杀破狼

杀破狼 Price Prediction 2026

杀破狼
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 6, 2026

$0.052489

+0.00%24h
LiveContract:0x1d1eb56e392a7fee604be52879fa3e2f50da4444Chain:BNB ChainHolders:59Market cap:$2.49KLiquidity:$2.38K

More tokens on BNB Chain

Spytest

Spytest

Spytest

$0.0522450.0%
MC $2.2K
G

GPUJACKET

REAL WORLD APPAREL

$0.0929112.3%
MC $291
旺

旺

旺

$0.0530700.0%
MC $3.1K
合一

合一

合一

$0.0528740.0%
MC $2.9K
M

MECHX

首个将机制模块化的开源项目

$0.0522040.0%
MC $2.2K
quq

quq

quq

$0.0017990.0%
MC $1.80M

Advanced charting powered by TradingView

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about 杀破狼

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 6, 2026, 04:18 PM UTC
Market Cap

$95.73K

24h Volume

$509.53K

Liquidity

$29.07K

FDV

—

Holders

118

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

杀破狼 (Chinese: 'Kill Break Wolf') is a meme token launched on BNB Chain (BSC) approximately 1 hour ago with no verified contract, no project description, and no social presence. The token launched with a 160% price spike in its first hour, driven by 1,078 unique buyers, but is structurally dominated by a single insider wallet holding 70% of supply that received its position via pre-launch transfer rather than open-market purchase. With only $29,073 in liquidity, a security score of 40/100, and 79.8% of supply in dumpable individual whale hands, this token presents extreme risk characteristics consistent with a short-lived speculative pump. The deployer wallet (0x757eba15…, 462 days old, funded by an unknown source) routed the entire supply through intermediary wallets before trading began, a pattern that warrants heightened caution.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 6, 2026, 04:18 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Single insider wallet controls 70% of total supply with a position acquired via pre-launch transfer — not a market buy — creating an asymmetric and immediate dump risk
Token is only 1 hour old with a 160% launch-hour price surge, placing it squarely in the highest-risk phase of a potential pump-and-dump lifecycle
Multi-hop genesis allocation (deployer → proxy → multiple wallets including a 200M-token split) suggests deliberate pre-distribution to insider-controlled addresses before any public trading

杀破狼 Price Prediction

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

This token is only 1 hour old and has already surged 160% in its first hour of trading, a classic pump pattern on newly launched meme tokens that historically precedes sharp reversals. With 79.8% of supply held by dumpable individual whale wallets — including a single wallet controlling 70% — the risk of a rapid sell-off is extreme. The near-balanced buy/sell pressure (50.4% vs 49.6%) and only $29,073 in liquidity mean even modest whale selling would crater the price.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

With no verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and a deployer wallet that received the full 1 billion supply at genesis before routing it through intermediary wallets, the structural setup strongly favors a rug or abandonment outcome within days to weeks. The holder base of only 118 wallets — 97% of which joined within the last 24 hours — reflects speculative momentum buying rather than organic community formation. Without a fundamental use case or liquidity depth to sustain price, medium-term survival probability is very low.

Bullish Factors
  • +160% price surge in the first hour indicates strong initial speculative demand, with 1,078 unique buyers participating in the first 24h window — showing broad retail interest, not just a handful of wallets
  • +Buy transaction count (2,217) marginally exceeds sell count (2,130) over 24h, and buy volume ($256,810) slightly outpaces sell volume ($252,717), reflecting a thin but real net buying bias at current prices
  • +Holder count grew from 3 to 118 in under 1 hour, an accelerating trajectory that could attract further momentum buyers if the token gains social visibility
Bearish Factors
  • -A single individual whale wallet (0xc65236…) holds 70% of total supply with no indexed DEX swap history — meaning this position was received via transfer at genesis, not purchased on the open market, representing a near-total insider allocation that can be dumped at any time
  • -Dumpable supply stands at 79.8% across individual whale wallets, against only $29,073 in total liquidity — a catastrophic mismatch that means any coordinated or even partial whale exit would cause near-total price collapse
  • -The contract is unverified (security score 40/100), there is no project description, no social links, and no stated use case — the token has zero fundamental anchors to support price beyond speculative momentum
  • -Token genesis forensics show the full 1 billion supply was minted to deployer 0x757eba15…, then routed through 0x5c9520… which split it into multiple wallets including a 200M allocation to 0xa630c3… — a multi-hop pre-distribution pattern consistent with insider wallet seeding before public launch

