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Paimon Polymarket SPV Token Price Today & AI Analysis

pPOLYBNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 25, 2026

Price

$17.99

+5.62% 24h

Contract

Live
0x1d80392d12caaaf9e333bb0bb7f021eacf297fe6

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

5.3K

Market cap

$5.80M

Liquidity

$2.00M

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Paimon Polymarket SPV Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-25 12:30 UTC

Holder addresses

5,379

Top 10 supply share

18.53%

Reported liquidity

$2,022,243.00
How concentrated is Paimon Polymarket SPV Token ownership?
As of 2026-09-25 12:30 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 18.53% of supply. It reports 5,379 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Paimon Polymarket SPV Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 12:30 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $6,896,738.00 in buys and $6,841,691.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Paimon Polymarket SPV Token liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +1.91%, from $2,355,928.59 (2026-09-24 13:00 UTC) to $2,400,990.59 (2026-09-25 12:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-25 12:30 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-24 13:00 UTC$2,355,928.59
2026-09-24 14:00 UTC$2,115,851.92
2026-09-24 15:00 UTC$2,237,162.76
2026-09-24 16:00 UTC$2,271,373.27
2026-09-24 17:00 UTC$2,123,040.03
2026-09-24 18:00 UTC$2,147,206.46
2026-09-24 19:00 UTC$2,155,993.66
2026-09-24 20:00 UTC$2,170,203.18
2026-09-24 21:00 UTC$2,185,993.53
2026-09-24 22:00 UTC$2,198,245.86
2026-09-24 23:00 UTC$2,203,120.81
2026-09-25 00:00 UTC$2,227,035.50
2026-09-25 01:00 UTC$2,199,838.26
2026-09-25 02:00 UTC$2,415,526.09
2026-09-25 03:00 UTC$2,255,976.63
2026-09-25 04:00 UTC$2,464,072.67
2026-09-25 05:00 UTC$2,477,001.90
2026-09-25 06:00 UTC$2,479,192.45
2026-09-25 07:00 UTC$2,441,505.57
2026-09-25 08:00 UTC$2,465,806.54
2026-09-25 09:00 UTC$2,445,308.80
2026-09-25 10:00 UTC$2,418,611.29
2026-09-25 11:00 UTC$2,418,836.04
2026-09-25 12:00 UTC$2,400,990.59

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 25, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC

Market Cap

$6.11M

24h Volume

$13.74M

Liquidity

$2.02M

FDV

—

Holders

5,379

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token (pPOLY) is a 16-day-old Binance-chain token trading at $18.94 with a $6.1M market cap and $2.02M in liquidity on PancakeSwap Infinity. Despite its name implying a structured vehicle tied to Polymarket, there is no project description, category classification, or social media presence available to verify that claim. Price history is limited to two daily closes showing a decline from $19.57 to $18.94, with the current price sitting near the bottom (21%) of its $15.47–$31.71 recorded range, while 24h trading volume of ~$13.7M vastly exceeds the market cap.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 25, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely limited price history (only 2 days of OHLC) despite the token being 16 days old, preventing reliable trend confirmation
  • No project description, categorization, or social media presence despite a $6.1M market cap and $2M liquidity
  • Token name claims a 'Polymarket SPV' structure that cannot be verified with any available documentation

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The two most recent daily closes fell from $19.57 to $18.94 (-3.2%), and the current price sits at just 21% of its observed $15.47–$31.71 range, indicating price is trading much closer to its recent low than its high. The most recent 1-hour window shows a sharp sell skew (67 sells vs 21 buys, 62 vs 17 unique participants), reinforcing near-term downside pressure despite a roughly balanced 24h buy/sell volume split.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

7d, 30d, and 90d trend readings are explicitly unavailable, and only two days of daily OHLC data exist for a token that is 16 days old, so there is no reliable multi-week trend to extrapolate from. This is a genuine data gap rather than a balanced signal, and any medium-term call would be speculative.

Bullish Factors

  • 24h buy volume ($6,896,738) slightly exceeds sell volume ($6,841,691), a marginal net inflow rather than one-sided distribution
  • Top 10 holders control only 18.5% of the 322,580 total supply, a comparatively low aggregate concentration
  • Liquidity of $2,022,243 equals roughly 33% of the $6.1M market cap, supporting reasonable trade execution depth

Bearish Factors

  • Daily closes declined from $19.57 to $18.94 and price sits at just 21% of its $15.47–$31.71 recorded range
  • Unique sellers (3,469) outnumber unique buyers (3,057) over the last 24h, and the most recent 1-hour window shows an even sharper sell skew (67 vs 21)
  • 24h trading volume of ~$13.7M is more than double the $6.1M market cap, an unusually high turnover ratio for a 16-day-old token that raises questions about the organic nature of demand

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

pPOLY call history

Full track record →

Sep 25bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x1d80...7fe6
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Token is 16 days old with only 2 days of OHLC price history available, leaving no reliable basis for long-term trend, support/resistance, or volatility assessment
  • Zero social media presence and no project description exist for a token carrying a $6.1M market cap, making independent verification of its 'Polymarket SPV' claim impossible
  • 24h trading volume (~$13.7M) exceeds market cap (~$6.1M) by more than 2x, an unusually high turnover ratio that could reflect speculative churn rather than organic demand
  • Unique sellers (3,469) exceed unique buyers (3,057) over the last 24h, and the most recent 1-hour window shows a sharp sell skew (67 sells vs 21 buys), pointing to short-term distribution pressure

