RACA

Radio Caca V2 Price Today & AI Analysis

RACA
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 18, 2026

$0.041479

-0.34%24h
LiveContract:0x12bb890508c125661e03b09ec06e404bc9289040Chain:BNB ChainHolders:30.1KMarket cap:$5.84MLiquidity:$515.54K

More tokens on BNB Chain

CGPT

CGPT

ChainGPT

$0.02070.8%
MC $20.70M
FOREST

FOREST

Forest

$0.03333.9%
MC $16.66M
Asian games

Asian games

Asian games

$0.010323.6%
MC $10.28M
OPEN

OPEN

OPEN

$0.15741.9%
MC $10.11M
FHE

FHE

MindNetwork FHE Token

$0.02243.1%
MC $17.00M
quq

quq

quq

$0.0017170.0%
MC $1.72M

Advanced charting powered by TradingView

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about RACA

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 18, 2026, 07:00 AM UTC
Market Cap

$7.22M

24h Volume

$377.51K

Liquidity

$1.12M

FDV

—

Holders

436.8K

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

Radio Caca V2 (RACA) is a 59-month-old BNB Chain utility token powering the United States of Mars (USM) Metaverse, Metamon World blockchain game, and NFT marketplaces, with over $1 billion in historical NFT trading volume claimed. The token is currently experiencing a sharp 24-hour price surge of ~40% to $0.0000174, supported by a 65.2% buy-pressure ratio and $377K in combined 24-hour volume against a $7.2M market cap. However, the holder base has been in a slow but consistent decline over 31 days, and two of the three largest individual whale wallets — collectively holding over 22% of supply — were created on 2025-05-31 and received their positions via transfer rather than market purchases, representing a significant zero-cost-basis overhang. The project operates in the NFT/metaverse sector, which has faced prolonged demand compression since 2022, making sustained recovery contingent on demonstrable platform growth.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 18, 2026, 07:00 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Established 59-month track record with over 436,000 holders and a verified smart contract, distinguishing it from newer speculative tokens
Dual-product ecosystem spanning a metaverse (USM), a blockchain game (Metamon World), and NFT marketplaces — providing multiple potential demand vectors for the token
Significant zero-cost-basis whale concentration: two wallets first active 2025-05-31 hold ~22% of supply via transfer, creating an unusual insider-allocation risk profile for a mature token

Radio Caca V2 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

RACA has surged approximately 40% in the past 24 hours with buy pressure at 65.2% and buy volume nearly double sell volume ($246K vs $131K). The 1-hour and 4-hour windows confirm the momentum is sustained rather than a single-candle spike, with 389 buy transactions in the last hour alone. However, the sharp vertical move raises mean-reversion risk in the near term, and the absence of OHLC-based levels makes precise targets impossible.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Despite the current price spike, the 31-day holder trajectory is declining (437,143 → 436,883, net -260), signalling that the broader community is not growing into this rally. Two of the three largest individual whale wallets (holding 16.73% and 5.40% of supply) were first active on 2025-05-31 and received their positions via transfer rather than market buys, creating a latent overhang of ~22% dumpable supply from wallets with zero cost basis. The NFT/metaverse sector has faced sustained headwinds since 2022, and without evidence of renewed platform activity or user growth, the medium-term outlook leans bearish.

Bullish Factors
  • +24-hour buy pressure of 65.2% with $246K buy volume vs $131K sell volume indicates genuine near-term demand imbalance favouring buyers
  • +1,582 buy transactions vs 1,022 sell transactions over 24 hours, with 414 unique buyers vs 311 unique sellers, shows broad-based participation rather than a single actor pumping the price
  • +Token is 59 months old with a verified contract (security score 75/100), over 436,000 holders, and documented social presence across Twitter, Telegram, Discord, and a website — indicating an established project rather than a fresh launch
Bearish Factors
  • -The 31-day holder timeseries shows a net decline of 260 holders (437,143 → 436,883), confirming that the community base is eroding even as price spikes — a divergence that historically precedes retracements
  • -The two largest individual whale wallets (16.73% and 5.40% of supply, combined ~22%) were first active on 2025-05-31 and received positions via transfer with no DEX swap history, meaning they hold a zero-cost-basis stake of roughly 22% of total supply that could be sold at any price
  • -Total dumpable supply stands at 40.9% across five individual whale wallets, representing a structural overhang that can suppress price recovery if any of these wallets begin distributing

