掼蛋

掼蛋 Price Today & AI Analysis

掼蛋
BNB Chain·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 13, 2026

$0.000121

+0.00%24h
LiveContract:0x04fb2e14071e1388428615a21a70b1f1b7ff7777Chain:BNB ChainHolders:2.2KMarket cap:$121.10KLiquidity:$16.78K

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Ask Unhosted AI about 掼蛋

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 13, 2026, 09:01 AM UTC
Market Cap

$499.37K

24h Volume

$117.04K

Liquidity

$59.83K

FDV

—

Holders

278

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

掼蛋 is a BNB Chain token launched approximately 1 hour ago with no verified contract, no project description, and no social presence. Its launch followed a textbook pump pattern: an 809% price spike followed immediately by a -30.5% correction within 5 minutes, consistent with coordinated insider selling into retail demand. The top holder structure is dominated by a burn address (65.01%) and a transfer-recipient whale (13.28%) whose wallet was created just 2 days before launch, while the deployer was funded by an unlabelled wallet with no prior deployment history. With $59,834 in liquidity, an unverified contract, and 83.1% dumpable supply, this token presents a very high risk profile with no identifiable fundamental value proposition.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 13, 2026, 09:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
65.01% of supply is held in a burn address, permanently reducing circulating supply — though this does not mitigate the 83.1% dumpable supply risk from remaining holders
Launched on BNB Chain (BSC) with immediate high transaction volume (1,100 total transactions in its first hour), indicating aggressive retail speculation
Deployer wallet is 742 days old but has zero prior contract deployments and was funded by an unlabelled wallet, an unusual combination that does not provide the legitimacy its age might suggest

掼蛋 AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

This token is only 1 hour old and has already experienced a -30.5% price drop in the last 5 minutes following an 809% launch spike, a classic pump-and-dump pattern. With 65.01% of supply held in a burn address and 13.28% held by a wallet (0x9715e8…) that received its position via transfer at launch — not market buys — the structural setup strongly favors early insiders distributing into retail demand. The extreme concentration and lack of any verified contract or project description make short-term downside the most probable outcome.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Without a verified contract, project description, social presence, or any demonstrated utility, there is no fundamental basis for sustained price appreciation over a 30–90 day horizon. The deployer wallet (0xe2ce6ab8…), while 742 days old, was funded by an unlabelled wallet and made zero contract deployments in its first 100 transactions, offering no track record of legitimate project launches. Unless the team establishes verifiable utility and community infrastructure, the medium-term trajectory follows the typical lifecycle of an unverified launch-day token: rapid decline after initial hype exhaustion.

Bullish Factors
  • +Buy pressure is 58.8% of 24h volume ($68,872 buys vs $48,163 sells), indicating more capital entering than exiting in the token's first hour of trading
  • +372 unique buyers have already participated, suggesting genuine retail interest in the launch rather than purely wash-traded volume
  • +65.01% of supply is held in a burn address, meaning that portion is permanently removed from circulation and cannot be sold into the market
Bearish Factors
  • -The token is only 1 hour old and has already dropped -30.5% in the last 5 minutes from its launch peak, signaling the initial pump is unwinding
  • -The 13.28% whale (0x9715e8…) received its entire position via transfer at launch — not through market buys — and its wallet was first active just 2 days ago (2026-07-11), a strong insider/sybil signal
  • -The contract is unverified, there is no project description, no social links, and no security score, leaving buyers with zero ability to audit the code or assess legitimacy
  • -The deployer (0xe2ce6ab8…) was funded by an unlabelled wallet and has zero prior contract deployments, fitting a disposable-deployer pattern associated with higher rug risk
  • -Dumpable supply — held by wallets capable of selling — stands at 83.1% of total supply, representing an enormous potential sell overhang against only $59,834 in liquidity

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

掼蛋 call history

Full track record →
Jul 13bearish
24h-39.8%
7d-66.7%
30d-75.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBNB Chain
Contract0x04fb...7777
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Rug pull risk: Unverified contract, deployer funded by unlabelled wallet, zero prior deployments, and 83.1% dumpable supply concentrated in insider wallets create conditions where the deployer or affiliated wallets could drain liquidity or dump supply with no warning
•Insider distribution: The 13.28% whale (0x9715e8…) received supply via pre-launch transfer from a wallet created 2 days before launch — this position was acquired at zero cost and can be sold at any price for pure profit, with no market-buy basis to suggest long-term holding intent
•Liquidity collapse: The $59,834 liquidity pool is insufficient to absorb even a fraction of the 83.1% dumpable supply; any coordinated or panic selling could reduce the token price to near zero within minutes

