TRX

TRON Price Today & AI Analysis

TRXBNB ChainAnalysis as of Aug 13, 2026

Price

$0.3331

-0.13% 24h

Contract

Live
0xce7de646e7208a4ef112cb6ed5038fa6cc6b12e3

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

53.6K

Market cap

$98.47M

Liquidity

$144.38K

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TRON: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-13 19:15 UTC

Holder addresses

88,994

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$190,784.36
How concentrated is TRON ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 88,994 addresses (2026-08-13 19:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling TRON?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is TRON liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-13 19:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $190,784.36. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-13 19:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 13, 2026, 07:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$92.26M

24h Volume

$157.59K

Liquidity

$190.78K

FDV

—

Holders

88,994

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Bullish

This token is a BNB Chain-bridged representation of TRON (TRX), the established Layer-1 blockchain with over 244 million accounts and 8 billion transactions on its native chain. The contract has been live for 53.9 months and carries a security score of 64/100 with a verified contract. While the underlying TRON project has strong fundamentals, this specific BNB Chain wrapper trades with shallow liquidity (~$190K), a 90-day price decline of -11.8%, and near-stagnant holder growth, making it a niche instrument rather than a primary TRX exposure vehicle. Investors seeking TRX exposure should weigh the liquidity and slippage risks of this wrapper against direct exchange-listed TRX.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 13, 2026, 07:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Bridged TRX on BNB Chain — provides cross-chain utility but introduces bridge counterparty risk and shallow liquidity compared to native TRX
  • 85.08% of supply held in a single protocol/contract address, which is a structural feature of bridged tokens (locked collateral), not a dumpable-whale risk
  • Established 53.9-month track record with 88,994 holders and a verified contract, distinguishing it from speculative new launches

TRON AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

The 7-day trend of +6.2% and a strong 14-day recovery from the $0.2795 low to $0.3123 signal genuine short-term buying momentum. The current price sits at 34% of the 90-day range, meaning there is meaningful upside headroom before the token approaches its period high. Buy pressure at 65% of 24h volume reinforces the near-term bullish bias.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the recent 7-day bounce, the 30-day return of -2.5% and 90-day return of -11.8% confirm a dominant medium-term downtrend. The price at 34% of its 90-day range means it remains structurally closer to the period low ($0.2762) than the high ($0.3815), and a failure to break above major resistance at $0.3815 would likely see renewed selling pressure. The shallow liquidity pool of ~$190K on this BNB Chain wrapper also limits institutional accumulation that could reverse the trend.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price appreciation of +6.2% and a recovery from the 90-day low of $0.2762 to $0.3123 indicate genuine short-term buying momentum
  • Buy volume dominates at 65% of 24h traded volume ($102,424 buys vs $55,169 sells), showing net capital inflow on the day
  • Dumpable supply is only 2.9% of total supply — the six individual whale wallets collectively hold a small enough position that coordinated selling would have limited price impact
  • Token is 53.9 months old with 88,994 holders and a verified contract, indicating an established, non-ephemeral asset

Bearish Factors

  • The 90-day trend of -11.8% and 30-day trend of -2.5% confirm the medium-term price structure is bearish, with the current price sitting at only 34% of the 90-day range
  • Total on-chain liquidity of ~$190,784 is extremely shallow relative to the $92M market cap, creating high slippage risk and unreliable price discovery for this BNB Chain wrapper
  • Sell transaction count heavily outpaces buys in recent windows: 514 sell transactions vs 171 buys in the last 4 hours, and 214 sells vs 49 buys in the last hour, suggesting active distribution by existing holders
  • Holder growth is effectively flat — only 25 net new holders over 30 days (+0.028%) — indicating no meaningful new demand entering the ecosystem on this chain