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

RACA call history

Full track record →
Jul 18bullish
24h-18.5%
7d-20.8%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x12bb...9040
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Zero-cost-basis whale overhang: two wallets first active 2025-05-31 hold ~22% of total supply via transfer and can sell at any price without incurring a loss — a single decision by either wallet to exit could overwhelm the $1.12M liquidity pool
•Declining holder trajectory during a price spike: the 31-day net loss of 260 holders while price surges 40% is a distribution signal, suggesting existing holders are selling into strength rather than new holders accumulating
•Sector headwinds: the NFT/metaverse sector has experienced sustained demand compression since 2022, and without verifiable on-chain evidence of renewed platform activity (active users, transaction volume on the marketplace), the current price spike may lack fundamental support

Trading Insight

bullish

Short-term market sentiment is clearly bullish based on a 65.2% buy-pressure ratio and a 1.55:1 buy-to-sell transaction ratio over 24 hours. The momentum has been building across multiple timeframes — 4-hour (+27.4%) and 1-hour (+25.0%) — suggesting the move is sustained rather than a single-block anomaly. However, the sentiment score is moderated to 45 rather than extreme bullish because the overall volume ($377K/24h) is modest relative to the $7.2M market cap, and the largest recent individual trade was only $4,903.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

The short-term trend is unambiguously bullish based on the 24-hour (+40.3%), 4-hour (+27.4%), and 1-hour (+25.0%) price performance — all windows confirm sustained upward momentum rather than a single-candle event. However, no OHLC history is available to assess the medium-term trend from swing highs and lows, and the declining holder trajectory over 31 days combined with the zero-cost-basis whale overhang suggests the medium-term structural trend remains bearish. The current spike should be interpreted as a short-term momentum event within a longer-term declining context.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 40% gain in 24 hours with 25% of that occurring in the final hour is a classic overbought momentum signature. With no OHLC-based resistance levels to reference, the price has no technical anchor, and the buy-pressure ratio of 65.2% — while bullish — is not extreme enough to suggest the move will continue without consolidation. Mean-reversion risk is elevated.

Volume Analysis

Buy 65.2%Sell 34.8%

Volume Trend: Increasing

The 24-hour volume of $377K is significant relative to the $7.2M market cap (approximately 5.2% daily turnover), and the intraday acceleration — with 389 buy transactions in the last hour alone — confirms volume is rising sharply. The buy-to-sell volume ratio of 1.87:1 ($246K vs $131K) is a strong near-term bullish signal, but the absolute dollar size of individual trades (largest buy was $4,903) suggests retail rather than institutional participation.

Recent Price Action

Vertical price acceleration across multiple timeframes: +40.3% over 24 hours, +27.4% over 4 hours, +25.0% over 1 hour, with the move compressing into increasingly short windows — a classic momentum blow-off pattern.

This type of multi-timeframe acceleration typically indicates a momentum-driven event (social catalyst, listing announcement, or coordinated buying) rather than fundamental re-rating. Such patterns frequently resolve with a sharp retracement once the catalyst fades, particularly when no OHLC-based support exists to catch the pullback.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders436,789
24h Change-107
Growth Rate-0.024%

The 31-day timeseries (437,143 → 436,883, net -260) confirms a slow but consistent holder decline that predates and persists through the current price spike. A token losing holders while its price surges 40% in a day is exhibiting a classic distribution pattern — existing holders are selling into strength rather than new holders accumulating, which is a medium-term bearish signal.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders54%
Top 100 Holders77%
Retail Holders23.0%
Concentration Risk:
High

