暴躁牛

暴躁牛 Price Today & AI Analysis

暴躁牛
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 26, 2026

$0.008679

-11.37%24h
LiveContract:0x3a51dae2dc3d901a2cefed3ad128116bf31c7777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:12.1KMarket cap:$8.68MLiquidity:$149.08K

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Ask Unhosted AI about 暴躁牛

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 26, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC
Market Cap

$6.75M

24h Volume

$1.19M

Liquidity

$224.87K

FDV

—

Holders

5.9K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

暴躁牛 is a 25-hour-old BNB Chain token with no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a security score of 62/100. Its most notable structural feature is that 80.63% of total supply resides in a burn address, sharply reducing the effective float, but this does not offset the severe lack of fundamentals. The token has dropped 43.4% in its first 24 hours of trading, with $1.19M in combined volume suggesting speculative activity rather than organic demand. The deployer profile and airdrop-heavy holder acquisition pattern raise meaningful insider and exit-liquidity risk flags.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 26, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
80.63% of total supply is burned, creating an unusually small effective circulating float for a 1B-supply token
Nearly half of all 5,923 holders received tokens via airdrop, giving them a zero cost basis and creating structural sell pressure at any price
Launched with a layered initial allocation — deployer routed 200M tokens through a secondary wallet before distribution — an atypical genesis structure for a legitimate project

暴躁牛 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

At 25 hours old, 暴躁牛 has already shed 43.4% of its value in the past 24 hours, with the daily close declining from $0.007482 to $0.006745. Sell pressure dominates at 51.5%, unique sellers (2,010) outnumber unique buyers (1,247) over 24 hours, and the 4-hour window shows an 18% drop — all pointing to continued near-term downside. The token sits at 55% of its 2-day range ($0.00007–$0.01229), with significant room to fall toward the range low.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With only 2 days of price history, no 7d/30d/90d trend data, an unverified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet, the structural foundation for medium-term appreciation is absent. The 80.63% burn allocation is the single meaningful positive, but the remaining circulating supply dynamics and lack of any identifiable utility or community make sustained price recovery unlikely. Unless a verifiable use case or community emerges, the token is likely to continue depreciating.

Bullish Factors
  • +80.63% of supply is held in a burn address, meaning the effective circulating supply is dramatically reduced and genuine dumpable whale supply is limited to ~0.27% across six individual wallets
  • +The most recent 1-hour window shows buy transactions (295) nearly doubling sell transactions (150), with unique buyers (162) exceeding unique sellers (112), suggesting a short-term stabilization attempt
  • +Smart money trader 0x967381… realized +$1,386 (+53%) over 6 trades, indicating at least some participants have found profitable entry and exit points
Bearish Factors
  • -The token has lost 43.4% of its value in 24 hours, with the daily close declining from $0.007482 to $0.006745 — a clear downward price trajectory in its only available trend data
  • -The contract is unverified (security score 62/100), there is no project description, no social links, and no identifiable category — the token has zero demonstrable fundamentals
  • -The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet (0x4deaae93…), a disposable-deployer risk pattern; the initial allocation also routed 200M tokens through a secondary wallet (0xfbb04b…) before distribution, suggesting layered insider mechanics
  • -Nearly half of all holders (2,824 of 5,923) acquired tokens via airdrop rather than market purchase, meaning a large portion of the holder base has zero cost basis and faces no loss from selling at any price

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

暴躁牛 call history

Full track record →
Jul 26bearish
24h+8.3%
7d-4.4%
30d+37.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x3a51...7777
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Rug pull risk: unverified contract, deployer funded by unlabelled wallet, layered initial allocation through intermediate wallets, and zero project documentation create conditions consistent with exit scam preparation
•Airdrop sell pressure: 2,824 holders (47.7% of all holders) have zero cost basis from airdrops and face no financial loss from selling at any price, creating persistent structural downward pressure
•Liquidity collapse risk: at $224,870 in liquidity with 5.3x daily volume turnover, a coordinated or panic-driven sell event could drain the pool and cause a near-total price collapse

Trading Insight

bearish

Despite more buy transactions than sell transactions over 24 hours (6,484 vs. 4,348), unique sellers (2,010) significantly outnumber unique buyers (1,247), and sell volume ($613,847) exceeds buy volume ($577,869) — indicating that larger-sized sells are driving net outflow. The 1-hour data shows a temporary reversal with buyers dominating, but this follows an 18% 4-hour drop and likely represents bargain-hunting rather than a structural trend change.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

