币安月饼

币安月饼 Price Today & AI Analysis

币安月饼BNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 25, 2026

Price

$0.041817

-71.90% 24h

Contract

Live
0x4392cbae887bb2ccf3d58bc4d04f782c76b47777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

2.2K

Market cap

$18.09K

Liquidity

$6.34K

More tokens on BNB Chain

妖蝶妖蝶妖蝶$0.001487+39.5%MC $1.49MPUFFERPUFFERPUFFER$0.0276-4.7%MC $1.10MBULLABULLABULLA$0.1032+13.8%MC $103.23Mmemestockmemestockmemestock$0.002360+4.7%MC $2.36MENSOENSOEnso$1.03+2.5%MC $3.40Mquqquqquq$0.001557-4.0%MC $1.56M

币安月饼: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-25 13:15 UTC

Holder addresses

2,190

Top 10 supply share

13.65%

Reported liquidity

$6,336.00
How concentrated is 币安月饼 ownership?
As of 2026-09-25 13:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 13.65% of supply. It reports 2,190 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling 币安月饼?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 13:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $123,773.00 in buys and $127,585.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 币安月饼 liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +10.44%, from $11,875.98 (2026-09-25 05:00 UTC) to $13,116.08 (2026-09-25 13:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-25 13:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-25 05:00 UTC$11,875.98
2026-09-25 06:00 UTC$36,982.61
2026-09-25 07:00 UTC$15,206.31
2026-09-25 08:00 UTC$14,386.51
2026-09-25 09:00 UTC$13,566.39
2026-09-25 10:00 UTC$13,346.14
2026-09-25 11:00 UTC$11,668.27
2026-09-25 12:00 UTC$14,535.11
2026-09-25 13:00 UTC$13,116.08

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 25, 2026, 01:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$18.09K

24h Volume

$251.36K

Liquidity

$6.34K

FDV

—

Holders

2,190

24h

Loading trading activity…

Ask Unhosted AI about 币安月饼

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

币安月饼 ("Binance Mooncake") is a Mid-Autumn Festival-themed meme token on BNB Chain that launched roughly 7 hours ago and trades on PancakeSwap with only $6,336 in liquidity against an $18,089 market cap. The token has already collapsed over 70% from its early highs, with the decline accelerating in the most recent hour, a pattern consistent with a rapid pump-and-dump. Its name and description reference Binance branding without any confirmed official affiliation, and per-wallet holder, whale, smart-money, and contract-security data are all unavailable from the current data provider, leaving this analysis reliant on aggregate trading and holder-count figures only.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 25, 2026, 01:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Festival-themed novelty meme coin, only 7 hours old, with no stated utility
  • Uses Binance-referencing name/imagery without confirmed official affiliation, raising impersonation/branding concerns
  • Already down over 70% from its intraday high on extremely shallow ($6,336) liquidity

币安月饼 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

Price action shows an accelerating collapse: -56.5% in the last hour, -72.1% over 4 hours, and -71.9% over the token's entire 24-hour (essentially full lifespan) history. This is a classic pump-and-dump signature for a token launched only 7 hours ago, and the -11.6% move in just the last 5 minutes shows the decline has not yet stabilized.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With the token only 7 hours old and already down over 70% from its early highs, there is no multi-day price history to suggest stabilization. The typical lifecycle of festival/meme-themed micro-cap tokens on thin liquidity is continued bleed-out or abandonment once initial hype fades.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy pressure (49.2%) remains nearly balanced with sell pressure (50.8%), showing buyers have not fully disappeared despite the crash
  • Unique buyers (1,158) outnumber unique sellers (1,021) in 24h, and total transaction count (4,505) is high for an $18k market cap, indicating active participation

Bearish Factors

  • Price is down 71.9% over 24h and 72.1% over 4h, with the decline still accelerating (-56.5% in the last hour, -11.6% in the last 5 minutes)
  • Total liquidity of just $6,336 against an $18,089 market cap means the pool is highly susceptible to further sharp price impact from ordinary-sized sell orders
  • Token has no operating history beyond 7 hours, so there is no track record to distinguish genuine demand from bot/airdrop-driven activity

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

币安月饼 call history

Full track record →

Sep 25bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x4392...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Price has collapsed 71.9% over 24 hours with the decline still accelerating in the most recent hour, consistent with a pump-and-dump pattern
  • Liquidity of only $6,336 against an $18,089 market cap means the pool can be significantly moved by routine-sized trades, creating high slippage and exit risk
  • The token is only 7 hours old with no track record, no audited contract-security data, and no holder-growth history to establish trend confidence
  • The name and branding reference Binance without confirmed affiliation, raising impersonation/trademark concerns that could trigger platform delisting or reputational risk

