火蝴蝶

火蝴蝶 Price Today & AI Analysis

火蝴蝶BNB ChainAnalysis as of Apr 18, 2026

Price

$0.000796

+1.25% 24h

Contract

Live
0xb19ab935a82bd24d45bd792e3b2348334ed87777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

9.3K

Market cap

$796.11K

Liquidity

$47.97K

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火蝴蝶: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-18 03:24 UTC

Holder addresses

6,312

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$397,031.22
How concentrated is 火蝴蝶 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 6,312 addresses (2026-04-18 03:24 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 火蝴蝶?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 火蝴蝶 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-04-18 03:24 UTC, reported liquidity was $397,031.22. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-18 03:24 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Apr 18, 2026, 03:24 AM UTC

Market Cap

$1.38M

24h Volume

$184.20K

Liquidity

$397.03K

FDV

—

Holders

6,312

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

火蝴蝶 (Fire Butterfly) is a meme/community token on Binance Smart Chain, positioned as an innovative Web3 IP with mechanisms like burning, staking, and AI-driven narratives to differentiate from pure hype-driven memes. Despite a market cap of $1.38M and fully diluted valuation of $17.76M, it shows early-stage growth with 6,312 holders but faces challenges from high sell pressure and concentrated ownership. Currently in a volatile phase with a 13.51% 24-hour decline, it appeals to risk-tolerant investors seeking community-driven projects, though data inconsistencies (e.g., market cap vs. circulating supply) warrant caution.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 18, 2026, 03:24 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Multi-layered mechanisms including burning, staking, and foundation dividends for sustainable value
  • AI-driven meme behavior narratives to enhance scarcity and engagement
  • Focus on building a complete ecosystem under the Flap platform, targeting global Web3 users

火蝴蝶 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token has experienced a significant 13.51% decline over the past 24 hours with higher sell volume ($100,337) compared to buy volume ($83,867), indicating ongoing downward pressure. Transaction counts show more buys (801) than sells (413), but the net sell pressure of 54.5% suggests weakening momentum. Short-term recovery may hinge on increased buy activity, but current trends point to further consolidation or dips.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Over the next 30-90 days, the token could stabilize if community mechanisms like staking and burning drive holder retention, supported by 30-day holder growth of 100%. However, high supply concentration (96% in top 10 holders) poses risks of volatility from whale movements. Overall, the outlook remains neutral unless external catalysts emerge to boost adoption.

Bullish Factors

  • Strong 30-day holder growth of 100%, indicating rapid community expansion and potential for sustained interest
  • Multi-layered mechanisms like burning and staking that could enhance scarcity and long-term value capture

Bearish Factors

  • High sell pressure at 54.5% with 24-hour price drop of 13.51%, signaling potential capitulation
  • Extreme supply concentration with top 10 holders controlling 96%, increasing risk of dumps

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0xb19a...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme supply concentration could lead to sudden price crashes if whales sell
  • Data inconsistencies (e.g., market cap vs. supply) may indicate transparency issues
  • Meme reliance on hype risks fading interest without deliverables

Trading Insight

bearish

Market sentiment leans bearish due to higher sell volume and pressure (54.5%) outweighing buys, despite more buy transactions. This suggests larger sell orders from whales or profit-takers dominating, potentially eroding confidence. Trading patterns indicate caution, with declining holder count in the last 24 hours signaling possible waning interest.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Short-term trend is downtrend, driven by a 13.51% 24-hour drop and negative 1-hour performance of -2.22%, reflecting bearish momentum. Medium-term shows sideways potential with 30-day holder growth countering volatility, but without clear uptrend catalysts. Overall, the token is consolidating after early hype, needing volume spikes to reverse.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

Momentum appears oversold based on the sharp 24-hour decline and lower recent transaction volumes (e.g., 1-hour buys at 13), suggesting potential for a rebound if buy pressure increases; however, persistent sell dominance keeps it vulnerable

Volume Analysis

Buy

45.5%

Sell

54.5%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Volume has trended downward with 4-hour transactions (193 total) lower than 24-hour (1,214), and sell volume exceeding buys, indicating waning interest; this often precedes further drops in illiquid tokens unless reversed

Recent Price Action

Sharp decline followed by minor 4-hour recovery of 2.15%

This pattern typically indicates a potential dead cat bounce in meme tokens, where short-term rebounds fail without sustained volume, often leading to lower lows

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.017

Major support

$0.015

Immediate resistance

$0.018

Major resistance

$0.020

Immediate support at $0.017 aligns with recent lows from 5-minute -0.65% dip, while major support at $0.015 could act as a floor based on liquidity depth; resistance levels at $0.018 and $0.020 may cap recoveries without volume surges, significant due to the token's low market cap and high volatility

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

85/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    13.51% 24-hour drop exemplifies meme token volatility, amplified by low market cap

  • LiquidityMedium

    $397K liquidity supports basic trading but risks slippage on larger orders

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryLow

    As a meme token on BSC, low immediate regulatory scrutiny but general crypto risks apply

Key Risks

  • Extreme supply concentration could lead to sudden price crashes if whales sell
  • Data inconsistencies (e.g., market cap vs. supply) may indicate transparency issues
  • Meme reliance on hype risks fading interest without deliverables

Mitigating Factors

  • Multi-mechanism design for sustainability
  • Rapid holder growth signaling community potential

Investor Suitability

Suitable for high-risk tolerant speculators interested in early-stage memes, not for conservative investors

火蝴蝶 presents an opportunity in the meme space with utility-focused mechanisms, but high concentration and volatility make it speculative. Bull case relies on community growth, while bear case stems from potential dumps. Base case anticipates stabilization with moderate upside if execution succeeds.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Price surges to $0.05+ as mechanisms drive adoption and burning reduces supply

  • Successful staking and AI narrative rollout
  • Viral community growth via social channels

Base Case

Price stabilizes around $0.015-0.025 with gradual ecosystem development

  • No major whale sells
  • Community mechanisms retain holders

Bear Case

High probability

Further declines below $0.01 due to whale dumps and fading hype

  • Continued sell pressure and holder exodus
  • Market-wide meme sector downturn

Analysis Details

Generated

Apr 18, 2026, 03:24 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-18 03:24 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.017761741636784567

Market Cap

$1.38M

24h Volume

$184.2K

Holders

6,312

Liquidity

$397,031.22

Data Sources

On-chain transaction dataHolder distribution analyticsTrading volume metricsSmart contract analysis

Limitations

  • Potential data inconsistencies (e.g., market cap calculation)
  • Lack of long-term historical data for a new token

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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