猴子币

猴子币 Price Today & AI Analysis

猴子币
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 19, 2026

$0.041470

-9.95%24h
LiveContract:0x6927c3646d50595858918a9a332e30e6edc94444Chain:BNB ChainHolders:1.1KMarket cap:$14.70KLiquidity:$7.70K

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Ask Unhosted AI about 猴子币

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 19, 2026, 04:00 PM UTC
Market Cap

$845.41K

24h Volume

$1.44M

Liquidity

$88.51K

FDV

—

Holders

1.5K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

猴子币 ('Monkey Coin') is a 2-day-old meme token deployed on BNB Chain via the Four.meme launchpad, with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a current market cap of approximately $845K. The token has experienced a single explosive launch surge of ~1,300% with no subsequent price history, thin liquidity of $88.5K, and an unverified smart contract. On-chain forensics reveal that multiple top whale wallets received their positions via pre-launch transfers rather than open-market purchases, and the deployer's funding source is unknown — both are elevated risk signals. While holder growth is rapid and buy pressure is marginally positive, the token exhibits the classic profile of a high-risk speculative meme launch with no disclosed project fundamentals or social presence.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 19, 2026, 04:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Launched on Four.meme (BNB Chain meme launchpad) with a Chinese-language monkey-themed brand, targeting a specific cultural retail niche
Unusually low top-10 holder concentration (18%) for a 2-day-old meme token, with no single wallet holding more than 5.35% (a protocol contract)
Rapid holder accumulation from 6 to 1,458 wallets in under 31 days, with nearly all holders acquiring via swap rather than airdrop, suggesting organic retail participation

猴子币 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

猴子币 is just 2 days old and has already posted a 1,300%+ launch surge, a move that almost universally precedes sharp mean-reversion in meme tokens of this profile. With only $88.5K in liquidity backing an $845K market cap, even modest sell pressure can produce outsized price drops. The 24h/4h/1h price-change figures are all identical at +1,300%, confirming the entire price history is a single launch spike with no subsequent consolidation.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Over a 30–90 day horizon, the structural risks dominate: an unverified contract, a deployer with an unknown funding source, multiple top whales whose positions were acquired via transfer rather than market buys, and zero social or project presence. Meme tokens launched on Four.meme with this profile rarely sustain initial valuations beyond a few weeks without a credible community or utility narrative. Continued holder growth could temporarily support price, but the absence of fundamentals makes a sustained uptrend unlikely.

Bullish Factors
  • +Holder base grew from 6 to 1,458 in 31 days (accelerating trajectory), with 1,495 net new holders in the last 24 hours alone, indicating strong initial retail interest
  • +Buy pressure is marginally dominant at 51.2% of 24h volume ($739K buys vs $705K sells), and unique buyers (2,237) outnumber unique sellers (1,840), suggesting more participants are entering than exiting
  • +Top-10 holders control only 18% of supply, and the largest single dumpable position is 2.00%; dumpable supply totals 18.2%, which is relatively low and limits coordinated dump risk
Bearish Factors
  • -The entire price history is a single 1,300% launch spike with no consolidation; such moves in sub-$1M market-cap meme tokens historically revert sharply within days
  • -Three of the top individual whale wallets (holding 2.00%, 1.69%, and 1.43% of supply) acquired their positions via transfer rather than market buys, and two of those wallets were first active just two days before launch — a strong insider/pre-allocation signal
  • -The contract is unverified (security score 52/100) and the deployer wallet's funding source is unknown, raising rug-pull and exit-liquidity risk
  • -Liquidity of $88.5K against an $845K market cap yields a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of roughly 10.5%, meaning large trades will cause severe slippage and a coordinated exit could collapse the price rapidly

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

猴子币 call history

Full track record →
Jul 19bearish
24h-89.5%
7d-89.9%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x6927...4444
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Insider exit risk: Multiple top whale wallets hold supply acquired via pre-launch transfers at effectively zero cost basis, with no lock-up or vesting — they can sell at any time with 100% profit margin, and the shallow liquidity pool means even modest insider selling could crash the price
•Unverified contract risk: Without source code verification, the contract may contain owner-privileged functions (e.g., mint additional supply, freeze trading, blacklist wallets) that could be exploited to drain liquidity or trap holders
•Post-launch fade risk: All trading activity appears concentrated in a single launch burst; if organic volume does not resume, the token will lose price support as early participants seek exits into an increasingly illiquid market

