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Paimon Polymarket SPV Token Price Today & AI Analysis

pPOLYBNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 20, 2026

Price

$0.0250

+99794.50% 24h

Contract

Live
0x5f4ec1a84ab3a2278f60f26019a62d46b84e7777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

16

Market cap

$24.95M

Liquidity

$439.92K

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Paimon Polymarket SPV Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-20 10:15 UTC

Holder addresses

14

Top 10 supply share

80.01%

Reported liquidity

$418,484.00
How concentrated is Paimon Polymarket SPV Token ownership?
As of 2026-09-20 10:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 80.01% of supply. It reports 14 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Paimon Polymarket SPV Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-20 10:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $4,189,664.00 in buys and $3,781,187.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Paimon Polymarket SPV Token liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +10.36%, from $379,201.80 (2026-09-20 09:00 UTC) to $418,483.64 (2026-09-20 10:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-20 10:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-20 09:00 UTC$379,201.80
2026-09-20 10:00 UTC$418,483.64

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 20, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$24.68M

24h Volume

$7.97M

Liquidity

$418.48K

FDV

—

Holders

14

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bullish

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token (pPOLY) is a brand-new BNB Chain token, with its contract created only 1 hour ago, trading on PancakeSwap against $418,484 in liquidity. Since inception it has shown a parabolic price surge (reported as +98,701% in both the 4h and 24h windows, which for a 1-hour-old token reflects its entire lifetime rather than two distinct periods), giving it a $24.68M market cap. Only 14 wallets hold the entire supply, with 80% concentrated in the top 10, and no security, genesis, deployer, or social data is available to verify legitimacy.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 20, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Token is only 1 hour old at time of analysis, with essentially no independent trading history
  • Name references 'Polymarket SPV' implying a prediction-market tie, but this is unverified — no project description or social links exist
  • Extreme early-stage concentration: 14 holders control the entire 1 billion supply

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

Price action across every reported window (5m: +31.6%, 1h: +855.6%, 4h/24h: +98,701%) shows a continuous parabolic ascent since the contract's creation just 1 hour ago, and buy pressure (52.6%) is currently edging out sell pressure (47.4%). This momentum is real but almost certainly a launch-phase phenomenon rather than a sustainable trend, given the token has no trading history beyond its first hour.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Once the initial launch-driven momentum fades, the combination of only 14 total holders, 80% of supply concentrated in the top 10 wallets, and just $418,484 in liquidity against a $24.68M market cap creates a high-risk setup for a sharp correction. There is no fundamental, security, or forensic data available to counter this structural risk.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy transactions (928) and unique buyers (938) currently exceed sell transactions (800) and unique sellers (817) in the reported window
  • Continuous positive price movement across all measured intervals since launch (5m, 1h, 4h)

Bearish Factors

  • 80% of the 1 billion token supply is held by only 10 wallets out of just 14 total holders
  • Liquidity of $418,484 is roughly 1.7% of the $24.68M market cap, meaning even moderate sell orders could cause severe slippage
  • The token has zero trading history prior to 1 hour ago, making the current price level entirely unproven

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

pPOLY call history

Full track record →

Sep 20bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x5f4e...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Token is only 1 hour old with effectively no independent trading track record
  • 80% supply concentration among just 14 holders creates significant dump/rug potential
  • Liquidity of $418,484 is thin relative to the $24.68M market cap, risking severe slippage on exit
  • No security, genesis-transfer, or deployer forensic data is available to assess launch fairness or rug risk

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading activity shows a modest tilt toward buyers, with 52.6% buy pressure versus 47.4% sell pressure and more unique buyers (938) than sellers (817). This mild net-buying imbalance is consistent with the sharp price appreciation observed since launch, though the overall volume levels are unusually large for a token only 1 hour old.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Every reported short-term window (5m, 1h, 4h) shows continuous upward price movement since the contract's creation 1 hour ago, indicating an active uptrend in the immediate term. There is no medium-term (7d/30d/90d) price history yet because the token has existed for only 1 hour, so no medium-term trend can genuinely be assessed.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A reported increase of over 98,000% since launch, including +855.6% in just the last hour, is an extreme parabolic move that typically signals an overbought, unsustainable condition rather than durable momentum.

