冲鸭

冲鸭 Price Today & AI Analysis

冲鸭BNB ChainAnalysis as of May 1, 2026

Price

$0.043695

+0.41% 24h

Contract

Live
0x7528f0abcb9e4fd65859c92255aa889d02094444

Holders

3.4K

Market cap

$36.95K

Liquidity

$21.25K

At a $1M market cap, $冲鸭 would be $0.001000 (27.1x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is 冲鸭 a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 28

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

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冲鸭: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-01 11:00 UTC

Holder addresses

1,734

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$84,153.22
How concentrated is 冲鸭 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,734 addresses (2026-05-01 11:00 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 冲鸭?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 冲鸭 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-01 11:00 UTC, reported liquidity was $84,153.22. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-01 11:00 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from May 1, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC

Market Cap

$645.47K

24h Volume

$2.75M

Liquidity

$84.15K

FDV

—

Holders

1,734

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

冲鸭 is an unverified meme token on BSC that launched within the past 24 hours, experiencing a 1005% price surge characteristic of early-stage speculative tokens. The token has attracted 1,734 holders and generated $2.75M in trading volume despite minimal liquidity ($84K) and no project fundamentals, description, or social presence. While retail participation is strong with balanced buy/sell pressure, the extreme concentration (56% held by top 100 addresses), unverified contract, and classic pump-and-dump price action present severe risks for late-stage buyers.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — May 1, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely rapid holder acquisition (1,677 new holders in 24 hours) suggests viral meme potential or coordinated promotion
  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.8% vs 49.2%) is unusual for pump tokens, indicating genuine retail interest rather than pure manipulation
  • High transaction count relative to holder count suggests active trading community rather than passive holders

冲鸭 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token exhibits extreme volatility with a 1005% 24-hour gain followed by a -9.6% 5-minute decline, indicating classic pump-and-dump dynamics typical of newly launched meme tokens. The massive price appreciation has likely exhausted initial buying momentum, and the recent pullback suggests profit-taking is beginning. With only $84K in liquidity supporting a $645K market cap, any significant selling pressure could trigger sharp downside moves.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Over 30-90 days, this token faces significant headwinds as the initial hype cycle typically exhausts within weeks for unverified meme tokens. The lack of project fundamentals, unverified contract, and concentrated holder distribution suggest limited catalysts for sustained price appreciation. Historical patterns indicate most tokens in this category experience 80-95% declines from peak within 90 days.

Bullish Factors

  • Strong buy pressure at 50.8% vs 49.2% sell pressure indicates slight net buying interest despite recent pullback
  • High transaction count (12,835 buys in 24h) shows active retail participation and community engagement
  • Holder growth of 1,677 new holders (97%) in 24 hours demonstrates rapid adoption and viral spread potential
  • More unique buyers (3,413) than sellers (2,697) suggests new capital entering rather than pure redistribution

Bearish Factors

  • Unverified smart contract with security score of only 63/100 creates significant smart contract risk and potential rug-pull concerns
  • Extreme liquidity-to-market-cap ratio ($84K liquidity vs $645K market cap = 13% ratio) means even modest selling could cause severe slippage and price crashes
  • 1005% 24-hour gain is unsustainable and indicates classic pump pattern; -9.6% 5-minute decline shows momentum already reversing
  • Top 10 holders control 17% of supply and top 100 control 56%, creating massive concentration risk and whale dump potential
  • Zero project fundamentals, no description, no social links, and no development team information indicate this is likely a speculative token with no underlying value
  • 224 whale holders (>$1M each) represent significant distribution risk; these early buyers are likely to exit at profits

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x7528...4444
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Rug-pull risk: Unverified contract and concentrated holdings create risk that developers or major holders could execute a rug-pull, stealing investor funds. Historical data shows 30-40% of new meme tokens experience rug-pulls within 30 days.
  • Whale dump risk: 224 whale holders with 100x+ unrealized gains face extreme incentive to exit. Historical data shows 90%+ of whales exit within 7 days of 1000%+ gains, which could trigger a 70-90% price crash.
  • Liquidity crisis risk: Shallow liquidity ($84K) means large sell orders will experience extreme slippage or fail to execute. If multiple whales attempt to exit simultaneously, the market could experience a liquidity crisis and flash crash.
  • Regulatory risk: The token's lack of fundamentals and pure speculative nature could attract regulatory attention, leading to delisting or legal action.

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading sentiment is marginally bullish based on 50.8% buy pressure, but this masks underlying weakness as the token has already declined 9.6% in the last 5 minutes after a 1005% surge. The high transaction volume ($2.75M in 24h) relative to liquidity ($84K) indicates extreme volatility and potential for rapid reversals. Current sentiment appears to be transitioning from euphoria to profit-taking.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The token is in a clear downtrend after the initial 1005% pump, with the -9.6% 5-minute decline indicating the reversal has begun. The price action shows a classic parabolic rise followed by sharp reversal, which is the textbook pattern for unsustainable rallies. Medium-term trend is also downtrend as the initial momentum is exhausted and profit-taking accelerates.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

The token is severely overbought after a 1005% move in 24 hours, with momentum indicators likely at extreme levels. The recent -9.6% pullback suggests momentum is reversing from extremely positive to negative. Overbought conditions typically precede significant corrections, and this token is showing early signs of that correction.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.8%

Sell

49.2%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Volume is decreasing as evidenced by buy transactions declining from 12,835 (24h) to 12,135 (1h), a 0.5% decline per hour. This suggests the initial buying frenzy is cooling and fewer new buyers are entering. Decreasing volume during a downtrend typically accelerates the decline as fewer buyers support the price.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic rise to peak followed by sharp reversal; price rose 1005% over 24 hours then declined 9.6% in 5 minutes, indicating the market is repricing the token downward after the initial euphoria