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

杀破狼 call history

Full track record →
Jul 6bearish
24h-63.5%
7d-70.6%
30d-72.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x1d1e...4444
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Insider exit risk: The 70% whale (0xc65236…) holds 700 million tokens acquired via pre-launch transfer with no DEX swap history — a single sell decision by this wallet would reduce the token price by an estimated 70-90%+ given the $29,073 liquidity pool depth
•Unverified contract risk: Without source code verification, the contract may contain a honeypot function that prevents non-insider wallets from selling, a hidden tax that extracts value on every trade, or an owner mint function that could inflate supply — none of these can be ruled out
•Zero fundamental support: With no project description, no team, no social presence, and no use case, the token has no fundamental floor — if speculative momentum fades, there is no value anchor to prevent price from approaching zero

Trading Insight

neutral

Despite the dramatic 160% price surge in the first hour, the actual buy/sell pressure split is nearly perfectly balanced at 50.4% buys vs 49.6% sells, indicating that the price move was driven by thin liquidity amplifying small net inflows rather than overwhelming demand. Transaction counts are high for a 1-hour-old token (4,347 total in 24h), suggesting bot activity or coordinated trading alongside genuine retail speculation. The sentiment score of +2 reflects this near-parity — the market is not decisively accumulating.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The short-term trend is technically an uptrend given the 160% surge in the first hour of trading, but this is entirely a launch-phase phenomenon with no historical price context to validate it as a sustainable trend. Medium-term direction is classified as sideways because there is no multi-day price history to establish a directional bias — the token has existed for 1 hour. The uptrend label for short-term reflects the raw price data, not a bullish endorsement.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 160% price increase in 60 minutes on a token with $29,073 liquidity and no fundamental backing is a textbook overbought signal. The 15.34% move in the last 5 minutes alone suggests momentum is still running, but with buy/sell pressure nearly equal (50.4%/49.6%), the buying force sustaining this move is marginal. Overbought conditions in this context historically resolve through rapid mean reversion rather than consolidation.

Volume Analysis

Buy 50.4%Sell 49.6%

Volume Trend: Stable

All volume data reflects a single launch-hour burst — there is no multi-period volume trend to analyze. The $509,526 combined 24h volume is entirely concentrated in the token's first hour of existence. The near-equal buy/sell volume split ($256,810 vs $252,717) confirms the market is churning rather than directionally accumulating, with traders flipping positions rapidly in a thin liquidity environment.

Recent Price Action

Vertical launch spike: +160% in 60 minutes from token genesis, with a +15.34% move still occurring in the most recent 5-minute window, indicating the initial pump phase has not yet fully exhausted itself.

Vertical launch spikes of this magnitude on unverified meme tokens with insider-dominated supply are a well-documented precursor to sharp reversals. The pattern is consistent with a coordinated pump where insiders seed liquidity, attract retail buyers through price action, and exit into the buying pressure. The 5-minute continuation suggests the pump phase is still active but likely in its terminal stage.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders118
24h Change+115
Growth Rate+97%

Growing from 3 to 118 holders in 1 hour is rapid by any measure, but the starting base of 3 wallets (deployer and its immediate transfer recipients) confirms this growth is entirely launch-phase speculation. The 97% growth rate is mathematically inflated by the near-zero starting base and should not be interpreted as evidence of organic community adoption — it reflects retail traders entering a newly launched meme token, not sustained ecosystem growth.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders93%
Top 100 Holders100%
Retail Holders0.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