With only two daily closes available ($0.007482 → $0.006745), the price is in a short-term downtrend, declining 9.8% from the first to second close. The 4-hour window confirms this with an 18.1% drop, and the 24-hour figure of -43.4% reflects the full extent of the decline from the intraday high. No medium-term trend data exists given the token's 25-hour age, but the trajectory from the period high of $0.01229 to the current $0.006745 represents a 45% drawdown from peak.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

A 43.4% single-day decline from what appears to be a launch-day pump (period high $0.01229) to current levels ($0.006745) indicates deeply oversold conditions in the short term. The 1-hour data showing buy transactions nearly doubling sell transactions may reflect a brief technical bounce, but without RSI or MACD data, oversold classification is based purely on the magnitude of the price decline relative to the 2-day range.

Volume Analysis

Buy 48.5%Sell 51.5%

Volume Trend: Stable

24-hour volume of ~$1.19M against a $6.75M market cap represents ~17.6% daily turnover — extraordinarily high for a newly launched token and indicative of speculative trading rather than organic demand. The 4-hour transaction data (947 buys, 661 sells) and 1-hour data (295 buys, 150 sells) show activity is sustained but not accelerating, suggesting the initial launch frenzy is normalizing.

Recent Price Action

Classic pump-and-dump price structure: token launched, reached a period high of $0.01229, then declined 45% to current levels of $0.006745 within 25 hours. The 5-minute gain of +0.46% and 1-hour gain of +13.8% suggest a minor dead-cat bounce within the broader downtrend.

This pattern — sharp launch-day spike followed by rapid deterioration — is common in airdrop-distributed tokens where recipients sell into initial liquidity. The bounce in the 1-hour window does not negate the dominant downtrend without sustained volume confirmation.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders5,923
24h Change+5,310
Growth Rate+90%

5,310 new holders in 24 hours represents explosive growth, but context is critical: 2,824 of total holders acquired via airdrop, meaning the growth is largely airdrop-driven rather than organic market buying. Rapid holder count growth in airdrop-distributed tokens often precedes sell pressure as recipients liquidate free tokens.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders88%
Top 100 Holders90%
Retail Holders10.0%
Concentration Risk:
Low

While the raw top-10 figure of 88% appears alarming, 80.63% is held by a burn address (permanently removed from circulation) and 5% by a PinkSale contract (locked). The six individual whale wallets hold only 0.04–0.05% each, totaling approximately 0.27% of supply. Genuine dumpable concentration risk is low from identified individual holders, though the deployer's initial allocation mechanics (routing 200M tokens through 0xfbb04b…) represent an unresolved insider risk vector.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest recent on-chain swaps are all sub-$300: the biggest single trade was a $271 sell by 0xbbdef4…, followed by buys of $227, $198, and $197. This confirms no large whale is actively accumulating or distributing — activity is retail-scale.

  • •SELL $271 by 0xbbdef4… — largest single trade in the recent window, a sell
  • •BUY $227 by 0x1c8562… — largest recent buy, suggesting some counter-trend accumulation at depressed prices

The sub-$300 scale of all notable recent trades indicates this token is currently a retail-driven market with no institutional or large-whale participation. The mix of buys and sells at similar sizes suggests price discovery is occurring organically among small participants rather than being driven by coordinated large-wallet activity.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Two identified smart money wallets have taken profits: 0x967381… realized +$1,386 (+53%) over 6 trades, and 0x5c2bd6… realized +$584 (+44%) over 3 trades. Both have already booked gains, suggesting the most profitable early participants have partially or fully exited.

The fact that the two most profitable traders have already realized gains of 44–53% suggests the easy money from the launch pump has been captured. With smart money having exited profitable positions, remaining buyers are absorbing sell pressure without the benefit of informed early-entry positioning.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$224,870
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

Liquidity of $224,870 against a $6.75M market cap represents a liquidity-to-mcap ratio of approximately 3.3% — shallow by any standard. With 24-hour volume of ~$1.19M (5.3x the liquidity pool), large trades will experience significant slippage. Any meaningful sell order from a holder with a position above ~$10,000 would materially move the price downward.

Overall Risk:
Very High
87/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

The token has experienced a 43.4% decline in its first 24 hours, with a period range spanning from $0.00007 to $0.01229 — a 175x spread. Daily volatility at this scale is extreme even by crypto standards and reflects the speculative, low-liquidity nature of the asset.

