恶兽

立志成为恶兽 Price Today & AI Analysis

恶兽
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 31, 2026

$0.000169

+3.03%24h
LiveContract:0x36e5cce1861ea0e7f2cb2b3472eb8d6350c97777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:1.2KMarket cap:$168.98KLiquidity:$21.37K

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Movement since reportreport from Aug 31, 2026, 02:17 PM UTC
Market Cap

$162.88K

24h Volume

$1.90M

Liquidity

$41.98K

FDV

Holders

1.2K

Security

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

Top acquisition

AI Executive Summary

立志成为恶兽 (symbol: 恶兽) is a 6-hour-old meme/narrative token on BNB Chain (BSC) themed around a Chinese AI animation character, with a market cap of approximately $162,879 and only $41,979 in liquidity. The token launched with explosive speculative activity — over $1.89M in combined 24-hour volume across 23,692 transactions — but has already reversed sharply, losing 44.88% in the most recent 4-hour window. The contract is unverified, the deployer follows a disposable-deployer pattern, and multiple top whale wallets received insider allocations at genesis rather than buying through the market. At this stage, the token exhibits the hallmarks of a high-risk speculative launch with no established fundamentals.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranAug 31, 2026, 02:17 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Narrative rooted in a specific Chinese AI animation IP, targeting Chinese-language crypto communities with a 'grassroots survivor' identity
Unusually high launch-day trading velocity: 23,692 total transactions and $1.89M volume within 6 hours of deployment
Genesis transfer chain reveals pre-distribution to at least three wallet clusters before any public trading, indicating coordinated insider allocation

立志成为恶兽 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

The token is only 6 hours old and has already experienced a violent 44.88% 4-hour drawdown after an initial 317% 24-hour spike, a classic pump-and-dump pattern. With only $41,979 in liquidity backing a $162,879 market cap, even modest sell pressure can produce outsized price drops. The near-equal buy/sell pressure (50.3% vs 49.7%) over 24 hours masks the deteriorating 4-hour trend where sellers are gaining ground.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Tokens of this profile — meme/narrative concept, unverified contract, 6 hours old, launched on BSC with a disposable-deployer pattern — have a historically poor survival rate beyond 30 days. The initial holder base of 1,230 was acquired almost entirely via swap in a single session, suggesting speculative momentum buyers rather than conviction holders. Without a verifiable product, audited contract, or institutional backing, sustained medium-term price appreciation is unlikely.

Bullish Factors
  • +Strong initial trading activity: 12,143 buy transactions and $952,558 in buy volume within 24 hours signals genuine speculative demand at launch
  • +Holder count reached 1,230 entirely through market swaps (1,229 of 1,230 acquired via swap), indicating organic market-driven accumulation rather than airdrop inflation
  • +Dumpable supply is only 17.6% of total supply — the largest single holder (12.90%) is a protocol/contract, not a sellable whale position, limiting immediate dump risk from the top-10 concentration
Bearish Factors
  • -The token is only 6 hours old and has already shed 44.88% of its value in the most recent 4-hour window, indicating the initial pump is unwinding rapidly
  • -Three of the top individual whale wallets (holding 1.78%, 1.59%, and 1.54% of supply) received their positions via transfer rather than market buys, identifying them as insider allocations from the genesis transfer chain
  • -The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet with zero contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, a disposable-deployer pattern associated with elevated rug risk
  • -The unverified smart contract (security score 66/100) means the contract code cannot be independently audited, leaving holders exposed to hidden malicious functions

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

恶兽 call history

Full track record →
Aug 31bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x36e5...7777
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Insider rug risk: three confirmed top whale wallets received supply via genesis transfers (not market buys), two of which were created within days of launch — these wallets can sell their combined ~4.91% of supply at any time with no market-buy cost basis to recover
Unverified contract with disposable-deployer pattern: the deployer (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet and has zero prior deployments, a profile consistent with wallets created specifically to launch and abandon tokens
Liquidity exhaustion risk: the $41,979 liquidity pool is insufficient to absorb the sell pressure that would result if even a fraction of the 1,230 holders attempt to exit simultaneously, potentially causing a near-total price collapse

