卷

卷王 Price Prediction 2026

卷王
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 13, 2026

$0.000126

+3.37%24h
LiveContract:0x446dd168b597fa738ce405ce4782930a0a307777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:557Market cap:$126.17KLiquidity:$15.59K

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Ask Unhosted AI about 卷王

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Aug 13, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC
Market Cap

$81.40K

24h Volume

$548.06K

Liquidity

$25.42K

FDV

—

Holders

625

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

卷王 (symbol: 卷王) is a BNB Chain token that launched exactly 1 hour ago with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens, a market cap of $81,403, and $25,420 in liquidity. The token has no verified contract, no project description, no social links, and no disclosed use case, placing it firmly in the speculative micro-cap category with very high risk. The launch generated 6,427 transactions from 2,377 unique traders in its first hour, reflecting intense speculative activity, but three of the top nine individual whales received their supply via transfer rather than market purchase — a clear insider pre-distribution pattern. Given the unverified contract, anonymous deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet, and sub-$26K liquidity pool, this token exhibits multiple hallmarks of high-risk launch-phase speculation.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 13, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Launched only 1 hour ago with all 625 holders entering via swap — zero airdrop or transfer-based retail distribution, meaning every non-insider holder paid market price
Chinese-character name and symbol (卷王, meaning roughly 'Roll King' or 'Grind King' in Chinese internet slang) suggests targeting a specific cultural/linguistic community with no disclosed project backing
Deployer wallet is 773 days old with zero prior contract deployments, an atypical profile that is neither a clear serial-launcher nor an established project deployer

卷王 Price Prediction

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

This token is only 1 hour old, having launched on BNB Chain at 09:28 UTC on 2026-08-13. The 133% price spike visible across the 1h/4h/24h windows is entirely the launch pump — there is no multi-day trend to assess. With only $25,420 in liquidity, a 15.38% protocol/contract holder, and nine individual whales holding a combined ~17.5% of dumpable supply, the post-launch window is historically the highest-risk period for rapid price collapse.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Without a verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet, there is no identifiable fundamental driver to sustain price beyond the initial launch speculation. The medium-term trajectory for tokens of this profile — unverified, anonymous, no utility disclosed — is overwhelmingly mean-reversion toward zero as early recipients distribute. Survival beyond 30 days would require organic community formation and liquidity growth that is not evidenced by any current data.

Bullish Factors
  • +Buy pressure is marginally dominant at 50.6% of 24h volume ($277,095 buys vs $270,969 sells), suggesting net inflow in the immediate post-launch window.
  • +All 625 holders acquired via swap (zero airdrops, zero transfers), indicating every holder paid market price and has genuine skin in the game rather than free tokens.
  • +The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) has been active since 2024-07-01 (773 days old) with no prior contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, which is a less alarming profile than a freshly-created serial-launcher wallet.
Bearish Factors
  • -The contract is unverified (security score 41/100), meaning the source code cannot be audited and hidden mint, pause, or fee functions cannot be ruled out.
  • -Three of the top individual whales (0x6859c9…, 0x319038…, 0xa7d4ff…) show no indexed DEX swaps — their positions were acquired via transfer, not market buys, confirming insider pre-distribution before public trading began.
  • -Whale wallet 0x6859c9… (2.50% of supply) was first active on 2026-08-12 — one day before launch — a strong sybil/insider signal indicating coordinated pre-launch wallet preparation.
  • -Total liquidity of only $25,420 against a $81,403 market cap creates a liquidity-to-mcap ratio of ~31%, meaning even modest sell pressure will cause severe slippage and rapid price collapse.
  • -The deployer (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet (0x4deaae93…), a disposable-deployer funding pattern that elevates rug-pull risk.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

卷王 call history

Full track record →
Aug 13bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x446d...7777
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Rug pull risk: unverified contract + deployer funded by unlabelled wallet + pre-launch insider allocations to 0x4518dd… and 0x1de460… create a classic setup for a coordinated exit after the launch pump
•Insider dump risk: three top individual whales (0x6859c9…, 0x319038…, 0xa7d4ff…) hold zero-cost-basis positions via pre-launch transfers and can sell at any price for pure profit — their 'holding' status is temporary by nature
•Liquidity collapse risk: at $25,420 in liquidity, a single whale selling their 2.50% position (~$2,035 at current price) would cause severe price impact; a coordinated multi-whale exit would likely collapse the price by 50-90% before the pool stabilizes

