating rapid organic spread across the holder base
Bearish Factors
  • -The top holder (0xba48f3…) controls 50.65% of total supply and acquired this position via pre-market transfer — not a market buy — making this a dumpable insider allocation representing the single largest concentration risk
  • -Contract is unverified on BNB Chain, meaning the source code cannot be audited for hidden mint functions, blacklists, or rug mechanisms
  • -The deployer wallet (0xfc9b9a6e…) is only 35 days old, has zero prior contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, and was funded from an unknown source — a classic disposable-deployer pattern associated with higher rug risk
  • -No project description, no social links, and an uncategorized token type provide zero fundamental basis for valuation; the token name and symbol are identical Chinese characters with no disclosed utility
  • -The 130% price surge occurred entirely within the first hour and has not extended further in the 4h or 24h windows (all three show identical 130.23% figures), indicating the pump stalled immediately after launch

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

巴斯德 call history

Full track record →
Jul 20bearish
24h-98.4%
7d-98.4%
30d

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0xd87c...ffff
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Rug pull risk: the 50.65% insider wallet (0xba48f3…) holds tokens acquired for free via pre-market transfer and could sell the entire position at any time, collapsing the price and draining liquidity
Unverified contract risk: without source code verification, hidden malicious functions (blacklist, unlimited mint, transfer tax manipulation) cannot be detected or ruled out
Zero fundamental value: no project description, no utility, no team, no social presence, and no roadmap means the token has no intrinsic value floor — price is entirely dependent on speculative demand

Trading Insight

neutral

Surface-level trading metrics show mild buy dominance with 53.3% buy pressure and 854 buy transactions versus 318 sell transactions in the token's first hour. However, the identical transaction counts across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows confirm all activity occurred in a single burst at launch, with no sustained trading flow since. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated launch pump rather than organic accumulating demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The short-term trend is technically an uptrend given the 130% launch-hour surge, but this reflects a single pump event rather than sustained directional momentum — the price has not moved since the initial spike. With no OHLC history beyond one hour and no follow-through buying, the medium-term trend is effectively sideways at the post-pump level. The stalled price action after the initial surge is a warning that buying pressure has been exhausted.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 130% gain in the first hour of a token's existence with no subsequent price movement is a textbook overbought condition. All buying activity occurred in a single burst; the absence of any new transactions after the launch window confirms momentum has completely stalled. Without fresh catalysts or new buyers, the path of least resistance is downward.

Volume Analysis

Buy 53.3%Sell 46.7%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

All $111,432 in volume was generated in the token's first hour. The identical 1h/4h/24h transaction counts confirm zero volume has occurred since the launch burst, making the volume trend effectively a cliff — high at open, zero thereafter. This is the most bearish volume pattern possible for a newly launched token.

Recent Price Action

Single-hour launch pump of 130.23% followed by complete price stagnation — the current price of $0.0001504 has not changed since the initial burst, with no new candles forming.

This pattern — sharp vertical launch followed by immediate price freeze — is characteristic of a coordinated pump where early insiders inflate price to attract retail buyers, then pause before distributing. It does not indicate organic price discovery.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders635
24h Change+635
Growth Rate+100%

All 635 holders joined within the token's first hour, which is the entirety of its existence. While the raw growth rate is 100% (from 0 to 635), this reflects a launch event rather than sustained organic growth. The holder trajectory data showing 12 → 727 over 31 days is forward-looking context; the current 635 holders represent the complete holder base as of 1 hour post-launch.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders69%
Top 100 Holders92%
Retail Holders8.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

While the top 10 hold 69% of supply, the critical risk is not spread across those 10 wallets — it is concentrated in a single insider address holding 50.65%. The protocol/contract at position 2 (12.56%) is classified as non-dumpable, reducing the dumpable supply to 59.9%. However, that 59.9% is dominated by the 50.65% single-wallet position, which alone could collapse the price if sold. Retail holders control only 8% of supply, meaning they have virtually no price influence.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

The six largest on-chain swaps captured are all buys ranging from $151 to $564 — modest retail-scale transactions with no large external whale accumulating through the market. The dominant 50.65% holder acquired supply via pre-market transfer, not through any recorded DEX swap.

  • BUY $564 by 0xf414c1… — largest market buy recorded, retail scale
  • BUY $377 by 0x21ce80… — second largest market buy, consistent with retail participation

The absence of any large DEX sell transactions from the 50.65% insider wallet means the position is currently holding, but this provides no comfort — the wallet has no history of prior activity and received its tokens for free, so any sale would be pure profit at any price. The small size of the largest market buys ($564 maximum) confirms no sophisticated external capital has entered.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token; no profitable-trader cohort analysis can be performed.

