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Paimon Polymarket SPV Token Price Today & AI Analysis

pPOLYBNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 22, 2026

Price

$6.14

+245318.60% 24h

Contract

Live
0x89a1999944e18bcf1151fe91db2b500508f37777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

11

Market cap

$61.31M

Liquidity

$723.92K

More tokens on BNB Chain

PpPOLYPaimon Polymarket SPV Token$0.1967+786938.8%MC $196.61MPpPOLYPaimon Polymarket SPV Token$0.0117728-100.0%MC $10.06MKIIKIIKiichain$0.0822-0.2%MC $21.23MDGAIDGAIDGrid AI$1.07+11.1%MC $159.99MAKEAKEAKE$0.0577+6.8%MC $1.32B

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-22 01:00 UTC

Holder addresses

11

Top 10 supply share

96.00%

Reported liquidity

$723,918.00
How concentrated is Paimon Polymarket SPV Token ownership?
As of 2026-09-22 01:00 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 96.00% of supply. It reports 11 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Paimon Polymarket SPV Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 01:00 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $30,360,514.00 in buys and $29,646,453.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Paimon Polymarket SPV Token liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +90.30%, from $388,434.57 (2026-09-21 17:00 UTC) to $739,175.32 (2026-09-22 01:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-22 01:00 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-21 17:00 UTC$388,434.57
2026-09-21 18:00 UTC$475,174.82
2026-09-21 19:00 UTC$617,252.26
2026-09-21 20:00 UTC$628,319.90
2026-09-21 21:00 UTC$650,985.09
2026-09-21 22:00 UTC$832,666.39
2026-09-21 23:00 UTC$812,044.60
2026-09-22 00:00 UTC$723,918.27
2026-09-22 01:00 UTC$739,175.32

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 22, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC

Market Cap

$61.31M

24h Volume

$60.01M

Liquidity

$723.92K

FDV

—

Holders

11

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token (pPOLY) is an 8-hour-old BNB Chain token trading on PancakeSwap with a $61.3M market cap and $723,918 in liquidity. Despite the naming suggesting a link to Polymarket via a 'Special Purpose Vehicle' structure, no project description, social presence, or documentation is provided, and the token has already retraced roughly 60% from its brief post-launch high of $16.25 to $6.40. With only 11 total holders controlling nearly all supply (96% in the top 10), this token exhibits the classic risk profile of a newly launched, thinly distributed asset.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 22, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely new: launched only 8 hours ago with no established trading history
  • Name references 'Polymarket SPV' but provides zero verifiable documentation, description, or social links to substantiate any real-world tie
  • Concentrated ownership across just 11 wallets holding 96% of total supply

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The two available daily closes show price falling from $7.91 to $6.40 (-19.1%), and the token has retraced roughly 60% from its brief-history high of $16.25 to current levels near $6.40 (39% of the observed range). Intraday swings are extreme (1h -22.4%, 4h +19.0%), reflecting a chaotic post-launch price discovery phase rather than a stable trend.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With the token only 8 hours old, there is no 30d/90d price history to establish a durable trend, but the only data available (a steep drop from an early high of $16.25 to $6.40) points toward continued downward pressure as initial launch demand fades. Extreme holder concentration (96% in the top 10 of just 11 wallets) adds meaningful downside risk if any large holder exits.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy pressure (50.6%) modestly exceeds sell pressure (49.4%) across $60M in combined 24h volume, indicating balanced-to-slightly-positive demand
  • Liquidity pool of $723,918 on PancakeSwap is non-trivial for a token launched hours ago, providing some trading depth
  • High transaction count (2,859 buys vs 2,811 sells, ~5,700 total) shows active two-sided participation rather than one-directional selling

Bearish Factors

  • Price has fallen roughly 60% from its period high of $16.25 to the current $6.40, and the last daily close dropped 19.1% from $7.91 to $6.40
  • Top 10 wallets hold 96% of supply across only 11 total holders, leaving minimal free float for organic price stability
  • Token is 8 hours old with no security assessment available, no social presence, and no description, offering no fundamental anchor for valuation

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

pPOLY call history

Full track record →

Sep 22bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x89a1...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Token is only 8 hours old with no multi-day trend, security audit, or holder-growth history to inform risk assessment
  • 96% of supply concentrated among 10 wallets out of just 11 total holders creates significant dump risk regardless of intent
  • Price has already fallen roughly 60% from its brief-history high of $16.25 to the current $6.40, suggesting early-buyer profit-taking is underway
  • No project description, documentation, or social presence exists to substantiate the 'Polymarket SPV' branding, raising legitimacy questions

