RACA

Radio Caca V2 Price Today & AI Analysis

RACABNB ChainAnalysis as of Jul 18, 2026

Price

$0.041285

-0.59% 24h

Contract

Live
0x12bb890508c125661e03b09ec06e404bc9289040

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

28.8K

Market cap

$5.07M

Liquidity

$935.82K

At a $50M market cap, $RACA would be $0.000127 (9.86x from today’s price)

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Radio Caca V2: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-18 07:00 UTC

Holder addresses

436,789

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$1,116,750.07
How concentrated is Radio Caca V2 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 436,789 addresses (2026-07-18 07:00 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Radio Caca V2?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Radio Caca V2 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-18 07:00 UTC, reported liquidity was $1,116,750.07. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-18 07:00 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 18, 2026, 07:00 AM UTC

Market Cap

$7.22M

24h Volume

$377.51K

Liquidity

$1.12M

FDV

—

Holders

436.8K

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

Radio Caca V2 (RACA) is a 59-month-old BNB Chain utility token powering the United States of Mars (USM) Metaverse, Metamon World blockchain game, and NFT marketplaces, with over $1 billion in historical NFT trading volume claimed. The token is currently experiencing a sharp 24-hour price surge of ~40% to $0.0000174, supported by a 65.2% buy-pressure ratio and $377K in combined 24-hour volume against a $7.2M market cap. However, the holder base has been in a slow but consistent decline over 31 days, and two of the three largest individual whale wallets — collectively holding over 22% of supply — were created on 2025-05-31 and received their positions via transfer rather than market purchases, representing a significant zero-cost-basis overhang. The project operates in the NFT/metaverse sector, which has faced prolonged demand compression since 2022, making sustained recovery contingent on demonstrable platform growth.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 18, 2026, 07:00 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Established 59-month track record with over 436,000 holders and a verified smart contract, distinguishing it from newer speculative tokens
  • Dual-product ecosystem spanning a metaverse (USM), a blockchain game (Metamon World), and NFT marketplaces — providing multiple potential demand vectors for the token
  • Significant zero-cost-basis whale concentration: two wallets first active 2025-05-31 hold ~22% of supply via transfer, creating an unusual insider-allocation risk profile for a mature token

Radio Caca V2 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

RACA has surged approximately 40% in the past 24 hours with buy pressure at 65.2% and buy volume nearly double sell volume ($246K vs $131K). The 1-hour and 4-hour windows confirm the momentum is sustained rather than a single-candle spike, with 389 buy transactions in the last hour alone. However, the sharp vertical move raises mean-reversion risk in the near term, and the absence of OHLC-based levels makes precise targets impossible.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the current price spike, the 31-day holder trajectory is declining (437,143 → 436,883, net -260), signalling that the broader community is not growing into this rally. Two of the three largest individual whale wallets (holding 16.73% and 5.40% of supply) were first active on 2025-05-31 and received their positions via transfer rather than market buys, creating a latent overhang of ~22% dumpable supply from wallets with zero cost basis. The NFT/metaverse sector has faced sustained headwinds since 2022, and without evidence of renewed platform activity or user growth, the medium-term outlook leans bearish.

Bullish Factors

  • 24-hour buy pressure of 65.2% with $246K buy volume vs $131K sell volume indicates genuine near-term demand imbalance favouring buyers
  • 1,582 buy transactions vs 1,022 sell transactions over 24 hours, with 414 unique buyers vs 311 unique sellers, shows broad-based participation rather than a single actor pumping the price
  • Token is 59 months old with a verified contract (security score 75/100), over 436,000 holders, and documented social presence across Twitter, Telegram, Discord, and a website — indicating an established project rather than a fresh launch

Bearish Factors

  • The 31-day holder timeseries shows a net decline of 260 holders (437,143 → 436,883), confirming that the community base is eroding even as price spikes — a divergence that historically precedes retracements
  • The two largest individual whale wallets (16.73% and 5.40% of supply, combined ~22%) were first active on 2025-05-31 and received positions via transfer with no DEX swap history, meaning they hold a zero-cost-basis stake of roughly 22% of total supply that could be sold at any price
  • Total dumpable supply stands at 40.9% across five individual whale wallets, representing a structural overhang that can suppress price recovery if any of these wallets begin distributing

