长

孔乙己的长衫 Price Today & AI Analysis

长衫
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 8, 2026

$0.000114

+357.44%24h
LiveContract:0x35307223469b4abb33eb34c4ff9d512b717a7777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:1.3KMarket cap:$114.01KLiquidity:$17.12K

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Ask Unhosted AI about 长衫

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 8, 2026, 01:15 AM UTC
Market Cap

$114.01K

24h Volume

$1.50M

Liquidity

$17.12K

FDV

—

Holders

1.3K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

孔乙己的长衫 (symbol: 长衫) is a BNB Chain token launched approximately 1 hour ago on PancakeSwap with a current market cap of $114,010 and fully diluted valuation of $114,010 against a total supply of 1 billion tokens. The token has experienced extreme volatility since launch — a 357% 4-hour surge followed by a -40.9% hourly reversal — consistent with a speculative launch pump rather than organic price discovery. With only $17,116 in liquidity, no project description, no social presence, and no verifiable fundamentals, the token presents a very high risk profile. The name references a literary symbol from Lu Xun's classic Chinese fiction, but no utility, roadmap, or community infrastructure has been established.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 8, 2026, 01:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Culturally themed name referencing Lu Xun's literary character 孔乙己, potentially targeting Chinese-speaking crypto communities
Extremely high transaction velocity for a 1-hour-old token — over 15,330 combined transactions in 24 hours with 3,549 unique buyers
Complete absence of project documentation, social links, and deployer transparency creates an entirely speculative investment profile

孔乙己的长衫 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

At just 1 hour old, 长衫 has already printed a 4-hour gain of 357% followed by a sharp 1-hour reversal of -40.9%, a classic pump-and-dump oscillation pattern. The current price of $0.0001140 sits at only 20% of its 2-day range ($0.000004380–$0.0005468), meaning the token has already surrendered the majority of its launch spike. With only $17,116 in liquidity backing over $1.49M in combined 24-hour volume, the structural conditions for continued downside are firmly in place.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With no project description, no social presence, no verified utility, and a token age of 1 hour, there is no fundamental basis to support sustained price appreciation over a 30–90 day horizon. The token's market cap of $114,010 is entirely speculative, and the razor-thin liquidity pool of $17,116 means any meaningful sell pressure will collapse the price. Survival beyond the initial launch window is statistically unlikely without new catalysts or community development that are entirely absent from the current data.

Bullish Factors
  • +High transaction activity in the first hour — 4,297 buys vs 3,703 sells with 1,951 unique buyers suggests genuine initial demand and broad participation rather than a single actor driving volume.
  • +Buy pressure at 50.2% across 24 hours with $752,078 in buy volume marginally exceeding $745,200 in sell volume indicates the market has not yet decisively flipped to net distribution.
Bearish Factors
  • -Total liquidity of only $17,116 against $1.49M in 24-hour combined volume represents a liquidity-to-volume ratio of roughly 1.1%, meaning the pool is being turned over at an extreme rate and is highly vulnerable to a single large sell draining it entirely.
  • -The token is 1 hour old with no project description, no social links, no category classification, and no deployer forensics available — the complete absence of fundamentals is a strong indicator of a speculative launch with no long-term value proposition.
  • -Price currently sits at 20% of its 2-day range after a -40.9% hourly reversal following the 357% spike, indicating the initial pump has already partially unwound and momentum is deteriorating rapidly.
  • -Launch allocation forensics are unavailable, meaning it cannot be confirmed whether early supply was distributed fairly or concentrated in insider wallets positioned to dump into retail demand.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

长衫 call history

Full track record →
Sep 8bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x3530...7777
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Rug pull risk: With $17,116 in liquidity, no deployer transparency, no locked liquidity confirmation, and launch allocation forensics unavailable, the pool could be drained by the deployer or early insiders at any time with minimal on-chain warning.
•Momentum collapse: The 357% launch spike has already partially reversed (-40.9% in one hour), and with no fundamental catalyst to sustain demand, the token could continue declining toward the range low of $0.000004380 — a potential -96% drawdown from current price.
•Zero fundamental value: No use case, no team, no social presence, no whitepaper, and no community infrastructure means the token's value is entirely dependent on speculative momentum — which has already shown signs of exhaustion within the first hour of trading.

Trading Insight

neutral

Despite the dramatic price swings, buy and sell pressure are nearly perfectly balanced at 50.2% vs 49.8%, suggesting the market is in a tug-of-war between momentum buyers and early-entry sellers taking profits. The high transaction counts — over 15,330 combined in 24 hours — indicate significant retail participation, but the near-parity of buyers and sellers means no clear directional conviction has emerged. The -40.9% hourly reversal after the 357% spike is the dominant signal: the initial pump is fading.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

With only two daily closes available ($0.0001563 on day 1, $0.0001140 on day 2), the token has printed a declining close sequence, and the current price at 20% of its 2-day range ($0.000004380–$0.0005468) confirms the price has retreated significantly from its intraday high. No 7d, 30d, or 90d trend data exists given the token's 1-hour age, so medium-term trend classification is extrapolated from the same 2-day OHLC window. The dominant technical signal is a failed breakout: price spiked to near the range high and has since reversed sharply.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 357% 4-hour gain followed by a -40.9% hourly reversal is a classic momentum exhaustion signal. The price sitting at 20% of its 2-day range after reaching near the top of that range intraday indicates that buying momentum has been absorbed and sellers are now in control. Without RSI or MACD data available, the overbought classification is based purely on the magnitude and reversal speed of the price action.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.2%Sell 49.8%

Volume Trend: Stable

All 24-hour and 4-hour transaction counts are identical, confirming volume is entirely concentrated in the launch window. The $1.49M combined volume against $17,116 liquidity is an 87x turnover ratio — structurally unsustainable. Volume trend cannot be assessed as increasing or decreasing without historical baseline data; it is classified as stable only in the sense that no multi-period comparison is possible.

