FIL

Filecoin Price Today & AI Analysis

FILBNB ChainAnalysis as of May 6, 2026

Price

$0.8720

+1.04% 24h

Contract

Live
0x0d8ce2a99bb6e3b7db580ed848240e4a0f9ae153

Chain

BNB Chain

Holders

53.9K

Market cap

$13.09M

Liquidity

$116.37K

At a $50M market cap, $FIL would be $3.33 (3.82x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is FIL a scam?

Unhosted check · Nov 1

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

  • The contract owner has not given up control.
  • Control of the contract can be handed to another wallet.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about FIL

3 free answers a day

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Filecoin: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-06 05:02 UTC

Holder addresses

120,067

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$109,124.46
How concentrated is Filecoin ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 120,067 addresses (2026-05-06 05:02 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Filecoin?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Filecoin liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-06 05:02 UTC, reported liquidity was $109,124.46. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-06 05:02 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from May 6, 2026, 05:02 AM UTC

Market Cap

$17.09M

24h Volume

$383.33K

Liquidity

$109.12K

FDV

—

Holders

120.1K

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

FIL (Filecoin) on BSC is a Binance-wrapped version of the native Filecoin token, pegged 1:1 and designed to facilitate cross-chain trading and bridge functionality. Currently trading at $1.14 with a $17.1M market cap and experiencing strong short-term momentum (+20.45% in 24h), though this is occurring on critically low liquidity of just $109K. The token serves as a utility bridge rather than an independent project, with holder distribution heavily concentrated among whales and institutional holders (68% in top 100). While the recent price action is bullish, the combination of minimal liquidity, extreme concentration, and wrapped token dependency creates significant risks for retail investors.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — May 6, 2026, 05:02 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Wrapped token mechanism providing direct 1:1 peg to native Filecoin, enabling arbitrage opportunities between chains
  • Binance-backed bridge infrastructure reducing counterparty risk compared to independent wrapped tokens
  • Underlying Filecoin storage network provides fundamental utility beyond speculative trading

Filecoin AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

FIL is experiencing strong short-term momentum with a +20.45% 24-hour gain and +16.02% 4-hour surge, indicating sustained buying pressure. Buy volume ($198,749) exceeds sell volume ($184,579) by 51.8% to 48.2%, with more unique sellers (813) than buyers (571) suggesting retail distribution into strength. The recent 5-minute pullback of -1.78% represents normal consolidation within a strong uptrend.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Medium-term outlook is constrained by the token's wrapped nature and limited organic utility beyond Binance's bridge mechanism. While the 20%+ daily gain is impressive, sustainability depends on broader market conditions and whether this represents genuine demand or speculative momentum. Holder growth remains minimal (0.032% in 24h), suggesting limited new retail adoption driving the price action.

Bullish Factors

  • Strong 24-hour price performance (+20.45%) with sustained momentum across multiple timeframes (4h: +16.02%, 1h positive)
  • Buy pressure exceeds sell pressure (51.8% vs 48.2%) with $14.2K net positive volume in 24h
  • Security score of 80/100 with verified contract reduces smart contract risk
  • Positive transaction flow with 2,901 buy transactions vs 4,061 sell transactions showing active trading interest
  • Filecoin's underlying storage utility provides fundamental use case beyond pure speculation

Bearish Factors

  • Critically low liquidity of only $109,124 creates extreme slippage risk and price manipulation vulnerability
  • Severe holder concentration with top 10 controlling 32% and top 100 controlling 68% of supply, enabling coordinated dumps
  • Minimal holder growth (0.032% in 24h, 0.023% in 7d) indicates lack of organic adoption despite price gains
  • More unique sellers (813) than buyers (571) in 24h suggests profit-taking pressure despite positive volume
  • Wrapped token status limits independent value proposition; entirely dependent on Binance bridge mechanism and native FIL performance
  • Unknown exchange listing creates transparency concerns about trading venue and potential wash trading

