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Lobster Price Today & AI Analysis

LBT
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 18, 2026

$0.000180

+0.00%24h
LiveContract:0x37187c91f74814f3d7b721327e74783f88250562Chain:BNB ChainHolders:3.4KMarket cap:$36.82KLiquidity:$351.00

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Movement since reportreport from Jun 18, 2026, 08:01 AM UTC
Market Cap

$7.39M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

FDV

Holders

3.5K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

This is a 41-hour-old BNB Chain token with a $7.39M market cap, no project description, no social presence, and an unverified smart contract scoring 29/100 on security. The token launched via PinkSale, with 89.76% of the 205M total supply still held in the PinkSale contract and only ~1% in retail hands. The deployer wallet is 4 days old, was funded by an unlabelled wallet, and has no prior deployment history — a profile consistent with a disposable launcher. While initial price action has been strong (price up ~140% from launch-day close), the structural risks — opaque supply unlock, unverified contract, and anonymous deployer — make this a very high-risk asset.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranJun 18, 2026, 08:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Extreme supply concentration: 89.76% locked in a PinkSale presale contract whose release mechanics are undisclosed, creating a binary unlock risk event
Disposable-deployer fingerprint: wallet created 4 days before launch, zero prior deployments, funded from an unlabelled source — no verifiable track record
Zero smart-money engagement: the two most active traders have realized $0 profit across 6 combined trades, and one received tokens via insider transfer rather than open-market purchase

Lobster AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

The token is only 41 hours old and has already printed a 140% move from its $0.01504 launch-day close to the current $0.03607, placing it at 80% of its 3-day range. This kind of vertical move in the first two days of a PinkSale-launched token with 89.76% of supply locked in a presale contract is a classic post-launch pump pattern that historically precedes sharp retracements once the presale contract releases or early participants exit. With no verified contract, a security score of 29/100, and a deployer wallet only 4 days old funded by an unlabelled wallet, the risk of a rapid unwind is elevated.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Over a 30–90 day horizon, the structural risks dominate: the contract is unverified, the deployer is a 4-day-old wallet with no prior deployment history funded from an unlabelled source, and 89.76% of supply sits in a PinkSale contract whose release mechanics are unknown. If and when that supply unlocks, selling pressure could be overwhelming relative to the ~1% retail float currently trading. Sustained upside would require a verified contract, transparent tokenomics documentation, and evidence of genuine utility — none of which are currently present.

Bullish Factors
  • +Price has already doubled from the $0.01504 launch-day close to $0.03607, sitting at 80% of the 3-day range, indicating strong initial buying momentum from the 2,384 swap-based acquirers.
  • +Holder count grew from 1 to 3,452 in 41 hours with accelerating trajectory, suggesting genuine market interest in the launch.
  • +Dumpable supply is only 5.6% of total supply — the individual whale wallets (positions ranging from 0.02% to 0.20%) collectively hold a small enough share that coordinated whale dumping alone cannot crater the price.
Bearish Factors
  • -The deployer wallet (0x5d7b663b…) was created just 4 days before launch, has zero prior contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, and was funded by an unlabelled wallet — a textbook disposable-deployer pattern associated with elevated rug risk.
  • -The contract is unverified on-chain and carries a security score of 29/100, meaning buyers cannot inspect the code for hidden mint functions, blacklists, or fee traps.
  • -89.76% of total supply is held by a PinkSale contract; the release schedule is opaque, and any unlock event would flood the market with supply against a retail base holding only ~1% of tokens.
  • -Smart money data shows the two most active traders (0x2fe9c0… and 0x690690…) each realized $0 profit across 3 trades each — no informed capital has found an edge here, and 0x2fe9c0… received its initial position via a direct transfer from the deployer proxy (0x609304…→0x2fe9c0…: 10,000 tokens), not a market buy.
  • -Daily volatility of 69.9% (standard deviation of daily returns) over just 3 days signals extreme price instability that makes position sizing extremely difficult.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x3718...0562
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

PinkSale unlock event: 89.76% of supply (183.9M tokens) will eventually be released from the presale contract into a market where retail holds only ~2.05M tokens — this supply overhang could reduce price by 80–95% if unlock recipients choose to sell
Rug pull / exit scam risk: the deployer's 4-day-old wallet, unlabelled funding source, zero deployment history, and unverified contract match the profile of disposable deployers used in coordinated exit scams on BNB Chain
Information asymmetry: with no project description, no social presence, and an unverified contract, retail buyers have no basis for fundamental valuation — they are trading purely on price momentum in a market where insiders have structural information advantages

