蘑菇头

蘑菇头和我的16年 Price Today & AI Analysis

蘑菇头BNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 26, 2026

Price

$0.000172

+334.32% 24h

Contract

Live
0x681234b574ac190eaf58bb12a5d61fb29bb07777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

952

Market cap

$172.07K

Liquidity

$21.67K

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蘑菇头和我的16年: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-26 10:15 UTC

Holder addresses

955

Top 10 supply share

13.71%

Reported liquidity

$19,262.00
How concentrated is 蘑菇头和我的16年 ownership?
As of 2026-09-26 10:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 13.71% of supply. It reports 955 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling 蘑菇头和我的16年?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-26 10:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $737,908.00 in buys and $729,399.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 蘑菇头和我的16年 liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -29.34%, from $28,602.80 (2026-09-26 08:00 UTC) to $20,209.70 (2026-09-26 10:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-26 10:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-26 08:00 UTC$28,602.80
2026-09-26 09:00 UTC$17,618.63
2026-09-26 10:00 UTC$20,209.70

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 26, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$138.06K

24h Volume

$1.47M

Liquidity

$19.26K

FDV

—

Holders

955

24h

Loading trading activity…

Ask Unhosted AI about 蘑菇头

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

This is a brand-new BNB Chain meme token (蘑菇头, roughly 'mushroom head') that launched on PancakeSwap only 2 hours ago with a $138,065 market cap and $19,262 in liquidity. In its short life it has already seen a +248% spike followed by a -51% one-hour crash, alongside an extraordinary 18,578 transactions and 955 holders — evidence of intense speculative churn rather than organic fundamental demand. There is no project description, no social presence, no security audit data, and no genesis/deployer forensics available, making this a high-uncertainty, pure-speculation asset.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 26, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely young token (2 hours old) with an already-completed pump-and-crash cycle
  • High transaction velocity (18,578 trades) relative to a small $138K market cap
  • No verifiable security, genesis, or deployer data to assess legitimacy

蘑菇头和我的16年 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

After an initial +248% surge since launch (which is also the 4h and 24h figure since the token is only 2 hours old), price cratered -51% in the most recent hour before a small +17% five-minute bounce. This whipsaw pattern — parabolic pump followed by a sharp, high-magnitude reversal — is the classic signature of early meme-token distribution rather than a sustained uptrend.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With no operating history, no social presence, no described use case, and thin liquidity, the base rate for tokens exhibiting this pump-then-51%-crash pattern within their first hours of trading is continued decline as early buyers exit. Absent a credible catalyst, volume and price typically fade sharply once the initial speculative wave passes.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy pressure (50.3%, $737,908) slightly exceeds sell pressure (49.7%, $729,399) over 24h, with more unique buyers (2,973) than sellers (2,535)
  • Top 10 holders control only 13.7% of supply — a comparatively low concentration figure for a token just 2 hours old

Bearish Factors

  • Price fell -51% in the last hour immediately after a +248% run, a textbook pump-and-dump reversal signature
  • Total liquidity of just $19,262 against a $138,065 market cap and over $1.46M in 24h volume implies severe slippage risk on any meaningful trade size
  • Zero social links, no project description, and no category classification mean there is no discernible fundamental catalyst supporting the price

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

蘑菇头 call history

Full track record →

Sep 26bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x6812...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Token is only 2 hours old with no track record, no audit, and no deployer/genesis forensics available to verify launch fairness
  • Sharp -51% one-hour reversal immediately following a +248% pump suggests the token may already be in an early distribution/dump phase
  • Thin $19,262 liquidity pool creates high slippage and exit-liquidity risk for holders
  • No social presence or project description means there is no fundamental narrative to support price beyond pure speculation