While the top-10 holders control 54% of supply, the concentration risk classification must account for the holder composition: positions 2 and 3 are protocol/contracts (not dumpable), positions 5–7 are exchange wallets (Gate.io and MEXC, also not freely dumpable). The genuine dumpable supply — five individual whale wallets — totals 40.9% of supply. This is a high concentration risk because these wallets hold transferred (zero-cost-basis) positions and could sell at any price without incurring a loss.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest recent on-chain swap was a $4,903 buy by wallet 0xa1ebbb, followed by multiple buys totalling approximately $5,724 by wallet 0x055a3b across four separate transactions. The only notable sell was $1,994 by 0x463553. The three largest individual whale wallets (16.73%, 5.40%, 2.62%) show no indexed DEX swap activity on this token — their positions were acquired via transfer, not market purchases.

  • •BUY $4,903 by 0xa1ebbb — largest single swap in the recent trade history, consistent with retail momentum buying
  • •BUY $4,140 + $1,163 + $296 + $125 by 0x055a3b — same wallet making four separate buys totalling ~$5,724, suggesting a deliberate accumulation strategy by a single actor

The largest individual whale wallets are not actively trading — their transferred positions remain static, creating a latent overhang rather than active distribution. Current buying activity is driven by smaller retail wallets, with the largest single trade at $4,903. The absence of large whale sells in recent trade data is mildly positive for the immediate term, but the zero-cost-basis nature of the top whale positions means any future sell decision carries no loss threshold.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Medium

Smart-money cohort data is unavailable for RACA; no profitable-trader dataset was provided.

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token. Given the 40% single-day price spike and the presence of zero-cost-basis whale wallets holding 40.9% of dumpable supply, profit-taking risk is assessed as medium — not from identifiable smart-money traders, but from the structural reality that the largest holders have no cost basis and can realise gains at any price.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$1,116,750.07
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

Total liquidity of $1.12M against a $7.2M market cap represents a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of approximately 15.5%, which is shallow for a token of this age and holder count. With 40.9% dumpable supply potentially worth ~$2.95M at current prices, any significant whale exit would face severe slippage against a $1.12M pool. Even the $246K in 24-hour buy volume represents 22% of total liquidity, indicating that sustained selling pressure could move the price dramatically.

Overall Risk:
High
68/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 40% single-day price move on a $7.2M market cap token with $377K in daily volume is extreme volatility. The micro-cap size means even modest dollar flows produce large percentage swings in both directions, and the current spike has no OHLC-based support to cushion a reversal.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $1.12M against 40.9% dumpable supply (worth ~$2.95M at current prices) means a coordinated whale exit would face severe slippage and could drain the pool. The 24-hour buy volume of $246K already represents 22% of total pool liquidity.

Concentration
High

Five individual whale wallets hold 40.9% of dumpable supply, all acquired via transfer (zero cost basis). The two largest (16.73% + 5.40%) were created on 2025-05-31, making their intent and holding period unknown. Protocol/exchange wallets in the top 10 are excluded from this risk assessment as they are not freely dumpable.

Smart Contract
Medium

The contract is verified and has operated for 59 months without a known exploit, earning a 75/100 security score. Medium rather than low risk is assigned because the 2025-05-31 large transfer event to fresh wallets raises questions about contract-level admin functions that may not be visible in the security score alone.

Regulatory
Medium

As an NFT marketplace and metaverse utility token operating on BNB Chain, RACA faces the same regulatory uncertainty affecting all utility tokens in jurisdictions that may classify them as securities. The DAO governance structure adds complexity but does not eliminate regulatory exposure.

