蝴蝶花呗

蝴蝶花呗 15秒一轮回 借款=分红+通缩 Price Today & AI Analysis

蝴蝶花呗BNB ChainAnalysis as of Oct 14, 2026

Price

$0.044125

-17.77% 24h

Contract

Live
0x1dad7104fbf82c2babe774f2c0bee68c332f7777

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

2.7K

Market cap

$34.09K

Liquidity

$9.97K

At a $1M market cap, $蝴蝶花呗 would be $0.001210 (29.3x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

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蝴蝶花呗 15秒一轮回 借款=分红+通缩: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-14 04:15 UTC

Holder addresses

2,651

Top 10 supply share

12.01%

Reported liquidity

$9,973.00
How concentrated is 蝴蝶花呗 15秒一轮回 借款=分红+通缩 ownership?
As of 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 12.01% of supply. It reports 2,651 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling 蝴蝶花呗 15秒一轮回 借款=分红+通缩?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $22,445.00 in buys and $24,402.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 蝴蝶花呗 15秒一轮回 借款=分红+通缩 liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +29.23%, from $7,731.55 (2026-10-13 15:00 UTC) to $9,991.38 (2026-10-14 04:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-13 15:00 UTC$7,731.55
2026-10-13 16:00 UTC$8,186.96
2026-10-13 17:00 UTC$9,917.32
2026-10-13 18:00 UTC$9,103.69
2026-10-13 19:00 UTC$9,164.32
2026-10-13 20:00 UTC$8,811.93
2026-10-13 21:00 UTC$8,715.82
2026-10-13 22:00 UTC$9,065.18
2026-10-13 23:00 UTC$9,983.20
2026-10-14 00:00 UTC$8,947.55
2026-10-14 01:00 UTC$8,937.89
2026-10-14 02:00 UTC$11,081.57
2026-10-14 03:00 UTC$10,232.09
2026-10-14 04:00 UTC$9,991.38

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 14, 2026, 04:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$34.09K

24h Volume

$46.85K

Liquidity

$9.97K

FDV

—

Holders

2,651

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

This token, 蝴蝶花呗, is a BSC token trading on PancakeSwap and 13 hours old. It is marketed as a deflationary mechanism with 15-second automatic buybacks, burns and dividends linked to borrowing weight. Market cap is about $34,095 with roughly $9,973 in liquidity and 2,651 holders. Contract-security and launch forensics are unavailable, and the project's claims could not be verified from the data.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 14, 2026, 04:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Claims a 15-second automatic buyback and burn cycle, with borrowing weight tied to a dividend pool (unverified)
  • Description cites a 5 BNB per-address cap and 0.2 BNB per vault run, which would limit individual exposure if implemented as described
  • Entire 1 billion supply is circulating, so no unlock overhang is indicated by the supply data

蝴蝶花呗 15秒一轮回 借款=分红+通缩 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token is 13 hours old and has no usable multi-window trend (7d/30d/90d are n/a; only 2 daily closes exist). The 1h and 4h declines of roughly 17% and the sell-skewed 24h flow (52.1% sell pressure) lean bearish, but the sample is far too short to be reliable. The 5-minute +5.2% bounce is noise.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

New tax-style reflection/buyback tokens on BSC with a roughly $10K liquidity pool commonly lose momentum once the initial launch interest fades. The stated 15-second buyback-and-burn mechanism depends on continuous new borrowing activity, which is unverified here. No medium-term trend data exists, so this call rests on the early-stage structure and sell-skewed flow.

