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Paimon Polymarket SPV Token Price Today & AI Analysis

pPOLYBNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 22, 2026

Price

$0.1967

+786938.81% 24h

Contract

Live
0x5d46a2aa7277fcca9479ed8b7ca9a10a68dd7777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

16

Market cap

$196.61M

Liquidity

$0.00

More tokens on BNB Chain

quqquqquq$0.001621-5.2%MC $1.62MPpPOLYPaimon Polymarket SPV Token$0.0117728-100.0%MC $10.06MDGAIDGAIDGrid AI$1.06+11.4%MC $159.54MKIIKIIKiichain$0.0822-0.2%MC $21.23MAKEAKEAKE$0.0576-3.9%MC $1.31B

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-22 00:45 UTC

Holder addresses

16

Top 10 supply share

100.00%

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Paimon Polymarket SPV Token ownership?
As of 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 100.00% of supply. It reports 16 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Paimon Polymarket SPV Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $69,101,018.00 in buys and $69,110,970.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Paimon Polymarket SPV Token liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +28326291538.78%, from $294,844.14 (2026-09-21 02:00 UTC) to $83,518,410,102,100.00 (2026-09-21 12:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-21 02:00 UTC$294,844.14
2026-09-21 03:00 UTC$600,142.05
2026-09-21 04:00 UTC$548,581.29
2026-09-21 05:00 UTC$793,484.21
2026-09-21 06:00 UTC$983,225.55
2026-09-21 07:00 UTC$1,126,266.57
2026-09-21 08:00 UTC$1,387,478.94
2026-09-21 09:00 UTC$1,327,732.26
2026-09-21 10:00 UTC$1,394,349.69
2026-09-21 11:00 UTC$1,113,521.35
2026-09-21 12:00 UTC$83,518,410,102,100.00

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 22, 2026, 12:45 AM UTC

Market Cap

$196.61M

24h Volume

$138.21M

Liquidity

$0.00

FDV

—

Holders

16

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token (pPOLY) is a 22-hour-old BNB Chain token trading on PancakeSwap at $0.1967, carrying a $196.6M market cap and fully diluted valuation despite $0 in reported total liquidity. Only 16 wallets hold the entire 1,000,000,000-token supply, and no project description, social links, security data, or launch/deployer forensics are available to verify legitimacy. The 24h volume figures ($69.1M in buys, $69.1M in sells) sit oddly alongside the $0 liquidity reading, an anomaly that should be treated as a major red flag rather than a bullish signal.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 22, 2026, 12:45 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Name references a 'Polymarket SPV' structure, but this affiliation is entirely unverified — no description or social links are provided
  • Reached a $196.6M market cap within 22 hours of contract creation with no liquidity backing that valuation
  • Extremely small, concentrated holder base of just 16 wallets controlling 100% of supply

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The only concrete price history available is two flat daily closes at $0.1967, giving no genuine trend signal, but the reported $0 total liquidity sitting alongside $138.2M in 24h combined volume is a serious red flag that raises the probability of a sharp near-term repricing if this reflects a real absence of exit liquidity. With only 16 wallets controlling the entire supply, price action over the next days is likely to be dictated by those few holders rather than organic market demand.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

There is no 30d or 90d price history to assess a genuine trend since the token is only 22 hours old, but the structural picture (zero reported liquidity, 16-wallet total holder base, no verifiable project information) points toward elevated risk of value erosion once early trading interest fades. A $196.7M fully diluted valuation without any liquidity, audit, or documented use case is difficult to sustain absent new, verifiable information.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy and sell volumes are nearly identical ($69,101,018 vs $69,110,970) with 50.0%/50.0% pressure, showing no one-sided sell-off in the available 24h data
  • 11,016 total transactions with 4,112 unique buyers and 4,052 unique sellers in 24h indicates active two-sided participation in the token's first day of trading

Bearish Factors

  • Total reported liquidity is $0 despite ~$138.2M in combined 24h volume — an irreconcilable anomaly suggesting wash trading, data misreporting, or an inability to actually exit positions
  • Just 16 total wallets hold 100% of the 1,000,000,000 token supply, an extreme concentration that puts price entirely at the mercy of a handful of holders
  • The token is 22 hours old with a $196.6M market cap and $196.7M fully diluted valuation but no description, social presence, audit, or genesis/deployer forensics to substantiate that valuation

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

pPOLY call history

Full track record →

Sep 22bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x5d46...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Reported $0 total liquidity alongside $138.2M in 24h buy+sell volume is an unresolved anomaly suggesting wash trading, misreported data, or a genuine lack of exit liquidity
  • Extreme holder concentration: 16 wallets hold 100% of the 1,000,000,000-token supply with no distribution history to assess how or when this concentration formed
  • The token is only 22 hours old with a $196.6M market cap and $196.7M fully diluted valuation, an unusually large valuation for an entirely undocumented, unaudited asset
  • No project description, social links, security audit, deployer profile, or genesis-transfer forensics are available, making it impossible to independently verify legitimacy or intent