Smart-money data is unavailable. Given the token is 1 hour old with an unverified contract and no project fundamentals, the absence of any identifiable profitable-trader cohort is itself informative — sophisticated capital has not taken a position through the market.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$37,911.78
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

With only $37,912 in liquidity against a $156,412 market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 24% — shallow for any meaningful position. A sell of even a few thousand dollars would cause significant slippage, and the 50.65% insider position (worth ~$79,200 at current price) could not be exited without catastrophically moving the price against itself, unless liquidity is added or the pool is manipulated.

Overall Risk:
Very High
94/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 130% price surge in the first hour of existence with zero subsequent movement demonstrates extreme volatility potential. With shallow liquidity ($37,912) and a dominant insider holding, any large sell could trigger a cascade that retail holders cannot absorb.

Liquidity
High

The $37,912 liquidity pool is insufficient to support meaningful position sizes. The 50.65% insider holding (~$79,200 at current price) exceeds total liquidity, meaning a full insider exit would drain the pool entirely and render the token untradeable.

Concentration
High

Dumpable supply stands at 59.9%, dominated by a single insider wallet at 50.65% that received tokens via pre-market transfer at zero cost. This wallet has no trading history and was created on launch day, making it a high-probability insider/sybil address with no price floor for selling.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified on BNB Chain with no published source code. The deployer has zero prior deployment history, making code quality assessment impossible. Hidden functions such as mint, blacklist, or fee manipulation cannot be excluded.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized BNB Chain token with no disclosed jurisdiction, team, or utility, it faces standard DeFi regulatory uncertainty. The lack of any project identity makes regulatory targeting unlikely but also means no legal recourse exists for investors in case of fraud.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: the 50.65% insider wallet (0xba48f3…) holds tokens acquired for free via pre-market transfer and could sell the entire position at any time, collapsing the price and draining liquidity
  • Unverified contract risk: without source code verification, hidden malicious functions (blacklist, unlimited mint, transfer tax manipulation) cannot be detected or ruled out
  • Zero fundamental value: no project description, no utility, no team, no social presence, and no roadmap means the token has no intrinsic value floor — price is entirely dependent on speculative demand

Mitigating Factors

  • Sell transactions have been processed (318 sells recorded), indicating the contract is not a pure honeypot at launch
  • Broad initial retail participation (745 unique buyers) suggests some organic interest, though this does not offset structural risks

Investor Suitability

This token is unsuitable for any risk-averse investor. Given the unverified contract, insider-dominated supply, disposable deployer, and complete absence of project fundamentals, only highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand rug pull mechanics and can afford total loss of capital should consider any interaction — and only with amounts they are fully prepared to lose entirely.

巴斯德 presents no credible investment thesis based on fundamentals. The only speculative case rests on momentum continuation from the launch pump, which has already stalled. The structural setup — insider-held majority supply, unverified contract, disposable deployer — is consistent with a short-lifecycle token designed to extract value from retail buyers rather than create it.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The project reveals a legitimate use case, verifies its contract, and builds a community that drives sustained buying pressure, pushing the token to new highs beyond the launch pump level.

  • +Unexpected project announcement or utility reveal that attracts genuine developer or community interest
  • +BNB Chain memecoin cycle amplifying speculative inflows to newly launched low-cap tokens
Base Case

Trading activity remains minimal after the launch burst, the token gradually loses value as early buyers take profits, and the insider wallet eventually sells its position — resulting in a near-total loss for retail holders who did not exit during the initial pump.

  • No new project information or utility is disclosed to attract fresh capital
  • The insider wallet eventually liquidates its pre-market allocation into the thin liquidity pool
Bear Case
High

The 50.65% insider wallet begins selling into the thin $37,912 liquidity pool, triggering a price collapse of 80-95% from current levels as retail holders are unable to exit at meaningful prices.

  • -Pre-market insider allocation of 50.65% with zero cost basis provides overwhelming incentive to sell at any price
  • -Stalled post-launch trading volume eliminates the buying pressure needed to absorb insider distribution

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 20, 2026, 01:00 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp; token is approximately 1 hour old
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000150364295897000
Market Cap$156.4K
24h Volume$111.4K
Holders635
Liquidity$37.9K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Trading volume metrics (DEX aggregator)
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis
Smart contract metadata (verification status)

Limitations

  • Token is only 1 hour old with no OHLC price history, making technical analysis and price target computation impossible
  • Unverified contract prevents smart contract risk assessment beyond metadata-level signals
  • No smart-money or profitable-trader cohort data is available for this token
  • Project identity, team, and utility are entirely undisclosed, preventing any fundamental valuation

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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