Key Risks

  • •Zero-cost-basis whale overhang: two wallets first active 2025-05-31 hold ~22% of total supply via transfer and can sell at any price without incurring a loss — a single decision by either wallet to exit could overwhelm the $1.12M liquidity pool
  • •Declining holder trajectory during a price spike: the 31-day net loss of 260 holders while price surges 40% is a distribution signal, suggesting existing holders are selling into strength rather than new holders accumulating
  • •Sector headwinds: the NFT/metaverse sector has experienced sustained demand compression since 2022, and without verifiable on-chain evidence of renewed platform activity (active users, transaction volume on the marketplace), the current price spike may lack fundamental support

Mitigating Factors

  • •59-month operating history with a verified contract and 436,000+ holders provides a baseline of legitimacy and reduces the probability of an outright rug pull compared to newer tokens
  • •100% circulating supply means there are no future token unlocks or vesting cliffs that could create additional selling pressure from team or investor allocations

Investor Suitability

RACA may be suitable only for high-risk-tolerance traders with experience in micro-cap NFT/metaverse tokens who can actively monitor positions and accept the possibility of rapid 30–50%+ drawdowns. It is not suitable for conservative investors, those seeking stable value storage, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. This is not financial advice.

RACA is a mature micro-cap NFT/metaverse token experiencing a sharp short-term momentum spike, but the medium-term thesis is challenged by declining holder growth, a significant zero-cost-basis whale overhang from a recent unexplained transfer event, and persistent sector headwinds. The investment case hinges on whether the current price catalyst translates into sustained platform activity and community growth.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

A verifiable catalyst — such as a major USM Metaverse update, a new game launch, or a sector-wide NFT/metaverse revival — drives sustained new user acquisition, reversing the holder decline and generating organic on-chain demand. The 65.2% buy pressure and broad retail participation (414 unique buyers in 24h) could represent the early stage of a genuine re-rating if the catalyst is fundamental rather than speculative.

  • +Documented increase in USM Metaverse or Metamon World active users and on-chain transaction volume providing fundamental demand for RACA
  • +Broader NFT/metaverse sector rotation in a macro crypto bull market lifting all sector tokens and attracting new capital to RACA's established brand
Base Case

The current spike partially retraces as momentum fades, with RACA settling at a price modestly above pre-spike levels. The token continues its slow holder decline, trading in a low-volume range with occasional momentum spikes driven by social catalysts. The project remains operational but does not achieve meaningful new user growth in the near term.

  • •The 2025-05-31 whale wallets do not immediately dump their positions, allowing the price to stabilise rather than collapse
  • •No major new product launch or sector catalyst emerges in the 30–90 day window to fundamentally change the demand trajectory
Bear Case
Medium

The current 40% spike is a momentum event without fundamental backing. The two 2025-05-31 whale wallets (22% of supply, zero cost basis) begin distributing into the elevated price, overwhelming the $1.12M liquidity pool and triggering a rapid retracement. The declining holder base accelerates as retail participants who bought the spike exit at a loss.

  • -Zero-cost-basis whale wallets (16.73% + 5.40% of supply, first active 2025-05-31) selling into the price spike with no loss threshold
  • -Continued holder attrition and absence of new platform activity confirming the NFT/metaverse sector remains in a structural downturn

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 18, 2026, 07:00 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data at time of analysis
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000017369383988714
Market Cap$7.22M
24h Volume$377.5K
Holders436,789
Liquidity$1.12M

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Trading volume metrics (24h, 4h, 1h windows)
Smart contract analysis and security scoring
Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates)
31-day holder timeseries
Notable recent on-chain swap data

Limitations

  • •No OHLC price history is available for this token, making it impossible to compute technical support/resistance levels or assess medium-term price trend from swing data
  • •Smart-money cohort data (top profitable traders) is unavailable, preventing assessment of whether sophisticated investors are accumulating or distributing
  • •The origin and purpose of the 2025-05-31 large transfer to two fresh wallets (22% of supply) is unknown — this could represent a legitimate team restructuring, OTC deal, or a more concerning insider allocation, and the analysis cannot distinguish between these scenarios

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Track RACA