This pattern is characteristic of unsustainable rallies and typically precedes 50-90% corrections as profit-taking accelerates and new buyers dry up. The pattern suggests the token has likely peaked and is entering a distribution phase.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00058 (recent 5-minute low)

Major support

$0.00030 (50% retracement of 1005% move)

Immediate resistance

$0.00080 (recent local high before reversal)

Major resistance

$0.00150 (psychological resistance at 2x current price)

The immediate support at $0.00058 is likely to break as profit-taking accelerates. The major support at $0.00030 represents a 50% retracement and is where the market may stabilize temporarily. Resistance at $0.00080 is unlikely to hold given the reversal momentum. The token will likely test multiple support levels as it corrects from the parabolic move.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

92/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token has demonstrated 1005% volatility in 24 hours followed by -9.6% in 5 minutes, indicating extreme price swings. Volatility of this magnitude suggests potential for 50%+ daily moves in either direction. This level of volatility is unsuitable for risk-averse investors.

  • LiquidityHigh

    With only $84K in liquidity supporting a $645K market cap, the token faces severe liquidity risk. Large sell orders will experience extreme slippage, and the market could experience flash crashes if major holders exit. The 32.7x volume-to-liquidity ratio indicates the market is operating at unsustainable leverage.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Meme tokens face increasing regulatory scrutiny, particularly those with no legitimate use case or development team. The token could face delisting from exchanges or regulatory action if authorities determine it is a securities offering or fraudulent scheme.

Key Risks

  • Rug-pull risk: Unverified contract and concentrated holdings create risk that developers or major holders could execute a rug-pull, stealing investor funds. Historical data shows 30-40% of new meme tokens experience rug-pulls within 30 days.
  • Whale dump risk: 224 whale holders with 100x+ unrealized gains face extreme incentive to exit. Historical data shows 90%+ of whales exit within 7 days of 1000%+ gains, which could trigger a 70-90% price crash.
  • Liquidity crisis risk: Shallow liquidity ($84K) means large sell orders will experience extreme slippage or fail to execute. If multiple whales attempt to exit simultaneously, the market could experience a liquidity crisis and flash crash.
  • Regulatory risk: The token's lack of fundamentals and pure speculative nature could attract regulatory attention, leading to delisting or legal action.
  • Pump-and-dump risk: The classic pump-and-dump price action (1005% rise followed by reversal) suggests the token may be part of a coordinated manipulation scheme.

Mitigating Factors

  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.8% vs 49.2%) suggests genuine retail interest rather than pure manipulation
  • High transaction count (25,387 in 24h) indicates active trading community with liquidity
  • Retail holders control 44% of supply, providing some distribution of risk

Investor Suitability

This token is only suitable for experienced traders with high risk tolerance, strict risk management, and small position sizes (1-2% of portfolio maximum). The token is NOT suitable for: conservative investors, long-term holders, investors seeking stable returns, or those with limited risk capital. The token is a pure speculation play with high probability of total loss.

冲鸭 is a high-risk meme token that has experienced a classic pump-and-dump cycle within 24 hours of launch. While the token shows signs of viral adoption and retail interest, the combination of unverified contract, extreme concentration, shallow liquidity, and lack of fundamentals creates very high risk of significant losses for late-stage buyers. The token is suitable only for experienced traders seeking short-term speculation, not for long-term investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The token continues to go viral on social media and attracts sustained retail interest, leading to continued price appreciation as new buyers enter. The community organizes and develops the token into a legitimate project with use case and development team, attracting institutional interest and exchange listings.

  • Viral social media adoption and celebrity endorsement
  • Community organization and project development
  • Major exchange listing (Binance, Coinbase, etc.)
  • Sustained retail interest and new buyer inflow

Base Case

The token experiences a 50-70% correction from current levels over the next 7-14 days as profit-taking accelerates and new buyer interest wanes. The price stabilizes at a lower level ($0.00015-$0.00030) as the initial hype cycle exhausts. The token either becomes a stable but illiquid meme token with a small community, or experiences a rug-pull/regulatory action leading to total loss.

  • Whale holders begin exiting within 3-7 days
  • New buyer interest peaks within 48 hours and then declines
  • The token does not attract major exchange listings or institutional interest
  • The token remains unverified and unaudited

Bear Case

High probability

Whale holders begin exiting their positions, triggering a cascade of selling as profit-taking accelerates. The shallow liquidity amplifies the selling pressure, causing a 70-90% price crash within days. The unverified contract and lack of fundamentals lead to regulatory action or rug-pull, resulting in total loss for remaining holders.

  • Whale distribution and profit-taking
  • Liquidity crisis and flash crash
  • Regulatory action or rug-pull
  • Loss of retail interest and new buyer inflow

Analysis Details

Generated

May 1, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-01 11:00 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000642912657712841

Market Cap

$645.5K

24h Volume

$2.75M

Holders

1,734

Liquidity

$84,153.22

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data from BSC blockchainHolder distribution analytics and whale trackingTrading volume and price metricsSmart contract analysis and security scoringHistorical meme token performance data

Limitations

  • Token launched within past 24 hours, limiting historical data for trend analysis
  • Unverified contract prevents detailed code analysis and vulnerability assessment
  • No project team or development roadmap available for fundamental analysis
  • Meme token category is inherently unpredictable and driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals, limiting predictive accuracy
  • Social media sentiment data not available; analysis based solely on on-chain metrics
  • Future whale behavior and regulatory action cannot be predicted with certainty

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky, with potential for total loss of capital. This token carries extreme risk due to unverified contract, concentrated holdings, shallow liquidity, and lack of fundamentals. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, understand the risks, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The authors of this analysis hold no positions in this token and have no financial interest in its performance.

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