Moon

Moon cakes Price Today & AI Analysis

MoonBNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 25, 2026

Price

$0.000262

+2525.18% 24h

Contract

Live
0xcec96c69e5263899819676d0690366b1025a7777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

577

Market cap

$262.45K

Liquidity

$58.50K

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Moon cakes: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-25 20:15 UTC

Holder addresses

536

Top 10 supply share

19.58%

Reported liquidity

$53,999.00
How concentrated is Moon cakes ownership?
As of 2026-09-25 20:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 19.58% of supply. It reports 536 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Moon cakes?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 20:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $1,894,846.00 in buys and $1,850,871.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Moon cakes liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +169.84%, from $20,011.76 (2026-09-25 15:00 UTC) to $53,999.46 (2026-09-25 20:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-25 20:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-25 15:00 UTC$20,011.76
2026-09-25 16:00 UTC$35,372.12
2026-09-25 17:00 UTC$45,367.11
2026-09-25 18:00 UTC$48,899.07
2026-09-25 19:00 UTC$55,888.11
2026-09-25 20:00 UTC$53,999.46

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 25, 2026, 08:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$229.34K

24h Volume

$3.75M

Liquidity

$54.00K

FDV

—

Holders

536

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Moon cakes (MOON) is a BSC token deployed on PancakeSwap just 5 hours ago, with a $229,345 fully-diluted market cap and $53,999 in liquidity. It has already seen an extreme +2194% 24h price move followed by a sharp reversal (-8.25% in the last hour, -18.85% in the last 5 minutes), and carries no project description, no verifiable security data, and no per-wallet holder or smart-money visibility. This profile is characteristic of a brand-new speculative meme listing rather than an established project with fundamentals to evaluate.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 25, 2026, 08:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • No differentiated utility or product description was provided
  • Extremely new (5 hours old) with an unproven, highly volatile trading history
  • Meme-style branding ('Moon cakes') backed only by a Twitter presence, with no website or documentation

Moon cakes AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

After an explosive +355.3% move over 4 hours and +2194% over the last 24 hours, the token has begun reversing sharply, down -8.25% in the last hour and -18.85% in the last 5 minutes. This pattern of a parabolic spike followed by an immediate, accelerating pullback is a classic blow-off top signature in thin-liquidity new listings.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

The contract is only 5 hours old, so there is no 7d/30d/90d price history to establish a medium-term trend — this is a genuine data gap, not a balanced trend. Whether the token stabilizes or continues the reversal seen in the last hour will depend entirely on whether new buyers replace the initial wave of speculators.

Bullish Factors

  • 24h buy/sell volume is nearly balanced ($1,894,846 bought vs $1,850,871 sold, 50.6% vs 49.4%), showing no one-sided capitulation yet despite the recent price pullback
  • 536 holders and 1,314 unique buyers accumulated within the first 5 hours indicates meaningful initial retail interest for a brand-new listing

Bearish Factors

  • Price has reversed sharply after its pump: -8.25% over the last hour and -18.85% in the last 5 minutes, immediately following a +355.3% 4h spike — consistent with a blow-off top
  • 24h trading volume of roughly $3.75M is about 16x the $229,345 market cap and 69x the $53,999 liquidity pool, meaning speculative churn far exceeds the depth available to support it
  • No verifiable holder list, smart-money, deployer, or launch-allocation data exists to rule out insider allocation or rug risk

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Moon call history

Full track record →

Sep 25bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xcec9...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • The token is only 5 hours old with no description, roadmap, or documented use case — a pure speculative launch
  • Price has already round-tripped through a +2194% 24h pump followed by a sharp -18.85% 5-minute reversal, indicating the current price could move violently in either direction
  • Liquidity ($53,999) is thin relative to trading volume (~$3.75M/24h) and market cap ($229,345), creating high slippage and exit-liquidity risk
  • No holder list, smart-money, deployer, or launch-allocation forensics are available, making it impossible to rule out insider concentration or rug potential

Trading Insight

neutral

24h buy and sell volumes are nearly evenly split (50.6% vs 49.4%), indicating no decisive one-sided flow at the aggregate 24h level. However, the most recent price action (-8.25% 1h, -18.85% 5m) suggests short-term momentum has turned negative even as overall daily volume stays balanced.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

Viewed over the 4h/24h window the token is still massively up from its launch price (+355.3% and +2194% respectively), but the most recent 1h (-8.25%) and 5m (-18.85%) moves show a clear reversal underway. This combination — strong medium-window gains with an accelerating short-window decline — is typical of a token topping out shortly after a launch pump.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

The parabolic +355.3% 4h and +2194% 24h moves pushed the token into clearly overextended territory, and the sharp -8.25% (1h) and -18.85% (5m) pullbacks that followed are consistent with overbought momentum unwinding rather than a healthy consolidation.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.6%

Sell

49.4%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Transaction pace has accelerated sharply in recent hours: the 4h window alone accounts for 1,043 buys and 824 sells, versus 1,394 buys and 914 sells for the full 24h period, implying the bulk of the day's activity — and the price spike/reversal — occurred very recently.

