蝴蝶家园

蝴蝶家园 Price Today & AI Analysis

蝴蝶家园BNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 23, 2026

Price

$0.000248

+338.45% 24h

Contract

Live
0x67b85b6bedd3c7c7e01c95168583bd1078e47777

Holders

1.6K

Market cap

$247.73K

Liquidity

$23.03K

More tokens on BNB Chain

蝴蝶家园: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-23 04:16 UTC

Holder addresses

1,629

Top 10 supply share

8.58%

Reported liquidity

$23,033.00
How concentrated is 蝴蝶家园 ownership?
As of 2026-09-23 04:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 8.58% of supply. It reports 1,629 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling 蝴蝶家园?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 04:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $77,735.00 in buys and $65,137.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 蝴蝶家园 liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +27.87%, from $18,075.52 (2026-09-23 01:00 UTC) to $23,113.59 (2026-09-23 04:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-23 04:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-23 01:00 UTC$18,075.52
2026-09-23 02:00 UTC$18,337.79
2026-09-23 03:00 UTC$22,819.73
2026-09-23 04:00 UTC$23,113.59

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 23, 2026, 04:16 AM UTC

Market Cap

$247.73K

24h Volume

$142.87K

Liquidity

$23.03K

FDV

Holders

1,629

24h

Loading trading activity…

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bullish

蝴蝶家园 is a Binance Smart Chain token that launched roughly 3 hours ago via what its own description calls a 'Flap PreLaunch Beta' bonding-curve mechanism, trading on PancakeSwap with a current market cap of $247,734 and only $23,033 in liquidity. In its short life it has already attracted 1,629 holders and posted a 338.4% price increase, driven by buy-side dominance (54.4% of volume, ~2:1 buy/sell transaction ratio). Given the extreme youth of the token, absence of OHLC history, and no available security or per-wallet holder data, this profile carries the classic risk signature of a brand-new, thinly-liquid launch rather than an established asset.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 23, 2026, 04:16 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely early-stage token (3 hours old) still in its initial price-discovery phase
  • Framed by its creator as a 'PreLaunch Beta' bonding-curve launch mechanism, an unverified claim from the token's own description
  • Rapid accumulation of 1,629 holders with relatively low top-10 concentration (8.6%) for such a new token

蝴蝶家园 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

Price is up 16.8% over the last hour and 338.4% over the 4h/24h window (these two windows are identical because the token is only 3 hours old, meaning this is essentially the entire lifetime price move since launch). Buy transactions (1,224) outnumber sells (565) roughly 2:1 and buy volume ($77,735) exceeds sell volume ($65,137), confirming net demand is currently driving the move. This is a fresh-launch momentum spike rather than an established trend, so the bullish read applies only to the immediate trading window.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

With the contract only 3 hours old, there is no 30d/90d price history to extrapolate a directional trend from — the entire dataset is a single post-launch window. Bonding-curve/beta launches like this one (per the project description) typically see extreme volatility in both directions in the days following listing, making any medium-term directional call speculative rather than data-driven.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy transactions (1,224) outnumber sell transactions (565) by roughly 2:1 over the observed window, with 718 unique buyers vs. 289 unique sellers
  • Buy volume of $77,735 exceeds sell volume of $65,137, a 54.4%/45.6% split favoring buyers
  • Aggregate top-10 holder concentration is only 8.6% of supply, low for a token this new

Bearish Factors

  • The 338.4% price move is identical across the 4h and 24h windows, indicating this is a single post-launch pump with no multi-day track record to confirm sustainability
  • Total liquidity of $23,033 against a $247,734 market cap (roughly 9.3% liquidity-to-mcap ratio) is thin and can produce high slippage or sharp drawdowns on moderate sell pressure
  • The project description references a 'PreLaunch Beta' bonding-curve mechanism, an experimental/unproven launch structure with no independent verification

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

蝴蝶家园 call history

Full track record →

Sep 23bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x67b8...7777
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

  • Token is only 3 hours old with no multi-day price or holder history to validate the current pump as sustainable
  • Liquidity of $23,033 is shallow relative to market cap, exposing traders to high slippage and rapid price collapse if sell pressure increases
  • No contract-security, audit, or deployer forensic data is available, leaving smart-contract and rug risk fully unverified
  • The 'PreLaunch Beta' bonding-curve description is unverified creator-supplied marketing text and should not be treated as confirmation of a fair or safe launch mechanism

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading activity shows a clear buy-side tilt: 1,224 buys vs. 565 sells and 718 unique buyers vs. 289 unique sellers over the reporting window, alongside a net positive volume flow. This pattern is consistent with early post-launch demand, though it should be read in the context of a token with almost no trading history.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Short-term price action shows a strong uptrend, with the token up 16.8% in the last hour and 338.4% since inception (3 hours ago). There is no medium-term (7d/30d/90d) OHLC data available since the token has not existed that long, so a medium-term trend cannot be characterized beyond 'insufficient history.'

