LUNA

LUNA Price Today & AI Analysis

LUNABNB ChainAnalysis as of Sep 20, 2026

Price

$0.045654

+8.64% 24h

Contract

Live
0x156ab3346823b651294766e23e6cf87254d68962

Holders

23.6K

Market cap

$3.28M

Liquidity

$45.48K

More tokens on BNB Chain

LUNA: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-20 17:45 UTC

Holder addresses

23,550

Top 10 supply share

14.04%

Reported liquidity

$45,791.00
How concentrated is LUNA ownership?
As of 2026-09-20 17:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 14.04% of supply. It reports 23,550 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling LUNA?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-20 17:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $76,066.00 in buys and $73,892.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is LUNA liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +10.38%, from $119,703.86 (2026-09-19 18:00 UTC) to $132,126.33 (2026-09-20 17:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-20 17:45 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-19 18:00 UTC$119,703.86
2026-09-19 19:00 UTC$120,261.73
2026-09-19 20:00 UTC$119,723.27
2026-09-19 21:00 UTC$120,226.05
2026-09-19 22:00 UTC$119,776.92
2026-09-19 23:00 UTC$120,739.40
2026-09-20 00:00 UTC$120,955.87
2026-09-20 01:00 UTC$120,739.89
2026-09-20 02:00 UTC$118,991.56
2026-09-20 03:00 UTC$118,731.34
2026-09-20 04:00 UTC$118,572.91
2026-09-20 05:00 UTC$118,822.53
2026-09-20 06:00 UTC$118,596.25
2026-09-20 07:00 UTC$118,493.73
2026-09-20 08:00 UTC$118,546.02
2026-09-20 09:00 UTC$118,485.39
2026-09-20 10:00 UTC$117,512.53
2026-09-20 11:00 UTC$117,596.23
2026-09-20 12:00 UTC$117,610.68
2026-09-20 13:00 UTC$117,523.62
2026-09-20 14:00 UTC$117,984.87
2026-09-20 15:00 UTC$118,954.63
2026-09-20 16:00 UTC$132,328.34
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC$132,126.33

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 20, 2026, 05:45 PM UTC

Market Cap

$3.33M

24h Volume

$149.96K

Liquidity

$45.79K

FDV

Holders

23,550

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

LUNA is a BNB Chain token that has been live for approximately 58.3 months (deployed November 2021), currently trading at $0.0000573161 with a $3.33M market cap and a thin $45,791 liquidity pool on PancakeSwap. The token has recovered roughly 15% from a recent multi-day low but remains down -10.4% over the trailing 90 days and near the bottom of its 91-day trading range. Notably, the project's own description refers to 'Terra Classic (LUNC)' with a supply of ~6.5 trillion tokens, which does not match this contract's actual 58.3 billion supply — a discrepancy that undermines confidence in the stated fundamentals and warrants caution.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 20, 2026, 05:45 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Long-lived contract (~58 months) relative to typical new DEX listings
  • Broad holder base of 23,550 addresses with a comparatively low 14.0% top-10 concentration
  • Mismatch between the token's provided project description (Terra Classic/LUNC figures) and its actual on-chain supply/market data

LUNA AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

After bottoming near $0.00004971-$0.00004981 roughly 4-5 sessions ago, LUNA has rallied to $0.00005731, a ~15% recovery that lines up with the +9.2% 24h and +12.7% 4h moves in the daily close data (not noise here, since it matches the OHLC trend). Price is now testing the immediate resistance at $0.00005980, and a confirmed close above that level would validate the reversal.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the recent bounce, the 30-day (-3.5%) and 90-day (-10.4%) trends are both negative, and price still sits at only 4% of the 91-day range ($0.00004333-$0.0003616). Unless the short-term reversal extends decisively through resistance and reclaims prior levels near $0.00006500-$0.00008000, the dominant medium-term structure remains a downtrend.

Bullish Factors

  • Price has risen ~15% off the recent low of $0.00004971-$0.00004981 over the last four daily closes
  • 24h buy volume ($76,066) slightly exceeds sell volume ($73,892), a 50.7%/49.3% split favoring buyers
  • Price is approaching the immediate resistance level ($0.00005980) computed from real OHLC swing highs, a potential breakout trigger

Bearish Factors

  • 90-day trend is down -10.4% and price remains at just 4% of the 91-day trading range, indicating the broader trend is still bearish
  • Total liquidity of $45,791 is very thin relative to the $3.33M market cap, meaning any large sell order could sharply reverse the current bounce
  • Sell transaction count (1,488) exceeds buy transaction count (1,269) over 24h, suggesting more individual sellers even though buy-side volume is slightly higher

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

LUNA call history

Full track record →

Sep 20bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x156a...8962
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

  • Thin liquidity ($45,791) relative to market cap ($3.33M) can produce outsized price impact and slippage, particularly during the type of rapid moves seen in the last 4-24 hours
  • The token's description references 'Terra Classic (LUNC)' with a supply of ~6.5 trillion tokens, which conflicts with this contract's actual 58.3 billion supply — a mismatch suggesting mislabeled or copycat branding that investors should independently verify
  • The 90-day trend remains down (-10.4%) with price only 4% above the 91-day range low, so the recent 4-day bounce may be a short-lived relief rally rather than a confirmed reversal
  • No smart-contract security, holder-growth, or whale-transaction data is available from this chain's provider, limiting the ability to detect rug-pull or insider-accumulation risk

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy and sell flows are nearly balanced over the last 24 hours, with a slight tilt toward buyers by volume but more individual sell transactions. Activity has clearly accelerated in the trailing 4 hours, coinciding with the sharp intraday price move.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The last four daily closes show a clear bounce from $0.00004981/$0.00004971 up to $0.00005731 (+15%), forming a short-term uptrend. However, the 30-day (-3.5%) and especially 90-day (-10.4%) trends remain negative, and price sits at only 4% of the 91-day range, so the medium-term structure is still a downtrend that the recent bounce has yet to reverse.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum has flipped sharply positive over the last 24-96 hours after the price spent weeks declining toward the range low, but the move has not yet been tested against the immediate resistance at $0.00005980. This is best read as an early-stage recovery rather than a confirmed overbought or oversold extreme.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.7%

Sell

49.3%

Volume Trend

Increasing

24h buy/sell volumes ($76,066 / $73,892) are roughly balanced, but the concentration of ~87-89% of the day's transactions in the trailing 4 hours points to a recent spike in activity that coincides with the price rally, rather than steady day-long volume.