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
BNB Chain
Contract
0x0d8c...e153
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme concentration risk: 68% of supply in top 100 holders enables coordinated dumps or whale exits causing 50%+ price crashes
  • Critically low liquidity: $109K liquidity with $383K daily volume creates 3.5x turnover ratio, indicating unsustainable trading and extreme slippage risk
  • Wrapped token dependency: Token has no independent value; entirely dependent on native FIL price and Binance bridge functionality
  • Manipulation risk: Unknown exchange listing, low liquidity, and extreme concentration create ideal conditions for pump-and-dump schemes

Trading Insight

bullish

Market sentiment is moderately bullish with buy pressure exceeding sell pressure by 3.6 percentage points and positive net volume of $14.2K. However, the sentiment is tempered by the concerning divergence between transaction counts (more sells than buys) and volume (more buy volume than sell volume), suggesting larger average buy orders from fewer participants. This pattern indicates potential whale accumulation or coordinated buying rather than organic retail demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Short-term trend is clearly bullish with consistent gains across all timeframes (5m: -1.78% pullback, 1h: +2.49%, 4h: +16.02%, 24h: +20.45%), indicating strong upward momentum. However, the medium-term trend lacks conviction due to minimal holder growth and the wrapped token's dependency on native FIL performance. The sharp 20%+ daily move on low volume suggests potential exhaustion risk if resistance is not broken decisively.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

The token is showing overbought conditions with a 20.45% 24-hour gain on relatively low volume ($383K total), indicating momentum may be overextended. The 5-minute pullback of -1.78% suggests initial profit-taking, which is typical of overbought conditions. However, the sustained positive momentum across 1h, 4h, and 24h timeframes indicates the overbought condition may persist if buying pressure continues.

Volume Analysis

Buy

51.8%

Sell

48.2%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Volume has increased substantially, with 24h volume of $383K representing 3.5x the total available liquidity of $109K. This extreme ratio indicates either strong organic demand or potential manipulation. The 4-hour volume (2,204 buy + 3,133 sell = 5,337 transactions) represents 76.6% of 24h transaction count, showing volume concentration in recent hours. The increasing trend is concerning given the liquidity constraints.

Recent Price Action

Strong impulsive move upward with minor pullback, forming a potential bull flag pattern. The 20%+ daily gain followed by a 1.78% 5-minute pullback suggests consolidation before potential continuation or reversal.

Bull flag patterns typically indicate continuation of the uptrend, but on this token's low liquidity, the pattern is unreliable. The pattern could also represent a pump-and-dump setup given the concentration and liquidity constraints.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$1.10

Major support

$0.95

Immediate resistance

$1.20

Major resistance

$1.35

Immediate support at $1.10 represents the 1-hour moving average level. Major support at $0.95 represents a psychological level and potential reversal point. Immediate resistance at $1.20 represents the recent intraday high, while major resistance at $1.35 represents the extended resistance level. The token's low liquidity means these levels are less reliable than typical technical analysis, as large orders can easily move price through multiple levels.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

72/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    20%+ daily price swings on low volume indicate extreme volatility. The shallow liquidity amplifies price movements, creating potential for 30-50% intraday swings. Wrapped token status means volatility is inherited from native FIL plus amplified by low liquidity.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Critically low liquidity of $109K creates severe slippage risk. A $100K trade would experience 45%+ slippage. The 24h volume of $383K (3.5x liquidity) is unsustainable and indicates potential manipulation or temporary demand spike.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Wrapped tokens face potential regulatory scrutiny regarding bridge mechanisms and custody. Filecoin storage sector faces ongoing regulatory questions about data privacy and compliance. Unknown exchange listing creates additional regulatory uncertainty.