Trading Insight

bearish

Raw buy/sell volume is nearly balanced (49.2% vs 50.8%), but this balance sits alongside a price that has fallen over 70% in the same 24-hour window, implying that even routine two-sided trading is producing outsized price impact given the token's thin liquidity. Transaction counts skew toward buys (2,691 vs 1,814), suggesting many smaller buyers are absorbing supply sold by fewer, larger exiting positions.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Price has fallen 56.5% in the last hour and 72.1% over 4 hours, with the 24-hour change (-71.9%) nearly matching the 4-hour change — indicating the bulk of the decline happened early in the token's life and selling pressure has continued into the most recent hour. There is no 7d/30d/90d history available since the token is only 7 hours old, so 'medium-term' here reflects the same accelerating downward trajectory observed intraday.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

The magnitude and speed of the decline (over 70% in under a day) points to short-term oversold conditions by typical technical measures, but for an illiquid, hours-old token this does not reliably signal an imminent bounce — continuation of the downtrend remains equally plausible given the thin order book.

Volume Analysis

Buy

49.2%

Sell

50.8%

Volume Trend

Increasing

24-hour volume of roughly $251,358 against an $18,089 market cap (about 14x turnover) shows extremely elevated trading activity concentrated in the token's brief lifespan, consistent with a speculative launch spike now unwinding through heavy two-sided trading.

Recent Price Action

An initial pump (implied by the token reaching its current market cap shortly after a 05:53 UTC launch) has been followed by a cascading decline: -72.1% over 4 hours, -56.5% in the last hour, and -11.6% in the last 5 minutes, showing the sell-off is still actively unfolding rather than stabilizing.

This pattern is characteristic of a pump-and-dump cycle common to brand-new meme tokens: an early speculative spike draws in buyers, followed by early holders and bots exiting into thin liquidity, driving cascading losses for later entrants.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Price has fallen over 70% within the token's first 24 hours of existence, with the decline still accelerating in the most recent hour, indicating extreme volatility.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $6,336 against an $18,089 market cap is very shallow, meaning both entering and exiting positions can cause significant price slippage.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Aggregate data shows the top 10 holders control 13.6% of supply, a relatively low concentration figure; however, individual wallet identities and dumpable-supply classification are unavailable, so this assessment is based solely on the aggregate percentage.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Use of Binance-referencing branding and imagery without confirmed official affiliation could raise trademark or impersonation concerns, which may attract regulatory or exchange-platform scrutiny.

Key Risks

  • Price has collapsed 71.9% over 24 hours with the decline still accelerating in the most recent hour, consistent with a pump-and-dump pattern
  • Liquidity of only $6,336 against an $18,089 market cap means the pool can be significantly moved by routine-sized trades, creating high slippage and exit risk
  • The token is only 7 hours old with no track record, no audited contract-security data, and no holder-growth history to establish trend confidence
  • The name and branding reference Binance without confirmed affiliation, raising impersonation/trademark concerns that could trigger platform delisting or reputational risk

Mitigating Factors

  • Buy pressure (49.2%) remains close to sell pressure (50.8%), showing trading has not entirely one-sided collapsed
  • Aggregate top-10 holder concentration of 13.6% is relatively low compared to many new meme-token launches, though individual wallet classification is unavailable

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculative traders who can accept a total loss of capital and who are actively monitoring positions in real time; unsuitable for investors seeking capital preservation, income, or long-term holding.

币安月饼 is an hours-old, festival-themed meme token that has already lost over 70% of its value amid extremely thin liquidity, making it a highly speculative and fragile asset with no fundamental value driver beyond short-term hype.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A renewed wave of festival-themed social attention or coordinated buying could produce a short-lived bounce, aided by the still-active and roughly balanced buy/sell transaction flow.

  • Continued near-balanced buy pressure (49.2%) suggesting some fresh demand remains
  • High transaction and holder counts (2,190 holders, 4,505 24h transactions) showing the token has not yet lost all trading interest

Base Case

Consistent with the typical lifecycle of festival/meme-themed micro-cap tokens, hype fades within days, volume and liquidity dry up, and the token settles into low-value obscurity absent a fresh catalyst.

  • No sustained utility or roadmap emerges beyond the initial festive branding
  • Liquidity providers do not materially deepen the pool, leaving the token vulnerable to continued high-slippage trading

Bear Case

High probability

The decline continues as early holders and bots exit further into the shallow $6,336 liquidity pool, pushing the token toward illiquidity or effective abandonment within days.

  • Accelerating price decline across the 1h (-56.5%), 4h (-72.1%), and 24h (-71.9%) windows with no sign of stabilization
  • Extremely shallow liquidity relative to market cap, magnifying downside price impact from ongoing sell pressure

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 25, 2026, 01:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-25 13:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0000181719761004

Market Cap

$18.1K

24h Volume

$251.4K

Holders

2,190

Liquidity

$6,336.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • No OHLC-derived support/resistance levels could be computed, and the token's 7-hour age precludes any meaningful 7d/30d/90d trend analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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