Liquidity
High

With only $224,870 in liquidity against $1.19M in daily volume, the pool is being turned over more than 5x per day. Any position above a few thousand dollars will face material slippage on exit, and a coordinated sell could drain the pool rapidly.

Concentration
Low

Despite 88% top-10 concentration on paper, 85.63% of that is held by non-dumpable addresses (burn + PinkSale + protocol contracts). The six individual whale wallets hold only ~0.27% combined. Genuine dumpable concentration from identified individual holders is low, though the deployer's initial routing of 200M tokens through 0xfbb04b… and subsequent distribution to 0xa510cf… (68.7M tokens) represents an unresolved insider allocation risk.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified, meaning its source code cannot be reviewed for hidden functions. A security score of 62/100 on an unaudited, unverified contract on BNB Chain — a chain historically associated with rug pulls — represents elevated smart contract risk.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized BNB Chain token with no disclosed jurisdiction, team, or legal structure, the token faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to all unregistered crypto assets. The Chinese-language name may attract additional scrutiny given China's crypto restrictions, though the token's actual operator jurisdiction is unknown.

Key Risks

  • •Rug pull risk: unverified contract, deployer funded by unlabelled wallet, layered initial allocation through intermediate wallets, and zero project documentation create conditions consistent with exit scam preparation
  • •Airdrop sell pressure: 2,824 holders (47.7% of all holders) have zero cost basis from airdrops and face no financial loss from selling at any price, creating persistent structural downward pressure
  • •Liquidity collapse risk: at $224,870 in liquidity with 5.3x daily volume turnover, a coordinated or panic-driven sell event could drain the pool and cause a near-total price collapse

Mitigating Factors

  • •The 80.63% burn allocation permanently removes the majority of supply from circulation, limiting the maximum potential sell pressure from that tranche
  • •The deployer wallet is 755 days old with no prior contract deployments, which is inconsistent with the profile of a serial rug-pull operator using fresh disposable wallets

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who fully understand the risks of sub-24-hour-old, unverified, undocumented tokens on BNB Chain, can afford to lose their entire investment, and are engaging with position sizes small enough that liquidity constraints do not impair exit. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with meme/speculative token dynamics.

暴躁牛 presents a high-risk speculative profile with no identifiable fundamentals, a declining price trajectory from its launch-day peak, and structural sell pressure from a large airdrop-holder base. The bull case depends entirely on speculative momentum and community formation that has not yet materialized.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The token attracts a Chinese-speaking crypto community around its brand, the project team publishes a roadmap and verifies the contract, and the 80.63% burn narrative drives renewed speculative interest — pushing price back toward the $0.01229 period high

  • +Emergence of an active community and social media presence that converts airdrop recipients into committed holders
  • +Contract verification and security improvements that raise the security score and reduce perceived rug risk
Base Case

The token stabilizes at a significantly lower price level as initial speculative volume fades, retaining a small community of holders but failing to develop meaningful utility or liquidity — trading as a low-volume speculative asset with high volatility and no clear price catalyst

  • •The smart contract does not contain malicious functions that would enable a sudden rug pull
  • •The PinkSale lock and burn allocation remain intact and are not circumvented through contract mechanics
Bear Case
High

The token continues its post-launch decline as airdrop recipients sell their zero-cost-basis holdings, liquidity is gradually drained, and the absence of any project fundamentals prevents new buyer interest — price approaches the period low of $0.00007

  • -2,824 airdrop holders liquidating free tokens into a shallow $224,870 liquidity pool
  • -No project documentation, social presence, or contract verification to attract new organic buyers

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 26, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.006745160955173889
Market Cap$6.75M
24h Volume$1.19M
Holders5,923
Liquidity$224.9K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Trading volume metrics (24h, 4h, 1h windows)
Smart contract security assessment
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Smart money realized PnL data
Notable recent on-chain swap data
Daily OHLC price history (2-day window)

Limitations

  • •Only 2 daily OHLC candles are available, making trend analysis statistically unreliable — all technical conclusions should be treated as preliminary
  • •The token has no published project documentation, making fundamental analysis impossible beyond on-chain mechanics
  • •The unverified smart contract means hidden functions (mint, blacklist, fee manipulation) cannot be ruled out, and any on-chain analysis may not reflect the true risk profile

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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