中本聪

Satoshi Nakamoto Price Today & AI Analysis

中本聪
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 8, 2026

$0.008295

+5.53%24h
LiveContract:0x6fbc7ae9ffe8942b00e339ebbed26f2ff0507777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:4.9KMarket cap:$7.36MLiquidity:$142.89K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 8, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC
Market Cap

$7.36M

24h Volume

$316.97K

Liquidity

$142.89K

FDV

Holders

4.9K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

Satoshi Nakamoto (中本聪) is a 14-day-old BNB Chain community token trading on PancakeSwap at $0.008295 with a market cap of approximately $7.36M and fully diluted valuation of $8.29M against a total and circulating supply of 1 billion tokens. The project describes itself as a DAO community organization with a layered tokenomics system involving black-hole burns, multi-sig unlocks, NFT tiers, foundation allocations, and staking rewards denominated in BTC, ETH, and BNB. Price history over the 15-day window shows a sharp early rally to $0.01131 followed by a significant retracement to $0.006813, with a partial recovery now underway. The combination of very shallow liquidity, high top-10 concentration, an unverifiable deployer profile, and a complex tokenomics narrative places this token firmly in the high-risk speculative category.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 8, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Multi-layered black-hole burn and multi-sig unlock mechanism tied to liquidity pool growth milestones
Foundation NFT program with a global limit of 200 units offering permanent fee-sharing and governance rights
Ecosystem described as integrating NFT card collectibles, a marketplace (MIKBOX), EA quantitative tools, and BTC/ETH/BNB staking — an unusually broad scope for a 14-day-old token

Satoshi Nakamoto AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

The 15-day OHLC series shows a clear deterioration from a high of ~$0.009602 on day 3 down to $0.006813 before a partial recovery to $0.008295. The token is sitting at 73% of its 15-day range, but the dominant directional move over the observable window has been a slide from early highs, and the recovery has not yet reclaimed the $0.008632 opening close. Immediate resistance at $0.008420 sits just above the current price, making a near-term rejection plausible.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With only 14 days of price history available, 30d and 90d trend data are absent, making a medium-term call inherently uncertain. However, the token launched at a very low price ($0.00004011 period low) and ran to $0.01131 before retracing — a classic pump-and-partial-dump pattern common in newly launched community tokens. Without evidence of sustained ecosystem adoption or liquidity growth, the structural bias favors continued distribution pressure as early participants seek exits.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price change is +3.6%, indicating the token has recovered from its recent trough of $0.006813 and is building short-term upward momentum
  • +Buy transactions (1,923) outnumber sell transactions (1,320) over 24h, and unique buyers (748) exceed unique sellers (634), reflecting broader participation on the demand side
  • +Buy pressure stands at 50.5% vs. sell pressure at 49.5%, with buy and sell volumes nearly balanced ($159,965 vs. $157,006), suggesting neither side is decisively in control — a slight edge to buyers
Bearish Factors
  • -The token is only 14 days old and has already experienced a peak-to-trough decline from $0.01131 to $0.006813 (-40%), a pattern consistent with post-launch distribution by early holders
  • -Top 10 holders control 69.7% of supply; per-wallet data is unavailable so the nature of this concentration cannot be verified, leaving significant undisclosed dump risk
  • -Liquidity of $142,887 is shallow relative to a $7.36M market cap (liquidity-to-mcap ratio of ~1.9%), meaning even moderate sell orders can cause outsized price impact
  • -The project description outlines a complex multi-layer tokenomics structure (black-hole burns, multi-sig unlocks, NFT tiers, foundation allocations) that is difficult to audit and historically associated with high-risk community schemes on BNB Chain

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

中本聪 call history

Full track record →
Sep 8bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x6fbc...7777
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

The multi-level promotional structure described in the project documentation — where recruiting 3 foundation members allows establishment of a 'branch company' with additional token allocation rights — is structurally similar to schemes that have been classified as illegal MLM or pyramid schemes in multiple jurisdictions, posing both legal and reputational risk
With 69.7% of supply in the top 10 wallets and no per-wallet classification available, a coordinated exit by even a subset of these holders into $142,887 of liquidity would cause catastrophic price collapse; the shallow liquidity provides no buffer
The token is 14 days old with no deployer forensics, no contract security audit, and no verifiable track record for any of the described ecosystem products — the gap between the ambitious roadmap and the verifiable on-chain reality is very large

