蝴蝶校长

蝴蝶校长 Price Today & AI Analysis

蝴蝶校长BNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 19, 2026

Price

$0.000144

+220.43% 24h

Contract

Live
0x80ea4afa054f35a4d262730bb9441017d5527777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

6.5K

Market cap

$135.73K

Liquidity

$18.94K

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since report

report from Sep 19, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC

Market Cap

$135.73K

24h Volume

$171.98K

Liquidity

$18.94K

FDV

—

Holders

6,499

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

蝴蝶校长 (Butterfly Principal) is a 14-hour-old BSC fan token trading on PancakeSwap with a $135,731 market cap and only $18,938 in liquidity. Despite its extreme youth, it has already attracted 6,499 holders and over 3,600 transactions in 24 hours, but price has fallen roughly 35.5% from its first recorded daily close, with sharp intraday drops of -36.77% (1h) and -14.08% (5m) suggesting a fading initial pump. Described as a fan token for a named Chinese internet personality with no listed social channels, no security audit data, and no per-wallet holder or deployer forensics available, the token carries substantial informational and structural risk typical of freshly launched speculative assets.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 19, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely new launch (14 hours old) with no historical trend data beyond two daily closes
  • Fan-token branding tied to a named individual with no listed official social/community channels
  • Rapid holder acquisition (6,499 holders) despite near-total absence of independent verification data

蝴蝶校长 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token's only two available daily closes show a decline from $0.0002225 to the current $0.0001436 (-35.5%), and the 1-hour (-36.77%) and 5-minute (-14.08%) windows confirm an accelerating breakdown rather than the +220.43% 24h figure, which is merely an artifact of the token launching within that same window. With price sitting near the middle (51%) of its brief $0.000007697–$0.0002747 range, momentum currently favors continued downside.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

With only 14 hours of trading history and just two daily closes, there is no 7d/30d/90d trend to anchor a medium-term directional call. Newly launched fan/meme tokens of this profile typically either fade toward illiquidity within days or occasionally re-pump on renewed social attention, and the current dataset cannot distinguish between these paths.

Bullish Factors

  • 24h buy volume ($89,405) modestly exceeds sell volume ($82,572), a 52%/48% split showing slight net buying pressure
  • 6,499 holders and 3,650 total transactions accumulated within 14 hours indicate strong initial engagement and active trading interest

Bearish Factors

  • Daily closes fell from $0.0002225 to $0.0001436 (-35.5%), and the -36.77% 1-hour move shows an accelerating downtrend
  • Total liquidity of just $18,938 against a $135,731 market cap (~14% liquidity-to-mcap ratio) creates high slippage risk and vulnerability to sharp price crashes
  • No verifiable security audit, deployer history, or genesis allocation data exists, leaving insider allocation and rug risk unassessable

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

蝴蝶校长 call history

Full track record →

Sep 19bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x80ea...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme token age (14 hours) leaves no meaningful track record to evaluate sustainability
  • Liquidity of $18,938 is thin and can be withdrawn or exhausted quickly, a common failure mode for new BSC meme tokens
  • No contract-security, deployer, or genesis-allocation data is available, making it impossible to rule out insider pre-allocation or hidden contract functions
  • A sharp reversal is already underway, with price down ~35.5% from its first recorded daily close and -36.77% in the last hour alone

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading volume is nearly balanced with a 52%/48% buy-sell split ($89,405 vs $82,572), and buy transactions (2,564) outnumber sells (1,086) by more than 2-to-1. However, this transaction-level buying pressure has not translated into price support, as the token dropped roughly 36.77% over the last hour, indicating that fewer but larger sell orders are overpowering price against thin liquidity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Short-term price action is decisively bearish: the 1-hour candle is down 36.77% and the 5-minute reading is down 14.08%, both large moves that reflect real selling pressure rather than noise. The only two available daily closes ($0.0002225 → $0.0001436) also point downward, but with just two days of history and no 7d/30d/90d trend data, a fully established medium-term trend cannot be confirmed beyond this initial decline.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

The sharp, swift declines across the 5-minute, 1-hour, and daily-close windows following an initial post-launch spike toward $0.0002747 suggest short-term oversold conditions typical of meme tokens shedding early speculative gains, though no traditional RSI/MACD indicators were available to confirm this quantitatively.