Trading Insight

bearish

While raw buy/sell ratios show 58.8% buy pressure, the -30.5% price drop in the last 5 minutes despite ongoing buys indicates that insider sell pressure is overwhelming retail demand at the margin. The identical transaction counts across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows confirm all 1,100 transactions occurred within the token's single hour of existence, making volume trend analysis impossible beyond this snapshot.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

The only available price data shows an 809% launch spike that has already begun reversing with a -30.5% drop in the most recent 5-minute window. With no OHLC history beyond this single hour, the trend is defined entirely by the post-pump reversal pattern. Both short and medium-term trends are classified as downtrend given the token is in active price discovery following a launch pump with no established base.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

An 809% price increase in under one hour represents extreme overbought conditions by any measure. The -30.5% correction in the last 5 minutes confirms momentum is already reversing from the launch peak, and with no support levels established from prior trading history, there is no technical floor to reference.

Volume Analysis

Buy 58.8%Sell 41.2%

Volume Trend: Stable

All volume data reflects a single hour of trading, making trend classification impossible. The $117,036 total volume in one hour against $59,834 liquidity is notable — volume has already turned over the liquidity pool nearly twice, indicating high speculative activity. Buy volume ($68,872) exceeds sell volume ($48,163) in aggregate, but the largest individual trades skew toward sells.

Recent Price Action

Launch pump followed by immediate reversal: 809% spike from launch price to peak, then -30.5% correction within the first hour, with current price at $0.000484922.

This pattern — a sharp vertical launch spike followed by rapid mean reversion — is characteristic of coordinated launch pumps where insiders sell into initial retail demand. The speed of the reversal (-30.5% in 5 minutes) suggests active distribution rather than organic profit-taking.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders278
24h Change+278
Growth Rate+100%

All 278 holders were acquired within the token's first hour of existence, so the 100% growth figure simply reflects the token's launch rather than organic community expansion. The holder timeseries shows 0 → 419 net over 31 days, but since the token is only 1 hour old, this projection is forward-looking and unverified. The 278 current holders versus 372 unique buyers confirms approximately 94 early buyers have already fully exited their positions.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders88%
Top 100 Holders99%
Retail Holders1.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

While the top-10 concentration of 88% appears alarming, 65.01% of that is held in a burn address and 6.17% in a protocol/contract — neither of which represents dumpable supply. However, the remaining individual whales collectively hold enough supply that the true dumpable supply figure is 83.1%, which against only $59,834 in liquidity represents a catastrophic potential sell pressure. Retail holders control only ~1% of supply, meaning price is entirely at the mercy of insider wallet decisions.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The six largest on-chain swaps recorded are: SELL $584 (0x0bfbd0…), SELL $456 (0xb6c105…), BUY $427 (0x50da93…), SELL $380 (0x14bf0b…), BUY $282 (0x05b98f…), SELL $249 (0x113d82…). Four of the six largest trades are sells, with total notable sell volume of $1,669 versus $709 in notable buys.

  • •SELL $584 by 0x0bfbd0… — largest single trade recorded, a sell, indicating larger holders are exiting
  • •SELL $456 by 0xb6c105… — second largest trade also a sell, reinforcing distribution pattern among larger position holders

The notable trade data shows a 4:2 sell-to-buy ratio among the largest individual swaps, with sells averaging $417 versus buys averaging $354. This distribution pattern among the largest traders, combined with the insider-allocated whale positions, suggests early recipients are selling into retail demand generated by the launch pump.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token. No profitable-trader cohort data exists.

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token. Given the token is only 1 hour old and the largest whale positions were acquired via pre-launch transfers rather than market buys, any early recipients who received supply at zero cost face no downside in selling at any price, making profit-taking risk structurally high regardless of smart-money metrics.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$59,834.40
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $59,834 in total liquidity against a $499,368 market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 12% — shallow for a token with this level of trading activity. The 83.1% dumpable supply, if even partially sold, would devastate the liquidity pool; a single whale selling their 13.28% position (worth ~$66,300 at current prices) would exceed the entire liquidity pool, causing catastrophic price impact and likely draining the pool entirely.

Overall Risk:
Very High
94/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

An 809% price spike followed by a -30.5% correction within a single hour demonstrates extreme volatility. With no price history, no established support levels, and a post-pump reversal already underway, price swings of 50-90% in either direction within hours are plausible.

