Pasteur

Pasteur Price Today & AI Analysis

Pasteur
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 20, 2026

$0.055121

+1.37%24h
LiveContract:0x3e1ae255838cd90b822e738b68ea995f9c554444Chain:BNB ChainHolders:431Market cap:$5.12KLiquidity:$4.09K

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Ask Unhosted AI about Pasteur

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 20, 2026, 11:01 AM UTC
Market Cap

$209.55K

24h Volume

$744.16K

Liquidity

$43.75K

FDV

—

Holders

1.1K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Pasteur (ticker: Pasteur) is a meme token launched on BNB Chain via the Four.meme launchpad approximately 1 hour ago, with a total supply of 1 billion tokens fully in circulation and a current market cap of ~$209,545. The token has experienced a +320% price surge from its launch price within its first hour, driven by 3,974 buy transactions from 1,591 unique wallets, but the most recent 5-minute window shows a -12.6% reversal that may signal the beginning of post-launch profit-taking. Critical risk factors include an unverified smart contract, multiple top holders who received supply via transfer at genesis with zero cost basis, shallow liquidity of $43,753, and a complete absence of project description or social presence. This token exhibits the hallmark profile of a speculative Four.meme launch: high short-term trading activity, insider pre-allocation, and no discernible fundamental value proposition.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 20, 2026, 11:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Launched on Four.meme (BNB Chain meme launchpad) with 1,000 holders acquired within the first hour — unusually rapid initial distribution for a token of this age.
Top 10 holders represent only 23% of supply with 10.11% in a protocol/contract, leaving dumpable individual-whale supply at a relatively contained 16.4% — lower concentration risk than typical meme launches despite the insider transfer concern.
Deployer wallet (0x757eba15…) is 476 days old with zero prior contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, an atypical profile that is neither clearly organic nor clearly a serial-launcher pattern.

Pasteur AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

Pasteur is 1 hour old and has already posted a +320% launch spike, a pattern almost universally followed by sharp mean-reversion on meme tokens launched via Four.meme. The -12.6% drop in the most recent 5-minute window is the first sign of that reversion beginning. With no OHLC history, no verified contract, and multiple top whales holding positions acquired via transfer rather than market buys, near-term selling pressure is the dominant risk.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The medium-term outlook is bearish absent any fundamental catalyst. Tokens in the Four.meme meme category with no project description, no social presence, and an unverified contract overwhelmingly fail to sustain post-launch price levels beyond a few days. Holder growth from 8 to 1,108 in a single session is impressive in raw numbers but reflects launch-day speculation rather than organic community building, and retention rates for this cohort are historically poor.

Bullish Factors
  • +Strong launch-day demand: 3,974 buy transactions from 1,591 unique buyers in the first hour, indicating broad initial interest rather than a single coordinated pump.
  • +Buy pressure marginally dominates at 50.8% ($377,981 buy volume vs. $366,182 sell volume), suggesting the market has not yet tipped into net distribution.
  • +Holder base grew from 8 to 1,108 in under one session, showing rapid community formation that, if retained, could provide a price floor.
Bearish Factors
  • -The +320% price spike occurred entirely within the first hour of launch — a classic meme-token launch pump that statistically precedes steep corrections once early recipients begin distributing.
  • -Three of the top individual whales (2.05%, 2.01%, 1.80% of supply) acquired their positions via transfer with no DEX swap history, meaning they received supply at or near genesis and face zero cost basis — maximum incentive to sell into any bid.
  • -The contract is unverified on BNB Chain, removing any ability for independent auditors or traders to inspect the code for honeypot, tax, or mint functions.
  • -The deployer wallet (0x757eba15…) was first funded from an unknown source, making it impossible to assess whether this is a serial launcher or a first-time deployer — a meaningful rug-risk ambiguity.
  • -Total liquidity of only $43,753 against a $209,545 market cap yields a liquidity-to-mcap ratio of ~21%, meaning even modest sell orders will cause severe slippage.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Pasteur call history