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

TRX call history

Full track record →

Aug 13bullish
24h+3.9%
7d—
30d+7.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xce7d...12e3
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Liquidity fragility: the ~$190K on-chain liquidity pool means large trades will cause disproportionate price impact, and a sudden withdrawal of liquidity providers could make the token effectively untradeable on-chain
  • Bridge counterparty risk: the value of this wrapper depends entirely on the integrity of the bridge protocol locking native TRX; a bridge exploit or insolvency event could break the peg and render this token worthless regardless of native TRX price
  • Medium-term price trend: the 90-day return of -11.8% and 30-day return of -2.5% indicate the token is in a structural downtrend, and the current 7-day bounce has not yet reversed the broader bearish structure

Trading Insight

bullish

On a 24-hour basis, buy volume ($102,424) outpaces sell volume ($55,169) at a 65/35 ratio, producing a net capital inflow and a modestly bullish sentiment score. However, the intraday transaction pattern tells a more cautious story: sell transactions outnumber buys by roughly 2:1 over 24 hours (608 sells vs 301 buys) and this ratio worsens sharply in the most recent 1-hour window (214 sells vs 49 buys), suggesting that while large buyers are pushing volume, a larger number of smaller holders are actively exiting.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The short-term trend is bullish: the 7-day return of +6.2% and a sequence of recovering daily closes from $0.2795 to $0.3123 confirm upward momentum over the past two weeks. The medium-term picture remains bearish, however, with the 30-day return at -2.5% and the 90-day return at -11.8%, and the current price sitting at only 34% of the 90-day range — structurally closer to the period low than the high. The short-term bounce is occurring within a broader downtrend, which is a classic bear-market relief rally pattern.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 1.9% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a crypto asset, suggesting neither extreme fear nor euphoria. The recent 14-day recovery from $0.2795 to $0.3123 (+11.7%) has absorbed significant downside, but the price remains well below the 90-day high of $0.3815, leaving momentum in a recovery phase rather than a confirmed breakout.

Volume Analysis

Buy

65%

Sell

35%

Volume Trend

Increasing

The 24-hour buy volume of $102,424 against sell volume of $55,169 represents a net inflow of ~$47,255, which is meaningful relative to the $190,784 total liquidity pool. However, the sell transaction count (608) far exceeds buy transactions (301), indicating that volume is being driven by a small number of larger buy orders absorbing a high frequency of smaller sell orders — a pattern that can sustain price in the short term but is fragile if the large buyers step back.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes show a trough-and-recovery pattern: a decline from $0.3104 to a low of $0.2795, followed by a sharp single-session recovery to $0.3123. The recovery candle is the largest single-day move in the visible series.

A sharp single-session recovery after a multi-week decline can signal short-term exhaustion of sellers, but without confirmation from subsequent closes holding above $0.3112 immediate support, the move risks being a one-day spike rather than a trend reversal.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.3112

Major support

$0.2762

Immediate resistance

$0.3136

Major resistance

$0.3815

The immediate support at $0.3112 and resistance at $0.3136 form a very tight $0.0024 band around the current price of $0.3123, meaning the token is at a critical near-term decision point. A close above $0.3136 would open the path toward the major resistance at $0.3815 (the 90-day swing high), while a break below $0.3112 would expose the major support at $0.2762 — the 90-day period low. Given the shallow liquidity, moves between these levels can be swift.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

45/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityLow

    Daily volatility of 1.9% (standard deviation of daily returns over the 90-day window) is relatively modest for a crypto asset, reflecting TRX's status as an established large-cap token. The 90-day range of $0.2762–$0.3815 represents a ~38% spread, which is meaningful but not extreme by crypto standards.

  • LiquidityHigh

    On-chain liquidity of ~$190,784 against a $92M market cap produces a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of ~0.2%, which is critically low. Any position exceeding a few thousand dollars will face material slippage, and the 24-hour buy volume of $102,424 already exceeds 50% of the total liquidity pool — a sign of fragile market depth.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    TRON has faced regulatory scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions, including SEC actions against its founder. As a bridged representation of TRX, this token inherits the regulatory risk profile of the underlying asset. Cross-chain bridge tokens may also face additional regulatory uncertainty as DeFi regulation evolves.

