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币安月饼 Price Today & AI Analysis

币安月饼BNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 22, 2026

Price

$0.051112

+27962.30% 24h

Contract

Live
0x2f82e96d192e50224f50f2f89286caecfb6279bd

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

206.3K

Market cap

$1.11M

Liquidity

$69.90K

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币安月饼: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-22 21:15 UTC

Holder addresses

203,700

Top 10 supply share

92.93%

Reported liquidity

$66,035.00
How concentrated is 币安月饼 ownership?
As of 2026-09-22 21:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 92.93% of supply. It reports 203,700 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling 币安月饼?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 21:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $657,424.00 in buys and $595,246.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 币安月饼 liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +556.63%, from $10,056.64 (2026-09-22 01:00 UTC) to $66,035.36 (2026-09-22 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-22 21:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-22 01:00 UTC$10,056.64
2026-09-22 02:00 UTC$13,718.15
2026-09-22 03:00 UTC$17,390.36
2026-09-22 04:00 UTC$18,620.77
2026-09-22 05:00 UTC$24,203.36
2026-09-22 06:00 UTC$25,280.79
2026-09-22 07:00 UTC$29,267.36
2026-09-22 08:00 UTC$33,454.19
2026-09-22 09:00 UTC$39,720.44
2026-09-22 10:00 UTC$40,595.90
2026-09-22 11:00 UTC$43,077.27
2026-09-22 12:00 UTC$42,800.54
2026-09-22 13:00 UTC$43,828.07
2026-09-22 14:00 UTC$45,832.31
2026-09-22 15:00 UTC$46,079.11
2026-09-22 16:00 UTC$46,639.96
2026-09-22 17:00 UTC$51,031.22
2026-09-22 18:00 UTC$49,205.15
2026-09-22 19:00 UTC$56,352.80
2026-09-22 20:00 UTC$61,584.74
2026-09-22 21:00 UTC$66,035.36

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 22, 2026, 09:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$994.01K

24h Volume

$1.25M

Liquidity

$66.03K

FDV

—

Holders

203.7K

24h

Loading trading activity…

Ask Unhosted AI about 币安月饼

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bullish

币安月饼 ("Binance Mooncake") is a 20-hour-old BSC token trading on PancakeSwap with a $994,009 market cap and a thin $66,035 liquidity pool. Its 24-hour price move of roughly +24,977% reflects the token's entire trading history rather than an established trend, and trading activity shows a striking asymmetry: 205 unique buyers versus effectively a single active seller address generating the majority of sell transactions. With 92.9% of supply held by the top 10 wallets and no security, genesis, or deployer forensics available, this token carries the profile of a very early-stage, high-risk speculative asset rather than an established project.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 22, 2026, 09:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely fresh launch (20 hours old) with the entire price history compressed into hours
  • Unusual seller concentration: a single unique seller address behind the majority of 24h sell transactions
  • Large nominal holder base (203,700) despite the token's very short lifespan

币安月饼 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

Price momentum has accelerated across every available window since launch: +8.9% in 5 minutes, +34.8% in 1 hour, +77.0% in 4 hours, and +24,977% over the token's entire 20-hour life. Because the token is only 20 hours old, this 24h figure effectively is the price history rather than a noisy snapshot, and it shows a still-accelerating short-term uptrend driven by buy-transaction dominance (1,911 buys vs 716 sells).

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Tokens exhibiting this launch-day pattern — parabolic price acceleration, extreme holder concentration (92.9% in the top 10), and only $66,035 in liquidity against a $994,009 market cap — typically cannot sustain the initial pump once early buyers begin exiting. With no OHLC history longer than 20 hours to confirm a durable uptrend, the base expectation over 30-90 days is a sharp mean reversion as speculative momentum fades.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy transactions outnumber sell transactions nearly 3-to-1 in 24h (1,911 vs 716), indicating strong nominal demand
  • 205 unique buyers participated in the last 24h versus effectively one active seller address, suggesting broad-based speculative interest rather than a single group driving demand
  • Momentum has accelerated rather than decayed across the 5m/1h/4h/24h windows, consistent with an active early-stage speculative rally

Bearish Factors

  • Only 1 unique seller address executed 716 sell transactions in 24h (143 in the last 4h, 35 in the last 1h), an anomalous concentration of sell-side activity in a single wallet or contract mechanism that is not explainable from the data provided
  • Top 10 holders control 92.9% of total supply, leaving minimal float in the hands of the broader 203,700-holder base
  • Total liquidity of $66,035 is just 6.6% of the $994,009 market cap, meaning even moderate sell orders can move price sharply and exiting a meaningful position could be difficult
  • The token is 20 hours old with no track record, no audit data, and no verifiable launch-allocation history

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

币安月饼 call history

Full track record →

Sep 22bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x2f82...79bd
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • A single unique seller address accounted for the majority of 24h sell-side transactions (716 of them), an unexplained anomaly that could indicate concentrated control over sell-side liquidity
  • 92.9% supply concentration in the top 10 holders combined with only $66,035 in liquidity creates severe exit-risk if large holders decide to sell
  • The token has no verifiable security audit, deployer history, or launch-allocation forensics, leaving insider-risk questions unanswered
  • Extreme short-term price acceleration (+77% in 4h, +24,977% in 24h) raises the probability of a sharp corrective move once initial speculative buying subsides