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading sentiment is marginally net-positive by volume (51.2% buy pressure) and by unique participant count (2,237 buyers vs 1,840 sellers), but the near-parity of buys and sells across all time windows — and the fact that 24h, 4h, and 1h transaction counts are identical — suggests the bulk of activity occurred in a single concentrated burst at launch. The token is now in a post-launch equilibrium phase where neither bulls nor bears have decisively taken control.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The short-term trend is technically an uptrend given the 1,300% launch surge, but this reflects a single event rather than a sustained directional move — there is no multi-candle price history to confirm trend continuation. Medium-term trend is classified as sideways because the token has no established trading range, no prior support or resistance, and all price data collapses into a single data point. Without OHLC history, any trend designation beyond the launch spike is speculative.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 1,300% move from launch with no retracement and a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of ~10.5% places this token in deeply overbought territory by any standard momentum framework. The near-equal buy/sell transaction counts (7,187 vs 7,248) suggest momentum is already fading as early participants begin distributing into retail demand.

Volume Analysis

Buy 51.2%Sell 48.8%

Volume Trend: Stable

Total 24h volume of approximately $1.44M is substantial relative to the $845K market cap (170% turnover ratio), but the fact that 24h, 4h, and 1h figures are identical means this volume was generated in a single burst. There is no evidence of sustained or growing volume — the token appears to have gone quiet after its launch window. High turnover at launch is typical of meme token speculation but does not indicate healthy ongoing liquidity.

Recent Price Action

Single-candle launch spike of approximately 1,300% with no subsequent price history. The most recent 5-minute data shows a -3.46% pullback, which may signal the beginning of post-launch mean reversion.

Launch spikes of this magnitude in sub-$1M market-cap meme tokens without follow-through volume typically resolve to the downside within 24–72 hours as early recipients and insiders distribute into retail buyers.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders1,503
24h Change+1,495
Growth Rate+99%

The holder base grew from 6 to 1,458 over the 31-day tracking window, with 1,495 of the current 1,503 holders joining in the last 24 hours — confirming this is a launch-day phenomenon. While the growth rate is impressive in absolute terms, it reflects a single viral event rather than compounding organic adoption. Sustained holder growth beyond the launch window would be a meaningful bullish signal; stagnation or decline would confirm the token is fading.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders18%
Top 100 Holders63%
Retail Holders37.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

The top-10 holders control 18% of supply, with the largest single position being a protocol/contract at 5.35% — not a dumpable risk. The nine individual whale wallets in the top 10 collectively hold approximately 12.89% of supply, and total dumpable supply is 18.2%. The top-100 controlling 63% is notable, but for a 2-day-old token with 1,503 holders, this is not unusual. Concentration risk is rated medium rather than high because the largest positions are relatively small and the protocol contract is not a sell risk.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

The largest recorded on-chain swaps are modest in size: the biggest single trade is a $347 buy by 0xa67d7e, followed by a $298 sell by 0x94d26f and two $282 buys. No whale-scale transactions (five or six figures) are present in the notable trades data, suggesting whales are not actively accumulating or distributing through the open market at this time.

  • •BUY $347 by 0xa67d7e — largest single recorded swap, indicating retail-scale participation rather than whale accumulation
  • •SELL $298 by 0x94d26f — largest sell-side swap, consistent with small retail profit-taking rather than coordinated distribution

The absence of large swap transactions in the notable trades data, combined with the evidence that top whale wallets received their supply via pre-launch transfers, suggests that insiders are holding rather than actively selling through DEX swaps at this stage. This could change rapidly if price weakens and insider wallets begin distributing.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token; no profitable-trader cohort analysis can be performed.

Smart-money data is unavailable for 猴子币. Given the token's age (2 days), the insider transfer evidence, and the lack of any verifiable early-buyer PnL data, profit-taking risk is rated high by default — pre-allocated wallets holding combined double-digit supply percentages have unrealized gains from a near-zero cost basis and face no lock-up constraints.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$88,505.29
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $88.5K in total liquidity against an $845K market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 10.5% — well below the 20–30% threshold typically associated with adequate depth for a token of this size. A single sell order of $10,000–$20,000 would likely move the price by several percent, and a coordinated exit by even one mid-tier whale could collapse the price significantly. Traders should assume high slippage on any position larger than a few hundred dollars.