Recent Price Action

A parabolic pump (+355.3% over 4h, +2194% over 24h) has been immediately followed by a sharp reversal (-8.25% over 1h, -18.85% over 5 minutes).

This pump-then-reversal pattern typically signals a blow-off top where early buyers and snipers are taking profit into new retail demand, often preceding continued downside if fresh buying does not re-emerge.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token moved +355.3% over 4 hours and +2194% over 24 hours, then reversed -8.25% in the last hour and -18.85% in the last 5 minutes — extreme, rapid swings typical of a fresh, thinly-traded launch.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Liquidity of $53,999 is a small fraction of both the $229,345 market cap and the ~$3.75M in 24h volume, meaning larger trades are likely to face significant slippage and the pool could be vulnerable to being drained.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    The top 10 holders control 19.6% of supply across 536 total holders — a moderate skew above an even distribution, but individual wallet identities and acquisition methods cannot be verified from the available data.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryLow

    No specific regulatory flags are present in the available data; general regulatory uncertainty applicable to all decentralized meme tokens still applies.

Key Risks

  • The token is only 5 hours old with no description, roadmap, or documented use case — a pure speculative launch
  • Price has already round-tripped through a +2194% 24h pump followed by a sharp -18.85% 5-minute reversal, indicating the current price could move violently in either direction
  • Liquidity ($53,999) is thin relative to trading volume (~$3.75M/24h) and market cap ($229,345), creating high slippage and exit-liquidity risk
  • No holder list, smart-money, deployer, or launch-allocation forensics are available, making it impossible to rule out insider concentration or rug potential
  • Contract security/audit data is unavailable, so functions affecting mint, ownership, or sell restrictions cannot be verified

Mitigating Factors

  • 536 holders and 1,314 unique 24h buyers indicate some breadth of participation rather than a single-wallet-controlled launch
  • 24h buy and sell volumes are closely balanced (50.6%/49.4%), showing no immediate one-sided mass exit at the aggregate level

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculative traders who can accept the possibility of total loss; unsuitable for risk-averse, medium-term, or long-term investors given the lack of verifiable fundamentals or security data.

Moon cakes is an unproven, hours-old BSC meme token whose price has already completed a violent pump-and-reversal cycle without any fundamental data to anchor a valuation. Any position should be treated as short-term speculation rather than an investment grounded in fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued social/meme momentum on Twitter draws a fresh wave of buyers that outpaces profit-taking from early participants, extending the holder base beyond the current 536 wallets and stabilizing price above recent lows.

  • 1,314 unique buyers in 24h shows meaningful initial retail attention that could be reignited
  • Buy/sell dollar volume remains nearly balanced (50.6%/49.4%), suggesting demand has not fully collapsed

Base Case

The token remains highly volatile with large intraday swings as it searches for a stable trading range in its first days, with outcome heavily dependent on whether new buyers replace the initial pump participants.

  • No new catalysts, listings, or verifiable project developments emerge in the near term
  • Trading continues to be dominated by short-term speculators rather than long-term holders

Bear Case

High probability

The blow-off top already visible in the last hour (-8.25%) and last 5 minutes (-18.85%) continues as early buyers and snipers exit into thin liquidity, driving the price sharply lower toward or below its pre-pump levels.

  • Liquidity of just $53,999 cannot absorb sustained selling without severe price impact
  • 24h volume of ~$3.75M dwarfs both market cap and liquidity, a pattern often associated with short-lived speculative spikes rather than durable demand

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 25, 2026, 08:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-25 20:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000229344736997

Market Cap

$229.3K

24h Volume

$3.75M

Holders

536

Liquidity

$53,999.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction data, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • No OHLC-derived support/resistance levels could be computed since no historical OHLC data exists for this 5-hour-old token
  • No 7d/30d/90d trend data exists given the token's extremely short trading history

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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