Volume Analysis

Buy

52.6%

Sell

47.4%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Buy and sell transaction counts grew from 584/505 in the first hour to 928/800 by the reported 4h/24h mark (the same figures for both windows, reflecting the token's full lifetime), showing rapidly escalating activity immediately post-launch. This pattern is consistent with sniper and early-flipper participation rather than steady, distributed demand.

Recent Price Action

A near-vertical ascent since contract creation, with +31.6% in the last 5 minutes, +855.6% over the last hour, and +98,701.3% since inception (the 4h and 24h figures being identical because the token is only 1 hour old).

Parabolic price action immediately following a token launch is a well-documented pattern that frequently precedes sharp reversals once early buyers and snipers begin taking profit, especially where liquidity is thin relative to market cap.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

92/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token has moved over 98,000% since its creation 1 hour ago, indicating extreme volatility that can reverse just as rapidly as it appeared.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $418,484 against a $24.68M market cap (roughly 1.7%) means sizeable buy or sell orders are likely to cause significant slippage and could make exiting a position difficult.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    80% of the total supply is held by just 10 wallets out of only 14 total holders; the identity or nature of these wallets cannot be verified from available data, warranting a high-risk treatment by default.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    No specific regulatory information is available for this token; as with any newly launched decentralized-exchange token, its treatment under securities or commodities frameworks in various jurisdictions remains unclear.

Key Risks

  • Token is only 1 hour old with effectively no independent trading track record
  • 80% supply concentration among just 14 holders creates significant dump/rug potential
  • Liquidity of $418,484 is thin relative to the $24.68M market cap, risking severe slippage on exit
  • No security, genesis-transfer, or deployer forensic data is available to assess launch fairness or rug risk
  • Price action is a parabolic spike immediately post-launch, a pattern historically associated with sharp reversals

Mitigating Factors

  • Buy pressure (52.6%) currently slightly exceeds sell pressure (47.4%), showing some two-sided demand
  • Trading occurs on an established DEX (PancakeSwap) with an active, functioning liquidity pool

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders willing to allocate small amounts of capital they can afford to lose entirely; unsuitable for risk-averse, medium-term, or long-term investors given the token's age, concentration, and lack of verifiable data.

pPOLY is an extremely early-stage token exhibiting a parabolic launch-day price spike, but with only 14 holders, 80% concentration in the top 10, thin liquidity, and no verifiable fundamentals or security data. The setup is characteristic of high-risk, launch-phase speculation rather than an investable asset with demonstrated fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Speculative momentum continues in the very near term as buyers chase the parabolic move, with buy pressure (52.6%) and buyer counts (938) continuing to outpace sellers.

  • Continued net-positive buy transaction flow in the immediate hours after launch
  • Possible viral/speculative attention tied to the 'Polymarket' branding in the token name

Base Case

The most probable path is continued extreme volatility in the immediate term, followed by a meaningful correction as launch-phase speculative flows subside and concentrated holders begin adjusting positions, consistent with typical behavior of brand-new, thinly-liquidated tokens.

  • Holder count remains very low (around 14) in the near term with no meaningful decentralization
  • No new verifiable project information, audits, or partnerships emerge to justify the current $24.68M valuation

Bear Case

High probability

Early holders and/or the concentrated top-10 wallets begin realizing gains, and the thin $418K liquidity pool cannot absorb the resulting sell pressure, triggering a sharp price collapse from the current parabolic highs.

  • 80% of supply sits with only 10 wallets out of 14 total holders, with no visibility into their intent
  • Liquidity depth of ~1.7% of market cap cannot support large exits without severe price impact
  • No security, deployer, or genesis forensic data exists to rule out an insider-favorable or rug-prone setup

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 20, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-20 10:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0246893686624

Market Cap

$24.68M

24h Volume

$7.97M

Holders

14

Liquidity

$418,484.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • No OHLC price history was available, preventing computation of technical support/resistance levels
  • Token is only 1 hour old, so all reported windows (4h/24h) overlap with its entire trading history rather than reflecting distinct standard periods
  • No smart-money, genesis-transfer, or deployer forensic data was available to assess launch fairness or insider risk

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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