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading activity shows 2,384 holders acquired tokens via swap versus 1,068 via transfer, indicating a majority of participants entered through open-market buying rather than insider distribution. However, the near-zero smart money realized PnL and the absence of any volume trend data beyond 3 days of OHLC make it impossible to characterize sustained directional conviction. The slight positive score reflects the swap-dominant acquisition pattern, offset by the extreme structural risks.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The 3-day OHLC shows a clear short-term uptrend: price closed at $0.01504 on both day 1 and day 2 before jumping to $0.03607 on day 3, a 140% single-day move. However, with only 3 days of data and no 7d/30d/90d history, there is no basis for characterizing a medium-term trend — 'sideways' reflects genuine data absence rather than a directional call. The 69.9% daily volatility confirms this is a highly unstable price environment.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

Price sitting at 80% of its 3-day range ($0.01496–$0.04147) after a 140% move from the launch-day close suggests short-term overbought conditions. With the range high at $0.04147 only ~15% above current price and the range low at $0.01496 roughly 58% below, the risk/reward for new entries is asymmetric to the downside.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50%Sell 50%

Volume Trend: Increasing

The sharp price appreciation from $0.01504 to $0.03607 on day 3 implies a significant volume spike on that day relative to the flat days 1–2. However, because the tradeable float is constrained by the 89.76% PinkSale lock, volume figures can be misleading — small absolute dollar flows move the price dramatically. No granular volume data is available to quantify buy/sell pressure precisely.

Recent Price Action

Two flat closes at $0.01504 followed by a single-session 140% surge to $0.03607, with the intraday high reaching $0.04147 before pulling back to close at $0.03607.

This pattern — a flat base followed by a vertical spike — is common in newly launched low-float tokens where a small number of buyers can move price dramatically. The pullback from $0.04147 to $0.03607 within the same session suggests some profit-taking or resistance at the intraday high. Without sustained volume confirmation, such moves frequently retrace.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders3,452
24h Change+3,440
Growth Rate+100%

Growing from 1 to 3,452 holders in 41 hours is a rapid accumulation of wallet count, but this metric must be interpreted cautiously: the token launched via PinkSale, so many of these 'holders' may be presale participants whose tokens are still locked in the contract rather than freely tradeable positions. The accelerating growth trajectory is a positive signal for awareness, but does not confirm organic demand for the freely traded token.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders99%
Top 100 Holders99%
Retail Holders1.0%
Concentration Risk:
High

While the raw top-10 concentration of 99% looks critical, the classification reveals that 89.76% is in a PinkSale protocol contract and 5.12% is in burn addresses — neither is dumpable. The genuine dumpable supply is 5.6%, held by individual whale wallets. Concentration risk is rated 'high' rather than 'critical' because the PinkSale contract is a protocol lock, not a whale wallet; however, the risk remains high because the unlock event — whenever it occurs — will release a massive supply overhang into a thin market.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

No notable large open-market swap transactions are available in the provided data. The genesis block shows the deployer (0x5d7b663b…) distributed 180M tokens to 0x410d22…, 4M to 0xeb006e…, 1M to 0x609304…, and 10M to a burn address at launch. These were allocation transfers, not market trades.

  • Deployer 0x5d7b663b… transferred 180,000,000 tokens (87.8% of supply) to 0x410d22… at genesis — this wallet is the likely PinkSale contract recipient
  • 10,000,000 tokens (4.88% of supply) sent directly to burn address 0x000000… at genesis, reducing effective circulating supply permanently

Whale activity is dominated by the genesis allocation structure rather than open-market trading. The individual whale wallets (0.02%–0.20% positions) have not generated notable swap activity in the available data. The critical whale to watch is 0x410d22… (the 89.76% PinkSale holder), whose unlock behavior will be the single largest price determinant.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Low

The two tracked wallets — 0x2fe9c0… and 0x690690… — have each executed 3 trades and realized $0 profit. Notably, 0x2fe9c0… received 10,000 tokens via a direct transfer from 0x609304… (a deployer-linked wallet) at genesis, meaning its position was not acquired through open-market price discovery.

Smart money data shows no profitable traders have emerged in this token's 41-hour history. Zero realized PnL across 6 combined trades from the two most active wallets indicates either very early-stage positioning with no exits yet, or that informed capital has not found a tradeable edge. The insider transfer to 0x2fe9c0… is a red flag — it suggests connected wallets received supply before public trading, which is a common pattern in coordinated launches.

Liquidity Analysis

Total LiquidityNot available in provided data
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

With 89.76% of supply locked in PinkSale and only ~1% in retail hands, the effective tradeable liquidity pool is extremely thin. The 69.9% daily volatility is a direct consequence of this shallow float — small trades produce large price impacts. Any position of meaningful size will face significant slippage, and a sudden unlock event could overwhelm available buy-side liquidity entirely.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily volatility of 69.9% (standard deviation of daily returns over 3 days) is extreme. The 3-day price range of $0.01496–$0.04147 represents a 177% spread, and the token is only 41 hours old. Thin float amplifies every trade's price impact.