Overall Risk:
Very High
85/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 1,300% launch spike in under 24 hours with no price history, no OHLC data, and a -3.46% move in the last 5 minutes indicates extreme volatility. The token has no established trading range, and thin liquidity amplifies price swings in both directions.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $88.5K against an $845K market cap (10.5% ratio) means the pool is shallow. Large trades will cause severe slippage, and a liquidity withdrawal event could make the token effectively untradeable.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply is 18.2%, held across nine individual whale wallets with no single position exceeding 2.00%. While not critically concentrated, the fact that these wallets received supply via pre-launch transfers (near-zero cost basis) means any selling is pure profit and faces no psychological resistance.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (security score 52/100), meaning hidden owner functions cannot be ruled out. The deployer's unknown funding source and the pre-launch multi-hop transfer chain (0x000000 → 0x757eba → 0x5c9520 → four recipient wallets) add structural opacity.

Regulatory
Medium

As a meme token on BNB Chain with no disclosed team or jurisdiction, regulatory risk is moderate. Meme tokens are increasingly scrutinized by regulators in multiple jurisdictions, and the lack of any project documentation makes compliance status entirely unknown.

Key Risks

  • •Insider exit risk: Multiple top whale wallets hold supply acquired via pre-launch transfers at effectively zero cost basis, with no lock-up or vesting — they can sell at any time with 100% profit margin, and the shallow liquidity pool means even modest insider selling could crash the price
  • •Unverified contract risk: Without source code verification, the contract may contain owner-privileged functions (e.g., mint additional supply, freeze trading, blacklist wallets) that could be exploited to drain liquidity or trap holders
  • •Post-launch fade risk: All trading activity appears concentrated in a single launch burst; if organic volume does not resume, the token will lose price support as early participants seek exits into an increasingly illiquid market

Mitigating Factors

  • •Rapid retail holder adoption (1,503 holders in 2 days, nearly all via swap) provides a distributed base that reduces the impact of any single seller
  • •Deployer wallet age of 475 days with no prior contract deployments is inconsistent with a serial rug-pull pattern, though it does not eliminate the risk

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who understand they may lose their entire investment, can afford to do so, and are treating any position as a short-term speculative trade rather than an investment. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking store-of-value assets, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

猴子币 is a high-risk, high-volatility meme token in its earliest days of existence, with no fundamentals beyond community momentum. The investment thesis is binary: either viral adoption sustains and amplifies the launch pump, or the token fades as insider supply and early retail profits are distributed into a thinning market.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The monkey-themed Chinese meme narrative goes viral on social platforms, driving a second wave of retail inflows that expands the holder base beyond 10,000 wallets, deepens liquidity, and pushes market cap toward $5–10M. Insider wallets hold rather than sell, and the Four.meme platform provides ongoing discovery.

  • +Viral social media adoption in Chinese-language crypto communities driving sustained new buyer inflows
  • +Insider wallets choosing to hold and promote rather than distribute, preserving price support during the critical early weeks
Base Case

The token experiences a typical meme launch cycle: initial spike followed by a 60–80% retracement over 7–14 days, stabilizing at a lower market cap of $100–300K with a small but persistent holder community. It neither goes viral nor collapses entirely, trading as a low-liquidity speculative asset.

  • •Insider wallets gradually distribute but do not execute a coordinated dump, allowing price to decline gradually rather than collapse
  • •A small core community forms around the monkey meme theme, providing a floor of organic demand that prevents complete price collapse
Bear Case
High

Insider wallets begin distributing their pre-allocated supply into the retail buyer base, liquidity is withdrawn, and the token retraces 80–95% of its launch gains within 7–14 days. The unverified contract is exploited or the deployer pulls liquidity, leaving retail holders with illiquid or worthless positions.

  • -Pre-allocated insider wallets with zero cost basis begin selling into the shallow $88.5K liquidity pool
  • -Absence of social presence and project fundamentals prevents new buyer discovery, causing volume to dry up and price support to collapse

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 19, 2026, 04:00 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000845409137289228
Market Cap$845.4K
24h Volume$1.44M
Holders1,503
Liquidity$88.5K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Trading volume metrics (24h DEX swap data)
Smart contract analysis (security score, verification status)
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis (DEX swap history lookup)
Holder trajectory timeseries (31-day daily data)

Limitations

  • •No OHLC price history exists for this token, making all technical analysis and price target derivation impossible — the token is only 2 days old
  • •Smart-money (profitable trader cohort) data is unavailable, preventing assessment of informed capital flows
  • •The token has no disclosed project description, team, or social presence, making fundamental analysis entirely speculative
  • •The identical 24h/4h/1h transaction figures suggest a data reporting artifact or a single concentrated trading burst, limiting time-series analysis of trading patterns

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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