Recent Price Action

Launch spike and partial reversal: price surged 357% within 4 hours of launch then reversed -40.9% within the subsequent hour. The most recent daily close ($0.0001140) is below the prior close ($0.0001563), confirming a lower close. Current price sits at 20% of the 2-day range, well off the $0.0005468 high.

This pattern — a sharp launch spike followed by rapid mean reversion — is characteristic of speculative meme or narrative tokens where early buyers take profits into retail demand. It typically signals that the initial momentum phase is over and the token enters a consolidation or continued decline phase unless a new catalyst emerges.

Overall Risk:
Very High
92/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

The token has swung 357% upward and -40.9% downward within its first hour of existence. The 2-day price range spans from $0.000004380 to $0.0005468 — a 124x spread — and the current price at 20% of that range confirms extreme realized volatility. This level of price instability makes position sizing and risk management extremely difficult.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $17,116 against $1.49M in 24-hour volume represents an 87x turnover ratio. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause catastrophic slippage, and a coordinated exit by even a small number of holders could drain the pool entirely. This is a shallow liquidity environment by any standard.

Concentration
Medium

The top 10 holders control 15.3% of supply, which is a moderate aggregate figure. However, per-wallet classification data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined whether these are protocol contracts, exchange wallets, or dumpable insider positions. The concentration risk is classified as medium due to this uncertainty rather than the raw percentage alone.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract security data is available on this chain's data provider — this is an uninformed default classification rather than an actual assessment. The contract has not been verified or audited through the available data, and investors should treat it as unaudited until independently confirmed.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized BNB Chain token with no disclosed team, jurisdiction, or legal structure, the token faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to anonymous crypto launches. The culturally themed name does not create specific regulatory exposure, but the lack of any compliance framework is a baseline concern.

Key Risks

  • •Rug pull risk: With $17,116 in liquidity, no deployer transparency, no locked liquidity confirmation, and launch allocation forensics unavailable, the pool could be drained by the deployer or early insiders at any time with minimal on-chain warning.
  • •Momentum collapse: The 357% launch spike has already partially reversed (-40.9% in one hour), and with no fundamental catalyst to sustain demand, the token could continue declining toward the range low of $0.000004380 — a potential -96% drawdown from current price.
  • •Zero fundamental value: No use case, no team, no social presence, no whitepaper, and no community infrastructure means the token's value is entirely dependent on speculative momentum — which has already shown signs of exhaustion within the first hour of trading.

Mitigating Factors

  • •Broad initial participation with 3,549 unique buyers in the first hour suggests the token is not entirely controlled by a single actor, reducing (but not eliminating) coordinated manipulation risk.
  • •100% circulating supply means no future token unlocks or vesting cliffs that could create scheduled sell pressure events.

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced speculative traders who fully understand the risks of sub-$20K liquidity launch tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their position, and are capable of executing rapid entries and exits. It is entirely unsuitable for long-term investors, risk-averse participants, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

孔乙己的长衫 is a 1-hour-old speculative token with no fundamentals, minimal liquidity, and a price action profile consistent with a launch pump. The investment thesis is almost entirely binary: either the cultural narrative gains viral traction in Chinese-speaking crypto communities and drives a second wave of demand, or the initial momentum fades and the token declines toward its range low. The base case strongly favors the latter.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The literary reference to 孔乙己 resonates virally within Chinese-speaking crypto and social media communities, driving a wave of organic buyers that deepens liquidity and sustains price above current levels. A community forms around the cultural narrative, social channels are established, and the token achieves meme-coin longevity similar to culturally themed tokens that have survived beyond their launch window.

  • +Viral cultural resonance of the 孔乙己 narrative in Chinese social media ecosystems (Weibo, WeChat, Douyin)
  • +Liquidity injection from new market makers or the deployer that reduces slippage risk and enables larger position sizes
Base Case

The token experiences continued price decay from current levels as initial excitement fades, stabilizing at a significantly lower price point with minimal trading activity. It persists on-chain but fails to develop any community, utility, or sustained trading volume, becoming one of thousands of inactive BNB Chain tokens.

  • •No new fundamental catalysts (team reveal, utility announcement, exchange listing) emerge to reignite demand
  • •Liquidity remains shallow and no significant new capital enters the pool
Bear Case
High

The launch pump fully unwinds as early buyers continue distributing into retail demand. With no fundamentals, no social presence, and no liquidity depth, selling pressure overwhelms the shallow pool and the price collapses toward the 2-day range low of $0.000004380. The token becomes inactive within days as holder count declines and volume dries up.

  • -Momentum exhaustion already evidenced by the -40.9% hourly reversal following the 357% spike
  • -Structural liquidity fragility: $17,116 pool cannot absorb sustained sell pressure from 1,256 holders

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 8, 2026, 01:15 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000114010030454
Market Cap$114.0K
24h Volume$1.50M
Holders1,256
Liquidity$17.1K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Token is only 1 hour old — only 2 daily OHLC candles exist, making trend analysis highly unreliable; no 7d, 30d, or 90d performance data is available
  • •Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, and wallet-level acquisition data are unavailable on this chain's data provider
  • •Whale transaction history and individual swap records are unavailable, preventing assessment of large-holder behavior
  • •Contract security data (audit status, honeypot detection, ownership renouncement) is not available on this chain's data provider
  • •No project description, team information, or social presence exists to inform fundamental analysis
  • •Launch allocation forensics and deployer wallet history are unavailable, leaving insider risk unquantifiable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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