蝴蝶骑士

蝴蝶骑士 Price Today & AI Analysis

蝴蝶骑士
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 10, 2026

$0.056314

+5.17%24h
LiveContract:0x4c4b200dbe6ae6a08f0fb37b9f2d09a258547777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:1.7KMarket cap:$6.31KLiquidity:$4.20K

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Ask Unhosted AI about 蝴蝶骑士

Movement since reportreport from Jun 10, 2026, 02:01 AM UTC
Market Cap

$140.35K

24h Volume

$138.74K

Liquidity

$33.01K

FDV

Holders

612

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

蝴蝶骑士 (Butterfly Knight) is a brand-new BNB Chain token with only 2 days of on-chain history, no verified contract, no disclosed project description, and no social presence. The token has experienced an extreme 220%+ price surge within its first 4 hours of significant trading activity, a pattern consistent with speculative micro-cap pumps rather than organic fundamental-driven appreciation. With $33K in total liquidity, a $140K market cap, 612 holders, and smart money realizing only $24 in profits per top trader, the token is firmly in high-risk speculative territory. Investors should treat this as an extremely high-risk asset with no established track record or verifiable utility.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranJun 10, 2026, 02:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
Extreme early-stage volatility: price moved from $0.0000264 to $0.0002205 within 2 days, a 735% range on minimal liquidity
Unusually high whale-to-retail ratio: 207 wallets classified as 'Whales (>$1M)' out of only 612 total holders, suggesting holder classification may be distorted by the token's low price rather than true USD wealth
Zero project transparency: no description, no social links, unverified contract, and no exchange listing—the token exists purely as an on-chain speculative instrument

蝴蝶骑士 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

The token launched within the last 2 days and has already surged over 220% in 4 hours, placing the current price at 58% of its 2-day range ($0.0000264–$0.0002205). This kind of parabolic move on a brand-new, unverified contract with only $33K in liquidity is a classic pump pattern, and the 5-minute price already shows a -7.5% pullback, suggesting early profit-taking is underway. With 17.4% of supply in dumpable individual whale wallets and no fundamental backing, a sharp mean-reversion is the most probable short-term outcome.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With only 2 days of price history, no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a security score of 57/100, there is no fundamental basis to sustain medium-term price appreciation. The token's entire holder base of 612 wallets was acquired within 31 days, and smart money profits are trivially small ($24 realized per top trader), indicating no institutional or experienced capital conviction. Unless a credible use case or community emerges, the medium-term trajectory follows the typical new-token lifecycle: rapid decline after the initial pump.

Bullish Factors
  • +Buy transactions (2,060) outnumber sell transactions (780) by 2.6:1 over 24h, and buy volume ($72,886) exceeds sell volume ($65,853), indicating net inflow pressure in the immediate term.
  • +Holder count grew from 0 to 612 in under 31 days with accelerating growth trajectory, showing genuine new-wallet acquisition rather than stagnation.
  • +The largest single holder (11.82%) is classified as a protocol/contract, not a dumpable individual whale, reducing the top-10 concentration risk somewhat.
Bearish Factors
  • -The contract is unverified and carries a security score of only 57/100, meaning buyers cannot audit the code for malicious functions such as honeypots or hidden minting.
  • -Dumpable individual whale wallets collectively hold 17.4% of supply across 9 wallets, each holding 1.09%–1.95%; coordinated selling by even a subset could overwhelm the thin $33K liquidity pool.
  • -The token has no project description, no social links, no exchange listing, and is categorized as 'Uncategorized'—there is zero verifiable utility or community to support price after speculative momentum fades.
  • -The 5-minute price is already down -7.5% from the peak, and the daily close progression ($0.0000577 → $0.0001397) shows the token is still well below its intraday high of $0.0002205, indicating the pump may already be rolling over.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

蝴蝶骑士 call history

Full track record →
Jun 10bearish
24h
7d+51.3%
30d-32.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x4c4b...7777
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Unverified smart contract with 57/100 security score: the contract may contain functions that prevent selling (honeypot), enable selective blacklisting of addresses, or allow the deployer to drain liquidity—none of which can be ruled out without source code review.
Extreme liquidity thinness ($33K): the entire liquidity pool could be exhausted by a single moderate-sized sell order from any of the 9 individual whale wallets, causing a near-total price collapse with no recovery mechanism.
Zero fundamental backing: with no project description, no team, no social presence, and no exchange listing, there is no demand driver beyond speculative momentum—once momentum fades, there is no floor based on utility or community value.