Trading Insight

bullish

Buy pressure (52.5%, $657,424) modestly outweighs sell pressure (47.5%, $595,246), and buy transaction counts dominate sell counts nearly 3-to-1, pointing to net speculative demand. However, the fact that price still moved over 24,000% on only a slight volume imbalance is a symptom of extremely shallow liquidity rather than overwhelming conviction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Every available short-term window (5m, 1h, 4h) shows accelerating positive price action, and the 24h figure captures the token's full launch-to-now trajectory, so the short-term trend is clearly up. There is no medium-term (30d/90d) OHLC data available given the token's 20-hour age, so a medium-term trend cannot be determined and is marked sideways/unknown by default rather than inferred.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

The acceleration from +8.9% (5m) to +34.8% (1h) to +77.0% (4h) reflects rapidly building short-term momentum typical of an early parabolic move, which historically increases the risk of a sharp pullback once buying momentum stalls.

Volume Analysis

Buy

52.5%

Sell

47.5%

Volume Trend

Increasing

24h volume of $657,424 in buys against $595,246 in sells shows healthy two-sided activity for a token this young, with buy-side transaction counts (1,911) far outpacing sell-side counts (716), though the single-seller anomaly noted above tempers confidence in the sell-side data quality.

Recent Price Action

A sharp, accelerating parabolic rise since token creation 20 hours ago, with each shorter timeframe (5m/1h/4h) showing progressively larger percentage gains, indicating the rally is still building rather than fading at the time of this snapshot.

This pattern is characteristic of an early-stage speculative launch pump on a low-liquidity DEX pair; such moves can continue briefly but are historically prone to sharp reversals once early buyers begin taking profit, especially given the thin $66,035 liquidity pool.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

92/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Price has moved over 24,000% within the token's 20-hour life and is still accelerating on shorter timeframes (+77% in the last 4h alone), indicating extreme volatility typical of a brand-new speculative launch.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $66,035 against a $994,009 market cap (about 6.6%) is very shallow, meaning moderate-sized trades can cause significant slippage and large holders may struggle to exit without materially moving price.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    Top 10 holders control 92.9% of total supply. No per-wallet holder list is available to distinguish protocol/exchange wallets from individual whales, so this aggregate figure must be treated as a high-risk concentration signal rather than diluted with exculpatory context.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    The token's name and branding invoke the Binance exchange and a cultural festival without any documented official affiliation, which could raise trademark/impersonation concerns typical of unaffiliated meme tokens referencing major brands.

Key Risks

  • A single unique seller address accounted for the majority of 24h sell-side transactions (716 of them), an unexplained anomaly that could indicate concentrated control over sell-side liquidity
  • 92.9% supply concentration in the top 10 holders combined with only $66,035 in liquidity creates severe exit-risk if large holders decide to sell
  • The token has no verifiable security audit, deployer history, or launch-allocation forensics, leaving insider-risk questions unanswered
  • Extreme short-term price acceleration (+77% in 4h, +24,977% in 24h) raises the probability of a sharp corrective move once initial speculative buying subsides

Mitigating Factors

  • Trading activity shows genuine two-sided volume with 205 unique buyers in 24h, rather than a completely one-sided or halted market
  • The token remains actively tradeable on PancakeSwap with continuous transaction flow across 1h, 4h, and 24h windows

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculative traders explicitly comfortable with total capital loss; unsuitable for investors seeking capital preservation, yield, or exposure to a project with verifiable fundamentals.

币安月饼 is a 20-hour-old speculative BSC meme token exhibiting parabolic short-term price acceleration alongside extreme holder concentration, shallow liquidity, and an unexplained single-seller trading anomaly. The setup is characteristic of an early-stage pump that carries substantial reversal risk once initial momentum fades.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued viral attention around the mooncake/Mid-Autumn Festival meme theme and Binance-adjacent branding drives further retail speculative inflow, sustaining buy-transaction dominance and pushing price higher in the very short term.

  • Sustained growth in unique buyers beyond the current 205/24h
  • Additional liquidity added to reduce current slippage risk

Base Case

Typical of newly launched low-liquidity meme tokens, an initial hype-driven pump gradually fades over the following days as speculative interest wanes and early holders reduce exposure, with high volatility persisting in both directions.

  • No new fundamental catalyst (audit, listing, utility announcement) emerges to sustain demand
  • Liquidity remains near current levels ($66,035) without material additions

Bear Case

High probability

The parabolic move exhausts itself as early holders (particularly the top 10 controlling 92.9% of supply) take profits into the thin $66,035 liquidity pool, triggering a rapid price collapse typical of freshly launched, highly concentrated tokens.

  • Concentrated supply among top 10 holders with no lock-up data available
  • Shallow liquidity relative to market cap amplifying downside moves
  • Anomalous single-seller-address dynamic that could reflect a large holder or contract-level sell mechanism

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 22, 2026, 09:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-22 21:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$9.94008837736e-7

Market Cap

$994.0K

24h Volume

$1.25M

Holders

203,700

Liquidity

$66,035.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, and smart-money cohort data were unavailable for this analysis
  • No contract-security/audit data was available on this chain's data provider
  • No OHLC-based support/resistance levels exist given the token's 20-hour trading history
  • No token genesis, deployer, or whale-wallet forensics were available to assess insider or launch-allocation risk

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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