Full track record →
Jul 20bearish
24h-88.0%
7d-95.9%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x3e1a...4444
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Unverified smart contract: buyers cannot confirm the absence of honeypot, blacklist, or mint functions — the contract could be designed to prevent selling, making this a potential total-loss scenario with no recourse.
•Insider transfer allocations: three confirmed top holders (2.05%, 2.01%, 1.80%) and the genesis allocation to 0x3cd7f8… (6.1%) received supply at zero cost basis via transfer, not market buys. These wallets can sell at any price and still profit, creating persistent downward pressure with no natural floor.
•Post-launch pump exhaustion: the +320% move in 60 minutes is a classic meme-launch spike; the -12.6% 5-minute reversal is the first sign of mean-reversion. Historical base rates for Four.meme tokens suggest the majority of launch-day price gains are erased within 24-72 hours absent a sustained narrative catalyst.

Trading Insight

neutral

Market sentiment is nearly perfectly balanced: buy pressure sits at 50.8% with $377,981 in buy volume against $366,182 in sell volume across 7,842 total transactions in the first hour. This near-parity suggests the launch pump has attracted roughly equal numbers of buyers and sellers, with no dominant directional conviction emerging yet. The slight buy-side edge is insufficient to call a sustained uptrend given the token's age and the insider transfer risk.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The only available price data is a +320% move from launch price within the first hour, followed by a -12.6% reversal in the most recent 5-minute window. This constitutes a launch spike with early signs of mean-reversion — a pattern, not a sustained trend. Medium-term trend is classified as sideways because there is no multi-day OHLC history to establish a directional bias; the token is 1 hour old.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A +320% move in 60 minutes from a standing start, driven by speculative meme-launch activity, places momentum firmly in overbought territory by any standard measure. The -12.6% 5-minute candle is consistent with early exhaustion of buying pressure. Without RSI or MACD data (no OHLC history), this assessment is based on the magnitude of the price move relative to the token's age and liquidity depth.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.8%Sell 49.2%

Volume Trend: Stable

All $744,162 in combined volume occurred within the token's first hour, making it impossible to assess a volume trend. The liquidity pool of $43,753 was turned over approximately 17 times in that hour, indicating extreme speculative intensity. Volume sustainability is the critical unknown — Four.meme launches typically see volume collapse 80-95% after the initial hour if no narrative sustains interest.

Recent Price Action

Launch spike followed by initial reversal: +320% from genesis price within 60 minutes, then -12.6% in the most recent 5-minute window. All price action is contained within the token's first hour of existence.

This pattern — a sharp vertical launch followed by a 5-minute reversal candle — is the textbook opening sequence of a meme-token pump-and-dump cycle. It does not confirm a dump is underway, but it is the earliest warning signal that the initial buying impulse is exhausting. The next 1-4 hours of price action will be decisive.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders1,125
24h Change+1,125
Growth Rate+100%

The holder base grew from 8 (genesis allocations) to 1,125 in a single hour, representing the entire holder history of this token. While the raw growth rate is 100% (the token did not exist before today), the trajectory from 8 → 1,108 over the session shows genuine market-driven distribution rather than a purely insider-held token. The critical question is whether this cohort, acquired entirely during a +320% spike, will hold or immediately seek to exit.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders23%
Top 100 Holders60%
Retail Holders40.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

The top 10 holders control 23% of supply, but 10.11% of that is a protocol/contract wallet that is not a dumpable risk. The remaining 9 individual whales collectively hold ~12.9% of supply, and the broader dumpable supply figure is 16.4%. The top 100 holders control 60%, leaving 40% with retail — a reasonable distribution for a 1-hour-old token. Concentration risk is classified as medium rather than high because the largest single holder is a non-dumpable protocol contract, and no single individual whale exceeds 2.05%.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest confirmed on-chain swaps are modest in absolute terms: the biggest single trade was a $498 buy by 0x8559e8…, followed by another $498 buy by 0x64a977…, a $361 sell by 0x4a5861…, and buys of $284, $281, and $252. No whale-scale transactions (five-figure or above) have been recorded in the notable trades data.