Trading Insight

bullish

Raw transaction counts and volume metrics show a short-term bullish tilt—buy transactions outnumber sells 2.6:1 and buy volume leads by ~$7,000 over 24 hours—but this must be contextualized against the backdrop of a 220% pump that has already occurred. The sentiment score is kept low-positive (15/100) because the 5-minute reversal and the thin liquidity suggest the bullish momentum is fragile and likely to reverse quickly.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

With only 2 daily closes available ($0.0000577 → $0.0001397), the short-term trend is technically an uptrend—price has more than doubled from the first close. However, the 7d, 30d, and 90d trend metrics are all unavailable due to the token's age, making any medium-term trend assessment impossible. The current price at 58% of the 2-day range suggests the token is in the middle of its established range, not at an extreme.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 220% gain in 4 hours on a token with $33K liquidity and no fundamentals is a textbook overbought condition. The -7.5% 5-minute pullback is an early signal of momentum exhaustion. Without RSI or MACD data available, the overbought assessment is based purely on the magnitude and speed of the price move relative to the token's liquidity depth.

Volume Analysis

Buy 52.5%Sell 47.5%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Transaction velocity is accelerating: 584 buy transactions in the last hour vs. 2,060 over 24 hours implies the hourly run rate has nearly doubled. However, increasing volume during a parabolic move on a new unverified token is a warning sign of pump dynamics rather than a bullish confirmation signal.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic spike from $0.0000264 (range low) to $0.0002205 (range high) within 2 days, with the current price at $0.0001397 representing a partial pullback from the peak. The first daily close at $0.0000577 was followed by a second close at $0.0001397, a 142% single-day gain.

Parabolic price action on new low-liquidity tokens with no fundamentals historically precedes sharp mean-reversion. The partial pullback from $0.0002205 to $0.0001397 (a -37% drawdown from the high) may indicate the peak has already been set, though the accelerating buy transaction count creates short-term uncertainty.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders612
24h Change+612
Growth Rate+100%

The token went from 0 to 612 holders in under 31 days with an accelerating growth trajectory. While this sounds impressive, the entire holder base is brand new—there are no long-term holders to provide price stability, and the 100% growth rate simply reflects the token's existence rather than meaningful adoption. The accelerating growth in the most recent period aligns with the pump activity observed in price data.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders24%
Top 100 Holders76%
Retail Holders24.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

The top 10 holders control 24% of supply, but 11.82% is a protocol/contract wallet that is not dumpable. The genuine dumpable concentration from individual whale wallets is 17.4% across 9 wallets. While this is not catastrophically concentrated, on a $33K liquidity pool, even 1-2% of supply being sold simultaneously could cause 20-40% price impact. The top 100 controlling 76% means retail (24%) has limited price influence.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The largest recent trades are modest in absolute terms: a $552 sell by 0xcc588e, a $272 sell by 0xc7b349, a $135 buy by 0xb8a1e2, a $99 sell by 0x296dba, and two $59 buys. Sells dominate the largest transactions by count (3 sells vs. 2 buys in the top 5 notable trades), and the largest single transaction is a sell.

  • SELL $552 by 0xcc588e — largest single transaction recorded, suggesting early buyers are taking profits
  • SELL $272 by 0xc7b349 — second-largest transaction is also a sell, reinforcing distribution sentiment among larger holders

The notable recent trades show that the largest transactions are sells, not buys, despite the overall buy-transaction count dominance. This divergence—many small buys vs. fewer but larger sells—is a classic distribution pattern where early entrants exit into retail buying pressure.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Six wallets identified as top profitable traders have each realized exactly +$24 (+17%) over exactly 13 trades. The identical figures across all six wallets are highly anomalous and suggest automated or coordinated activity rather than independent smart money conviction.

The uniformity of smart money PnL ($24 each, 17% each, 13 trades each) is a red flag suggesting these may be bot wallets or coordinated accounts rather than genuine independent smart money. Realized profits are trivially small, indicating no large sophisticated capital has taken a meaningful position. This absence of genuine smart money conviction is a bearish signal for sustained price appreciation.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$33,006.38
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

With only $33K in total liquidity against a $140K market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 23.5%—extremely thin. A single $3,300 sell order (10% of liquidity) would cause significant price impact. This shallow liquidity makes the token highly susceptible to price manipulation in both directions and means that any meaningful exit by whale wallets will cause disproportionate price declines.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

The token has moved 735% from its 2-day low to high ($0.0000264 to $0.0002205) and experienced a 220% gain in a single 4-hour window. This extreme volatility on thin liquidity means positions can lose 50%+ of value within hours.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $33,006 against a $140K market cap creates a 23.5% liquidity ratio. Large orders will face severe slippage, and in a sell-off scenario, the liquidity pool could be drained rapidly, making exits at any reasonable price impossible.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply (individual whale wallets) is 17.4% across 9 wallets. While not critically concentrated, on $33K of liquidity, coordinated selling by 2-3 of these wallets could cause a 40-70% price decline. The protocol/contract wallet (11.82%) is not a dump risk.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (source code not publicly available) and carries a 57/100 security score. Without code verification, the presence of honeypot functions, blacklisting, hidden minting, or ownership backdoors cannot be excluded. This is an existential risk for token holders.

