QLM

千里马 Price Prediction 2026

QLM
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 8, 2026

$0.0107

-6.72%24h
LiveContract:0x1df197d03967ed707e5aabc2c6cf0c0d62cb7777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:11.5KMarket cap:$10.69MLiquidity:$162.47K

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Movement since reportreport from Jul 8, 2026, 01:18 PM UTC
Market Cap

$2.60M

24h Volume

$391.20K

Liquidity

$137.99K

FDV

Holders

1.4K

Security

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

Top acquisition

AI Executive Summary

千里马 (QLM) is a BNB Chain token launched approximately 1 hour ago with no verified contract, no project description, and no social presence. Its first-session price action — a 1,141% surge — combined with a genesis structure that routed 80% of supply to one address and 20% to another immediately at mint, and a deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet, raises serious red flags consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump launch. While 82.84% of supply sits in a labelled burn address (which, if genuine, would reduce effective circulating supply substantially), the absence of any verifiable fundamentals means this figure cannot be independently validated. At a $2.6M market cap with $138K in liquidity, the token is highly illiquid relative to its valuation and carries very high risk.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranJul 8, 2026, 01:18 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
82.84% of supply in a labelled burn address — if genuine, this is an unusually aggressive supply reduction for a newly launched token
Extreme first-hour price action of +1,141% with 1,418 holders acquired entirely within the launch hour, 59% via airdrop
Deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) is 737 days old but made zero contract deployments in its earliest 100 transactions, suggesting it was held dormant before this launch

千里马 Price Prediction

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

QLM launched just 1 hour ago and has already surged 1,141% in its first trading session — a classic pump pattern driven by airdrop recipients and early buyers rather than organic price discovery. With 879 unique sellers already active versus 746 unique buyers, and the token only 1 hour old, the probability of a sharp mean-reversion is high as airdrop recipients (836 of 1,418 holders acquired via airdrop) begin to liquidate. The 57.7% buy pressure is insufficient to sustain a 1,141% move in a token with no verified contract and no disclosed fundamentals.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Without a verified contract, disclosed use case, social presence, or any project fundamentals, QLM has no identifiable medium-term value drivers. The token's genesis structure — 80% of supply routed to one address and 20% to another immediately at launch, with the deployer funded by an unlabelled wallet — is consistent with a coordinated launch designed for a short-term pump-and-dump rather than sustained value creation. Unless the team discloses verifiable fundamentals and the contract is verified on-chain, the medium-term trajectory is strongly bearish.

Bullish Factors
  • +82.84% of total supply sits in a labelled burn address, meaning effective circulating supply is dramatically lower than the stated 1 billion tokens — this could support price if confirmed as a permanent burn
  • +Buy pressure at 57.7% ($225,723 buy volume vs $165,478 sell volume in 24h) shows net inflow in the first hour of trading, indicating initial demand exceeds immediate selling
  • +1,658 buy transactions in the first hour suggests broad retail participation rather than a single coordinated buyer
Bearish Factors
  • -Token is only 1 hour old and has already pumped 1,141% — historically, such extreme first-session moves in unverified, no-description tokens revert sharply once airdrop recipients begin selling
  • -836 of 1,418 holders (59%) acquired tokens via airdrop, creating a large cohort of zero-cost holders with no price anchor and strong incentive to sell at any price
  • -Contract is unverified (security score 45/100), no project description exists, and no social links are available — the token has zero disclosed fundamentals to justify its $2.6M market cap
  • -Deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet and made zero contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, consistent with a disposable or purpose-built launch wallet

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

QLM call history

Full track record →
Jul 8bearish
24h+122.4%
7d+309.9%
30d+295.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x1df1...7777
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Rug pull risk: unverified contract, deployer funded by unlabelled wallet, immediate post-mint supply routing to multiple addresses, and zero social accountability infrastructure — all consistent with a coordinated exit scheme
Airdrop sell pressure: 836 of 1,418 holders (59%) received tokens at zero cost and have no price anchor, creating structural sell pressure that can overwhelm buy demand at any price level
Liquidity withdrawal risk: with only $138K in the pool and no locked liquidity confirmation, the pool provider(s) can withdraw at any time, rendering the token untradeable and collapsing the price to near zero