Trading Insight

neutral

24h buy and sell volumes are nearly identical ($6.90M vs $6.84M, a 50.2%/49.8% split), indicating an aggregate market in equilibrium. However, unique sellers (3,469) outnumber unique buyers (3,057) by over 13%, and the most recent 1-hour window shows a pronounced sell skew, pointing to a slightly bearish undercurrent beneath the balanced headline volume.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The only two available daily closes show a decline from $19.57 to $18.94, and the current price sits at 21% of its $15.47–$31.71 recorded range, consistent with a short-term downtrend. Medium-term trend cannot be characterized directionally because 7d/30d/90d change data is explicitly unavailable and the observed OHLC history spans only two days.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

No momentum oscillator (RSI/MACD-type) data is provided, and the reported daily volatility (stdev of returns) of 0.0% is likely an artifact of the very short two-day sample rather than a genuine low-volatility reading. The price's position near the low of its range (21%) hints at possible downside exhaustion, but this cannot be confirmed without further indicator data.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.2%

Sell

49.8%

Volume Trend

Stable

24h buy pressure (50.2%) and sell pressure (49.8%) are nearly split evenly, and 4h transaction counts (5,883 buys vs 6,014 sells) mirror this balance, indicating stable, high-turnover two-sided trading rather than a clear directional volume trend at the daily level.

Recent Price Action

Price fell from $19.57 to $18.94 across the two most recent daily closes and now sits near the bottom of its observed $15.47–$31.71 range (21% of range), reflecting a token trading well off the highs recorded in the available history.

This positioning suggests recent selling pressure has outweighed buying over the available window, and a sustained recovery would need to reclaim levels well above the current price to alter the short-term downtrend.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    The token's limited two-day price history shows a decline from $19.57 to $18.94 and sits near the low (21%) of its $15.47–$31.71 range, indicating meaningful realized movement despite a reported daily volatility (stdev) of 0.0%, which is likely an artifact of the very small two-day sample rather than genuine stability.

  • LiquidityLow

    Liquidity of $2,022,243 against a $6.1M market cap (~33% ratio) and balanced 24h volume of roughly $13.7M suggest reasonably deep trading conditions on PancakeSwap Infinity, though the token's small absolute market cap means large orders could still move price meaningfully.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Top 10 holders control 18.5% of the 322,580.65 token supply across 5,379 holders, a relatively low aggregate concentration; however, per-wallet identity or classification data is unavailable, so insider or team allocations within that 18.5% cannot be ruled out.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryHigh

    The token's name explicitly references 'Polymarket' and describes itself as an 'SPV Token,' implying a structured financial/derivative product tied to prediction markets. Such naming carries potential securities-law and brand-impersonation implications that cannot be verified given zero available documentation or social presence.

Key Risks

  • Token is 16 days old with only 2 days of OHLC price history available, leaving no reliable basis for long-term trend, support/resistance, or volatility assessment
  • Zero social media presence and no project description exist for a token carrying a $6.1M market cap, making independent verification of its 'Polymarket SPV' claim impossible
  • 24h trading volume (~$13.7M) exceeds market cap (~$6.1M) by more than 2x, an unusually high turnover ratio that could reflect speculative churn rather than organic demand
  • Unique sellers (3,469) exceed unique buyers (3,057) over the last 24h, and the most recent 1-hour window shows a sharp sell skew (67 sells vs 21 buys), pointing to short-term distribution pressure
  • No contract-security, smart-money, or per-wallet whale data is available, leaving several standard due-diligence checks unaddressed

Mitigating Factors

  • Liquidity of over $2M provides moderate cushion against slippage for typical trade sizes
  • Top-10 holder concentration of 18.5% is on the lower end at the aggregate level, reducing the risk of a single coordinated large-holder dump

Investor Suitability

Given the unverifiable branding claims, complete absence of social presence, extremely short price history, and lack of contract-security data, this token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who perform independent due diligence — not for investors seeking verified fundamentals or long-term holds.

pPOLY presents itself as a Polymarket-linked SPV token but provides no verifiable documentation, social presence, or contract-security data to substantiate that claim, while its brief price history already shows a decline toward the lower end of its recorded range. Any thesis here rests almost entirely on short-term speculative trading dynamics rather than demonstrable fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If verifiable demand or endorsement emerges around the claimed Polymarket/SPV tie-in and buy-side participation reasserts itself, the currently balanced 50.2%/49.8% flow could tip decisively bullish, potentially retracing price back toward the upper portion of the observed $15.47–$31.71 range.

  • Public verification or endorsement of the claimed Polymarket SPV structure
  • A sustained reversal in unique-buyer participation and the recent 1h sell skew

Base Case

Absent new information, pPOLY most likely continues trading as a high-turnover, range-bound speculative token with balanced aggregate volume but choppy short-term flow, with near-term direction driven primarily by trader positioning rather than verifiable fundamentals.

  • No new disclosure of project documentation, audits, or social channels emerges in the near term
  • Trading volume remains dominated by short-term speculative flow rather than long-term holding behavior

Bear Case

Medium probability

Continued lack of transparency, no growth in social/community presence, and persistent unique-seller dominance could see price extend its slide toward or below the $15.47 low observed in the available history.

  • Sustained unique-seller dominance (3,469 vs 3,057 buyers in 24h) deepening into broader distribution
  • Continued failure to publish any verifiable documentation, audit, or social presence, eroding trust further

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 25, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-25 12:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$18.9379534813

Market Cap

$6.11M

24h Volume

$13.74M

Holders

5,379

Liquidity

$2,022,243.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, and per-wallet whale/smart-money data were unavailable for this chain
  • Contract-security/audit data was unavailable for this chain
  • Only 2 days of daily OHLC price history were available, preventing reliable 7d/30d/90d trend confirmation
  • No project description or social links exist to verify the token's claimed purpose

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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