JIN

金蟾 Price Today & AI Analysis

JINBNB ChainAnalysis as of Aug 13, 2026

Price

$0.056356

+0.05% 24h

Contract

Live
0x49f5bcab31a86c1ceefa6fb34680ff66bf8a7777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

407

Market cap

$6.36K

Liquidity

$4.13K

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金蟾: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-13 17:15 UTC

Holder addresses

309

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$26,272.89
How concentrated is 金蟾 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 309 addresses (2026-08-13 17:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 金蟾?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 金蟾 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-13 17:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $26,272.89. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-13 17:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 13, 2026, 05:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$50.34K

24h Volume

$59.67K

Liquidity

$26.27K

FDV

—

Holders

309

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

This token, self-described as 'the lucky golden toad | 金蟾 | hand drawn + AI,' launched on BNB Chain approximately 1 hour ago and has accumulated 309 holders entirely through swap activity. It carries a security score of 37/100, an unverified contract, and a total liquidity pool of just $26,273 — all hallmarks of a high-risk, early-stage speculative token. The token name and symbol ('Tether Gold' / 'XAUt') are identical to the well-known Tether Gold stablecoin, which is a significant red flag suggesting deliberate impersonation or namespace squatting to mislead investors. The on-chain genesis shows the deployer distributed supply to multiple wallets before any trading began, and the top individual whale wallets received their positions via transfer rather than market purchases.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 13, 2026, 05:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Token name and symbol ('Tether Gold' / 'XAUt') directly impersonate the established Tether Gold asset, a potential deception vector for unsuspecting investors
  • All 309 holders joined within the token's first hour of existence, with 308 of 309 acquiring via swap — indicating a coordinated or bot-driven initial distribution
  • Deployer wallet pre-distributed supply to at least four distinct addresses in the genesis block before open trading, suggesting pre-planned insider allocation

金蟾 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

This token is only 1 hour old with no OHLC price history to establish any trend. All 24h, 4h, and 1h price change figures are identical (-0.07%), indicating the data window predates meaningful trading history. The six largest recent on-chain swaps are all sells, and the token carries a security score of 37/100 with an unverified contract, pointing to near-term downside pressure.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With a $26,273 liquidity pool, a $50,345 market cap, an unverified contract, and multiple top holders whose positions were acquired via transfer rather than market buys, the structural setup favors distribution over accumulation over a 30–90 day horizon. The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) distributed supply to at least four addresses within the genesis block, a pattern consistent with coordinated insider allocation that typically precedes selling pressure. Survival beyond 30 days will depend on whether the project can attract genuine organic demand beyond its current 309 holders.

Bullish Factors

  • More unique buyers (130) than unique sellers (76) in the 24h window, suggesting broader initial interest on the buy side despite net sell pressure by volume.
  • The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) has been active since 2024-07-01 (773 days old), which is longer-lived than typical disposable deployer wallets used in rapid rug operations.

Bearish Factors

  • All six of the largest recent on-chain swaps are sells (ranging from $99 to $374), indicating that the largest active participants are exiting, not accumulating.
  • Three of the top individual whale wallets (holding 3.64%, 2.75%, and 2.75% of supply) acquired their positions via transfer with no DEX swap history, meaning they were handed supply at or near launch — classic insider allocation with zero cost basis and maximum dump incentive.
  • Security score of 37/100 with an unverified contract is a critical red flag; unverified contracts cannot be audited by the public, leaving investors unable to assess hidden mint, pause, or blacklist functions.
  • Total liquidity of only $26,273 against a $50,345 market cap means a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of ~52%, but in absolute terms any sell of a few thousand dollars will cause severe slippage, trapping buyers.
  • The deployer (0xe2ce6ab8…) was first funded by an unlabelled wallet (0x4deaae93…), providing no traceable accountability and fitting a disposable-deployer risk pattern.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

JIN call history

Full track record →

Aug 13bearish
24h-100.0%
7d—
30d-100.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x49f5...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Name impersonation: 'Tether Gold' / 'XAUt' directly copies an established commodity-backed asset, creating a high probability that investors will be misled into purchasing this token believing it is the legitimate Tether Gold product
  • Insider dump risk: Three confirmed top whale wallets hold 9.14% of supply combined with zero cost basis (received via transfer), and all six largest recent swaps are sells — the distribution phase may already be underway
  • Unverified contract with a 37/100 security score: hidden malicious functions cannot be excluded, and the deployer was funded by an unlabelled wallet with no traceable history

Trading Insight

bearish

Buy pressure stands at 49.1% versus sell pressure at 50.9% — a near-balanced but marginally sell-dominant split by volume. However, the qualitative picture is more bearish: every one of the six largest individual swaps on record is a sell, and the sell volume ($30,385) exceeds buy volume ($29,290) by $1,095. The identical transaction counts across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows confirm all trading activity occurred within the past hour.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

With only 1 hour of trading history and no OHLC data available, no meaningful trend can be established. The identical price change figures across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows (-0.07%) confirm there is no multi-window trend to analyze. Any directional call based on price action alone would be fabricated.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum indicators cannot be computed without OHLC history. The marginal -0.07% price drift and near-equal buy/sell pressure (49.1% vs. 50.9%) produce a technically neutral momentum reading, though the qualitative on-chain evidence skews bearish.

