蝴蝶之星

蝴蝶之星 Price Today & AI Analysis

蝴蝶之星BNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 19, 2026

Price

$0.000164

+222.21% 24h

Contract

Live
0x29e889ffc35290bb703a60a6429ee236c5ad7777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

840

Market cap

$162.13K

Liquidity

$20.24K

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since report

report from Sep 19, 2026, 04:47 PM UTC

Market Cap

$137.96K

24h Volume

$148.03K

Liquidity

$18.66K

FDV

—

Holders

823

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

蝴蝶之星 is a brand-new BEP-20 token on PancakeSwap (binance chain), created only 4 hours ago, currently trading at $0.000139220173487 with a $137,961 market cap and $139,220 fully diluted valuation on a total/circulating supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens. The token has surged 174.2% since inception with heavy transaction activity (3,070 buys vs 1,036 sells in the observed window) but sits on thin liquidity of $18,663, and no project description, security audit, or multi-day price history is available. This profile is characteristic of a freshly launched, speculative micro-cap with elevated volatility and limited due-diligence data.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 19, 2026, 04:47 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely new listing (4 hours old) with no established price history
  • No project description, category, or documented use case provided
  • Active but concentrated trading pattern with larger average sell sizes than buy sizes

蝴蝶之星 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

Every available intraday window is positive and accelerating — +8.8% (5m), +32.5% (1h), +169.2% (4h) and +174.2% (24h) — and because the token itself is only 4 hours old, the '24h' figure is effectively the entire trading history, not a stale snapshot. This is a live parabolic move driven by new-listing momentum on PancakeSwap rather than an established trend, so continuation is possible but a sharp reversal is equally likely given the thin $18,663 liquidity base.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Tokens that post a 169%+ move within hours of launch on shallow liquidity ($18,663 against a $137,961 market cap) historically struggle to hold gains once early buyers begin distributing. With no multi-day price history, no security audit data, and average sell trade size (~$68) roughly 2.7x the average buy trade size (~$25) in the 24h window, the setup favors a fade once the initial buying frenzy slows.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy transactions outnumber sell transactions 3,070 to 1,036 in the 24h window, showing broad participation
  • Unique buyers (726) exceed unique sellers (570), suggesting new demand is still entering
  • Buy volume ($77,206) modestly exceeds sell volume ($70,823), a 52.2%/47.8% split in favor of buyers

Bearish Factors

  • Average sell trade size (~$68.4) is roughly 2.7x the average buy trade size (~$25.1), indicating larger holders are selling into a wave of smaller retail buys
  • Liquidity of only $18,663 against a $137,961 market cap (roughly 13.5%) makes the price highly sensitive to any single large sell order
  • The token is 4 hours old with no price history beyond that window, meaning there is no evidence the current price level can be defended

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

蝴蝶之星 call history

Full track record →

Sep 19bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x29e8...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • The token is only 4 hours old with no multi-day price or holder history to validate the current valuation
  • Thin liquidity ($18,663) relative to market cap ($137,961) creates high slippage and price-manipulation risk
  • Average sell trade size (~$68.4) is nearly 3x the average buy trade size (~$25.1), a pattern consistent with larger holders distributing into retail demand
  • No project description, category, or use case is disclosed, and no contract security audit data is available

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy pressure (52.2%) edges out sell pressure (47.8%) and buy transaction counts dominate (3,070 vs 1,036), but the near-parity in dollar volume despite the 3:1 transaction skew shows sellers are transacting in materially larger sizes on average. This mixed signal — broad retail buying against fewer but bigger sell orders — is typical of an early post-launch phase where some larger holders are already taking profit.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

Every measured window since launch — 5 minutes (+8.8%), 1 hour (+32.5%), 4 hours (+169.2%) and 24 hours (+174.2%) — is positive and accelerating, indicating a sustained upward move for the entirety of the token's short life. Because the token launched only 4 hours ago, there is no separate 'medium-term' history distinct from this same window, so the medium-term reading mirrors the short-term one.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 169.2% gain in 4 hours and 174.2% over the token's full 24h/lifetime window reflects extreme, likely unsustainable momentum typical of a fresh-listing pump; such moves frequently see sharp mean-reversion once initial buying interest slows.