  • •BUY $498 by 0x8559e8… — largest single buy recorded, modest in absolute size relative to the token's $209,545 market cap.
  • •SELL $361 by 0x4a5861… — largest sell recorded; the presence of active selling alongside buying confirms two-sided market activity from the first hour.

The absence of large whale-scale swaps in the notable trades data suggests that the $744,162 in combined volume was generated by a high frequency of small retail trades rather than a few large actors moving the market. The three top individual whales who hold 2.05%, 2.01%, and 1.80% of supply have not yet executed any indexed DEX swaps on this token — their positions remain intact as of this analysis, representing latent sell pressure that has not yet materialized.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token. No profitable-trader cohort analysis can be performed.

Smart-money data is unavailable for Pasteur. Given the token's 1-hour age and the fact that three top holders received supply via transfer at genesis with zero cost basis, profit-taking risk from these insider-allocated wallets is assessed as high on a precautionary basis — not because smart-money data confirms it, but because zero-cost-basis holders face no downside from selling at any price.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$43,753.25
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $43,753 in total liquidity against a $209,545 market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 20.9%. This is shallow for a token with $744,162 in hourly trading volume — the pool turned over ~17x in one hour, implying significant slippage on both buys and sells throughout the session. Any individual attempting to exit a position of more than a few hundred dollars will face meaningful price impact, and a coordinated sell by even one of the top individual whales (who hold 1-2% of supply each, worth $2,095–$4,296 at current prices) would materially move the price given this liquidity depth.

Overall Risk:
Very High
91/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A +320% price move in 60 minutes followed by a -12.6% reversal in 5 minutes demonstrates extreme intraday volatility. With no price history, no OHLC-derived support levels, and a speculative meme-token structure, volatility is expected to remain extreme in both directions.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $43,753 against $209,545 market cap (20.9% ratio) and $744,162 in hourly volume creates severe slippage risk. The liquidity pool turned over ~17 times in the first hour, meaning price impact on any meaningful trade is substantial. Exits above a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply is 16.4%, held across multiple individual whales none of whom exceed 2.05%. The largest single holder (10.11%) is a non-dumpable protocol/contract. While insider transfer positions create latent sell pressure, the distribution across multiple wallets reduces single-actor dump risk compared to tokens where one wallet holds 10%+ of dumpable supply.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified on BNB Chain. Without source code review, the presence of honeypot mechanics, hidden owner functions, blacklisting, or unlimited mint capability cannot be ruled out. This is a binary risk: the contract may be benign, or it may be designed to prevent selling entirely.

Regulatory
Medium

As a meme token with no utility, Pasteur faces the standard regulatory risks applicable to speculative crypto assets in all jurisdictions. BNB Chain tokens with no KYC, no project entity, and no disclosed team face heightened scrutiny in jurisdictions that are tightening crypto regulations. No token-specific regulatory risk beyond the category baseline has been identified.

Key Risks

  • •Unverified smart contract: buyers cannot confirm the absence of honeypot, blacklist, or mint functions — the contract could be designed to prevent selling, making this a potential total-loss scenario with no recourse.
  • •Insider transfer allocations: three confirmed top holders (2.05%, 2.01%, 1.80%) and the genesis allocation to 0x3cd7f8… (6.1%) received supply at zero cost basis via transfer, not market buys. These wallets can sell at any price and still profit, creating persistent downward pressure with no natural floor.
  • •Post-launch pump exhaustion: the +320% move in 60 minutes is a classic meme-launch spike; the -12.6% 5-minute reversal is the first sign of mean-reversion. Historical base rates for Four.meme tokens suggest the majority of launch-day price gains are erased within 24-72 hours absent a sustained narrative catalyst.