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

RACA call history

Full track record →

Jul 18bullish
24h-18.5%
7d-20.8%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x12bb...9040
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Zero-cost-basis whale overhang: two wallets first active 2025-05-31 hold ~22% of total supply via transfer and can sell at any price without incurring a loss — a single decision by either wallet to exit could overwhelm the $1.12M liquidity pool
  • Declining holder trajectory during a price spike: the 31-day net loss of 260 holders while price surges 40% is a distribution signal, suggesting existing holders are selling into strength rather than new holders accumulating
  • Sector headwinds: the NFT/metaverse sector has experienced sustained demand compression since 2022, and without verifiable on-chain evidence of renewed platform activity (active users, transaction volume on the marketplace), the current price spike may lack fundamental support

Trading Insight

bullish

Short-term market sentiment is clearly bullish based on a 65.2% buy-pressure ratio and a 1.55:1 buy-to-sell transaction ratio over 24 hours. The momentum has been building across multiple timeframes — 4-hour (+27.4%) and 1-hour (+25.0%) — suggesting the move is sustained rather than a single-block anomaly. However, the sentiment score is moderated to 45 rather than extreme bullish because the overall volume ($377K/24h) is modest relative to the $7.2M market cap, and the largest recent individual trade was only $4,903.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The short-term trend is unambiguously bullish based on the 24-hour (+40.3%), 4-hour (+27.4%), and 1-hour (+25.0%) price performance — all windows confirm sustained upward momentum rather than a single-candle event. However, no OHLC history is available to assess the medium-term trend from swing highs and lows, and the declining holder trajectory over 31 days combined with the zero-cost-basis whale overhang suggests the medium-term structural trend remains bearish. The current spike should be interpreted as a short-term momentum event within a longer-term declining context.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 40% gain in 24 hours with 25% of that occurring in the final hour is a classic overbought momentum signature. With no OHLC-based resistance levels to reference, the price has no technical anchor, and the buy-pressure ratio of 65.2% — while bullish — is not extreme enough to suggest the move will continue without consolidation. Mean-reversion risk is elevated.

Volume Analysis

Buy

65.2%

Sell

34.8%

Volume Trend

Increasing

The 24-hour volume of $377K is significant relative to the $7.2M market cap (approximately 5.2% daily turnover), and the intraday acceleration — with 389 buy transactions in the last hour alone — confirms volume is rising sharply. The buy-to-sell volume ratio of 1.87:1 ($246K vs $131K) is a strong near-term bullish signal, but the absolute dollar size of individual trades (largest buy was $4,903) suggests retail rather than institutional participation.

Recent Price Action

Vertical price acceleration across multiple timeframes: +40.3% over 24 hours, +27.4% over 4 hours, +25.0% over 1 hour, with the move compressing into increasingly short windows — a classic momentum blow-off pattern.

This type of multi-timeframe acceleration typically indicates a momentum-driven event (social catalyst, listing announcement, or coordinated buying) rather than fundamental re-rating. Such patterns frequently resolve with a sharp retracement once the catalyst fades, particularly when no OHLC-based support exists to catch the pullback.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 40% single-day price move on a $7.2M market cap token with $377K in daily volume is extreme volatility. The micro-cap size means even modest dollar flows produce large percentage swings in both directions, and the current spike has no OHLC-based support to cushion a reversal.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $1.12M against 40.9% dumpable supply (worth ~$2.95M at current prices) means a coordinated whale exit would face severe slippage and could drain the pool. The 24-hour buy volume of $246K already represents 22% of total pool liquidity.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an NFT marketplace and metaverse utility token operating on BNB Chain, RACA faces the same regulatory uncertainty affecting all utility tokens in jurisdictions that may classify them as securities. The DAO governance structure adds complexity but does not eliminate regulatory exposure.

