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YSDAO Price Today & AI Analysis

YSDAO
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 17, 2026

$0.009242

+17.84%24h
LiveContract:0x8d4a7d874cf7d1ec3f209364b7ed073fe889c931Chain:BNB ChainHolders:9.0KMarket cap:$12.11KLiquidity:$1.00

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Ask Unhosted AI about YSDAO

Movement since reportreport from Jun 17, 2026, 11:01 AM UTC
Market Cap

$4.29M

24h Volume

$8.74M

Liquidity

$3.53M

FDV

Holders

8.4K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

YSDAO is a 19-day-old BNB Chain token with a market cap of approximately $4.29M and $3.53M in liquidity, currently experiencing a severe price collapse of 75.3% over 7 days from a high of $16.89 to a current price of $3.27. The token has no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and was deployed by a wallet only 35 days old that was funded by an unlabelled source and has executed 8 prior contract deployments — a profile consistent with serial launchers. While the holder base grew rapidly from 2 to 8,440 in 31 days, growth is now decelerating sharply, and the 24-hour trading data shows overwhelming sell pressure at 76.1% with sell volume outpacing buy volume by more than 3:1. The combination of structural opacity, deployer red flags, insider-allocated whale positions, and a price sitting at its all-time low makes this a very high risk asset at this time.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranJun 17, 2026, 11:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
Unusually high liquidity-to-market-cap ratio (~82%) for a 19-day-old token, suggesting significant capital was seeded into liquidity pools at launch
62.18% of supply is effectively locked or burned (41.09% in protocol/contract + 21.09% in burn addresses), creating a structurally constrained float
Deployer wallet with 8 contract deployments in its first 100 transactions and funding from an unlabelled wallet represents a distinct serial-launcher risk profile not typical of organic project launches

YSDAO AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

YSDAO has collapsed 75.3% over the past 7 days, with the current price of $3.27 sitting at the absolute bottom of its 20-day range ($3.27–$16.89). The 1-hour sell-to-buy transaction ratio of roughly 6.7:1 and buy pressure at only 23.9% confirm that selling pressure remains dominant with no technical floor yet established below current levels.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With only 19 days of price history, no 30d or 90d trend data exists, but the available 20-day OHLC shows a relentless decline from a $16.89 high to $3.27 with daily volatility of 17.1%. The deployer profile — a wallet only 35 days old, funded by an unlabelled wallet, with 8 contract deployments in its first 100 transactions — is consistent with a serial-launcher pattern, raising the probability that the current price collapse is structural rather than a temporary dip. Without a verified contract, disclosed fundamentals, or any social presence, a sustained medium-term recovery lacks credible catalysts.

Bullish Factors
  • +Holder base grew from 2 to 8,440 in 31 days (+8,438 net), indicating rapid early community adoption that could provide a demand base if selling pressure subsides
  • +Dumpable supply is only 24.5% of total supply, as 41.09% sits in a protocol/contract and 21.09% is in burn addresses, meaning the structural float available for panic selling is limited
  • +Total liquidity of $3.53M is substantial relative to the $4.29M market cap, providing a liquidity-to-mcap ratio above 80% which reduces extreme slippage risk for remaining holders
Bearish Factors
  • -Price has fallen 75.3% in 7 days and currently sits at 0% of its 20-day range, meaning there is no OHLC-derived support below $3.27 — the token is in uncharted downside territory
  • -Sell volume of $6.66M dwarfs buy volume of $2.09M over 24 hours (76.1% sell pressure), and the 1-hour window shows 1,471 sell transactions versus only 218 buys — capitulation dynamics are active
  • -The deployer wallet (0x59286e76…) is only 35 days old, was funded by an unlabelled wallet, and executed 8 contract deployments in its earliest 100 transactions — a serial-launcher / disposable-deployer pattern associated with elevated rug risk
  • -The contract is unverified despite a security score of 88/100, and the token has no project description, no social links, and no disclosed use case — fundamental opacity at a time of severe price decline is a critical red flag
  • -The top individual whale (0xd78a15…, 1.34% of supply) acquired its position via transfer rather than market buys, with no indexed DEX swaps — indicating an insider allocation at launch rather than organic market participation