With 93% of supply in the top 10 holders and 79.8% classified as dumpable supply (individual whale wallets), this token has critical concentration risk. The 15.30% held by a protocol/contract (holder #2) is not dumpable whale risk, but the remaining 78.5%+ in individual hands — led by a single 70% wallet — creates a scenario where one actor's decision to sell would be existential for the token's price. The top 100 holders control 100% of supply, meaning retail holders outside the top 100 hold effectively nothing.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

Based on the notable recent trades provided, the largest individual transactions are all under $400 (largest sell: $366 by 0x067358…; largest buy: $356 by 0xa08c31…). The dominant 70% whale (0xc65236…) has made no indexed DEX swaps on this token — its 700 million tokens remain unmoved since the pre-launch transfer. This is the critical watch point: when this wallet begins selling, it will likely be the terminal event for the token's price.

  • •SELL $366 by 0x067358… — largest single sell transaction recorded, still a micro-trade relative to the 70% whale's position
  • •BUY $356 by 0xa08c31… — largest single buy, indicating no large-scale accumulation by external parties; all significant activity is retail-scale

The absence of any large whale exits so far (all notable trades under $400) means the 70% insider position is still fully intact. This is not a bullish signal — it means the maximum dump risk has not yet materialized. The holding behavior of the dominant whale is the single most important variable for this token's near-term price trajectory.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money cohort data is unavailable for this token. No profitable-trader data has been indexed for this 1-hour-old contract.

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token. Given the token's age of 1 hour and the pre-launch insider allocation pattern identified in the genesis forensics, the highest profit-taking risk comes from the identified insider wallets (particularly the 70% holder) rather than any externally verified smart-money cohort.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$29,073.34
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $29,073 in total liquidity against a market cap of $95,732, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 30% — which sounds reasonable in isolation but is dangerously misleading given that 79.8% of supply ($76,394 at current prices) is held by dumpable individual wallets. If the 70% whale attempted to sell even 10% of its position (~$6,700 worth), it would represent 23% of total liquidity and cause severe slippage. Any meaningful insider exit would be catastrophic for price discovery.

Overall Risk:
Very High
94/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 160% price move in 60 minutes on a token with $29,073 liquidity demonstrates extreme volatility. The thin order book means price can move violently in either direction with minimal capital. There is no price history to establish a volatility baseline, but the launch-phase behavior is consistent with tokens that experience 80-99% drawdowns within 24-72 hours of peak.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $29,073 against $95,732 market cap and $509,526 in 24h trading volume creates severe liquidity risk. The liquidity pool would be overwhelmed by any meaningful insider exit. Traders attempting to sell positions of even a few thousand dollars would face significant slippage.

Concentration
High

Dumpable supply of 79.8% — dominated by a single wallet holding 70% — represents critical concentration risk. This is not mitigated by the 15.30% protocol/contract holding (holder #2), which is non-dumpable. The effective single-actor control over 70% of supply with no lock-up or vesting is the highest concentration risk profile possible for a tradeable token.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (source code not publicly available), earning a security score of 40/100. Without source code verification, the presence of owner-controlled functions — including potential honeypot mechanisms, transfer restrictions, or hidden minting — cannot be excluded. This is a binary risk: the contract may be benign or may contain mechanisms that prevent selling entirely.

Regulatory
Medium

As a BNB Chain meme token with no disclosed team or jurisdiction, regulatory risk is diffuse but present. Tokens with characteristics consistent with pump-and-dump schemes (insider pre-distribution, no utility, anonymous deployers) face increasing regulatory scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions. The Chinese-language branding may also attract attention in markets with strict crypto regulations.