Trading Insight

neutral

Despite the explosive 1,141% price surge in the first hour, the trading sentiment is only marginally net-positive: buy pressure stands at 57.7% but unique sellers (879) already outnumber unique buyers (746), suggesting distribution is beginning. The 24h and 4h transaction counts are identical, confirming all activity occurred within a single 4-hour window — this is entirely a launch-day event with no prior trading baseline.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The short-term trend is technically an uptrend given the 1,141% price appreciation in the first hour, but this is entirely a launch-day pump with no prior price history to establish a genuine trend. Medium-term trend is classified as sideways because there is no multi-day OHLC data — the token has existed for only 1 hour. Any technical trend designation here is provisional and should be treated with extreme skepticism.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 1,141% move in a single hour on a token with no fundamentals, no verified contract, and an airdrop-heavy holder base is by any measure an overbought condition. Momentum indicators cannot be formally computed without OHLC history, but the magnitude of the move relative to the token's age and liquidity depth strongly implies exhaustion risk in the near term.

Volume Analysis

Buy 57.7%Sell 42.3%

Volume Trend: Stable

All volume data reflects a single launch-hour event. Total 24h volume of $391,201 against $138K in liquidity represents a pool turnover of approximately 2.8x in one session — extremely high for a newly launched token and indicative of speculative trading rather than organic price discovery. The 57.7% buy pressure is net positive but insufficient to sustain a 1,141% move without continued fresh capital inflows.

Recent Price Action

Vertical launch spike: price surged 1,141% within the first hour of trading from a standing start, with the 5-minute reading showing a -0.11% micro-pullback suggesting the initial spike may be plateauing.

Vertical first-hour spikes of this magnitude on unverified, no-description tokens with airdrop distributions are a well-documented pattern in pump-and-dump schemes. The -0.11% 5-minute reading, while noise in isolation, may signal the beginning of a distribution phase as early recipients begin to exit.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders1,418
24h Change+1,418
Growth Rate+100%

All 1,418 holders were acquired in a single hour, making the 100% growth figure a launch artifact rather than an organic growth signal. The holder trajectory data (0 → 2,031 net over 31 days) reflects a projection window that extends beyond the token's current age — the only real data point is the 1,418 holders acquired at launch. Holder retention over the coming days will be the critical metric to watch.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders87%
Top 100 Holders91%
Retail Holders9.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

While the raw top-10 concentration of 87% appears extreme, 82.84% of that is held by a labelled burn address. Excluding the burn address, the remaining top-10 holders control approximately 4.16% of supply across individual whales and protocol contracts. However, the data flags total dumpable supply at 84.5% — this elevated figure warrants independent verification of whether the burn address is truly irreversible. Until the burn is confirmed on-chain as permanent, concentration risk must be rated critical.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest confirmed on-chain swaps are modest in absolute dollar terms: the biggest single trade was a $843 sell by 0xa33a66…, followed by buys of $458, $298, $298, and $207, and a $264 sell by 0x9249d7…. These are retail-scale transactions, not institutional whale movements.

  • SELL $843 by 0xa33a66… — largest single trade in the token's history, a sell
  • BUY $458 by 0x2d9451… — largest single buy, less than the top sell

The largest trade in this token's entire history is a $843 sell — this confirms there are no genuine large-wallet participants yet. All trading is retail-scale, which is consistent with a freshly launched airdrop token. The fact that the largest transaction is a sell rather than a buy is a mild bearish signal for near-term price action.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token. No profitable-trader cohort data has been provided.

Smart-money data is unavailable. Given the token is 1 hour old with 836 airdrop recipients holding zero-cost positions, profit-taking risk is inherently high regardless of smart-money signals — any price above zero represents profit for airdrop holders.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$137,989
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $138K in liquidity against a $2.6M market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 5.3% — well below the 10–20% threshold typically considered adequate for a token of this size. A $138K pool turning over 2.8x in a single session means slippage on any meaningful trade will be substantial. A sell order of even $10,000–$15,000 would likely move the price by several percent, making exit risk significant for anyone holding a position of meaningful size.

Overall Risk:
Very High
91/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 1,141% price move in the first hour of trading establishes extreme volatility as the baseline for this token. With no price history, no OHLC data, and an airdrop-heavy holder base, downside volatility risk is severe — a 50–90% correction from launch highs would be consistent with comparable pump-and-dump patterns.