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

YSDAO call history

Full track record →
Jun 17bearish
24h-99.3%
7d-99.5%
30d-99.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x8d4a...c931
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Serial-deployer pattern: the deployer wallet (0x59286e76…) is 35 days old, funded by an unlabelled wallet, and has 8 contract deployments in its first 100 transactions — this profile is statistically associated with tokens that are abandoned or rugged after initial liquidity extraction
Unverified contract with no source code disclosure: hidden owner-privileged functions (mint, pause, blacklist) cannot be ruled out, and the 88/100 security score is based on bytecode heuristics only
Active capitulation dynamics: 76.1% sell pressure, $6.66M sell volume vs $2.09M buy volume in 24 hours, and a 1-hour sell transaction ratio of 6.75:1 indicate the token is in active distribution with no visible demand-side stabilization

Trading Insight

bearish

Market sentiment is decisively bearish, with 76.1% sell pressure and sell volume of $6.66M against buy volume of $2.09M over 24 hours. The 1-hour window is particularly alarming: 1,471 sell transactions versus 218 buys from 296 unique sellers versus 111 unique buyers, suggesting active capitulation rather than a slow bleed.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

The 20-day OHLC shows a clear and sustained downtrend: daily closes moved from $16.05 at the start of the observable history down to $3.27, with the 7-day change at -75.3%. There was a brief consolidation/bounce between days 7–10 (closes of $13.25–$14.13) but this failed to hold, and the subsequent decline accelerated sharply to the current all-time low. With price at 0% of its 20-day range, both short and medium-term trends are unambiguously bearish.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

A 75.3% decline in 7 days with daily volatility of 17.1% places YSDAO in deeply oversold territory by any standard momentum measure. However, oversold conditions in a token with active distribution dynamics and no fundamental support do not reliably predict a bounce — they can persist or worsen if selling pressure continues to dominate, as the current 76.1% sell pressure ratio suggests.

Volume Analysis

Buy 23.9%Sell 76.1%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Sell volume is accelerating across shorter timeframes: the 1-hour sell-to-buy transaction ratio of 6.75:1 is far more extreme than the 24-hour ratio of approximately 1.05:1 by transaction count, confirming that the intensity of selling is increasing intraday. Total 24-hour volume of $8.74M against a $4.29M market cap represents a turnover ratio above 200%, indicating extreme churn consistent with a token under active liquidation.

Recent Price Action

The daily close sequence — $16.05, $15.98, $15.33, $14.31, $13.06, $11.71, $13.25, $14.13, $13.89, $13.88, $13.34, $11.81, $10.74, $3.27 — shows a descending staircase with one failed recovery attempt (days 7–9) followed by a final capitulation drop to $3.27, which is both the current price and the period low.

The failed recovery between $13.25 and $14.13 followed by a collapse to new lows is a classic distribution pattern: temporary price support is provided to allow larger holders to exit, after which the price resumes its decline. The magnitude of the final drop (from $10.74 to $3.27, approximately -70% in a single session) is consistent with a liquidity event or coordinated exit.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$3.27
Major$3.27
Resistance
Immediate$10.83
Major$16.89

Both immediate and major support converge at $3.27 — the current price and the 20-day period low — meaning there is no OHLC-derived support below the current level; any further decline would be into price discovery territory. The immediate resistance at $10.83 represents a prior swing level that would need to be reclaimed (a +231% move from current price) before any bullish technical case could be made. The all-time high of $16.89 serves as major resistance and is effectively a distant target given current conditions.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders8,440
24h Change+38
Growth Rate+0.45%

The holder base grew explosively from 2 to 8,440 over 31 days (+8,438 net), but the trajectory is clearly decelerating — the 7-day gain was +1,824 holders (22%), while the 24-hour gain is only +38 (0.45%). This deceleration coincides with the price collapse, suggesting that new buyer interest is drying up precisely when existing holders are exiting, a combination that removes the demand-side support needed for price stabilization.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders80%
Top 100 Holders87%
Retail Holders13.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

