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大水理论 Price Today & AI Analysis

大水理论BNB ChainAnalysis as of Oct 8, 2026

Price

$0.046742

+237.40% 24h

Contract

Live
0xbcecb5ad1666fd782c9ec2f0157c4549a1117777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

366

Market cap

$67.42K

Liquidity

$13.74K

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大水理论: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-08 09:15 UTC

Holder addresses

366

Top 10 supply share

18.88%

Reported liquidity

$13,739.00
How concentrated is 大水理论 ownership?
As of 2026-10-08 09:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 18.88% of supply. It reports 366 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling 大水理论?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-08 09:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $96,759.00 in buys and $90,462.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 大水理论 liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +69.63%, from $8,126.43 (2026-10-07 10:00 UTC) to $13,784.92 (2026-10-08 09:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-08 09:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-07 10:00 UTC$8,126.43
2026-10-07 11:00 UTC$8,568.92
2026-10-07 12:00 UTC$9,011.81
2026-10-07 13:00 UTC$9,907.53
2026-10-07 14:00 UTC$10,693.70
2026-10-07 15:00 UTC$9,529.24
2026-10-07 16:00 UTC$10,116.70
2026-10-07 17:00 UTC$10,493.64
2026-10-07 18:00 UTC$10,155.38
2026-10-07 19:00 UTC$10,166.75
2026-10-07 20:00 UTC$10,422.33
2026-10-07 21:00 UTC$10,696.77
2026-10-07 22:00 UTC$10,738.83
2026-10-07 23:00 UTC$10,914.65
2026-10-08 00:00 UTC$10,450.48
2026-10-08 01:00 UTC$10,513.47
2026-10-08 02:00 UTC$11,979.41
2026-10-08 03:00 UTC$11,471.87
2026-10-08 04:00 UTC$11,370.08
2026-10-08 05:00 UTC$11,167.89
2026-10-08 06:00 UTC$11,991.23
2026-10-08 07:00 UTC$13,214.72
2026-10-08 08:00 UTC$14,358.66
2026-10-08 09:00 UTC$13,784.92

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders. No qualifying swaps were returned; that does not prove there was no trading.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 8, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$67.42K

24h Volume

$187.22K

Liquidity

$13.74K

FDV

—

Holders

366

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bullish

大水理论 is a BNB Chain token trading on PancakeSwap, 4 days old, with a $67,423 market cap and 1 billion fully circulating supply. Price has risen roughly 372% over five daily closes, and the 24h change is about +237%. Liquidity is only $13,739, and there is no description, category or social presence. It is a very early, speculative asset with little verifiable information.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 8, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely young: 4 days old with only 5 days of price history
  • Active retail participation: 366 holders and 608 unique buyers in 24h
  • Very thin liquidity ($13,739) relative to a $67,423 market cap

大水理论 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

The five daily closes rose in sequence from $0.00001428 to $0.00006742, about a 372% gain over the window, so momentum is clearly up. Price sits at 67% of its 5-day range ($0.000003863 to $0.00009877) and has already retraced from the high. After such a vertical move, sharp pullbacks are likely even if the trend leans up.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Only 5 days of history exist (7d/30d/90d trends are n/a), so there is no established base. Parabolic launch-phase moves in tokens with about $13.7K liquidity usually mean-revert, and 25.8% daily volatility shows how unstable the price is. This is a lean based on the pattern, not on a measured multi-month trend.

Bullish Factors

  • Five consecutive higher daily closes ($0.00001428 to $0.00006742) show persistent demand during the launch phase.
  • Buyers outnumber sellers over 24h (608 vs 539 unique) and across 1h and 4h windows, with 1,213 buys against 1,011 sells.

Bearish Factors

  • Liquidity of $13,739 against a $67,423 market cap is thin, so modest sells can move price sharply.
  • Price is about 32% below the 5-day high of $0.00009877, which suggests early profit-taking after a vertical run.
  • No project description, social links or category exist, so there is no fundamental anchor for the valuation.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

大水理论 call history

Full track record →

Oct 8bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xbcec...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Sharp reversal risk after a 372% five-day run with thin $13.7K liquidity
  • Launch allocation, deployer history and contract behavior could not be inspected
  • No project information, so no fundamental support for price

Trading Insight

bullish

Buy volume is slightly above sell volume (51.7% vs 48.3%), a mild positive tilt. Activity is broad, with 2,224 transactions in 24h, but the balance is near even, so the real signal is the multi-day price climb rather than short-term flow.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Five consecutive rising daily closes define a strong short-term uptrend. There is not enough history to define a medium-term trend, so it is classed as sideways by default rather than observed.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 372% gain over five days, a +31% move in 4h and 25.8% daily volatility put momentum in extended territory. Formal indicators were not computed, but the scale of the move raises pullback risk.

Volume Analysis

Buy

51.7%

Sell

48.3%

Volume Trend

Stable

Hourly and 4h transaction counts are proportionally consistent with the 24h total, indicating sustained activity rather than a single burst. Volume is far above liquidity, which amplifies price swings.

Recent Price Action

A near-vertical five-day advance with accelerating daily gains, reaching a high of $0.00009877 before settling near $0.00006742.

Parabolic launch advances often precede sharp retracements, especially with thin liquidity, though momentum can persist while new buyers keep arriving.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation is 25.8%, and the price gained about 237% in 24h and 372% over five days.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Liquidity of $13,739 is about 20% of market cap, so larger trades face heavy slippage and exits can be difficult.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top-10 holders hold 18.9%, but wallet classification is unavailable, so dumpable supply cannot be determined.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Unclassified speculative tokens with no identified project or team carry general regulatory uncertainty.

Key Risks

  • Sharp reversal risk after a 372% five-day run with thin $13.7K liquidity
  • Launch allocation, deployer history and contract behavior could not be inspected
  • No project information, so no fundamental support for price

Mitigating Factors

  • Moderate aggregate top-10 concentration of 18.9%
  • Broad trading participation with 608 unique buyers in 24h

Investor Suitability

Only for experienced, high-risk-tolerance speculators who accept total loss and can verify the contract independently.

The thesis is purely momentum-driven: price is rising on active retail participation, but there is no verifiable fundamental backing and liquidity is shallow. Risk/reward depends on timing and exit discipline.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Buyer inflow continues, liquidity grows, and the token holds gains while extending the uptrend.

  • Sustained new-buyer participation
  • Liquidity additions that reduce slippage

Base Case

Volatile consolidation with large swings and a gradual fade as launch-phase attention declines.

  • No verified project catalysts emerge
  • Liquidity remains thin relative to volume

Bear Case

High probability

Momentum fades, early buyers take profit, and thin liquidity amplifies a deep retracement of the launch rally.

  • Profit-taking after a 372% advance
  • Shallow liquidity and no fundamental anchor

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 8, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-08 09:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0000674227965271

Market Cap

$67.4K

24h Volume

$187.2K

Holders

366

Liquidity

$13,739.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Only 5 days of price history exist, so 7d/30d/90d trends and key levels could not be computed
  • Launch allocation, deployer profile and smart-money data were unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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