Trading Insight

neutral

24h buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced ($30.36M bought vs $29.65M sold, a 50.6%/49.4% split), and buy/sell transaction counts are similarly close (2,859 vs 2,811). This near-equilibrium suggests two-sided speculative trading rather than a clear directional conviction from the market at large.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The only two available daily closes fell from $7.91 to $6.40 (-19.1%), and price sits 39% up from the period low of $0.002486 but roughly 60% below the period high of $16.25, indicating a clear post-launch retracement. Intraday moves are highly erratic (1h -22.4%, 4h +19.0%, 5m +10.4%), consistent with a token still finding equilibrium after an initial pump.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum signals are contradictory across timeframes — a sharp 1-hour decline followed by a 4-hour gain — which reflects high-frequency chop rather than a sustained directional push in either direction; this is typical of the first hours of a new token's life rather than a readable momentum regime.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.6%

Sell

49.4%

Volume Trend

Stable

With only 24 hours of data, a multi-day volume trend cannot be established, but the absolute volume level ($30.36M buys + $29.65M sells against a $61.3M market cap) is very high, indicating intense trading activity concentrated in the token's first day.

Recent Price Action

Price spiked to a period high of $16.25 near launch, then retraced sharply to the current $6.40, now sitting at roughly 39% of its total observed trading range after a 19.1% decline in the most recent daily close.

This pump-then-retrace pattern is characteristic of newly deployed tokens where initial liquidity provisioning and early buying drive a rapid price spike, followed by profit-taking and price discovery correction as the market normalizes.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

90/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Price has moved from a high of $16.25 to a low of $0.002486 within its brief trading history and shows double-digit percentage swings within single hours (e.g., -22.4% in 1h), indicating extreme volatility typical of a token in its first day.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Liquidity of $723,918 is small relative to the $61.3M market cap (roughly 1.2%), meaning larger trades are likely to cause significant slippage and price impact.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    96% of the 10,000,000 token supply sits across just 10 of the 11 total holders; with such a small, concentrated holder base, coordinated or individual large-wallet selling could severely impact price, even though acquisition methods for these wallets cannot be verified.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    The token's name explicitly references a 'Polymarket SPV' (Special Purpose Vehicle) structure, terminology commonly associated with regulated financial products; using such language without any accompanying legal documentation could raise regulatory scrutiny or signal misleading branding.

Key Risks

  • Token is only 8 hours old with no multi-day trend, security audit, or holder-growth history to inform risk assessment
  • 96% of supply concentrated among 10 wallets out of just 11 total holders creates significant dump risk regardless of intent
  • Price has already fallen roughly 60% from its brief-history high of $16.25 to the current $6.40, suggesting early-buyer profit-taking is underway
  • No project description, documentation, or social presence exists to substantiate the 'Polymarket SPV' branding, raising legitimacy questions

Mitigating Factors

  • A functioning $723,918 liquidity pool on PancakeSwap allows for continued price discovery and exit liquidity, however limited
  • Trading activity shows two-sided participation (50.6% buy vs 49.4% sell pressure) rather than one-sided panic selling

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for high-risk speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of total capital loss; not appropriate for investors seeking capital preservation, income, or exposure to an established, audited project.

pPOLY is an extremely young, thinly-distributed BNB Chain token with unverified branding claims and no fundamental documentation. Any thesis here is purely speculative and trading-driven rather than based on established fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If the token successfully establishes broader holder distribution and genuine liquidity growth beyond its current $723,918 pool, and if any real connection to Polymarket-related infrastructure is substantiated, speculative interest could stabilize or push price back toward its early high of $16.25.

  • Verification of a legitimate SPV/Polymarket connection that current data does not support
  • Organic growth beyond the current 11-holder base attracting new demand

Base Case

Most likely, pPOLY continues to exhibit high volatility and thin, concentration-driven trading typical of hours-old tokens, with price remaining sensitive to any single large wallet's activity given the extremely small holder base.

  • No new fundamental information (documentation, audits, partnerships) emerges in the near term
  • The current 11-wallet holder structure does not materially diversify quickly

Bear Case

High probability

Given the 96% concentration among 10 wallets and a 19.1% drop in the most recent daily close on top of a ~60% retracement from the period high, continued selling pressure from early holders or an outright loss of interest (common for undocumented, unbranded new launches) could drive price toward the observed period low of $0.002486.

  • Concentrated holder base with the ability to exert outsized selling pressure
  • Absence of any documentation, roadmap, or community to sustain demand once initial speculative interest fades

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 22, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-22 01:00 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$6.13606668345

Market Cap

$61.31M

24h Volume

$60.01M

Holders

11

Liquidity

$723,918.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • Only two daily OHLC closes exist given the token's 8-hour age, preventing any meaningful 7d/30d/90d trend calculation
  • Individual top-holder identities and acquisition methods could not be inspected, limiting concentration analysis to aggregate figures only

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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