While the top 10 holders control 80% of supply, 62.18% of that is held in non-dumpable addresses: 41.09% in a protocol/contract and 21.09% in burn addresses. The genuine dumpable supply — individual whales and any labelled team/deployer wallets — totals 24.5%, which represents a medium concentration risk rather than a critical one. Retail holders control approximately 13% of supply. The key risk is not the raw top-10 concentration figure but rather the opacity around what the 41.09% protocol/contract address actually does and whether it can release tokens.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The six largest recent on-chain swaps are all sells: five transactions of exactly $1,430 by wallet 0xd812bf… and one $1,430 sell by 0xa5e6a6…. No large buy transactions appear in the notable trades data.

  • Wallet 0xd812bf… executed at least five sell transactions of $1,430 each — a repetitive fixed-size pattern consistent with algorithmic or scripted distribution
  • Wallet 0xa5e6a6… executed one $1,430 sell transaction, appearing alongside 0xd812bf… in the top notable trades, suggesting coordinated or parallel selling activity

All observable notable recent trades are sells, and the top individual whale (0xd78a15…, 1.34%) received its position via transfer at launch rather than through market purchases, confirming insider allocation. The absence of any notable buy transactions in the recent trade data, combined with the scripted-looking sell pattern from 0xd812bf…, indicates that whale-tier participants are in active distribution mode with no visible accumulation counterweight.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money data (profitable-trader cohort) is unavailable for this token; no realized PnL data can be cited.

Smart-money data is unavailable for YSDAO. Given the token genesis data showing the entire supply was minted to a single deployer wallet and redistributed internally before trading began, and given that the top individual whale acquired its position via transfer rather than market buys, the risk of continued insider profit-taking is assessed as high based on structural evidence rather than PnL data.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$3,527,496
Depth:
Moderate
Slippage Risk:
Medium

At $3.53M, liquidity is substantial relative to the $4.29M market cap (an ~82% ratio), which is unusually high for a 19-day-old token and suggests significant capital was seeded into liquidity pools at launch. While this reduces extreme slippage for small trades, the 24-hour sell volume of $6.66M has already exceeded total liquidity, meaning sustained selling at this rate will erode the liquidity pool and increase slippage risk materially over time. The high liquidity-to-mcap ratio may also reflect that liquidity providers are the primary exit mechanism for insiders.

Overall Risk:
Very High
89/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily volatility of 17.1% (standard deviation of daily returns) and a 75.3% price decline in 7 days place YSDAO among the most volatile assets in the crypto market. The single-session drop from $10.74 to $3.27 (~-70%) demonstrates that extreme intraday moves are possible, making position sizing and stop-loss management extremely difficult.

Liquidity
Medium

Current liquidity of $3.53M is high relative to the $4.29M market cap, providing moderate protection against slippage for small trades. However, 24-hour sell volume of $6.66M has already exceeded total pool liquidity, and continued selling at this rate will progressively deepen slippage and could trigger a liquidity crisis if LP providers withdraw.

Concentration
Medium

Although the top 10 holders control 80% of supply, 62.18% is in non-dumpable protocol/contract and burn addresses. The genuine dumpable supply is 24.5%, held by individual whales. The top individual whale (1.34%) received an insider allocation via transfer. This is a medium rather than critical concentration risk, but the insider nature of the whale allocations elevates the effective risk above what the raw numbers suggest.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified, meaning its source code cannot be reviewed for hidden functions such as mint, pause, blacklist, or ownership transfer mechanisms. The deployer's serial-launcher profile (8 deployments from a 35-day-old wallet funded by an unlabelled source) raises the probability that the contract contains non-standard or adversarial logic.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized BNB Chain token with no disclosed jurisdiction, team, or legal structure, YSDAO faces standard DeFi regulatory uncertainty. The lack of any project documentation makes compliance status impossible to assess, and the token's trading patterns could attract regulatory scrutiny in jurisdictions with active enforcement of unregistered securities laws.