Liquidity
High

$138K in liquidity against a $2.6M market cap (5.3% ratio) means the pool is shallow relative to the token's stated valuation. Any coordinated selling or large individual exit will cause significant price impact, and in a worst-case scenario, liquidity could be withdrawn entirely by the pool provider.

Concentration
Medium

Once the 82.84% burn address is excluded, individual whale holdings are modest (top individual whales hold 0.11–0.30% each). However, the dumpable supply figure of 84.5% flagged in the data — which may include the burn address ambiguity — cannot be dismissed until the burn is independently verified as permanent. Rated medium pending burn confirmation.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified, meaning its source code is not publicly auditable. Hidden privileged functions such as unlimited minting, trading pauses, or fee manipulation cannot be ruled out. This is the single highest-severity technical risk for this token.

Regulatory
Medium

As a BNB Chain token with no disclosed jurisdiction, team identity, or regulatory compliance framework, QLM carries standard emerging-market crypto regulatory risk. The airdrop distribution model may attract additional scrutiny in jurisdictions that classify airdrops as taxable events or securities distributions.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: unverified contract, deployer funded by unlabelled wallet, immediate post-mint supply routing to multiple addresses, and zero social accountability infrastructure — all consistent with a coordinated exit scheme
  • Airdrop sell pressure: 836 of 1,418 holders (59%) received tokens at zero cost and have no price anchor, creating structural sell pressure that can overwhelm buy demand at any price level
  • Liquidity withdrawal risk: with only $138K in the pool and no locked liquidity confirmation, the pool provider(s) can withdraw at any time, rendering the token untradeable and collapsing the price to near zero

Mitigating Factors

  • Deployer wallet is 737 days old, suggesting some degree of prior on-chain history rather than a freshly created throwaway address
  • If the 82.84% burn address is confirmed as a permanent, irrevocable burn, effective circulating supply would be ~171.6M tokens, which would substantially change the supply/demand dynamics

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who fully understand pump-and-dump dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their position, and are participating with purely speculative capital. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone seeking a store of value or utility token.

QLM presents an extremely high-risk speculative profile with no disclosed fundamentals, an unverified contract, and a launch pattern consistent with coordinated pump-and-dump activity. The only credible bull case rests on the unverified burn address holding 82.84% of supply; the bear case — which carries higher probability — is a sharp post-launch correction driven by airdrop recipients liquidating zero-cost positions.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The 82.84% burn is confirmed as permanent and irrevocable on-chain, the team discloses a credible project roadmap and verifies the contract, and the reduced effective circulating supply of ~171.6M tokens attracts sustained speculative demand — potentially supporting prices above the launch-day high.

  • +On-chain confirmation of permanent burn reducing effective supply by 82.84%
  • +Contract verification and disclosure of a credible use case or project narrative
Base Case

QLM experiences a sharp post-launch correction of 60–85% from its first-hour high as airdrop recipients sell, stabilizing at a much lower price with a small residual holder base of speculative traders. The token remains active but illiquid, with no fundamental development activity.

  • No new fundamental catalysts emerge (contract remains unverified, no project disclosure)
  • Airdrop sell pressure materializes over the first 24–72 hours as is typical for zero-cost distributions
Bear Case
High

Airdrop recipients (59% of holders) begin systematic liquidation of zero-cost positions, overwhelming the $138K liquidity pool and driving a 70–95% price correction from the launch-day high. In the worst case, liquidity is withdrawn by the pool provider, rendering the token effectively untradeable.

  • -836 airdrop holders with zero cost basis and no incentive to hold begin selling into any price
  • -Unverified contract and absence of any project fundamentals prevent new capital from entering to absorb sell pressure

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 8, 2026, 01:18 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data — token is approximately 1 hour old at time of analysis
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.002598455652437059
Market Cap$2.60M
24h Volume$391.2K
Holders1,418
Liquidity$138.0K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Trading volume metrics (24h DEX data)
Smart contract analysis (security score, verification status)
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Notable recent trades (on-chain swap data)

Limitations

  • Token is only 1 hour old — no OHLC history exists, making all technical analysis provisional and all price targets impossible to derive from historical levels
  • Contract is unverified — hidden functions, true burn permanence, and tokenomics mechanics cannot be independently confirmed
  • Smart-money cohort data is unavailable — no profitable-trader analysis can be performed
  • Deployer and genesis wallet identities are pseudonymous — true team identity and intent cannot be verified from on-chain data alone

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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