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading sentiment is marginally positive but effectively balanced: buy pressure at 50.5% and sell pressure at 49.5% reflect a near-equilibrium between buyers and sellers over the past 24 hours. The 4-hour window shows an acceleration in activity — 1,716 buy transactions and 1,149 sell transactions in just 4 hours versus 1,923 and 1,320 over the full 24 hours — suggesting a significant surge in trading activity concentrated in the most recent period.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

The short-term (7d) trend is modestly positive at +3.6%, driven by a recovery from the $0.006813 trough back toward $0.008295. However, the broader 15-day OHLC narrative is one of a post-launch peak at $0.01131 followed by a sustained decline — the medium-term structure remains a downtrend until the token can reclaim and hold above the $0.009602 prior swing high. Daily volatility of 7.1% (standard deviation of daily returns) confirms this is a high-volatility asset where trend signals can reverse quickly.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

The price sits at 73% of its 15-day range, recovering from oversold lows but not yet approaching overbought territory near the $0.01131 high. The recent daily close sequence ($0.007140 → $0.006813 → $0.007904 → $0.008295) shows four consecutive higher closes, a short-term momentum improvement, but the sequence is too brief to confirm a trend reversal.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.5%Sell 49.5%

Volume Trend: Increasing

The concentration of 88% of 24-hour transaction volume into the most recent 4-hour window indicates a sharp intraday volume spike. Combined 24h volume of ~$317K against $142,887 liquidity represents a volume-to-liquidity ratio above 2x, signaling speculative activity. Whether this spike is sustained or a one-off event will be a key indicator of near-term direction.

Recent Price Action

The 15-day OHLC shows a launch-and-dump pattern: rapid appreciation to $0.01131, followed by a multi-day decline to $0.006813 (-40% from peak), and a nascent recovery over the last four daily closes. The current price of $0.008295 is attempting to consolidate above the $0.008003 immediate support.

This pattern — sharp post-launch rally followed by retracement and base-building — is common in newly launched community tokens. A sustained hold above $0.008003 and a break above $0.008420 immediate resistance would be the first technical confirmation that the recovery has legs; failure to hold $0.008003 risks a retest of deeper support.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.008003
Major$0.00004011
Resistance
Immediate$0.008420
Major$0.01131

The immediate support at $0.008003 is the most actionable near-term level — it represents the recent swing low before the current recovery leg and is only 3.5% below the current price, making it a tight stop reference. Immediate resistance at $0.008420 is just 1.5% above current price; a clean break and close above it would open the path toward the major resistance at $0.01131 (the 15-day high). The major support at $0.00004011 reflects the absolute launch-period low and is effectively a catastrophic-loss level rather than a trading reference.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 7.1% (standard deviation) and a 15-day range spanning from $0.00004011 to $0.01131 — a 282x spread — confirm extreme price volatility. A 40% peak-to-trough drawdown within the first 14 days of trading is consistent with high speculative risk.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $142,887 against a $7.36M market cap yields a liquidity-to-mcap ratio of approximately 1.9%. This is very shallow; a sell order of even $10,000–$20,000 would cause significant price impact and slippage, making orderly exits difficult for any holder with a meaningful position.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 69.7% of the 1 billion token supply. Per-wallet classification data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined how much of this is held in protocol contracts, exchange wallets, or individual insiders. The full 69.7% must be treated as potentially dumpable until proven otherwise, representing a critical overhang risk.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract security data is available on this chain's data provider. This is an uninformed default rating rather than an assessment — the actual smart contract risk could be higher or lower. The complex described tokenomics (multi-sig unlocks, black-hole mechanics, tiered distributions) increase the attack surface and the probability of exploitable logic errors.