Key Risks

  • •Insider exit risk: The 70% whale (0xc65236…) holds 700 million tokens acquired via pre-launch transfer with no DEX swap history — a single sell decision by this wallet would reduce the token price by an estimated 70-90%+ given the $29,073 liquidity pool depth
  • •Unverified contract risk: Without source code verification, the contract may contain a honeypot function that prevents non-insider wallets from selling, a hidden tax that extracts value on every trade, or an owner mint function that could inflate supply — none of these can be ruled out
  • •Zero fundamental support: With no project description, no team, no social presence, and no use case, the token has no fundamental floor — if speculative momentum fades, there is no value anchor to prevent price from approaching zero

Mitigating Factors

  • •The deployer wallet (0x757eba15…) is 462 days old with no prior contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, suggesting it is not a serial rug-pull launcher operating a known pattern — though this is a weak mitigant
  • •All public holders acquired tokens via swap (not airdrop), meaning the retail holder base made active purchasing decisions and the token is not a pure airdrop-and-dump scheme

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for experienced traders who fully understand the mechanics of launch-phase meme token speculation, can afford to lose 100% of any position, and are actively monitoring for insider exit signals. It is entirely unsuitable for long-term investors, risk-averse participants, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio. The risk profile is consistent with a lottery ticket, not an investment.

The investment thesis for 杀破狼 is almost entirely speculative: the token has no fundamentals, no community, and no verified contract, and is dominated by a single insider wallet holding 70% of supply. The only viable bull case is a short-duration momentum trade that exits before the dominant insider does — a timing game with asymmetric downside.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The token gains viral traction in Chinese-language crypto communities (Weibo, WeChat, Telegram groups) within the next few hours, attracting a wave of new buyers that temporarily pushes price higher before the 70% whale exits. A trader who entered early and exits into this secondary wave could realize gains, but the window would be measured in hours, not days.

  • +Viral social media spread in Chinese crypto communities driving a second wave of retail buying
  • +The 70% whale choosing to hold for an extended period to allow price appreciation before exiting, giving momentum traders a larger window
Base Case

The token experiences a gradual price decline over 24-72 hours as initial momentum fades, volume drops sharply, and the holder count stabilizes or begins declining. The 70% whale eventually exits in tranches, each tranche causing a step-down in price. The token reaches near-zero liquidity within 1-2 weeks as it becomes one of thousands of abandoned Four.meme launches.

  • •The 70% insider wallet follows a typical gradual exit pattern rather than a single catastrophic dump, extending the decline over days rather than hours
  • •No external catalyst (exchange listing, viral social media) emerges to sustain speculative interest beyond the initial launch window
Bear Case
High

The 70% insider wallet begins selling into the current buy pressure within the next few hours, rapidly exhausting the $29,073 liquidity pool and causing a 90%+ price collapse. Combined with the unverified contract potentially containing sell restrictions for non-insider wallets, retail holders could find themselves unable to exit at any price.

  • -Insider wallet (0xc65236…) executing a planned exit into the launch-phase retail buying pressure — the standard pump-and-dump execution pattern
  • -Retail momentum fading as the initial 160% surge attracts profit-takers, causing buy pressure to drop below 50% and triggering a cascade of stop-loss and panic sells into thin liquidity

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 6, 2026, 04:18 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp; token age approximately 1 hour at time of analysis
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000095120714862443
Market Cap$95.7K
24h Volume$509.5K
Holders118
Liquidity$29.1K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain / BSC)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis tier classification)
Trading volume metrics (24h and 4h windows)
Smart contract security assessment (score: 40/100)
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis (DEX swap history lookup)
Notable recent trade data (largest on-chain swaps)

Limitations

  • •No OHLC price history exists for this token (1 hour old), making technical analysis of support/resistance levels, trend confirmation, and volatility baselines impossible — all technical observations are based solely on the launch-hour price action
  • •Smart-money cohort data is unavailable for this token, preventing any analysis of profitable trader positioning or early-buyer profit-taking risk beyond what can be inferred from genesis forensics
  • •The unverified smart contract means the full mechanics of the token (tax rates, transfer restrictions, owner functions) are unknown and cannot be incorporated into the risk assessment with certainty
  • •Holder #2 (15.30% — classified as protocol/contract) is identified as non-dumpable, but without contract verification, the nature of this contract address cannot be independently confirmed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. This token exhibits multiple characteristics associated with high-risk speculative launches including unverified contracts, extreme supply concentration, and no disclosed fundamentals. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past price performance, including launch-phase surges, is not indicative of future results.

Track 杀破狼