Liquidity
High

With 89.76% of supply locked in PinkSale and only ~1% in retail hands, the effective tradeable float is tiny. Liquidity depth data is unavailable, but the float constraint guarantees high slippage for any non-trivial position size. An unlock event could create a liquidity crisis.

Concentration
High

Although dumpable supply from individual whales is only 5.6%, the 89.76% PinkSale lock creates a structural concentration risk: when that contract releases, it will introduce a supply overhang that dwarfs current retail holdings by approximately 90x. The timing and mechanics of this release are unknown.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (source code not public), scores 29/100 on security assessment, and was deployed by a 4-day-old wallet with no prior deployment history. Without code inspection, hidden risks including mint functions, fee traps, and blacklists cannot be ruled out.

Regulatory
Medium

As a BNB Chain token with no disclosed jurisdiction, team, or legal structure, this token faces the standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to unregistered crypto assets. The PinkSale presale structure may attract additional scrutiny in jurisdictions that classify token presales as securities offerings.

Key Risks

  • PinkSale unlock event: 89.76% of supply (183.9M tokens) will eventually be released from the presale contract into a market where retail holds only ~2.05M tokens — this supply overhang could reduce price by 80–95% if unlock recipients choose to sell
  • Rug pull / exit scam risk: the deployer's 4-day-old wallet, unlabelled funding source, zero deployment history, and unverified contract match the profile of disposable deployers used in coordinated exit scams on BNB Chain
  • Information asymmetry: with no project description, no social presence, and an unverified contract, retail buyers have no basis for fundamental valuation — they are trading purely on price momentum in a market where insiders have structural information advantages

Mitigating Factors

  • Individual whale dumpable supply is capped at 5.6%, limiting the damage any single non-protocol wallet can inflict through open-market selling
  • The genesis burn of 10M tokens (4.88% of supply) to address 0x000000… permanently removes that supply from circulation, providing a modest deflationary offset

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who specialize in high-risk, short-duration speculative positions, fully understand PinkSale presale mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and have independently verified the PinkSale vesting schedule. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with BNB Chain rug pull patterns.

This token presents a binary risk profile: a small probability of continued momentum gains driven by PinkSale community participation, against a high probability of severe loss driven by the opaque supply unlock, unverified contract, and disposable-deployer fingerprint. The absence of any fundamental information makes this a pure speculation on launch momentum rather than an investment in a project with identifiable value.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The PinkSale presale was oversubscribed with genuine community demand; the 89.76% locked supply has a long vesting schedule that prevents immediate selling pressure; the project team publishes documentation, verifies the contract, and builds social presence over the coming weeks; continued holder growth (currently accelerating toward 3,452) sustains buying pressure on the thin float, pushing price toward or beyond the 3-day high of $0.04147.

  • +PinkSale vesting schedule extending unlock over months rather than days, preventing supply shock
  • +Contract verification and audit publication materially improving the 29/100 security score and attracting new buyers
Base Case

The token experiences continued short-term volatility as retail participants trade the thin float; the PinkSale unlock timeline remains unclear, creating sustained uncertainty; without a project narrative or social presence, organic demand fails to grow beyond the initial presale community; price gradually drifts lower as early swap buyers take profits, settling well below the current $0.03607 but above zero pending the unlock event.

  • PinkSale unlock does not occur within the next 7–14 days, allowing current price levels to persist temporarily
  • No contract verification or project documentation emerges, keeping the token in speculative limbo without new fundamental buyers
Bear Case
High

The PinkSale contract unlocks in the near term, releasing 183.9M tokens into a market with ~2.05M retail-held tokens; presale participants sell immediately to capture gains from the 140% post-launch price appreciation; the unverified contract contains a fee trap or the deployer executes a rug pull; price collapses to near zero with no liquidity to absorb selling.

  • -Short PinkSale vesting cliff (common in BNB Chain presales) triggering immediate mass selling from the 89.76% locked supply
  • -Deployer executing a rug pull via unverified contract mechanisms before the project establishes any public accountability

Analysis Details

GeneratedJun 18, 2026, 08:01 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp; token is 41 hours old with only 3 days of price history
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$Unknown
Market Cap$7.39M
24h Volume$0
Holders3,452
LiquidityN/A

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
3-day daily OHLC price history
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Smart money realized PnL data
PinkSale contract holder classification
Security score assessment (29/100)

Limitations

  • Only 3 days of OHLC data available — no 7d/30d/90d trend history exists, making technical analysis and price targets unreliable
  • PinkSale contract unlock schedule and vesting terms are not available in the provided data, making the single largest supply risk unquantifiable
  • No granular 24h transaction count, buy/sell volume split, or liquidity pool depth data was provided, limiting trading activity analysis
  • The unverified contract means on-chain behavior (fees, minting, blacklists) cannot be confirmed from source code inspection
  • No project description, team information, or social presence exists to support fundamental analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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