Key Risks

  • Extreme concentration risk: 68% of supply in top 100 holders enables coordinated dumps or whale exits causing 50%+ price crashes
  • Critically low liquidity: $109K liquidity with $383K daily volume creates 3.5x turnover ratio, indicating unsustainable trading and extreme slippage risk
  • Wrapped token dependency: Token has no independent value; entirely dependent on native FIL price and Binance bridge functionality
  • Manipulation risk: Unknown exchange listing, low liquidity, and extreme concentration create ideal conditions for pump-and-dump schemes
  • Holder stagnation: 0.032% holder growth despite 20%+ price gains indicates lack of organic adoption and suggests price move is unsustainable

Mitigating Factors

  • Binance backing provides institutional credibility and reduces bridge default risk
  • Verified smart contract with 80/100 security score reduces exploit risk
  • Underlying Filecoin network provides fundamental utility and adoption
  • 1:1 peg mechanism prevents divergence from native FIL price

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for experienced traders with high risk tolerance who understand manipulation risks and can actively manage positions. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or risk-averse investors. The extreme concentration, low liquidity, and lack of organic adoption create unacceptable risk for most investors. Suitable investors would be: (1) Arbitrage traders exploiting price differences between chains, (2) Experienced crypto traders with active risk management, (3) Institutional traders with sophisticated risk models.

FIL presents a short-term trading opportunity driven by strong technical momentum and positive buy/sell pressure, but faces critical structural risks from extreme concentration, low liquidity, and lack of organic adoption. The wrapped token's dependency on native FIL and Binance bridge creates limited upside potential while concentration risk creates significant downside risk. This is a speculative trading vehicle, not a long-term investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Filecoin storage network experiences significant adoption growth, driving native FIL price higher and pulling wrapped FIL up with it. Simultaneously, BSC adoption increases cross-chain trading volume, improving FIL liquidity and reducing slippage risk. Whales continue accumulating, signaling confidence and attracting new participants.

  • Filecoin mainnet adoption acceleration and storage network growth
  • Increased cross-chain trading volume improving BSC FIL liquidity
  • Whale accumulation attracting retail FOMO and new holder acquisition
  • Broader cryptocurrency market bull run lifting storage sector

Base Case

FIL consolidates around $1.10-$1.20 range over next 2-4 weeks as recent momentum exhausts. Holder growth remains minimal, indicating price moves are driven by existing holders trading rather than new adoption. Token remains illiquid and concentrated, creating ongoing manipulation risk. Price eventually follows native FIL with limited independent movement.

  • Native FIL price remains relatively stable in $5-$7 range
  • Binance bridge volume remains modest, limiting liquidity improvements
  • Whale holders maintain current positions without major exits
  • Broader crypto market remains in neutral to slightly bullish conditions

Bear Case

High probability

Whales take profits on recent 20%+ gains, triggering cascade selling due to extreme concentration. Low liquidity amplifies selling pressure, causing 30-50% price crash. Holder stagnation continues, confirming lack of organic adoption. Native FIL price stagnates or declines, pulling wrapped FIL down further.

  • Whale profit-taking on recent gains triggering cascade selling
  • Low liquidity amplifying downward price movement
  • Continued holder stagnation confirming lack of adoption
  • Native FIL price stagnation or decline
  • Broader cryptocurrency market downturn affecting storage sector

Analysis Details

Generated

May 6, 2026, 05:02 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-06 05:02 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.138725687817152110

Market Cap

$17.09M

24h Volume

$383.3K

Holders

120,067

Liquidity

$109,124.46

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (buy/sell volumes, transaction counts, unique participants)Holder distribution analytics (concentration, whale activity, holder growth)Trading volume metrics (24h, 4h, 1h volume and price performance)Smart contract analysis (security score, verification status)Liquidity depth analysis (total liquidity, slippage calculations)

Limitations

  • Unknown exchange listing prevents verification of trading authenticity and volume legitimacy
  • Limited historical data prevents trend analysis beyond 24h timeframe
  • Wrapped token nature means fundamental analysis is limited to native FIL performance
  • No on-chain whale transaction details provided, limiting ability to assess specific whale movements
  • Social media metrics not provided, limiting community sentiment analysis
  • No correlation data with native FIL or other wrapped versions prevents comparative analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. The extreme concentration, low liquidity, and unknown exchange listing create significant manipulation and fraud risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, verify data independently, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analyst assumes no responsibility for investment losses resulting from use of this analysis.

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Questions about FIL?