Volume Analysis

Buy

49.1%

Sell

50.9%

Volume Trend

Stable

All volume occurred within the first hour of launch, so no multi-period volume trend exists. The $59,674 total 24h volume against $26,273 liquidity is a 2.3x turnover ratio — extremely elevated for a newly launched token and indicative of speculative churn rather than sustained demand.

Recent Price Action

Flat price action with a marginal -0.07% drift since launch, with no discernible candlestick patterns due to the absence of OHLC history.

The absence of meaningful price movement in the first hour, combined with high volume turnover, suggests the price is being held near the launch price — a pattern sometimes seen in coordinated launches before a distribution phase begins.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

89/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 1-hour-old token with $26,273 in liquidity and 26.9% dumpable insider supply will experience extreme price volatility. Any coordinated sell by top holders could move the price 50%+ given the shallow pool depth.

  • LiquidityHigh

    At $26,273 total liquidity, this pool is critically shallow. Trades above ~$500 will incur meaningful slippage, and a liquidity removal event by the pool provider would effectively strand all holders.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryHigh

    The deliberate use of 'Tether Gold' as the token name and 'XAUt' as the symbol — identical to an established regulated financial product — creates significant regulatory and legal exposure, including potential fraud, trademark infringement, and securities impersonation claims.

Key Risks

  • Name impersonation: 'Tether Gold' / 'XAUt' directly copies an established commodity-backed asset, creating a high probability that investors will be misled into purchasing this token believing it is the legitimate Tether Gold product
  • Insider dump risk: Three confirmed top whale wallets hold 9.14% of supply combined with zero cost basis (received via transfer), and all six largest recent swaps are sells — the distribution phase may already be underway
  • Unverified contract with a 37/100 security score: hidden malicious functions cannot be excluded, and the deployer was funded by an unlabelled wallet with no traceable history

Mitigating Factors

  • Deployer wallet is 773 days old with no prior contract deployments in its earliest transactions, suggesting it is not a freshly created disposable wallet
  • More unique buyers (130) than unique sellers (76) in the first hour indicates some genuine demand-side interest, though this does not offset the structural risks

Investor Suitability

This token is unsuitable for the vast majority of investors. Only highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand the impersonation risk, insider allocation structure, unverified contract, and shallow liquidity should consider any exposure — and only with capital they can afford to lose entirely.

The investment thesis for this token is overwhelmingly bearish at launch. The combination of name impersonation, insider-allocated zero-cost-basis whale supply, an unverified contract scoring 37/100, and a $26,273 liquidity pool creates a risk profile where the probability of total loss significantly exceeds the probability of meaningful gains.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The project builds genuine community momentum around its 'lucky golden toad' meme identity, attracts organic buyers beyond the initial 309 holders, verifies its contract, and differentiates itself from the Tether Gold impersonation concern — driving speculative demand in a favorable meme-coin market cycle.

  • Viral meme adoption of the 金蟾 (golden toad) cultural narrative in crypto communities
  • Contract verification and a security audit removing the primary technical risk barrier for cautious buyers

Base Case

The token experiences a brief speculative spike driven by initial launch momentum, followed by gradual price erosion as insider-allocated wallets distribute their positions into buy pressure, ultimately settling at a fraction of the launch price with a small residual holder base.

  • Insider wallets will eventually sell their transferred positions given zero cost basis and no stated lock-up
  • The token will not achieve sufficient organic community growth to absorb the insider supply overhang

Bear Case

High probability

Insider wallets with zero-cost-basis positions sell into initial buy pressure, the shallow liquidity pool amplifies price decline, and the Tether Gold name impersonation triggers exchange refusals or investor warnings — resulting in rapid price collapse and near-total loss for market buyers.

  • 26.9% dumpable insider supply with zero cost basis already showing sell-side activity in the first hour
  • Tether Gold name impersonation reducing legitimate exchange listing prospects and attracting negative attention from the crypto community and regulators

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 13, 2026, 05:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-13 17:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$4336.250453266054137202

Market Cap

$50.3K

24h Volume

$59.7K

Holders

309

Liquidity

$26,272.89

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)Trading volume metrics (DEX aggregator)Smart contract analysis (security scoring)Token genesis and deployer wallet forensicsWhale wallet behavioral lookup

Limitations

  • No OHLC price history exists (token is 1 hour old), making all technical price-level analysis impossible
  • Smart-money cohort data is unavailable, preventing profitable-trader behavioral analysis
  • Social media engagement metrics (follower counts, post activity) are not available, limiting community assessment
  • The token's unverified contract means hidden functions and true tokenomics cannot be fully assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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