退休币

退休币 Price Today & AI Analysis

退休币BNB ChainAnalysis as of Jul 21, 2026

Price

$0.054385

+0.00% 24h

Contract

Live
0x0f5fd397d0fcbfb42fa78a4904ef3f790a494444

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

404

Market cap

$4.38K

Liquidity

$3.77K

At a $1M market cap, $退休币 would be $0.001000 (228x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is 退休币 a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 18

Not checked

This contract has not been tested for honeypots or taxes yet.

Launch wallets hold

0.17%3 bundlers still holding

The honeypot and tax test has not run on this contract yet, so no red flags here does not mean a clean contract. Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about 退休币

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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退休币: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-21 09:15 UTC

Holder addresses

1,163

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$40,399.10
How concentrated is 退休币 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,163 addresses (2026-07-21 09:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 退休币?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 退休币 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-21 09:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,399.10. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-21 09:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 21, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$177.81K

24h Volume

$940.23K

Liquidity

$40.40K

FDV

—

Holders

1,163

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

退休币 (Retirement Coin) is a meme token launched on the BNB Chain via the Four.meme launchpad approximately 1 hour ago, with a current market cap of $177,813 and fully diluted valuation of $177,813 on a fixed supply of 1 billion tokens. The token has no verified contract, no project description, no social links, and no stated utility beyond meme/community classification. It experienced a 219% price spike at launch followed by an immediate -19% reversal in the last 5 minutes, a pattern consistent with a speculative launch pump. With $40,399 in liquidity, 1,163 holders all acquired within the last hour, and nine individual whales holding transfered supply at zero cost basis, this token carries extreme risk.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 21, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Chinese-character branding (退休币 = Retirement Coin) targeting a specific cultural/linguistic audience on BNB Chain
  • Launched via Four.meme launchpad with immediate high transaction volume — 13,606 buy/sell transactions within the first hour
  • Deployer wallet (0x757eba15) is 477 days old with zero prior contract deployments, an unusual profile that does not fit a serial launcher but also provides no track record of successful projects

退休币 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

This token is only 1 hour old and has already posted a -19% drop in the last 5 minutes following a 219% launch spike, a classic pump-and-dump trajectory. With no OHLC history to establish support, the price is entirely at the mercy of early holders who received supply via transfer rather than market buys. The combination of an unverified contract, 9 individual whales holding 15.4% of dumpable supply, and a meme classification with no stated utility makes a sustained price hold extremely unlikely in the near term.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Without any fundamental utility, verified contract, social presence, or established community, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The token's entire 1,163-holder base was acquired within the last hour, and the holder trajectory timeseries shows zero pre-existing growth, meaning there is no organic community to sustain demand. Meme tokens launched on Four.meme with this profile historically fade rapidly once initial trading excitement subsides.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy pressure is marginally dominant at 50.5% vs 49.5% sell pressure across 13,606 total transactions in 24h, indicating active two-sided trading rather than a one-sided dump so far
  • 2,232 unique buyers have entered within the first hour, suggesting genuine initial interest and broad distribution beyond a small insider circle

Bearish Factors

  • Price dropped -19% in just the last 5 minutes after a 219% launch spike, signaling the initial pump is already reversing
  • Nine individual whale wallets collectively hold 15.4% of dumpable supply and all acquired their positions via transfer rather than market buys, meaning they have zero cost basis and can sell at any price for pure profit
  • The contract is unverified, the deployer wallet (0x757eba15) has no prior contract deployments in its first 100 transactions and was funded by an unknown source, raising rug-pull risk
  • Total liquidity is only $40,399 against $940,229 in combined 24h buy/sell volume, meaning the pool is extremely thin relative to trading activity and large sells will cause severe price impact

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

退休币 call history

Full track record →

Jul 21bearish
24h-92.8%
7d-95.3%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x0f5f...4444
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: unverified contract + unknown-funded deployer + pre-trading insider allocations (148.6M tokens to 0xa14f61) create a high-probability scenario where liquidity is withdrawn and insiders exit, leaving retail holders with worthless tokens
  • Zero-cost-basis whale dump: nine individual whale wallets holding 20.7% of supply received their positions via transfer and can sell at any price for profit — a single coordinated exit would drain the $40,399 liquidity pool
  • No fundamental floor: with no utility, no verified contract, no social presence, and no team disclosure, there is no fundamental basis to prevent the price from approaching zero if speculative interest fades

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading sentiment is nearly perfectly balanced at 50.5% buy pressure vs 49.5% sell pressure, but this near-parity masks the underlying dynamic: the token launched with a 219% spike and is now reversing sharply. The high transaction count of 13,606 trades from 4,083 unique participants in a single hour reflects speculative frenzy rather than organic accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The only available price data shows a 219% spike from launch followed by a -19% reversal in the most recent 5-minute window, establishing a classic pump-reversal pattern. With no OHLC history and all price action compressed into a single hour, the short-term trend is defined entirely by this reversal. There is no medium-term price history to assess, but the structural setup — unverified contract, zero-cost-basis whales, thin liquidity — points to continued downward pressure.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 219% gain from launch in under an hour followed by an immediate -19% reversal is a textbook overbought signal on a micro-cap meme token. The near-equal buy/sell transaction counts suggest momentum is stalling, and the absence of any fundamental catalyst to sustain the launch price means mean reversion is the most probable near-term outcome.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.5%

Sell

49.5%

Volume Trend

Stable

All $940,230 in gross volume occurred within the first hour of trading, making trend assessment impossible. The volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~23x is extremely high, indicating the pool is being heavily utilized. Buy volume ($475,103) only marginally exceeds sell volume ($465,127), confirming the market is not in a one-sided accumulation phase.

