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骏马~腾飞 Price Today & AI Analysis

骏马~腾飞BNB ChainAnalysis as of Aug 8, 2026

Price

$0.046343

+3.54% 24h

Contract

Live
0x1df01033d47f497a119516413aea56c61cca7777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

2.2K

Market cap

$63.43K

Liquidity

$13.29K

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骏马~腾飞: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-08 16:02 UTC

Holder addresses

2,106

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$65,034.72
How concentrated is 骏马~腾飞 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 2,106 addresses (2026-08-08 16:02 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 骏马~腾飞?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 骏马~腾飞 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-08 16:02 UTC, reported liquidity was $65,034.72. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-08 16:02 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 8, 2026, 04:02 PM UTC

Market Cap

$507.53K

24h Volume

$107.47K

Liquidity

$65.03K

FDV

—

Holders

2,106

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

骏马~腾飞 is a 2-hour-old BNB Chain token with no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a security score of 44/100. Its price surged 236% in its opening trading window, driven by thin liquidity ($65,034) and a holder base that is 77.8% airdrop-seeded, creating a classic pump-and-distribute profile. While 74.39% of supply sits in a burn address — reducing the tradeable float — the remaining dumpable supply and the structural absence of any project fundamentals make this an extremely high-risk speculative instrument. The token's genesis shows a structured pre-launch allocation split between two wallets before any public trading, reinforcing insider-distribution concerns.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 8, 2026, 04:02 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • 74.39% of total supply is held in a burn address, making the effective circulating float far smaller than the 1 billion nominal supply
  • 77.8% of all holders received tokens via airdrop (1,638 of 2,106), an unusually high airdrop-to-swap ratio for a token this new
  • Pre-launch genesis transfers routed 800M tokens to one wallet and 200M to another before any public trading began, indicating a structured insider allocation

骏马~腾飞 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

This token is only 2 hours old and has already posted a 236% gain in its first trading window — a classic pump profile driven by airdrop-seeded holders and thin liquidity. The 1-hour transaction data shows sell transactions (101) now marginally outnumbering buys (99) with unique sellers (92) nearly double unique buyers (46), signalling early distribution is underway. Given the absence of any verified contract, no project description, and 1,638 of 2,106 holders receiving supply via airdrop, a sharp mean-reversion is the most probable short-term outcome.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Without a verified contract, no stated use case, no social presence, and a deployer wallet funded by an unlabelled source, there is no fundamental basis for sustained price appreciation over a 30–90 day horizon. The token's entire holder base was created in the last 2 hours, meaning there is no established community or long-term holder cohort to absorb sell pressure. Survival beyond the initial pump phase would require organic demand that the current data provides no evidence for.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy pressure remains at 60% of 24h volume ($64,431 buys vs $43,036 sells), indicating net inflow in the token's opening hours
  • 74.39% of supply is held in a burn address, meaning the effective circulating supply is dramatically reduced and individual whale positions (0.13%–0.38%) are small relative to the non-burned float
  • 325 unique buyers in the first 2 hours suggests genuine speculative interest beyond the airdrop recipients

Bearish Factors

  • 236% price surge in 2 hours on a token with no verified contract (security score 44/100) is a textbook pump setup with high reversion risk
  • 1,638 of 2,106 holders (77.8%) received tokens via airdrop rather than market purchase, creating a large cohort of zero-cost holders with no price anchor and strong incentive to sell
  • The 1-hour window shows sell transactions (101) overtaking buy transactions (99) with unique sellers (92) nearly double unique buyers (46), indicating early distribution pressure is building
  • Deployer wallet 0xe2ce6ab8 was funded by an unlabelled wallet and made no contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, consistent with a disposable or purpose-built launch wallet
  • No project description, no social links, unverified contract, and uncategorised token type — zero fundamental support for the current $507,530 market cap

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

骏马~腾飞 call history

Full track record →

Aug 8bearish
24h-42.0%
7d-77.3%
30d-88.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x1df0...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: unverified contract, unlabelled deployer funding source, and pre-launch insider allocations to 0xe6315f (800M tokens) and 0x4cfebf (200M tokens) create conditions where insiders could exit without warning
  • Airdrop dump cascade: 1,638 of 2,106 holders received tokens at zero cost and have no price anchor — a coordinated or spontaneous sell-off from this cohort could collapse the price faster than the thin liquidity pool can absorb
  • Zero fundamental value: no project description, no use case, no team disclosure, no social presence, and no contract verification mean the current $507,530 market cap is entirely speculative with no fundamental floor

Trading Insight

bearish

While the 24h aggregate shows 60% buy pressure, the most recent 1-hour window has flipped to sell-side dominance with 101 sell transactions vs 99 buys and 92 unique sellers vs only 46 unique buyers — a meaningful divergence suggesting early buyers are beginning to exit. The overall sentiment score is modestly negative because the structural distribution risk from 1,638 airdrop holders outweighs the nominal buy-volume lead.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The short-term trend is technically an uptrend given the 236% price gain in the token's 2-hour existence, but this is an opening pump rather than a sustained trend — there is no prior price history to establish a baseline. The medium-term outlook is bearish because the structural conditions (airdrop distribution, unverified contract, no fundamentals) that typically precede sharp corrections are all present, and the 1-hour transaction data already shows early signs of distribution.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 236% gain in under 2 hours on thin liquidity of $65,034 represents extreme overbought conditions by any measure. The current price of $0.000507 reflects speculative momentum rather than fundamental value, and the shift in the 1-hour window to sell-side transaction dominance suggests momentum is already beginning to fade.