Regulatory
Medium

As an unclassified token on BNB Chain with no disclosed jurisdiction, team, or legal structure, the token faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to all unregistered crypto assets. The lack of any disclosed project information makes regulatory compliance assessment impossible.

Key Risks

  • Unverified smart contract with 57/100 security score: the contract may contain functions that prevent selling (honeypot), enable selective blacklisting of addresses, or allow the deployer to drain liquidity—none of which can be ruled out without source code review.
  • Extreme liquidity thinness ($33K): the entire liquidity pool could be exhausted by a single moderate-sized sell order from any of the 9 individual whale wallets, causing a near-total price collapse with no recovery mechanism.
  • Zero fundamental backing: with no project description, no team, no social presence, and no exchange listing, there is no demand driver beyond speculative momentum—once momentum fades, there is no floor based on utility or community value.

Mitigating Factors

  • The largest holder (11.82%) is a protocol/contract wallet, not an individual whale, reducing the risk of a single-entity rug pull from the top position.
  • Buy transaction volume ($72,886) exceeds sell volume ($65,853) over 24 hours, indicating that in the immediate term, demand is still absorbing sell pressure.

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who specialize in micro-cap speculation, fully understand the risks of unverified contracts, and can afford to lose 100% of any capital deployed. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in BNB Chain new-launch token dynamics.

蝴蝶骑士 is a brand-new, fundamentally opaque BNB Chain token whose current price is driven entirely by speculative momentum. The bull case requires sustained buying pressure to overcome thin liquidity and whale distribution; the bear case—which is more probable—follows the standard trajectory of unverified, no-utility micro-cap tokens returning to near-zero after the initial pump.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Sustained buy pressure from new wallet acquisition (currently accelerating) continues to absorb whale distribution, the token gains a verifiable identity or utility announcement, and the price retests the 2-day high of $0.0002205 before establishing a higher base.

  • +Continued acceleration in unique buyer count (491 in 24h) sustaining net inflow pressure
  • +Emergence of a project identity, social community, or exchange listing that provides a fundamental demand floor
Base Case

The token experiences continued high volatility over the next 7-14 days, with price oscillating between $0.0000577 and $0.0002205 as early buyers distribute to late retail entrants, ultimately settling significantly below current levels as liquidity thins and new buyer interest wanes.

  • No new fundamental catalyst (project announcement, exchange listing, audit) emerges to create sustained demand
  • Whale wallets gradually distribute holdings over days rather than in a single coordinated dump
Bear Case
High

The 9 individual whale wallets (17.4% dumpable supply) begin coordinated or sequential selling into the thin $33K liquidity pool, buy momentum exhausts as the pump cycle peaks, and the price retraces toward the first daily close of $0.0000577 or below—a potential -59% decline from current levels.

  • -Notable recent trades already show sells dominating the largest transactions ($552 and $272 sells vs. $135 largest buy), indicating distribution is underway
  • -Unverified contract and zero fundamentals provide no demand floor once speculative momentum fades

Analysis Details

GeneratedJun 10, 2026, 02:01 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000139730179677256
Market Cap$140.4K
24h Volume$138.7K
Holders612
Liquidity$33.0K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (31-day daily timeseries)
Trading volume metrics (1h, 4h, 24h windows)
Smart contract security assessment (57/100 automated score)
Daily OHLC price history (2-day window)
Notable recent on-chain swap data
Top holder classification (protocol/contract vs. individual whale)

Limitations

  • Only 2 days of OHLC price history available; 7d, 30d, and 90d trend metrics are entirely absent, making trend analysis highly speculative
  • No project documentation, team information, or whitepaper available to assess fundamental value; analysis is based solely on on-chain behavioral data
  • The anomalous uniformity of smart money PnL data ($24/+17%/13 trades across all 6 wallets) raises data quality concerns that cannot be resolved without deeper investigation
  • Holder tier classifications (207 'Whales') appear distorted by the token's low unit price and should not be interpreted as genuine high-net-worth participation

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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