Regulatory
High

The token is named after Bitcoin's pseudonymous creator, which could attract regulatory scrutiny for misleading branding. The described foundation NFT program (200 units at implied $10,000+ entry) and multi-level promotional unlock structure (3 foundation referrals to establish a 'branch company') exhibit characteristics that regulators in multiple jurisdictions classify as pyramid or multi-level marketing schemes.

Key Risks

  • The multi-level promotional structure described in the project documentation — where recruiting 3 foundation members allows establishment of a 'branch company' with additional token allocation rights — is structurally similar to schemes that have been classified as illegal MLM or pyramid schemes in multiple jurisdictions, posing both legal and reputational risk
  • With 69.7% of supply in the top 10 wallets and no per-wallet classification available, a coordinated exit by even a subset of these holders into $142,887 of liquidity would cause catastrophic price collapse; the shallow liquidity provides no buffer
  • The token is 14 days old with no deployer forensics, no contract security audit, and no verifiable track record for any of the described ecosystem products — the gap between the ambitious roadmap and the verifiable on-chain reality is very large

Mitigating Factors

  • Total supply equals circulating supply, meaning there is no hidden vesting schedule that could trigger a sudden supply cliff beyond the described unlock mechanics
  • Active trading with 3,243 transactions and $317K in 24h combined volume demonstrates genuine market participation, reducing (but not eliminating) the risk of a completely illiquid exit

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced speculative traders who fully understand the risks of newly launched, unaudited micro-cap tokens on BNB Chain, can afford to lose their entire investment, and have independently verified the contract's security. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those unfamiliar with DeFi mechanics, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

The investment thesis for 中本聪 is highly speculative and rests almost entirely on community momentum and promotional execution rather than verifiable product utility. The token's 14-day history shows it can generate significant trading activity and price appreciation, but also rapid drawdowns. The structural risks — shallow liquidity, high concentration, complex unverified tokenomics, and MLM-like promotional mechanics — substantially outweigh the near-term momentum signals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The described promotional network of 100 ground promoters and Binance streamers successfully drives a new wave of holder growth, foundation NFT sales generate buy pressure, and the black-hole burn mechanism reduces circulating supply meaningfully. The token reclaims the $0.01131 high and pushes toward new all-time highs as the broader BNB Chain community token narrative gains traction.

  • +Successful mobilization of the described 100-promoter and 100-group-leader network driving sustained new buyer inflow
  • +Foundation NFT program selling out (200 units) and creating a visible on-chain burn event that generates positive sentiment
Base Case

The token continues to trade in a volatile range between the $0.008003 immediate support and $0.008420 immediate resistance, with periodic volume spikes driven by community promotions. Without a major catalyst or product launch, gradual holder attrition and liquidity erosion lead to a slow drift lower over the 30–90 day horizon.

  • No major new capital inflow from outside the existing promotional network
  • Top-10 holders do not execute a coordinated exit but continue gradual distribution
Bear Case
High

Early holders in the top 10 (controlling 69.7% of supply) begin distributing into the current recovery rally, overwhelming the shallow $142,887 liquidity pool. The promotional network fails to sustain new buyer inflow, trading volume collapses, and the price retraces toward the $0.006813 recent low and potentially much lower given the $0.00004011 all-time low on record.

  • -Concentrated top-10 holders exiting into thin liquidity, causing rapid price deterioration
  • -Failure to deliver any of the described ecosystem products (NFT marketplace, staking, quantitative tools) within a timeframe that retains community interest

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 8, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.00829493932532
Market Cap$7.36M
24h Volume$317.0K
Holders4,917
Liquidity$142.9K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history and size-tier distribution were unavailable for this chain, preventing trend and demographic analysis of the holder base
  • Whale transaction data was unavailable, so individual large-holder behavior and recent movements cannot be observed
  • Contract security data (audit status, ownership, function risks) is not available on this chain's data provider, leaving smart contract risk unassessed
  • Token is only 14 days old, providing an extremely short OHLC window with no 30d or 90d trend data available
  • Deployer profile and launch-transfer forensics were unavailable, preventing assessment of insider allocation or serial-launcher risk

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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