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced ($737,908 vs $729,399, a 50.3%/49.7% split), and buyer count (2,973) modestly exceeds seller count (2,535), indicating a highly active but not clearly one-sided market. The sheer transaction volume relative to market cap points to churn-heavy speculative trading typical of a freshly launched meme token rather than directional conviction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The only price history available spans the token's 2-hour life: a +248% spike (also registering as the 4h/24h change since inception) followed by a sharp -51% one-hour reversal and a marginal +17% five-minute uptick. This pattern reads as a completed pump phase now in an early distribution/correction phase, with insufficient history to establish a reliable medium-term trend.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum indicators are unreliable here: the token has already experienced a full boom-bust cycle within a single hour, and with no OHLC series to compute standard oscillators, momentum should be read as highly unstable rather than classically overbought or oversold.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.3%

Sell

49.7%

Volume Trend

Stable

24h and 4h volume figures are identical because the token has only existed for ~2 hours, so this single data point cannot establish a trend. What is notable is the sheer scale — over $1.46M in combined volume against a $138,065 market cap — reflecting intense but time-limited speculative activity rather than a durable trading pattern.

Recent Price Action

A rapid ascent (+248% since launch) was followed within the same window by a violent -51% one-hour drawdown, with a minor +17% five-minute rebound most recently.

This boom-then-sharp-reversal pattern is characteristic of early meme-coin pump-and-dump dynamics, where initial buyers or bots drive a fast price spike before profit-taking triggers a rapid unwind.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

90/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Price moved +248% since launch and then -51% within a single hour, indicating extreme, unpredictable volatility typical of a brand-new speculative token.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Liquidity of $19,262 is very thin relative to the $138,065 market cap and the $1.46M+ in 24h volume, meaning even moderate trade sizes could cause significant slippage or price impact.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top 10 holders control 13.7% of supply, a moderate figure, but individual wallet identities and types (whale, contract, exchange) cannot be verified from available data, so dumpable-supply risk cannot be precisely classified.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryLow

    As a generic decentralized meme token with no stated business model, jurisdictional operations, or fundraising structure, immediate regulatory exposure appears low, though this could change with broader meme-token regulatory scrutiny.

Key Risks

  • Token is only 2 hours old with no track record, no audit, and no deployer/genesis forensics available to verify launch fairness
  • Sharp -51% one-hour reversal immediately following a +248% pump suggests the token may already be in an early distribution/dump phase
  • Thin $19,262 liquidity pool creates high slippage and exit-liquidity risk for holders
  • No social presence or project description means there is no fundamental narrative to support price beyond pure speculation

Mitigating Factors

  • Top-10 holder concentration (13.7%) is relatively low compared to many fresh meme-token launches, based on available aggregate data
  • Trading activity shows a genuinely two-sided market (50.3%/49.7% buy/sell split) rather than one-sided dumping so far

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders capable of accepting potential total loss; unsuitable for conservative or long-term investors given the token's 2-hour age, unverified security, and extreme volatility.

蘑菇头 is a 2-hour-old, unaudited BNB Chain meme token that has already completed a boom-and-partial-bust price cycle on thin liquidity. Any position here is a short-term speculative bet on renewed meme momentum rather than an investment supported by fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The token catches viral social attention or gets picked up by meme-coin trend trackers, drawing fresh buy volume that pushes price back toward or beyond its recent +248% high.

  • Sudden social media virality
  • Listing on trackers/aggregators that expand visibility and liquidity

Base Case

Volume and price volatility gradually decay over the coming days as the initial speculative wave passes, consistent with the typical lifecycle of unbacked meme tokens on PancakeSwap.

  • No credible catalyst emerges to sustain trading interest
  • Liquidity remains too thin to support large-scale price recovery

Bear Case

High probability

Following the -51% one-hour crash, early buyers and any insiders continue taking profit, liquidity thins further, and the token fades into obscurity like most newly launched meme tokens without sustained community backing.

  • Profit-taking after the initial +248% pump
  • Lack of any social presence or narrative to sustain buyer interest
  • Thin liquidity amplifying downside moves

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 26, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-26 10:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000138065219068

Market Cap

$138.1K

24h Volume

$1.47M

Holders

955

Liquidity

$19,262.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • No OHLC-based support/resistance levels could be computed, and the token's 2-hour age means only a single trading window of price history exists

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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