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24h buy/sell split of 50.6%/49.4% is nearly perfectly balanced, reflecting a speculative tug-of-war typical of a brand-new token's first hour rather than any directional conviction. Transaction counts are identical across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows (3,379 buys / 3,048 sells), confirming all recorded activity occurred within the single hour since launch. The marginal buy-side edge is insufficient to signal genuine accumulation given the structural risks present.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The only observable price data is the 133% gain from the token's launch price to its current price of $0.0000826 — this is the launch pump, not a sustained trend. There is no multi-day OHLC history to establish a genuine trend structure. The short-term classification of 'uptrend' reflects the launch-hour price appreciation, while medium-term is classified as sideways because no directional trend has had time to form.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 133% price increase within the first hour of a token's existence, driven by speculative launch activity rather than fundamental news, is a textbook overbought condition. With liquidity at only $25,420, the price is highly sensitive to any meaningful sell order, and the momentum is entirely a function of launch hype rather than sustained buying conviction.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.6%Sell 49.4%

Volume Trend: Stable

Volume data exists only for the token's first hour of trading. The $548,064 in combined volume represents over 21x the total liquidity pool, indicating extremely high turnover. The near-equal split between buy ($277,095) and sell ($270,969) volume suggests the market is in price discovery mode with no dominant directional force yet established beyond the initial launch pump.

Recent Price Action

Launch pump: price appreciated 133% from the initial listing price within the first hour, followed by a -4.59% retracement in the most recent 5-minute window — the first observable pullback signal.

The 5-minute pullback of -4.59% after a 133% launch pump is a potential early signal of momentum exhaustion. In tokens of this profile, the first sustained pullback after a launch pump frequently accelerates as early recipients begin distributing into remaining buy pressure.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders625
24h Change+625
Growth Rate+100%

625 holders in the first hour is a notable launch-hour adoption figure, but the 100% growth rate simply reflects the token's existence beginning — there is no baseline to compare against. The meaningful signal is that 1,283 unique buyers transacted but only 625 remain as holders, implying at least 658 wallets fully exited their positions within the first hour, a high churn rate that reflects speculative flipping rather than conviction holding.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders33%
Top 100 Holders75%
Retail Holders25.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

The top 10 holders control 33% of supply, but the largest position (15.38%) is a protocol/contract and is not dumpable. Dumpable supply from individual whales and identifiable insiders totals 23% — a medium concentration risk rather than critical, since the majority of the top-10 concentration is locked in a non-selling contract. However, the top 100 holders controlling 75% of supply means retail (bottom ~525 holders) controls only 25%, limiting retail's ability to influence price direction.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

The largest recorded on-chain swap is a $692 sell by 0xf04952…, followed by a $302 buy by 0xee1d07… and a $163 buy by 0xed3356…. All notable recent trades are sub-$700, indicating no large coordinated whale dump has occurred yet. However, three top individual whales (0x6859c9…, 0x319038…, 0xa7d4ff…) hold zero-cost-basis positions via pre-launch transfers and have not yet executed any indexed DEX swaps on this token.

  • •SELL $692 by 0xf04952… — largest single trade recorded, a sell-side transaction suggesting at least one early participant is taking profits
  • •BUY $302 by 0xee1d07… — largest buy-side transaction, modest in size relative to the token's market cap, indicating no large institutional buy interest

The absence of large whale dumps in the notable trades list is a short-term neutral signal, but the three insider whales with zero-cost-basis positions (0x6859c9…, 0x319038…, 0xa7d4ff…) represent latent sell pressure that could materialize at any time. Their current 'holding' status should not be interpreted as bullish conviction — they have no cost basis to protect.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money profitable-trader cohort data is unavailable for this token. No inference about early buyer positioning can be made from the available data.

Smart-money data is unavailable. Given the token is only 1 hour old and three top whales received supply via pre-launch transfer at zero cost basis, profit-taking risk is assessed as high on structural grounds alone — any price above zero represents pure profit for those wallets.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$25,420.25
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $25,420 in total liquidity against an $81,403 market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 31% — shallow by any standard. A single sell order of $2,500 (roughly 10% of the pool) would cause significant price impact and slippage. This shallow pool means the 133% launch price appreciation is easily reversible with modest sell pressure, and any coordinated exit by the insider whale cohort would likely drain the pool rapidly.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 133% price move in the first hour of existence, followed by a -4.59% 5-minute pullback, on only $25,420 in liquidity defines extreme volatility. Price can move 10-20% on individual trades given the shallow pool depth.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $25,420 is critically shallow for a $81,403 market cap token. Exit liquidity for any position above a few hundred dollars will incur severe slippage, and a coordinated sell by insider wallets could drain the pool entirely.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply is 23% (individual whales), with the largest single dumpable position at 2.50%. The 15.38% top holder is a protocol/contract and is not dumpable. While concentration is not critical, the three insider whales with zero-cost-basis positions represent asymmetric sell risk.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified with a 41/100 security score. Without source code verification, the presence of owner-controlled functions (mint, blacklist, fee manipulation, trading pause) cannot be assessed. This is an unacceptable risk for any meaningful position size.