Recent Price Action

Price fell from roughly $0.00008269 fourteen sessions ago to a low near $0.00004971-$0.00004981, then rallied over the last four closes to $0.00005731, a move that accelerated sharply in the last 4-24 hours.

This pattern is consistent with a potential bottoming/reversal off oversold range lows, but it requires a confirmed break and hold above the $0.00005980 immediate resistance to validate a genuine trend change; failure there would favor a retest of support.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00005355

Major support

$0.00004333

Immediate resistance

$0.00005980

Major resistance

$0.0003616

These levels are derived from real OHLC swing highs/lows over the 91-day lookback. Price ($0.00005731) is currently trading between immediate support and immediate resistance, close enough to the resistance level that a decisive break in either direction is likely to define the next multi-day move; the major resistance at $0.0003616 remains far above current price and reflects an earlier, much higher price regime.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

65/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 7.5% (stdev) and swings of +12.68% (4h) / +9.23% (24h), combined with price sitting at only 4% of the 91-day range ($0.00004333-$0.0003616), indicate elevated price volatility.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total DEX liquidity of $45,791 against a $3.33M market cap (~1.4% liquidity/market-cap ratio) is thin and can produce significant slippage on trades above a few hundred dollars.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Top 10 holders control 14.0% of supply across 23,550 total holders, a comparatively low aggregate concentration; per-wallet classification is unavailable, so any specific whale/dumpable risk cannot be fully confirmed.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryLow

    No specific regulatory flags are identified in the available data; general crypto-market regulatory uncertainty applies as it does to most tokens.

Key Risks

  • Thin liquidity ($45,791) relative to market cap ($3.33M) can produce outsized price impact and slippage, particularly during the type of rapid moves seen in the last 4-24 hours
  • The token's description references 'Terra Classic (LUNC)' with a supply of ~6.5 trillion tokens, which conflicts with this contract's actual 58.3 billion supply — a mismatch suggesting mislabeled or copycat branding that investors should independently verify
  • The 90-day trend remains down (-10.4%) with price only 4% above the 91-day range low, so the recent 4-day bounce may be a short-lived relief rally rather than a confirmed reversal
  • No smart-contract security, holder-growth, or whale-transaction data is available from this chain's provider, limiting the ability to detect rug-pull or insider-accumulation risk

Mitigating Factors

  • Contract has been live for roughly 58 months without evidence of an abrupt liquidity-removal event
  • Top-10 holder concentration of 14.0% across 23,550 holders is comparatively broad rather than whale-dominated
  • 24h buy/sell transaction volumes are roughly balanced (50.7%/49.3%), showing no acute one-sided sell pressure

Investor Suitability

Given thin liquidity, high volatility, and an unresolved discrepancy between the project's stated description and its actual on-chain data, this token may only be suitable for experienced, risk-tolerant traders using small position sizes and strict risk management — it is not suitable for investors seeking capital preservation or those relying on the project's stated fundamentals without independent verification.

LUNA is a long-lived (~58-month) BNB Chain token currently rebounding off a multi-week low, but the setup is driven more by short-term momentum and thin liquidity than by verifiable fundamentals, given the mismatch between the token's description and its actual on-chain supply data. It should be approached as a high-risk, technically-driven trade rather than a fundamentals-backed investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

A confirmed breakout above the immediate resistance of $0.00005980 extends the current rally, pulling price back toward the $0.00006500-$0.00008000 zone last seen roughly 10-14 daily closes ago.

  • Continuation of the bounce off the $0.00004971-$0.00004981 range low seen in recent daily closes
  • 24h buy volume ($76,066) currently modestly exceeds sell volume ($73,892)

Base Case

Price consolidates in a choppy range between roughly $0.00005355 and $0.00005980 while the market digests the recent volatility spike, with the thin liquidity pool continuing to produce sharp intraday swings in either direction.

  • No major liquidity injection or removal occurs on the PancakeSwap pool
  • Broader crypto market conditions remain relatively stable over the coming days

Bear Case

Medium probability

The bounce fails at the $0.00005980 resistance and the dominant 90-day downtrend resumes, pushing price back toward immediate support at $0.00005355 and potentially the major support at $0.00004333.

  • The 90-day trend remains firmly negative (-10.4%), with price still only 4% above the range low
  • Thin $45,791 liquidity means a wave of selling could disproportionately impact price versus a token with deeper liquidity

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 20, 2026, 05:45 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-20 17:45 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0000573161783144

Market Cap

$3.33M

24h Volume

$150.0K

Holders

23,550

Liquidity

$45,791.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, and smart-money cohort data were unavailable for this chain, limiting on-chain forensic analysis
  • Contract-level security data (verification, honeypot/mint checks) was unavailable, so no security score could be assigned
  • The project description contains figures (Terra Classic/LUNC supply and price) that do not match this contract's actual on-chain data, reducing confidence in stated fundamentals

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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