Trading Insight

neutral

24h buy and sell pressure are essentially tied at 50.0%/50.0%, with buy volume ($69,101,018) and sell volume ($69,110,970) differing by less than 0.02%. This near-perfect balance, combined with the $0 liquidity figure, is unusual enough that it should be treated as a data anomaly or potential wash-trading signature rather than a sign of healthy two-sided demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Both available daily closes are identical at $0.1967 with 0.0% daily volatility, so no directional short-term trend can be read from the OHLC data itself. There is no 7d, 30d, or 90d price history since the token launched only 22 hours ago, making any medium-term technical trend assessment impossible from price data alone.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

With only two identical daily closes and no multi-day momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, etc. cannot be meaningfully computed on 2 data points), momentum cannot be classified as overbought or oversold — there simply is not enough price history yet.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Volume Trend

Stable

Only a single day of comparable volume data exists, so no trend across days can be established; within that single day, buy and sell volumes are nearly perfectly balanced at 50.0%/50.0%, which is unusual given the token's newness and the reported $0 liquidity.

Recent Price Action

Price has been completely flat across the only two available daily closes ($0.1967 both days), currently sitting at 69% of the token's brief 2-day trading range between a low of $0.00002485 and a high of $0.2855.

A flat close pattern this early in a token's life, paired with an extreme low-to-high range from launch-day volatility, typically reflects a token still in initial price discovery — there is not yet enough history to distinguish genuine stabilization from a temporary lull before further volatility.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

95/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token's 2-day price range spans from $0.00002485 to $0.2855 (an over 11,000x range), and the current price sits at 69% of that range just one day into trading — indicative of an extremely volatile, still-forming price discovery phase.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    Just 16 wallets hold 100% of the 1,000,000,000-token supply. With no per-wallet classification available to distinguish protocol/exchange contracts from individual holders, this raw concentration by wallet count alone represents an extreme structural risk.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    The 'SPV' (special purpose vehicle) branding implies a claim to structured, potentially security-like exposure tied to Polymarket, which — if marketed as such without proper disclosure or registration — could carry regulatory risk; this cannot be confirmed or denied from the data available.

Key Risks

  • Reported $0 total liquidity alongside $138.2M in 24h buy+sell volume is an unresolved anomaly suggesting wash trading, misreported data, or a genuine lack of exit liquidity
  • Extreme holder concentration: 16 wallets hold 100% of the 1,000,000,000-token supply with no distribution history to assess how or when this concentration formed
  • The token is only 22 hours old with a $196.6M market cap and $196.7M fully diluted valuation, an unusually large valuation for an entirely undocumented, unaudited asset
  • No project description, social links, security audit, deployer profile, or genesis-transfer forensics are available, making it impossible to independently verify legitimacy or intent
  • The 'Polymarket SPV' name implies an affiliation and asset backing that cannot be verified with any of the data provided, raising an impersonation/misrepresentation concern

Mitigating Factors

  • 24h buy and sell pressure are balanced at 50.0%/50.0%, with no evidence in the available data of a one-sided dump by holders so far
  • Transaction activity is relatively high (11,016 trades, 4,112 unique buyers) in the first day, which — if genuine — shows some breadth of participation

Investor Suitability

This token is unsuitable for the vast majority of investors. Given the unresolved $0-liquidity anomaly, complete absence of verifiable project information, and 16-wallet holder concentration, exposure should be limited to highly risk-tolerant speculators willing to treat any capital deployed as fully at risk, and only after independently verifying the liquidity pool and contract on-chain.

pPOLY combines a brand-new launch, an unverifiable 'SPV' narrative, an extreme holder concentration of 16 wallets, and an internally inconsistent liquidity/volume profile — a combination that places it firmly in high-speculation, high-risk territory rather than a fundamentally investable asset at this stage.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If the $0 liquidity figure is a data-reporting artifact rather than reality, and the token's claimed Polymarket SPV affiliation is eventually documented and verified with real underlying assets, the current balanced buy/sell activity could evolve into sustained organic demand.

  • Verifiable confirmation of a genuine Polymarket SPV affiliation with disclosed backing
  • Emergence of real, deepening liquidity and a broader holder base beyond the current 16 wallets

Base Case

The token remains an extremely high-risk, thinly documented asset whose price will likely be dictated by the actions of its small holder base rather than organic market fundamentals, with continued volatility and limited ability to assess true trading conditions.

  • The holder base remains near 16 wallets in the near term with no meaningful distribution
  • No credible liquidity or project transparency is added shortly after launch

Bear Case

High probability

The $0 liquidity reading reflects reality, the reported volume is largely artificial (wash trading among a small set of the 16 holding wallets), and the $196.6M valuation collapses once trading interest fades or insiders exit, consistent with a typical unverified-launch risk pattern.

  • 100% of supply concentrated in just 16 wallets with no distribution transparency
  • Absence of any liquidity to support exits, project documentation, or security verification

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 22, 2026, 12:45 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-22 00:45 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.196703786472

Market Cap

$196.61M

24h Volume

$138.21M

Holders

16

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • Only 2 days of OHLC price history exist for a token that is 22 hours old, preventing any 7d/30d/90d trend confirmation
  • The $0 reported total liquidity figure could not be reconciled with the $138.2M in reported 24h volume, and no explanation for this discrepancy was available in the data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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