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 338.4% move within the first few hours of trading, combined with accelerating 1h gains of 16.8%, indicates strong short-term momentum that is stretched and vulnerable to a sharp pullback typical of new-launch price discovery.

Volume Analysis

Buy

54.4%

Sell

45.6%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Both buy and sell transaction counts are elevated relative to the token's brief lifespan (1,224 buys, 565 sells in 24h), with buy volume ($77,735) outweighing sell volume ($65,137). This reflects an active, buyer-led market in the immediate aftermath of launch, though sustainability beyond this window is unproven.

Recent Price Action

A rapid, near-vertical price increase since contract creation 3 hours ago, with the +338.4% move constituting the entire observable price history.

This pattern is characteristic of the initial price-discovery phase of a newly launched, thinly-liquid token and often precedes high volatility and potential sharp retracements as early buyers realize gains.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

87/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token has moved 338.4% within its first 3 hours of trading, indicating extreme price volatility typical of new launches with thin order books.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $23,033 against a $247,734 market cap is thin; trades of even modest size relative to this pool can cause significant slippage and price impact.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Top-10 holders control 8.6% of supply, a relatively low concentration; however, no per-wallet labels or classification data is available to fully rule out undisclosed insider holdings.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryLow

    No specific regulatory red flags are present in the available data, though as an uncategorized, newly-launched token it carries the generic regulatory uncertainty common to the broader decentralized token market.

Key Risks

  • Token is only 3 hours old with no multi-day price or holder history to validate the current pump as sustainable
  • Liquidity of $23,033 is shallow relative to market cap, exposing traders to high slippage and rapid price collapse if sell pressure increases
  • No contract-security, audit, or deployer forensic data is available, leaving smart-contract and rug risk fully unverified
  • The 'PreLaunch Beta' bonding-curve description is unverified creator-supplied marketing text and should not be treated as confirmation of a fair or safe launch mechanism

Mitigating Factors

  • Buy-side activity currently dominates (54.4% of volume, ~2:1 buy/sell transaction ratio), indicating active organic-looking demand at present
  • Top-10 holder concentration of 8.6% is low relative to many new token launches, reducing (but not eliminating) single-wallet dump risk

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can accept total loss of capital; unsuitable for conservative or long-term investors given the token's 3-hour age, thin liquidity, and lack of verifiable security or history data.

蝴蝶家园 shows strong short-term buy-side momentum immediately following launch, but the complete absence of price history beyond 3 hours, thin liquidity, and unverified security/launch data make this a high-risk speculative bet rather than a fundamentally grounded investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued buyer demand and organic holder growth (currently 1,629 holders) sustain upward momentum as the token gains further exposure, supported by its currently favorable 54.4%/45.6% buy/sell volume split.

  • Sustained net buy volume and unique buyer growth beyond the initial launch window
  • Any liquidity expansion beyond the current $23,033 pool that reduces slippage risk

Base Case

Continued high volatility in both directions as the market completes price discovery for a token with essentially no trading history; expect wide price swings rather than a stable trend in the near term.

  • No OHLC-based support/resistance levels exist yet to anchor price expectations
  • Holder and liquidity data will need several more days to establish a reliable trend

Bear Case

High probability

The 338.4% post-launch spike proves to be an unsustainable initial pump; early buyers take profits into thin liquidity, causing a sharp price collapse typical of new bonding-curve token launches.

  • Thin $23,033 liquidity amplifying downside moves once selling begins
  • Lack of any multi-day trend data to confirm the rally has staying power

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 23, 2026, 04:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-23 04:16 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000248059407315

Market Cap

$247.7K

24h Volume

$142.9K

Holders

1,629

Liquidity

$23,033.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Token is only 3 hours old, so no meaningful multi-day OHLC trend, holder-growth, whale-transaction, or contract-security data was available for this analysis
  • No per-wallet holder list, smart-money cohort, or individual trade records were available, limiting on-chain behavioral analysis to aggregate figures only
  • Security/audit data is not provided by this chain's data provider, so contract risk could not be independently verified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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