Key Risks

  • Serial-deployer pattern: the deployer wallet (0x59286e76…) is 35 days old, funded by an unlabelled wallet, and has 8 contract deployments in its first 100 transactions — this profile is statistically associated with tokens that are abandoned or rugged after initial liquidity extraction
  • Unverified contract with no source code disclosure: hidden owner-privileged functions (mint, pause, blacklist) cannot be ruled out, and the 88/100 security score is based on bytecode heuristics only
  • Active capitulation dynamics: 76.1% sell pressure, $6.66M sell volume vs $2.09M buy volume in 24 hours, and a 1-hour sell transaction ratio of 6.75:1 indicate the token is in active distribution with no visible demand-side stabilization

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply is limited to 24.5% of total tokens, as 62.18% is structurally locked in protocol/contract and burn addresses, capping the maximum potential sell-side pressure from individual wallets
  • Liquidity of $3.53M (~82% of market cap) provides a meaningful buffer against immediate liquidity collapse, giving remaining holders some ability to exit at current prices without catastrophic slippage

Investor Suitability

Given the very high risk profile — unverified contract, serial-deployer pattern, active price collapse, no project documentation, and insider-allocated whale positions — this token is suitable only for highly experienced DeFi participants who fully understand the risks of speculative micro-cap tokens, can afford to lose their entire investment, and have conducted independent due diligence beyond this analysis. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those new to cryptocurrency, or anyone investing capital they cannot afford to lose.

YSDAO presents an extremely asymmetric risk profile: the bear case is well-supported by multiple converging data points (deployer red flags, active distribution, unverified contract, no fundamentals), while the bull case relies on speculative recovery scenarios with no current data support. The token's 19-day age and complete lack of project documentation mean any investment thesis must be treated as highly speculative.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

If the 41.09% protocol/contract holding represents a legitimate staking or governance mechanism, and if the project team releases documentation, verifies the contract, and establishes community channels, the rapid holder growth (2 to 8,440 in 31 days) could provide a demand base for recovery toward the $10.83 immediate resistance level.

  • +Contract verification and project documentation release that legitimizes the utility claim and attracts new buyers
  • +Stabilization of sell pressure below the current $3.27 support level, followed by a volume-backed recovery above $10.83
Base Case

YSDAO continues to trade near its current all-time low of $3.27 with high volatility and declining volume as the initial holder growth phase ends. Without new catalysts, the token stabilizes at depressed prices but fails to recover meaningfully, gradually losing liquidity as LP providers withdraw and holder count stagnates.

  • No new project documentation or contract verification is released in the near term, maintaining the current information vacuum
  • Sell pressure moderates from current extreme levels as the most motivated sellers exit, but buy demand remains insufficient to drive a sustained recovery
Bear Case
High

The deployer, having pre-allocated supply through a multi-hop internal transfer and seeded liquidity, continues to extract value through the liquidity pool as the price declines toward zero. The unverified contract may contain mechanisms that facilitate this, and the decelerating holder growth removes the demand-side support needed to prevent further collapse.

  • -Deployer's serial-launcher profile (8 deployments, 35-day-old wallet, unlabelled funding) is consistent with tokens designed for short-term liquidity extraction rather than long-term value creation
  • -Continued sell pressure (76.1% over 24h, accelerating in the 1-hour window) with no visible accumulation from smart money or whale buyers

Analysis Details

GeneratedJun 17, 2026, 11:01 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$3.272917144562121017
Market Cap$4.29M
24h Volume$8.74M
Holders8,440
Liquidity$3.53M

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Daily OHLC price history (20-day window)
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis
Notable recent on-chain swap data
Smart contract security heuristics

Limitations

  • Token is only 19 days old with no 30d or 90d price history, severely limiting trend analysis and medium-term forecasting reliability
  • No project documentation, whitepaper, or team information is available, making fundamental analysis impossible beyond tokenomics and on-chain behavior
  • Smart-money (profitable-trader cohort) data is unavailable, removing a key signal for assessing informed investor positioning
  • The unverified contract means the full logic of the 41.09% protocol/contract holding cannot be assessed — its true nature (staking, vesting, governance, or adversarial) is unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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