Bullish Factors

  • 289 unique buyers against 270 unique sellers over 24h, with 559 buys versus 407 sells, shows participation was broad rather than driven by a few wallets
  • The price sits at 46% of its 2-day range, so it has not collapsed to the lows
  • 2,651 holders after 13 hours with a 12.0% top-10 share suggests a wide initial spread

Bearish Factors

  • The price fell about 17.2% in 1h and 17.8% in 4h and 24h, so the launch-day move is down
  • Sell volume of $24,402 exceeded buy volume of $22,445, a 52.1% sell share, despite more buy transactions, meaning the average sell is larger than the average buy
  • Liquidity of about $9,973 against a $34,095 market cap is thin, so modest sells can move the price sharply
  • In the last hour, unique sellers (185) exceeded unique buyers (170), showing selling pressure building

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

蝴蝶花呗 call history

Full track record →

Oct 14bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x1dad...7777
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Very young token (13 hours) with no meaningful price history
  • Thin liquidity makes price manipulation and heavy slippage likely
  • Unverified claims of automated buyback, burn and dividends; sustainability depends on continued new participation
  • Launch allocation and deployer forensics unavailable, so insider risk is unknown

Trading Insight

bearish

Sell pressure of 52.1% and a double-digit drop over 1h and 4h point to mild bearish sentiment. Activity is broad, with 289 buyers and 270 sellers, but the trend is down.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Short-term momentum is negative, with about -17% over 1h and 4h. Only 2 daily closes ($0.00004083, $0.00004125) exist, so no medium-term trend can be established and it is labeled sideways by default.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

No RSI or similar indicators can be reliably computed from 2 days of data. The sharp 1h drop followed by a 5-minute +5.2% bounce suggests choppy conditions rather than a clear extreme.

Volume Analysis

Buy

47.9%

Sell

52.1%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Most 24h activity occurred in the first hours after launch, with 593 transactions in the last hour out of 966 total. Whether this decays can only be judged over a longer window.

Recent Price Action

The price declined about 17% over the last 4 hours, with a small bounce in the last 5 minutes. The 2-day range runs from $0.000004868 to $0.00008366, and the price is at 46% of it.

A very wide range on a new token is typical of early price discovery and indicates extreme volatility, not an established structure.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

85/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The price fell about 17% in 4 hours, and the 2-day range spans roughly 17x from low to high.

  • LiquidityHigh

    About $9,973 in liquidity against roughly $47K of daily volume means large slippage and difficult exits for bigger positions.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top-10 holders hold 12.0% in aggregate, but wallet-level classification is unavailable, so dumpable supply cannot be determined.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Dividend-style rewards and lending-linked mechanics can attract regulatory scrutiny in some jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Very young token (13 hours) with no meaningful price history
  • Thin liquidity makes price manipulation and heavy slippage likely
  • Unverified claims of automated buyback, burn and dividends; sustainability depends on continued new participation
  • Launch allocation and deployer forensics unavailable, so insider risk is unknown

Mitigating Factors

  • Broad holder base of 2,651 with 12.0% top-10 share
  • Stated per-address cap of 5 BNB, if enforced, limits single-wallet exposure

Investor Suitability

Only suitable for experienced, high-risk-tolerance speculators who can afford total loss and who verify the contract themselves.

The thesis depends entirely on the unverified buyback-burn-dividend loop sustaining demand. With thin liquidity, a young token and a downward short-term move, the risk/reward is speculative.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The mechanism functions as described, attracting continuous borrowing activity that funds buybacks and burns while liquidity grows.

  • Verified, working automated buyback and burn
  • Liquidity growth and sustained new participants

Base Case

Volatile, drifting lower as launch activity fades, with sporadic bounces in a thin market.

  • Volume decays from launch-day levels
  • Liquidity stays near the $10K range

Bear Case

High probability

Launch interest fades, sells outpace the buyback, and thin liquidity amplifies a decline.

  • Sell-skewed flow ($24,402 sells vs $22,445 buys) and -17% 4h move
  • Dependence on new inflows to fund the mechanism

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 14, 2026, 04:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-14 04:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0000412471570736

Market Cap

$34.1K

24h Volume

$46.8K

Holders

2,651

Liquidity

$9,973.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Only 2 days of price history, so no 7d/30d/90d trend or key levels
  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Deployer, genesis and smart-money data unavailable
  • Project mechanism claims are from the creator's description and unverified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Questions about 蝴蝶花呗?