Liquidity
High

At $59,834 total liquidity, the pool is shallow relative to the $499,368 market cap and the 83.1% dumpable supply. A single large holder exiting could drain the pool and make the token effectively untradeable.

Concentration
High

Dumpable supply stands at 83.1%, held by individual whales and insider-allocated wallets. While the burn address holding 65.01% is non-dumpable, the remaining concentrated insider positions represent severe dump risk against shallow liquidity.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified on BNB Chain, meaning the source code is opaque. Hidden functions such as mint, blacklist, or fee manipulation cannot be excluded. BNB Chain's history of unverified contract exploits makes this a critical risk factor.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized BNB Chain token with no stated utility, it faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to all unregistered crypto assets. No specific regulatory targeting is evident, but the lack of any project identity increases general compliance risk.

Key Risks

  • •Rug pull risk: Unverified contract, deployer funded by unlabelled wallet, zero prior deployments, and 83.1% dumpable supply concentrated in insider wallets create conditions where the deployer or affiliated wallets could drain liquidity or dump supply with no warning
  • •Insider distribution: The 13.28% whale (0x9715e8…) received supply via pre-launch transfer from a wallet created 2 days before launch — this position was acquired at zero cost and can be sold at any price for pure profit, with no market-buy basis to suggest long-term holding intent
  • •Liquidity collapse: The $59,834 liquidity pool is insufficient to absorb even a fraction of the 83.1% dumpable supply; any coordinated or panic selling could reduce the token price to near zero within minutes

Mitigating Factors

  • •65.01% of supply is permanently burned, meaning the majority of tokens can never be sold and the effective float is smaller than total supply suggests
  • •The deployer wallet is 742 days old, which while not conclusive, is inconsistent with the most disposable single-use deployer patterns seen in pure exit scams

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced speculative traders who fully understand the risk of total capital loss, can monitor positions in real time, and treat any position as a zero-cost lottery ticket. It is entirely unsuitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing capital they cannot afford to lose completely.

掼蛋 presents no identifiable investment thesis based on fundamentals — it is a 1-hour-old, unverified BNB Chain token with insider-allocated supply, no project description, and a post-launch price reversal already underway. The only speculative case rests on continued retail momentum, which is structurally undermined by the distribution setup.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Retail momentum sustains buying pressure beyond the initial pump, the team reveals a legitimate project with contract verification and social infrastructure, and the burn of 65.01% supply creates a scarcity narrative that drives speculative demand. Price recovers from the -30.5% correction and establishes a new higher base.

  • +Sustained retail buy pressure (currently 58.8%) continuing to outpace insider selling
  • +Unexpected project reveal with verifiable utility, team identity, and contract verification
Base Case

The token follows the typical lifecycle of an unverified launch-day token on BNB Chain: initial retail excitement fades within 24-72 hours, volume drops sharply, and price settles 70-90% below the launch peak as early recipients gradually exit. The token persists at low prices with minimal trading activity.

  • •No verifiable project fundamentals emerge to sustain organic demand beyond the launch pump
  • •Insider wallets distribute gradually rather than in a single coordinated dump, allowing a slow price decline rather than an immediate collapse
Bear Case
High

Insider wallets — particularly the 13.28% transfer-recipient whale — begin selling their zero-cost positions into the remaining retail demand, the liquidity pool is progressively drained, and the token price collapses 80-99% from current levels within days. The unverified contract may contain additional mechanisms accelerating this outcome.

  • -83.1% dumpable supply concentrated in insider wallets with zero acquisition cost and no lock-up mechanism
  • -Unverified contract preventing any audit of potential malicious functions; shallow $59,834 liquidity pool unable to absorb significant selling

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 13, 2026, 09:01 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data; token is approximately 1 hour old at time of analysis
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000484922224588323
Market Cap$499.4K
24h Volume$117.0K
Holders278
Liquidity$59.8K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (BNB Chain / BSC)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Trading volume metrics (24h buy/sell volume and transaction counts)
Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics
Whale wallet behavioral analysis (DEX swap lookup)
Liquidity pool depth data

Limitations

  • •Token is only 1 hour old — no OHLC price history exists, making technical analysis of support/resistance levels impossible and all trend analysis based solely on the launch-hour price action
  • •Smart-money profitable-trader cohort data is unavailable, preventing assessment of experienced trader positioning
  • •Unverified contract means the full token mechanics (fees, minting, blacklisting) cannot be assessed from on-chain data alone
  • •Deployer and whale wallet labels are based on on-chain forensics and may not capture all affiliated wallets or the full scope of insider allocation

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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