Key Risks

  • Liquidity fragility: the ~$190K on-chain liquidity pool means large trades will cause disproportionate price impact, and a sudden withdrawal of liquidity providers could make the token effectively untradeable on-chain
  • Bridge counterparty risk: the value of this wrapper depends entirely on the integrity of the bridge protocol locking native TRX; a bridge exploit or insolvency event could break the peg and render this token worthless regardless of native TRX price
  • Medium-term price trend: the 90-day return of -11.8% and 30-day return of -2.5% indicate the token is in a structural downtrend, and the current 7-day bounce has not yet reversed the broader bearish structure

Mitigating Factors

  • The underlying TRON network is one of the largest blockchain ecosystems by transaction volume, providing fundamental value support for TRX as an asset class
  • Dumpable supply of only 2.9% from individual whale wallets significantly limits the risk of a coordinated supply dump depressing price

Investor Suitability

This token may be suitable for BNB Chain-native DeFi participants who require TRX exposure within that ecosystem and understand the liquidity and bridge risks involved. It is not suitable for investors seeking primary TRX exposure (who should use exchange-listed native TRX), risk-averse investors, or those requiring high liquidity for position entry/exit. Given the shallow liquidity, only small position sizes are practical without significant slippage.

This BNB Chain TRX wrapper offers exposure to the established TRON ecosystem but is constrained by critically shallow on-chain liquidity, a 90-day bearish price trend, and near-zero holder growth. The investment case hinges on whether the short-term 7-day recovery can overcome the dominant medium-term downtrend, and whether the bridge infrastructure supporting this wrapper remains secure.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A broader crypto market rally lifts TRX's native price, which flows through to this wrapper. The 7-day momentum of +6.2% accelerates, price breaks above the major resistance at $0.3815, and increased cross-chain DeFi activity drives new demand for BNB Chain TRX. Holder growth resumes and liquidity deepens.

  • Sustained break above major resistance at $0.3815 confirming a trend reversal from the 90-day downtrend
  • Broader TRON ecosystem growth (new DApps, stablecoin volume) driving demand for TRX across all chains including this wrapper

Base Case

The token consolidates in the $0.2762–$0.3136 range, tracking native TRX price movements with a liquidity discount. Holder growth remains near-zero, and the wrapper continues to serve a niche cross-chain utility function without attracting significant new capital.

  • Native TRX price remains range-bound, providing a floor for this wrapper's value
  • The bridge protocol remains operational and solvent, maintaining the peg between this wrapper and native TRX

Bear Case

Medium probability

The 7-day bounce fails to hold above immediate support at $0.3112, the dominant 90-day downtrend reasserts, and price retests the major support at $0.2762. Continued stagnant holder growth and thin liquidity amplify downside moves. A bridge-related incident or regulatory action against TRON further pressures the wrapper.

  • Failure to sustain above immediate support at $0.3112 with the 90-day downtrend of -11.8% still structurally intact
  • Liquidity withdrawal from the ~$190K pool making the token illiquid and accelerating price decline on any sell pressure

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 13, 2026, 07:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-13 19:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.312254755180770338

Market Cap

$92.26M

24h Volume

$157.6K

Holders

88,994

Liquidity

$190,784.36

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)90-day daily OHLC price historySmart contract security assessmentWhale wallet forensics and DEX swap historyNotable recent on-chain swap data

Limitations

  • Smart-money (profitable trader cohort) data is unavailable for this token, limiting assessment of sophisticated investor positioning
  • The exchange for this token is listed as 'Unknown', reducing transparency around off-chain price discovery and the full trading volume picture
  • As a bridged token, on-chain price and volume data reflects only BNB Chain activity and may not represent the full TRX market; native TRX trades on 130+ exchanges with far greater liquidity
  • Whale wallet 0x84f734… acquired its position via transfer with no DEX swap history — the original source of funds and intent cannot be determined from available data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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