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24-hour buy/sell split is nearly perfectly balanced at 50.3% buy pressure vs 49.7% sell pressure, producing a net sentiment score close to zero. However, the 4-hour window tells a more bearish story: unique sellers (1,315) now outnumber unique buyers (1,225), and the price has dropped 44.88% in that window, suggesting the early momentum buyers are rotating out. The 1-hour data shows a partial stabilization with buyers slightly outnumbering sellers (480 vs 386 transactions), but this follows the sharp 4-hour decline.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

With only 6 hours of price history, the trend is defined entirely by intraday action. The token pumped 317% on launch and has since reversed -44.88% in the most recent 4-hour window, establishing a clear short-term downtrend from the peak. There is no medium-term OHLC history to assess, but the post-pump deceleration pattern is consistent with a distribution phase following an initial speculative spike.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 317% single-session gain followed by a -44.88% 4-hour reversal is a textbook overbought exhaustion signal. The 1-hour +17.66% bounce may represent a dead-cat recovery within the broader downtrend, but without sustained volume support it is unlikely to reverse the prevailing momentum.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.3%Sell 49.7%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

Total 24-hour volume of approximately $1.895M is extraordinary for a token with only $162,879 in market cap — a volume-to-market-cap ratio exceeding 11x, which is characteristic of speculative meme launches. The 4-hour transaction count of 6,142 implies a declining hourly rate compared to the launch-hour peak, consistent with fading momentum.

Recent Price Action

Vertical launch spike followed by sharp retracement: +317% over 24 hours, then -44.88% in the most recent 4-hour window, with a partial 1-hour recovery of +17.66%.

This pump-retrace-partial-recovery pattern is common in meme token launches where coordinated early buyers create an initial price spike, then distribute into retail FOMO buying. The partial 1-hour recovery may attract additional buyers, but the structural downtrend from the peak remains intact.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders1,230
24h Change+1,230
Growth Rate+100%

The 100% holder growth rate simply reflects the token's 6-hour age — all 1,230 holders are launch-day participants. While the raw number suggests active adoption, it provides no signal about retention or long-term conviction, as none of these holders have been tested by a prolonged drawdown.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders25%
Top 100 Holders69%
Retail Holders31.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

The top 10 holders control 25% of supply, but the largest single position (12.90%) belongs to a protocol/contract and is not dumpable. The genuine dumpable supply — held by individual whales and insider-allocated wallets — is 17.6%, which is a medium concentration risk. The top 100 controlling 69% is notable but partially explained by the token's very young age and the fact that retail distribution has not yet had time to broaden.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The largest recent on-chain swap was a BUY of $514 by 0x4a7581…, followed by five sell transactions ranging from $115 to $478. No large-scale whale accumulation is evident in the recent trade data; the notable trades are all sub-$600, suggesting whales are not actively buying through the market at current prices.

  • BUY $514 by 0x4a7581… — the largest single recent swap, still a modest size relative to total volume
  • SELL $478 by 0x246539… and SELL $324 by 0x1cd334… — the two largest sell-side recent trades, indicating steady distribution pressure

The combination of insider-allocated whale wallets (confirmed via transfer-only acquisition) and a recent trade flow dominated by sell transactions suggests that early recipients of genesis allocations may be quietly distributing into retail buy pressure. The absence of any large market buy orders in recent notable trades reinforces the distributing sentiment.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money cohort data is unavailable for this token. No profitable-trader analysis can be performed.

Smart-money data is unavailable. Given the token's 6-hour age, the confirmed insider pre-allocations via genesis transfers, and the post-pump price decline, the profit-taking risk from early recipients is assessed as high on a structural basis, independent of any smart-money cohort data.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$41,979.16
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $41,979 in total liquidity against a $162,879 market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 25.8%. This is shallow for a token with $1.89M in 24-hour volume, meaning large trades will incur significant slippage. A sell order of even a few thousand dollars could move the price materially, amplifying downside risk for holders attempting to exit.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

The token has moved +317% and then -44.88% within its first 6 hours of existence. This level of intraday volatility is extreme even by meme token standards and makes position sizing and risk management extremely difficult.