Key Risks

  • Zero-cost-basis whale overhang: two wallets first active 2025-05-31 hold ~22% of total supply via transfer and can sell at any price without incurring a loss — a single decision by either wallet to exit could overwhelm the $1.12M liquidity pool
  • Declining holder trajectory during a price spike: the 31-day net loss of 260 holders while price surges 40% is a distribution signal, suggesting existing holders are selling into strength rather than new holders accumulating
  • Sector headwinds: the NFT/metaverse sector has experienced sustained demand compression since 2022, and without verifiable on-chain evidence of renewed platform activity (active users, transaction volume on the marketplace), the current price spike may lack fundamental support

Mitigating Factors

  • 59-month operating history with a verified contract and 436,000+ holders provides a baseline of legitimacy and reduces the probability of an outright rug pull compared to newer tokens
  • 100% circulating supply means there are no future token unlocks or vesting cliffs that could create additional selling pressure from team or investor allocations

Investor Suitability

RACA may be suitable only for high-risk-tolerance traders with experience in micro-cap NFT/metaverse tokens who can actively monitor positions and accept the possibility of rapid 30–50%+ drawdowns. It is not suitable for conservative investors, those seeking stable value storage, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. This is not financial advice.

RACA is a mature micro-cap NFT/metaverse token experiencing a sharp short-term momentum spike, but the medium-term thesis is challenged by declining holder growth, a significant zero-cost-basis whale overhang from a recent unexplained transfer event, and persistent sector headwinds. The investment case hinges on whether the current price catalyst translates into sustained platform activity and community growth.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A verifiable catalyst — such as a major USM Metaverse update, a new game launch, or a sector-wide NFT/metaverse revival — drives sustained new user acquisition, reversing the holder decline and generating organic on-chain demand. The 65.2% buy pressure and broad retail participation (414 unique buyers in 24h) could represent the early stage of a genuine re-rating if the catalyst is fundamental rather than speculative.

  • Documented increase in USM Metaverse or Metamon World active users and on-chain transaction volume providing fundamental demand for RACA
  • Broader NFT/metaverse sector rotation in a macro crypto bull market lifting all sector tokens and attracting new capital to RACA's established brand

Base Case

The current spike partially retraces as momentum fades, with RACA settling at a price modestly above pre-spike levels. The token continues its slow holder decline, trading in a low-volume range with occasional momentum spikes driven by social catalysts. The project remains operational but does not achieve meaningful new user growth in the near term.

  • The 2025-05-31 whale wallets do not immediately dump their positions, allowing the price to stabilise rather than collapse
  • No major new product launch or sector catalyst emerges in the 30–90 day window to fundamentally change the demand trajectory

Bear Case

Medium probability

The current 40% spike is a momentum event without fundamental backing. The two 2025-05-31 whale wallets (22% of supply, zero cost basis) begin distributing into the elevated price, overwhelming the $1.12M liquidity pool and triggering a rapid retracement. The declining holder base accelerates as retail participants who bought the spike exit at a loss.

  • Zero-cost-basis whale wallets (16.73% + 5.40% of supply, first active 2025-05-31) selling into the price spike with no loss threshold
  • Continued holder attrition and absence of new platform activity confirming the NFT/metaverse sector remains in a structural downturn

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 18, 2026, 07:00 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-18 07:00 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000017369383988714

Market Cap

$7.22M

24h Volume

$377.5K

Holders

436,789

Liquidity

$1,116,750.07

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Trading volume metrics (24h, 4h, 1h windows)Smart contract analysis and security scoringWhale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates)31-day holder timeseriesNotable recent on-chain swap data

Limitations

  • No OHLC price history is available for this token, making it impossible to compute technical support/resistance levels or assess medium-term price trend from swing data
  • Smart-money cohort data (top profitable traders) is unavailable, preventing assessment of whether sophisticated investors are accumulating or distributing
  • The origin and purpose of the 2025-05-31 large transfer to two fresh wallets (22% of supply) is unknown — this could represent a legitimate team restructuring, OTC deal, or a more concerning insider allocation, and the analysis cannot distinguish between these scenarios

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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