Volume Analysis

Buy

60%

Sell

40%

Volume Trend

Stable

All volume data represents a single 2-hour window and cannot be characterised as a trend. Total 24h volume of approximately $107,467 ($64,431 buys + $43,036 sells) against a liquidity pool of $65,034 means the token has traded roughly 1.65x its liquidity depth in its opening hours — high turnover relative to pool size, which increases slippage risk for larger exits.

Recent Price Action

Vertical opening pump of 236% from launch price, with the 5-minute data showing a -1.24% pullback and the 1-hour window showing sell transactions beginning to dominate — a classic pump-top formation in its early stages.

This pattern — rapid vertical price appreciation followed by transaction-count reversal — is commonly associated with airdrop-seeded tokens where initial buy pressure from a small number of speculators exhausts quickly and the larger airdrop cohort begins selling into strength.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

91/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 236% price move in 2 hours on $65,034 of liquidity demonstrates extreme volatility. The thin pool means price can move violently in either direction on modest order flow, and the airdrop-heavy holder base creates persistent downward pressure.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $65,034 is shallow relative to the $507,530 market cap (12.8% ratio). Sell orders of even a few thousand dollars will cause meaningful slippage, and a coordinated exit could drain the pool rapidly.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an uncategorised BNB Chain token with no disclosed jurisdiction, use case, or team, the token faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to all unregistered crypto assets. The airdrop distribution model may attract additional scrutiny in certain jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: unverified contract, unlabelled deployer funding source, and pre-launch insider allocations to 0xe6315f (800M tokens) and 0x4cfebf (200M tokens) create conditions where insiders could exit without warning
  • Airdrop dump cascade: 1,638 of 2,106 holders received tokens at zero cost and have no price anchor — a coordinated or spontaneous sell-off from this cohort could collapse the price faster than the thin liquidity pool can absorb
  • Zero fundamental value: no project description, no use case, no team disclosure, no social presence, and no contract verification mean the current $507,530 market cap is entirely speculative with no fundamental floor

Mitigating Factors

  • 74.39% of supply is permanently removed via burn address, limiting the maximum circulating supply available for dumping to approximately 257.6M tokens
  • Deployer wallet age of 768 days is longer than typical throwaway wallets, though this alone does not establish trustworthiness

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced speculative traders who fully understand they may lose their entire position, are trading with funds they can afford to lose completely, and have a specific short-term exit strategy. It is not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse participants, or anyone without deep familiarity with high-risk micro-cap token dynamics.

The investment thesis for 骏马~腾飞 is almost entirely speculative — there are no fundamentals, no verified contract, and no community to support a value-based case. The only viable thesis is a short-term momentum trade on the opening pump, which is already showing signs of exhaustion in the 1-hour data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The token attracts continued speculative buying from traders drawn to the 236% opening move, the burn-reduced float creates supply scarcity that amplifies price moves on modest inflows, and the token develops a social following that sustains momentum for several days before a correction.

  • Continued net buy pressure from new speculators discovering the token
  • Burn-reduced effective supply (~257.6M tokens) amplifying price impact of incremental demand

Base Case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 50–70% from its peak as airdrop holders sell and initial speculative momentum fades, then trades at low volume with minimal price discovery until liquidity is withdrawn or the project is abandoned.

  • No new fundamental catalyst or project announcement emerges to attract sustained buying
  • The deployer and pre-launch allocation wallets do not execute a full exit in the immediate term

Bear Case

High probability

The 1,638 airdrop holders begin selling en masse as the price peaks, the thin $65,034 liquidity pool is overwhelmed by sell pressure, and the price retraces 80–95% of its opening gains within 24–72 hours — a pattern common to airdrop-seeded tokens with no fundamentals.

  • Zero-cost airdrop holders with no price anchor selling into the pump
  • Pre-launch insider wallets (0xe6315f, 0x4cfebf) potentially exiting their positions through the thin liquidity pool

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 8, 2026, 04:02 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-08 16:02 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000507530034670270

Market Cap

$507.5K

24h Volume

$107.5K

Holders

2,106

Liquidity

$65,034.72

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)Trading volume metrics (24h and 1h windows)Smart contract security assessmentToken genesis and deployer wallet forensicsNotable recent on-chain swap data

Limitations

  • No OHLC price history exists — the token is 2 hours old, making all technical analysis based on a single data point rather than a price series
  • Smart-money cohort data is unavailable, preventing assessment of profitable trader positioning
  • The unverified contract means hidden functions, true tokenomics mechanics, and ownership controls cannot be assessed
  • Pre-launch wallet holdings for 0xe6315f and 0x4cfebf are not fully disclosed in the available data, leaving the primary insider risk partially unquantified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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