Liquidity
High

With only $41,979 in liquidity supporting $1.89M in 24-hour volume, the pool is severely undercapitalized relative to trading activity. Large exits will face significant slippage, and a coordinated sell could drain the pool rapidly.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply is 17.6%, held across multiple individual whale wallets, several of which received insider allocations at genesis. While the largest single holder (12.90%) is a non-dumpable protocol contract, the insider whale cluster represents a meaningful overhang.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (source code not published), scoring 66/100 on automated security checks. Without an audit, the presence of hidden administrative functions — including mint, blacklist, or liquidity removal capabilities — cannot be ruled out.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized meme token on BSC with no disclosed jurisdiction, team identity, or legal structure, the token faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to anonymous crypto projects in multiple jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Insider rug risk: three confirmed top whale wallets received supply via genesis transfers (not market buys), two of which were created within days of launch — these wallets can sell their combined ~4.91% of supply at any time with no market-buy cost basis to recover
  • Unverified contract with disposable-deployer pattern: the deployer (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet and has zero prior deployments, a profile consistent with wallets created specifically to launch and abandon tokens
  • Liquidity exhaustion risk: the $41,979 liquidity pool is insufficient to absorb the sell pressure that would result if even a fraction of the 1,230 holders attempt to exit simultaneously, potentially causing a near-total price collapse

Mitigating Factors

  • The largest holder (12.90%) is classified as a protocol/contract and is not a dumpable position, limiting the immediate impact of top-holder concentration
  • The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) has been active since July 2024 (791 days), suggesting it is not a brand-new throwaway wallet, though the absence of prior deployments in its first 100 transactions still warrants caution

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced speculative traders who fully understand meme token mechanics, can afford to lose their entire position, and are actively monitoring the trade. It is not appropriate for long-term investors, risk-averse participants, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

The investment thesis for 立志成为恶兽 is purely speculative and momentum-driven: the token has no verifiable utility, an unaudited contract, and confirmed insider pre-allocations. The only bull case rests on continued viral narrative spread within Chinese-language crypto communities; the bear case — which is structurally more probable — is a rapid unwinding of the launch pump as insiders distribute and retail momentum fades.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The 'grassroots survivor' narrative achieves viral traction on Chinese social platforms, driving a second wave of speculative buyers that pushes volume and price back toward or beyond the 24-hour high. Community-driven meme tokens with strong cultural identity have occasionally sustained multi-week rallies on narrative alone.

  • +Viral spread of the AI animation narrative on Weibo, WeChat, or Telegram Chinese crypto groups
  • +Contract verification and a community-funded liquidity addition that deepens the pool and reduces slippage risk
Base Case

The token stabilizes at a fraction of its launch-day peak as early speculators exit and a small residual community of narrative believers holds. Trading volume declines sharply within 48–72 hours, and the token enters a low-liquidity, low-volume holding pattern with occasional volatility spikes on social media mentions.

  • No major exploit or rug pull occurs, allowing the token to trade freely but at diminished interest
  • The narrative retains a small but persistent following within Chinese-language crypto communities
Bear Case
High

The initial pump fully unwinds as insider-allocated wallets sell their genesis-transferred positions into remaining retail buy pressure. The shallow liquidity pool ($41,979) accelerates the decline, and the token loses 80–95% of its peak value within days, following the typical meme token launch-and-dump lifecycle.

  • -Confirmed insider allocations in the genesis transfer chain provide zero-cost-basis supply that can be sold at any price for profit
  • -Unverified contract prevents institutional or cautious retail participation, limiting the buyer pool to pure speculators

Analysis Details

GeneratedAug 31, 2026, 02:17 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp; token age approximately 6 hours
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000162879847118215
Market Cap$162.9K
24h Volume$1.90M
Holders1,230
Liquidity$42.0K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BSC)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Trading volume and price metrics (DEX aggregator)
Smart contract security assessment
Deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis
Token genesis transfer chain analysis

Limitations

  • No OHLC price history exists for this 6-hour-old token, making technical support/resistance analysis impossible and all price trend conclusions based solely on intraday percentage changes
  • Smart-money cohort data is unavailable, preventing any analysis of profitable trader positioning or early-buyer profit-taking behavior
  • The unverified contract means the full token mechanics (fees, admin functions, mint capabilities) cannot be confirmed from source code

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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