Volume Analysis

Buy

52%

Sell

48%

Volume Trend

Stable

Total 24h volume of $171,977 (buy + sell combined) represents roughly 127% of the token's $135,731 market cap, indicating intense turnover typical of a freshly launched, highly speculative token; because the token is under a day old, no prior-day volume baseline exists to confirm whether this activity is accelerating or fading.

Recent Price Action

Price surged into its brief all-time high near $0.0002747 shortly after launch, then reversed sharply, closing the most recent full day at $0.0001436 — roughly 35.5% below the prior close of $0.0002225 — and continuing to fall an additional 36.77% within the most recent hour.

This pattern — a rapid post-launch spike followed by a steep, accelerating retracement — is characteristic of low-liquidity token launches where early participants take profit quickly, and it typically precedes further downside unless new demand emerges.

Overall Risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Price has swung from a low of $0.000007697 to a high of $0.0002747 within its brief trading history (roughly a 35x range), and recent 1-hour/5-minute moves of -36.77%/-14.08% confirm continued extreme volatility.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Only $18,938 in total liquidity backs a $135,731 market cap (~14% liquidity-to-market-cap ratio), meaning moderate-sized trades can cause significant slippage and price impact on PancakeSwap.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top 10 holders control 27.4% of the 1 billion token supply; without per-wallet data it cannot be confirmed whether this concentration sits with exchanges/contracts or individually dumpable wallets, so a medium risk level is applied based on the aggregate figure alone.

  • Smart ContractMedium

    No contract-security audit or verification data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed medium default rather than a confirmed assessment of the contract's actual risk.

  • RegulatoryLow

    As an unlisted, unaffiliated fan/meme token with no stated fundraising or securities-like promises in the data, there is no specific evidence of elevated regulatory exposure beyond the general uncertainty applicable to all meme tokens.

Key Risks

  • Extreme token age (14 hours) leaves no meaningful track record to evaluate sustainability
  • Liquidity of $18,938 is thin and can be withdrawn or exhausted quickly, a common failure mode for new BSC meme tokens
  • No contract-security, deployer, or genesis-allocation data is available, making it impossible to rule out insider pre-allocation or hidden contract functions
  • A sharp reversal is already underway, with price down ~35.5% from its first recorded daily close and -36.77% in the last hour alone

Mitigating Factors

  • 6,499 holders and roughly 3,650 transactions in 24 hours show the token has attracted real, active trading interest rather than sitting completely illiquid
  • Buy volume ($89,405) still slightly exceeds sell volume ($82,572), indicating net demand has not fully collapsed

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who can actively monitor positions and accept the possibility of near-total loss; unsuitable for passive or risk-averse investors.

蝴蝶校长 is a brand-new, high-volatility fan token with active but unverified holder growth and thin liquidity. Any thesis here is purely speculative and short-horizon, resting on continued social attention rather than fundamental value.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Renewed viral promotion tied to the underlying personality drives a fresh wave of buying that outpaces the current sell pressure and thin liquidity.

  • Underlying influencer/personality could drive viral demand spikes if actively promoted
  • High transaction count (3,650 in 24h) shows active trading interest and liquidity turnover

Base Case

The token continues to exhibit high volatility and gradually fades in trading interest and price, consistent with typical fresh meme/fan-token lifecycles, absent a fresh promotional catalyst.

  • No credible utility exists beyond fan-token branding
  • Liquidity remains thin, amplifying price swings in both directions

Bear Case

Medium probability

The token continues its already-visible reversal, with thin liquidity amplifying downside as early buyers and speculators exit.

  • Price is already down ~35.5% from its first daily close of $0.0002225 to $0.0001436, with the 1-hour window down a further 36.77%
  • Thin liquidity ($18,938) relative to $135,731 market cap means large sells can crash price further with high slippage

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 19, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC

Data Freshness

Real-time on-chain data

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000143617811132

Market Cap

$135.7K

24h Volume

$172.0K

Holders

6,499

Liquidity

$18.9K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, and contract-security audit data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Token is only 14 hours old, providing just two daily OHLC closes and no 7d/30d/90d trend confirmation
  • Per-wallet holder, smart-money, genesis, and deployer forensics were not available from the data provider for this chain

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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