Recent Price Action

Launch pump followed by sharp reversal: +219% from mint price within the first hour, then -19% in the most recent 5-minute candle.

This pattern — a rapid post-launch spike followed by immediate retracement — is characteristic of coordinated launch pumps on meme launchpads where insiders or bots front-run retail buyers. The -19% in 5 minutes while buy/sell counts remain balanced suggests large-lot sells from whale wallets are driving price down faster than retail buy orders can absorb.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

92/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A 219% spike followed by a -19% reversal within a single hour demonstrates extreme price volatility. With no price history, no liquidity depth, and speculative-only demand, price swings of 50%+ in either direction within hours are entirely plausible.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Only $40,399 in total liquidity against $940,230 in hourly gross volume creates severe slippage risk. The unverified contract means liquidity could be withdrawn by the deployer at any time without warning, leaving holders unable to exit.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a meme token with no utility on BNB Chain, regulatory risk is moderate — meme tokens are increasingly scrutinized in multiple jurisdictions, and the lack of any disclosed team or legal entity means there is no accountable party if regulatory action occurs.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull risk: unverified contract + unknown-funded deployer + pre-trading insider allocations (148.6M tokens to 0xa14f61) create a high-probability scenario where liquidity is withdrawn and insiders exit, leaving retail holders with worthless tokens
  • Zero-cost-basis whale dump: nine individual whale wallets holding 20.7% of supply received their positions via transfer and can sell at any price for profit — a single coordinated exit would drain the $40,399 liquidity pool
  • No fundamental floor: with no utility, no verified contract, no social presence, and no team disclosure, there is no fundamental basis to prevent the price from approaching zero if speculative interest fades

Mitigating Factors

  • The deployer wallet is 477 days old with no prior contract deployments, which is inconsistent with the typical disposable-wallet rug pattern used by serial scammers
  • 2,232 unique buyers participated in the first hour, providing some breadth of demand that could sustain short-term price action if sentiment remains positive

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced crypto traders who fully understand meme token mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are treating any position as pure speculation with no expectation of fundamental value. It is entirely unsuitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a negligible portion of their portfolio.

退休币 is a high-risk speculative meme token with no verified fundamentals, launched 1 hour ago with a classic pump-reversal pattern. The investment thesis is entirely momentum-based with no fundamental floor, and the structural setup — unverified contract, zero-cost-basis whale insiders, and thin liquidity — heavily favors the bear case.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The Chinese-language branding achieves viral traction in BNB Chain's Chinese-speaking community, driving sustained new buyer inflow that absorbs whale selling pressure. Transaction volume remains elevated, the liquidity pool deepens organically, and the token establishes itself as a cultural meme with staying power similar to other community-driven BNB Chain memes.

  • Viral social media spread in Chinese-language crypto communities driving sustained new buyer demand
  • Whale wallets choosing to hold rather than dump, allowing price to stabilize and attract longer-term holders

Base Case

The initial launch excitement fades over 24–48 hours as speculative traders rotate out. Price gradually declines from the launch spike as sell pressure from zero-cost-basis holders outpaces new buyer inflow. The token survives but trades at a fraction of its launch price with declining volume and holder count.

  • No coordinated rug pull occurs, but organic demand is insufficient to sustain the launch valuation
  • Whale wallets sell gradually rather than in a single coordinated dump, allowing a slow price decline rather than a cliff-edge collapse

Bear Case

High probability

One or more of the nine zero-cost-basis whale wallets begin selling into the thin $40,399 liquidity pool, triggering a cascade of retail stop-losses and panic selling. The deployer withdraws liquidity using the unverified contract's potential hidden functions, and the token price collapses toward zero within 24–72 hours of launch.

  • Zero-cost-basis whale wallets (20.7% dumpable supply) executing profit-taking sells against a liquidity pool too thin to absorb them
  • Unverified contract enabling deployer to execute a rug pull via liquidity withdrawal or hidden mint function

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 21, 2026, 09:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-21 09:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000172972587521593

Market Cap

$177.8K

24h Volume

$940.2K

Holders

1,163

Liquidity

$40,399.10

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)Trading volume metrics (DEX aggregator)Smart contract deployment recordsToken genesis transfer forensicsWhale wallet behavioral analysisDeployer wallet historical profile

Limitations

  • Token is only 1 hour old — no OHLC price history exists, making technical analysis and price target derivation impossible
  • Smart-money cohort data is unavailable, preventing assessment of sophisticated trader positioning
  • Unverified contract means hidden functions and true tokenomics cannot be confirmed from source code
  • No social media presence means community sentiment and growth trajectory cannot be assessed
  • Identical 24h/4h/1h transaction counts confirm all data reflects a single launch hour, making trend analysis statistically unreliable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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