Regulatory
Medium

Anonymous token with no disclosed team or jurisdiction on BNB Chain. While BNB Chain itself is not uniquely regulated, anonymous meme/cultural tokens with no utility face potential classification as unregistered securities in multiple jurisdictions if they gain significant traction.

Key Risks

  • •Rug pull risk: unverified contract + deployer funded by unlabelled wallet + pre-launch insider allocations to 0x4518dd… and 0x1de460… create a classic setup for a coordinated exit after the launch pump
  • •Insider dump risk: three top individual whales (0x6859c9…, 0x319038…, 0xa7d4ff…) hold zero-cost-basis positions via pre-launch transfers and can sell at any price for pure profit — their 'holding' status is temporary by nature
  • •Liquidity collapse risk: at $25,420 in liquidity, a single whale selling their 2.50% position (~$2,035 at current price) would cause severe price impact; a coordinated multi-whale exit would likely collapse the price by 50-90% before the pool stabilizes

Mitigating Factors

  • •The deployer wallet is 773 days old with no prior deployments, suggesting this is not a known serial rug-puller operating a fresh throwaway wallet
  • •All 625 retail holders entered via market swap, meaning the token achieved genuine price discovery rather than being seeded with fake holders via airdrop manipulation

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who specialize in launch-phase speculation, can afford to lose 100% of their position, and have the technical capability to monitor on-chain insider wallet activity in real time. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with BNB Chain micro-cap risk dynamics.

卷王 is a 1-hour-old anonymous BNB Chain token with no verified contract, no disclosed fundamentals, and confirmed insider pre-distribution — the investment thesis is almost entirely speculative, with the bear case substantially more probable than the bull case based on available structural evidence.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The Chinese cultural reference name ('卷王') resonates virally within Chinese-language crypto communities, driving organic holder growth beyond 5,000 wallets within 48 hours. Liquidity deepens to $200K+, the deployer voluntarily verifies the contract, and the token establishes a community narrative that sustains speculative interest beyond the initial launch pump.

  • +Viral cultural resonance of the '卷王' meme within Chinese-language crypto Twitter/Telegram communities
  • +Deployer choosing to verify the contract and establish social channels, converting speculative interest into community-backed momentum
Base Case

The token experiences a typical launch-pump-and-fade cycle: price retraces 40-70% from the launch-hour high over the next 24-72 hours as early flippers exit and insider wallets begin gradual distribution. A small residual community of 200-400 holders remains, trading at a fraction of the launch price with minimal liquidity and no new catalysts.

  • •No major viral catalyst emerges to sustain buy pressure beyond the initial launch hour
  • •Insider wallets distribute gradually rather than in a single coordinated dump, resulting in a slow bleed rather than an immediate collapse
Bear Case
High

Insider wallets (0x4518dd…, 0x1de460…, and the three zero-cost-basis individual whales) begin distributing their zero-cost-basis supply into the remaining buy pressure within the next 1-24 hours. The shallow $25,420 liquidity pool cannot absorb coordinated selling, price collapses 70-95% from current levels, and the token becomes illiquid as retail holders are unable to exit at meaningful prices.

  • -Zero-cost-basis insider supply representing ~14.4% of total supply (TOKEN GENESIS transfers) plus 23% dumpable individual whale supply creates overwhelming latent sell pressure
  • -Unverified contract prevents any independent confirmation that the deployer cannot execute additional privileged actions (mint, freeze, fee extraction)

Analysis Details

GeneratedAug 13, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data; token is 1 hour old at time of analysis
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000082576772336486
Market Cap$81.4K
24h Volume$548.1K
Holders625
Liquidity$25.4K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Trading volume metrics (24h buy/sell volume and transaction counts)
Smart contract security assessment (41/100 score, verification status)
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis (DEX swap history lookup)
Liquidity pool depth data

Limitations

  • •Token is only 1 hour old — all price, volume, and holder data reflects a single launch-hour snapshot with no historical baseline for trend analysis; all directional calls are structural risk assessments, not trend-based predictions
  • •Unverified contract means smart contract risk cannot be fully quantified — hidden functions, fee structures, and owner privileges are unknown
  • •Smart-money profitable-trader cohort data is unavailable, preventing assessment of whether sophisticated traders are net long or net short
  • •The token name and symbol are in Chinese characters with no translation or context provided in the data — cultural/community context that could affect adoption is not assessable from on-chain data alone

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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