Mitigating Factors

  • •Deployer wallet is 476 days old with no prior contract deployments, which is inconsistent with the high-frequency serial-rug-puller profile and suggests this may be a first-time or infrequent launcher rather than a known bad actor.
  • •Broad initial distribution (1,125 holders, 1,591 unique buyers in the first hour) means the token is not held by a tiny insider group — genuine retail participation has occurred, which provides some organic price support if holders choose to hold.

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who specialize in meme-token speculation, fully understand the risks of unverified contracts and insider allocations, and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose 100% of their position. Position sizing should reflect the very high probability of significant capital loss.

Pasteur is a pure speculative meme token with no fundamental value proposition, an unverified contract, and multiple insider-allocated wallets with zero cost basis. The investment thesis is entirely momentum-driven: the token either sustains its launch narrative and attracts continued buying, or it follows the statistical majority of Four.meme launches into rapid price decline. The risk-reward profile is asymmetric to the downside for anyone entering after the initial +320% spike.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The Pasteur name/theme resonates with a broader crypto community, generating viral social media attention that drives sustained buying pressure beyond the initial launch hour. Volume remains elevated, the liquidity pool deepens as LPs add capital, and the token establishes a community on Telegram or Twitter that creates a self-reinforcing narrative. Price consolidates above the launch spike and builds a higher base.

  • +Emergence of a viral social narrative around the Pasteur theme that differentiates it from the hundreds of competing Four.meme daily launches
  • +Sustained buy-side volume from new entrants who discover the token after the initial launch, preventing the typical post-spike volume collapse
Base Case

Pasteur follows the typical Four.meme meme-token lifecycle: a sharp post-launch spike, a 60-80% retracement over 24-48 hours as launch-day speculators exit, followed by low-volume sideways trading among a small residual holder base. The token neither rugs completely nor establishes a sustained community, settling at a fraction of its peak price with declining daily volume.

  • •The smart contract does not contain honeypot or blacklist mechanics (unverified assumption given the unaudited contract)
  • •Insider-allocated wallets distribute gradually rather than in a single coordinated dump, allowing the price to decline in an orderly rather than catastrophic manner
Bear Case
High

The -12.6% 5-minute reversal accelerates as early buyers take profits, insider-allocated wallets begin distributing their zero-cost-basis holdings, and volume collapses as the launch-day novelty fades. The unverified contract deters larger buyers who require source code review. Price retraces 70-90% of the launch spike within 24-48 hours, consistent with the statistical majority of Four.meme meme launches.

  • -Zero-cost-basis insider wallets (16.4% dumpable supply) begin selling into any remaining bid, accelerating price decline with no natural floor
  • -Volume collapse after the initial launch hour leaves insufficient buying pressure to absorb even modest sell orders given the $43,753 liquidity pool

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 20, 2026, 11:01 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp; token is approximately 1 hour old
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000216554729257381
Market Cap$209.5K
24h Volume$744.2K
Holders1,125
Liquidity$43.8K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Trading volume metrics (24h/4h/1h buy and sell data)
Smart contract metadata (verification status, creation timestamp)
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis (DEX swap history lookup)
Notable recent trades (largest on-chain swaps)

Limitations

  • •No OHLC price history exists for this token (1 hour old), making technical analysis, support/resistance identification, and trend confirmation impossible — all technical assessments are based on the single available data point of the launch spike.
  • •The smart contract is unverified, meaning the presence or absence of malicious functions (honeypot, blacklist, unlimited mint) cannot be confirmed — this is the single largest unknown in the risk assessment.
  • •Smart-money and profitable-trader cohort data is unavailable, preventing assessment of whether sophisticated investors are accumulating or avoiding this token.
  • •The deployer wallet's funding source is unknown, preventing full assessment of whether this is a first-time deployer or a bad actor using a fresh funding path.

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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