Volume Analysis

Buy

52.2%

Sell

47.8%

Volume Trend

Increasing

The bulk of all transactions (2,677 of 3,070 buys and 786 of 1,036 sells) occurred within the most recent 4-hour window out of the token's total 4-hour existence, showing that trading intensity has been high and front-loaded rather than gradually building — consistent with a new-listing surge rather than an organically maturing market.

Recent Price Action

A near-vertical, accelerating rally from launch, with each successive shorter timeframe (5m, 1h, 4h) showing progressively larger percentage gains up to the 24h/lifetime total of +174.2%.

This pattern typically signals speculative, momentum-driven buying around a new token listing; such rapid appreciation on thin liquidity is prone to sharp, fast corrections once early buyers or larger holders begin exiting.

Overall Risk

Very high

Risk Score

90/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token has moved +174.2% since its 4-hour-old launch, with every shorter window (5m, 1h, 4h) also strongly positive — this level of realized volatility implies large potential swings in either direction.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $18,663 against a $137,961 market cap is thin; trades of moderate size relative to this pool can move price significantly and increase slippage.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top 10 holders control 22.5% of supply across 823 holders; this is a moderate concentration level, but wallet-level identity (team, exchange, individual) cannot be verified from available data, so true dumpable-supply risk is uncertain.

  • Smart ContractMedium

    No contract-security audit data is available for this chain, so this rating is an uninformed default rather than a genuine assessment of contract safety.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an unclassified, undocumented token with no disclosed jurisdiction, issuer, or compliance framework, generic regulatory uncertainty applicable to unregistered token offerings applies.

Key Risks

  • The token is only 4 hours old with no multi-day price or holder history to validate the current valuation
  • Thin liquidity ($18,663) relative to market cap ($137,961) creates high slippage and price-manipulation risk
  • Average sell trade size (~$68.4) is nearly 3x the average buy trade size (~$25.1), a pattern consistent with larger holders distributing into retail demand
  • No project description, category, or use case is disclosed, and no contract security audit data is available

Mitigating Factors

  • Buy transaction count and unique buyer count both exceed sell-side equivalents in the 24h window, showing continued demand
  • 100% of total supply is already circulating, removing near-term unlock/dilution risk

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders comfortable with total capital loss; unsuitable for investors seeking capital preservation or requiring verified fundamentals and security audits.

蝴蝶之星 is a 4-hour-old speculative micro-cap token showing strong post-launch momentum but lacking the price history, security data, and holder transparency needed for a confident directional call. Any thesis here is necessarily short-horizon and momentum-based rather than fundamentals-based.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued strong buyer participation (726 unique buyers vs 570 unique sellers in 24h) sustains momentum and attracts further speculative inflows, extending the rally in the very short term.

  • Sustained new buyer inflow outpacing seller count
  • Social media/Twitter-driven speculative attention on a new listing

Base Case

Elevated volatility persists in both directions over the coming days as the token establishes a genuine trading range, with no reliable support/resistance levels yet formed given the lack of OHLC history.

  • No major liquidity additions or removals occur in the near term
  • Trading activity remains dominated by short-term speculators rather than long-term holders

Bear Case

High probability

The parabolic 174.2% since-launch move exhausts itself as larger holders (evidenced by ~2.7x larger average sell sizes) continue distributing into retail demand, triggering a sharp correction on the thin $18,663 liquidity base.

  • Disproportionately large average sell trade size versus buy trade size
  • Shallow liquidity amplifying any coordinated or large sell-off

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 19, 2026, 04:47 PM UTC

Data Freshness

Real-time on-chain data

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000139220173487

Market Cap

$138.0K

24h Volume

$148.0K

Holders

823

Liquidity

$18.7K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Token is only 4 hours old, so no meaningful daily OHLC swing history or multi-day trend exists
  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • Per-wallet holder identity and classification (team, exchange, individual) could not be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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